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Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Story or Xander Bogaerts (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
45 of 45 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 7# 21
Best Rank# 4# 15
Worst Rank# 14# 50
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 10# 32
Best Rank# 9# 28
Worst Rank# 16# 35
   
Projections 
   
Runs3734
Home Runs1310
RBI3537
Stolen Bases72
Batting Average.286.298
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 25
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 19
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 8# 50
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 6# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 7# 31
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 8# 25
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 34
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 6# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 8# 21
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 28
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 11# 24
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 7# 20
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 7# 19
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 21
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 20
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 8# 23
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 7# 19
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 6# 22
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 13# 18
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 7# 25
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 7# 20
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 7# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 21
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 7# 24
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 6# 19
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 8# 22
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 22
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 5# 20
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 4# 23
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 10# 24
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 8# 26
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 7# 28
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 7# 28
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 23
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 20
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 28
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 8# 22
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 24
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 7# 23
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 14# 23
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 6# 27
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 7# 16
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 6# 21
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 4# 19
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 7# 15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats588614
   
Runs111110
   
Hits173191
   
Singles95106
   
Doubles3852
   
Triples50
   
Home Runs3533
   
RBI85117
   
Stolen Bases234
   
Caught Stealing82
   
Walks5876
   
Strikeouts174122
   
Batting Average.294.311
   
On Base Pct.363.385
   
Slugging Pct.554.557
   
On-base Plus Slugging.917.942
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats212210
   
Runs3734
   
Hits6163
   
Singles3236
   
Doubles1316
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs1310
   
RBI3537
   
Stolen Bases72
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks2024
   
Strikeouts6443
   
Batting Average.286.298
   
On Base Pct.348.370
   
Slugging Pct.544.515
   
On-base Plus Slugging.891.884
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
News 
 Trevor Story went 0-for-3 with a strikeout as the Rockies tied the Diamondbacks 6-6 on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Mar 6th
Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-1 with a run scored and a walk in his Grapefruit League game against the Rays on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Mar 12th
 Jeff Passan of ESPN reports the Rockies and Trevotr Story have agreed to a two-year, $27.5 million contract.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jan 25th
Xander Bogaerts (ankle) will start at shortstop and bat third Thursday in the Red Sox's Grapefruit League game against the Astros, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
John Aubin
Thu, Mar 5th
  Xander Bogaerts (ankle) will make his spring debut Wednesday, Julian McWilliams of The Boston Globe reports.
John Aubin
Wed, Mar 4th
  Manager Ron Roenicke said Sunday that Xander Bogaerts (ankle) is "still a ways away" from playing in games, Alex Speier of The Boston Globe reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Mar 1st
  Xander Bogaerts is dealing with a sore ankle and will take it easy for the next few days.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Feb 16th
Notes 
 You'd, of course, love 81 games in Coors Field for Story, but we'll take what we can get with him. He replicated his stolen base numbers from 2018 in 2019 enough that there's no reason to doubt his speed. He's a 15/15 candidate in the shortened season.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
If you look at the early shortstops taken - Trevor Story, Francisco Lindor, Trea Turner, Alex Bregman - Bogaerts was able to add his name as far as fantasy value to that core four last year, but he's cheaper this year. Why? Well, despite having the breakout season in 2019, there wasn't a lot below the surface that was really different. Bogaerts is a good player, but is he that much better than the other options at the position that can be had rounds later? If he repeats the breakout, sure. If not, you're breaking even with the pick at best.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 It's safe to say that Story's 2017 season was just an outlier, and he's established a fairly reliable 35-homer, 20-plus steal baseline. Pay no attention to Story's dramatically lower xBA - Coors Field will always inflate batting average and should keep Story's mark with roughly a .280 floor at worst. Even at a deep shortstop position, he's a unique five-category player, and is an easy first-round selection.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Bogaerts had an outstanding 2019 season, obliterating his career-high in home runs and RBI and getting his batting average back over .300. But the thing is, his underlying metrics don't look all that different from his solid but unspectacular 2018 season. His strikeout rate, hard hit percentage, average exit velocity, and launch angle all remained nearly identical, while his steals (only four) continued to trend down to a now useless level from a fantasy perspective. Bogaerts is still a fine option but at a strong position and now batting in a weaker lineup, be careful not to waste too high a pick on him.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 There are four first-round worthy shortstops this year and among them, Story may be the top bet. He now has 35+ homers 20+ steals and a batting average above .290 in two consecutive seasons. After Bellinger is off the board, you could make a case for Story at pick #6 overall.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
It may be difficult to believe but Bogaerts outperformed even Francisco Lindor, Trea Turner and Gleyber Torres last year thanks to 110+ runs and 100+ RBIs to go with a .311 BA and 33 homers. His ceiling may not be as high as the others, but he is excellent in every non-steals category.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 30 HRs and 20 SBs feels reasonable.The upside of 40/20 is what intrigues me. Lindor and Betts don't have that HR ceiling.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData