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Who Should I Draft?

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. or Shohei Ohtani (2023)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
Experts' Pick
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Shohei Ohtani
SP,DH - LAA
Shohei Ohtani
Expert
Recommendation
50%
Recommended by
29 of 58 experts
50%
Recommended by
29 of 58 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 8# 11
Best Rank# 2# 1
Worst Rank# 17# 38
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 11# 8
Best Rank# 7# 1
Worst Rank# 14# 38
   
Projections 
   
Runs96
Home Runs3417
RBI102
Stolen Bases7
Batting Avg.292
Strikeouts103204
Wins13
Saves0
ERA2.94
WHIP1.06
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Jody Smith
FullTime Fantasy
# 8# 5
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 9# 7
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 12# 6
   
Greg Smith
Superflex.Guide
# 9# 6
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 10# 1
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 12# 8
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 16# 10
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 12# 8
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 8# 6
   
Christopher Welsh
FantasyPros
# 9# 8
   
Chris Towers
CBS Sports
# 13# 10
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 9# 7
   
Pierre Camus
Fantasy Endgame
# 14# 4
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 10# 8
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 9# 1
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 11# 2
   
Jacob W. Dunne
Triple Play Fantasy
# 11# 10
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 8# 6
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 12# 8
   
Brad Camara
RotoBaller
# 12# 7
   
Scott Youngson
Pitcher List
# 5# 3
   
Scott Bogman
FantasyPros
# 11# 6
   
Kev Mahserejian
RotoBaller
# 12# 1
   
Jesse Garcia
FantasyPros
# 11# 10
   
Kelly Kirby
FantasyPros
# 12# 7
   
Taylor Tarter
Fastball Fantasy Baseball
# 15# 9
   
Blake Meyer
Sports Gambling Podcast Network
# 17# 1
   
Tristan Davis
SEMO Fantasy Sports Podcast
# 13# 11
   
Joe Orrico
SportsEthos
# 9# 6
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 2# 8
   
Keith Lott
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 10
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 4# 13
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 5# 16
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 7# 8
   
Tim McCullough
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 10
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 8
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 51
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 7# 9
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 7# 11
   
Jason Kamlowsky
FantasyPros
# 8# 13
   
Pat Fitzmaurice
FantasyPros
# 8# 18
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 10
   
Travis Argo
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 10
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 27
   
Fred Zinkie
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 49
   
Matthew Williams
The Athletic
# 8# 11
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 8# 11
   
Ethan Biddle
FantasyPros
# 9# 10
   
Julian Tarevski
FantasyPros
# 9# 25
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 9# 11
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 9# 19
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 9# 24
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 11
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 9# 28
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 43
   
Thomas Harrigan
MLB.com
# 10# 38
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 11# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Shohei Ohtani
SP,DH - LAA
Shohei Ohtani
2022 Stats 
   
   
Runs90
   
Home Runs3214
   
RBI97
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Batting Avg.274
   
Strikeouts116219
   
Wins15
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.33
   
WHIP1.01
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Shohei Ohtani
SP,DH - LAA
Shohei Ohtani
2023 Projections 
   
   
Runs96
   
Home Runs3417
   
RBI102
   
Stolen Bases7
   
Batting Avg.292
   
Strikeouts103204
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.94
   
WHIP1.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Shohei Ohtani
SP,DH - LAA
Shohei Ohtani
News 
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2-for-4 with two singles, three RBI, and a hit-by-pitch in Thursday's 10-9 win over the Cardinals.
Owen Klukas - The Check Your Bias Podcast
Fri, Mar 31st
Shohei Ohtani was stellar on the mound for the Angels Thursday night, tossing six scoreless innings while allowing two hits, walking three, and striking out 10 and taking a no-decision in a 2-1 loss to the A's.
Chris Schommer
Fri, Mar 31st
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (knee) is set to return to the lineup Wednesday, batting third and playing first base.
Vince DiSilvio
Wed, Mar 15th
Shohei Ohtani will serve as the designated hitter and bat third in the lineup while also starting on the mound against the Oakland Athletics Thursday night.
Chris Schommer
Thu, Mar 30th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will run the bases Sunday as he continues his rehab from knee inflammation.
Jesse Garcia
Sat, Mar 11th
Shohei Ohtani will start on the mound for the Los Angeles Angels against the Oakland Athletics Thursday night.
Chris Schommer
Thu, Mar 30th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (knee) is expected to face live pitching on Friday. He took ground balls and hit on Thursday and is reportedly feeling good.
Vince DiSilvio
Thu, Mar 9th
Shohei Ohtani was busy doing Shohei Ohtani things at the World Baseball Classic Wednesday, dominating both on the mound and at the plate. He tossed four shutout innings with five K's to go with two doubles, two RBI and a walk.
Kendall Capps
Thu, Mar 9th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. returned to practice Wednesday as he works his way back from right knee discomfort.
Brenton Kemp
Wed, Mar 8th
Shohei Ohtani was 'satisfied' with his first and only Spring Training start prior to the World Baseball Classic. He threw 2.1 hitless innings.
Vince DiSilvio
Wed, Mar 1st
Notes 
 Vladimir Guerrero, Jr., took a step back in 2022, which was expected once he got out of the bandbox parks of Dunedin and Buffalo. He continued to smash the ball, sitting in the 90th percentile in avgEV, MaxEV, and HardHit%. It is somewhat concerning that his K% went up while his BB% went down, but the slight drop in counting stats is projected to normalize back to his 35/100/100 levels. While the fifth-year player probably isn't going to gift fantasy managers with double-digit steals, Guerrero can keep four categories and all ratios afloat, allowing you to build around that foundation. Be prepared to grab him on the turn at the end of Round 1.
Kelly Kirby - FantasyPros
This is your annual reminder to ensure you know how Shohei Ohtani's pitcher/hitter eligibility is treated in your league(s), as it can make a world of difference in fantasy value. What it will not make a difference in, however, is his incredible talent on the field. His fifth season in MLB saw a slight decline in hitting stats (34 HR, 95 RBI, .273/.356/.519) (and yes, that was a decline). However, he threw 166 innings, struck out 219 batters, and maintained a 2.33 ERA and 1.01 WHIP to finish fourth in Cy Young voting. The Angels have stated they plan to pitch Ohtani every sixth day as regularly as possible, meaning he could conceivably get 28-30 starts in addition to 600 plate appearances. On top of all of that, he is in his walk year and will be auditioning for what will surely be a huge contract. Yes, he clogs your Utility spot, and it can be frustrating to manage him in weekly leagues where he can only start as one or the other. But if you play on a platform where he is counted as both at all times, he is the fantasy 1.1, no matter who they give the real-life MVP to.
Kelly Kirby - FantasyPros