Who Should I Draft?

Stephen Strasburg or Blake Treinen (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Blake Treinen
RP - OAK
Blake Treinen
Expert
Recommendation
78%
Recommended by
46 of 59 experts
22%
Recommended by
13 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 19
Best Rank# 11# 13
Worst Rank# 31# 36
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 59# 62
Best Rank# 51# 57
Worst Rank# 62# 71
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts18783
Wins124
Saves032
ERA3.402.66
WHIP1.161.12
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 20# 24
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 17
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 20
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 16# 17
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 14# 25
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 15# 24
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 13# 19
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 16# 23
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 13# 25
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 18# 20
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 15# 25
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 19# 36
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 17# 18
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 12# 28
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 24
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 13# 33
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 17# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 22
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 14# 22
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 19# 21
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 17
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 18# 22
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 14# 19
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 20# 25
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 20
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 15
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 15# 20
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 19# 22
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 19
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 18# 28
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 27
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 13# 24
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 11# 21
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 14# 31
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 17# 27
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 26
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 18# 24
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 19# 25
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 13# 19
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 18# 28
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 15# 16
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 12# 13
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 16# 29
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 23# 25
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 23
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 16# 14
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 17# 16
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 18# 14
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 19# 18
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 20# 19
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 21# 20
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 25# 13
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 25# 20
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 27# 17
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 27# 22
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 28# 23
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 28# 20
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 31# 13
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Blake Treinen
RP - OAK
Blake Treinen
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2268
   
Games Started220
   
Innings Pitched130.180.2
   
Wins109
   
Losses72
   
Saves038
   
Blown Saves05
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed11846
   
Earned Runs547
   
Home Runs Allowed182
   
Strikeouts156100
   
Walks3821
   
ERA3.740.78
   
WHIP1.200.83
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Blake Treinen
RP - OAK
Blake Treinen
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2869
   
Games Started280
   
Innings Pitched163.673.7
   
Wins124
   
Losses83
   
Saves032
   
Blown Saves07
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed14259
   
Earned Runs6222
   
Home Runs Allowed195
   
Strikeouts18783
   
Walks4724
   
ERA3.402.66
   
WHIP1.161.12
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Blake Treinen
RP - OAK
Blake Treinen
News 
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on four hits and two walks while striking out seven over six innings in Wednesday's win over the Twins. The win brings him to 17-6 on the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 12th
Blake Treinen (6-5) allowed two runs on three hits and a walk while failing to record a out. He was charged with his fifth loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Thu, Aug 29th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed three earned runs on four hits and four walks while striking out seven over six innings in Thursday's loss to the Atlanta Braves. The loss drops him to 16-6 on the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Sep 6th
Blake Treinen allowed one hit and no walks while striking out two in a scoreless inning in Friday's 3-2 win over the Astros.
Brad Camara
Sat, Aug 17th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg tossed eight shutout innings in Saturday's win over the Marlins, striking out 14 while allowing two hits and no walks. The win brings him to 16-5 on the season.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 1st
Blake Treinen (6-3) allowed one hit through a scoreless inning in Thursday’s 5-3 win over the Brewers. He picked up his sixth win of the season.
Brad Camara
Thu, Aug 1st
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on five hits and one walk while striking out 10 over six innings in a no-decision against the Cubs on Sunday.
Mike Maher
Mon, Aug 26th
Blake Treinen (4-3) issued one walk while striking out two in a scoreless inning in Sunday's 6-5 win over the Rangers. He picked up his fourth win of the season.
Brad Camara
Mon, Jul 29th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg tossed seven shutout innings in a no-decision against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday, striking out six while allowing four hits and one walk.
Mike Maher
Wed, Aug 21st
Blake Treinen allowed one hit and two walks in 2/3 of an inning pitched in Saturday's 5-4 win over the Twins. He picked up his third win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, Jul 21st
Notes 
 There is a lot of appeal in drafting an upside pitcher like Strasburg, but keep in mind that he averages just 145 innings over the last four years. Even with an excellent strikeout rate, that comes to just 174 Ks per season. The ratios will likely be golden again, but know that there is plenty of risk in spending a 5th or 6th round pick on him this year
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Treinen was simply phenomenal for Oakland last season, and he enters 2019 neck-and-neck with Edwin Diaz for the title of fantasy's number one closer.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Strasburg's ERA (3.74) and WHIP (1.20) were a little inflated last season, but that can probably be chalked about to statistical noise -- his peripherals were not meaningfully different outside of a spike in his home runs allowed. The bigger concern is a familiar one: durability/health. Strasburg has not pitched more than 175 innings in a season since 2014, and expecting more than 150-175 from him this season would be foolish. That doesn't mean he can't be a top-20 or even top-15 fantasy starter, though.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Drafters should know better than to expect another 0.78 ERA from Treinen, but his ascension into an elite stopper was legit. He posted 100 punchouts with the third-highest swinging-strike rate (18.2%) behind Edwin Diaz and Josh Hader, and no reliever got opponents to chase outside the zone more often. Yet paying for any reliever's career year is dicey, especially a 30-year-old who had never struck out a batter per inning before 2018.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 It's bad enough Strasburg, still yet to make 30 starts since 2014, threw just 130 innings in 2018. He also recorded the worst ERA (3.74) and FIP (3.62) of his career. Rises in hard-hit rate and exit velocity are concerning, but an elevated 15.7 HR/FB% ultimately did him in. Even if he bounces back to a 3.50 ERA or lower, investors can't reasonably bank on more than 150 innings, a mark he has met once in the last four seasons. Time is running out for the 30-year-old to reach his Cy Young ceiling.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Treinen was magical last season, floating a 0.78 ERA and 0.834 WHIP to go with 100 Ks and 38 saves. That made him the number two fantasy closer behind only Edwin Diaz, and that is precisely how he should be drafted this year. With that said, no closer taken in the first five rounds ever returns enough value so be patient.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros