Who Should I Draft?

Stephen Strasburg or Blake Treinen (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Blake Treinen
RP - OAK
Blake Treinen
Expert
Recommendation
77%
Recommended by
43 of 56 experts
23%
Recommended by
13 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 19
Best Rank# 11# 13
Worst Rank# 31# 36
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 59# 62
Best Rank# 51# 57
Worst Rank# 62# 71
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts18783
Wins124
Saves032
ERA3.402.66
WHIP1.161.12
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 20# 24
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 17
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 20
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 16# 17
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 14# 25
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 15# 24
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 13# 19
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 16# 23
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 13# 25
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 18# 20
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 15# 25
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 19# 36
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 17# 18
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 12# 28
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 24
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 13# 33
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 17# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 22
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 14# 22
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 19# 21
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 17
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 18# 22
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 14# 19
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 20# 25
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 20
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 15
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 16# 22
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 15# 20
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 19# 22
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 19
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 18# 28
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 27
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 13# 24
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 11# 21
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 14# 31
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 17# 27
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 18# 24
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 13# 19
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 12# 13
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 16# 29
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 23# 25
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 23
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 16# 14
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 17# 16
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 18# 14
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 19# 18
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 20# 19
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 21# 20
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 25# 13
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 25# 20
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 27# 17
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 27# 22
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 28# 23
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 28# 20
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 31# 13
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Blake Treinen
RP - OAK
Blake Treinen
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2268
   
Games Started220
   
Innings Pitched130.180.2
   
Wins109
   
Losses72
   
Saves038
   
Blown Saves05
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed11846
   
Earned Runs547
   
Home Runs Allowed182
   
Strikeouts156100
   
Walks3821
   
ERA3.740.78
   
WHIP1.200.83
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Blake Treinen
RP - OAK
Blake Treinen
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2869
   
Games Started280
   
Innings Pitched163.673.7
   
Wins124
   
Losses83
   
Saves032
   
Blown Saves07
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed14259
   
Earned Runs6222
   
Home Runs Allowed195
   
Strikeouts18783
   
Walks4724
   
ERA3.402.66
   
WHIP1.161.12
   
  Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Blake Treinen
RP - OAK
Blake Treinen
News 
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed six earned runs on nine hits and one walk while striking out five over five innings in a loss to the Diamondbacks on Saturday. The loss drops him to 7-4 on the year.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 16th
Blake Treinen allowed one run on one hit, one walk, and one strikeout through one inning against Tampa Bay on Tuesday to earn a save.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Jun 12th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed one earned run on six hits and no walks while striking out six over seven innings in a win over the San Diego Padres Sunday. The win brings him to 7-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 10th
Blake Treinen allowed one earned run on three hits, one walk, and one strikeout through one inning on Sunday against Texas.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Jun 10th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed five earned runs on five hits and three walks while striking out six over five innings in a win over the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday. The win was the 100th of his career and brings him to 6-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 5th
Blake Treinen threw a perfect inning on Tuesday against the Angels to earn a save. He struck out two in the outing.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Jun 5th
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out 11 over seven innings in Tuesday’s win over the Atlanta Braves. The win brings him to 5-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, May 29th
Blake Treinen allowed no runs on one hit and three walks through two innings on Sunday against Houston.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Jun 3rd
 Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out five across seven innings in a no-decision against the New York Mets on Thursday.
Mike Maher
Thu, May 23rd
Blake Treinen allowed one hit and struck out two in one inning to earn a save against the Angels on Monday.
Kamran Hoda
Tue, May 28th
Notes 
 There is a lot of appeal in drafting an upside pitcher like Strasburg, but keep in mind that he averages just 145 innings over the last four years. Even with an excellent strikeout rate, that comes to just 174 Ks per season. The ratios will likely be golden again, but know that there is plenty of risk in spending a 5th or 6th round pick on him this year
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Treinen was simply phenomenal for Oakland last season, and he enters 2019 neck-and-neck with Edwin Diaz for the title of fantasy's number one closer.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Strasburg's ERA (3.74) and WHIP (1.20) were a little inflated last season, but that can probably be chalked about to statistical noise -- his peripherals were not meaningfully different outside of a spike in his home runs allowed. The bigger concern is a familiar one: durability/health. Strasburg has not pitched more than 175 innings in a season since 2014, and expecting more than 150-175 from him this season would be foolish. That doesn't mean he can't be a top-20 or even top-15 fantasy starter, though.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Drafters should know better than to expect another 0.78 ERA from Treinen, but his ascension into an elite stopper was legit. He posted 100 punchouts with the third-highest swinging-strike rate (18.2%) behind Edwin Diaz and Josh Hader, and no reliever got opponents to chase outside the zone more often. Yet paying for any reliever's career year is dicey, especially a 30-year-old who had never struck out a batter per inning before 2018.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 It's bad enough Strasburg, still yet to make 30 starts since 2014, threw just 130 innings in 2018. He also recorded the worst ERA (3.74) and FIP (3.62) of his career. Rises in hard-hit rate and exit velocity are concerning, but an elevated 15.7 HR/FB% ultimately did him in. Even if he bounces back to a 3.50 ERA or lower, investors can't reasonably bank on more than 150 innings, a mark he has met once in the last four seasons. Time is running out for the 30-year-old to reach his Cy Young ceiling.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Treinen was magical last season, floating a 0.78 ERA and 0.834 WHIP to go with 100 Ks and 38 saves. That made him the number two fantasy closer behind only Edwin Diaz, and that is precisely how he should be drafted this year. With that said, no closer taken in the first five rounds ever returns enough value so be patient.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros