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Who Should I Draft?

Tyler Glasnow or Lance Lynn (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Expert
Recommendation
65%
Recommended by
33 of 51 experts
35%
Recommended by
18 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 17
Best Rank# 9# 12
Worst Rank# 39# 38
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 49# 52
Best Rank# 40# 43
Worst Rank# 54# 65
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts196198
Wins1112
Saves00
ERA3.533.95
WHIP1.151.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 21
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 11# 20
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 15# 18
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 17
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 10# 19
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 13# 23
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 38
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 15# 20
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 15# 18
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 18
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 14# 17
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 15# 18
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 17# 18
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 13# 17
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 10# 28
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 17# 18
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 15# 17
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 15# 20
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 14# 23
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 16# 25
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 18
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 15# 17
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 13# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 30
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 15# 24
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 12# 17
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 17# 20
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 16# 18
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 21# 26
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 16# 18
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 15# 17
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 16# 21
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 14# 28
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 15# 14
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 16# 15
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 17# 15
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 16
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 17# 16
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 17# 12
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 18# 12
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 18# 15
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 18
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 19# 16
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 19# 17
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 20# 15
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 22# 16
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 26# 20
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 27# 14
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 28# 17
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 29# 19
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 39# 24
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1113
   
Games Started1113
   
Innings Pitched57.084.0
   
Wins56
   
Losses13
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4364
   
Earned Runs2631
   
Home Runs Allowed1113
   
Strikeouts9189
   
Walks2225
   
ERA4.083.32
   
WHIP1.131.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2830
   
Games Started2830
   
Innings Pitched150.1184.1
   
Wins1112
   
Losses79
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed118167
   
Earned Runs5981
   
Home Runs Allowed2027
   
Strikeouts196198
   
Walks5557
   
ERA3.533.95
   
WHIP1.151.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
News 
 Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Tyler Glasnow (elbow) will undergo Tommy John surgery on Wednesday.
Brad Camara
Wed, Aug 4th
Lance Lynn allowed just two hits in his five innings of work, striking out nine and not allowing a single earned run.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
 Tampa Bay Rays right-hander Tyler Glasnow is expected to undergo Tommy John surgery next week, according to ESPN MLB insider Jeff Passan.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Jul 31st
The White Sox reinstated RHP Lance Lynn (knee) from the 10-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 11th
 Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Tyler Glasnow (elbow) played light catch on Thursday.
Brad Camara
Thu, Jul 15th
White Sox pitcher Lance Lynn is expected to start on Sunday against Boston. It will be his first outing since landing on the 10-day injured list with right knee inflammation at the end of August.
Andersen Pickard
Thu, Sep 9th
 The Rays transferred RHP Tyler Glasnow (elbow) to the 60-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jun 17th
Lance Lynn is scheduled to throw a bullpen session on Friday.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Sep 8th
 Rays RHP Tyler Glasnow (elbow) underwent an MRI on Tuesday, which revealed a partial UCL tear as well as a flexor strain. He was placed on the 10-day injured list with no timetable for a return.
Brad Camara
Tue, Jun 15th
The White Sox placed Lance Lynn on the 10-day injured list with a knee injury.
Corbin Young
Wed, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Glasnow is really a fascinating case study. He followed up an incredible 60-inning stretch in 2019 (1.78 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 33% strikeout rate) with a bit of a step back last year (4.08 ERA and 1.13 WHIP). But his xFIP in 2020 (2.75) was actually lower than in 2019 (2.94), and his strikeout rate jumped to a whopping 38.2%. The real issue for Glasnow is that he's a two-pitch pitcher, and although both his fastball and curveball are outstanding, they need to be superb at all times for him to have a dominant season. And last year, they were both just a bit worse than the season prior, particularly his fastball. With enormous strikeout upside and a spot in the rotation of one of the best and most pitching-savvy teams in the Rays, Glasnow makes a fine SP2 for a fantasy team. But his injury history, and his lack of a third pitch, make him a bit riskier than others going in his range.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Glasnow is a classic risk-reward fantasy selection where he's being drafted. A prominent strikeout artist, he has completed six full innings in just 9-of-23 regular season starts since joining the Rays. A two-pitch pitcher, Glasnow is literally un-hittable when he's "on." However, when you have just two pitches, batters can more easily guess what's coming. This is what led to the 27-year-old giving up 11 homers in 2020. The strikeouts are nice but it feels like there's too much potential downside when considering his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros