Who Should I Draft?

Whit Merrifield or Cody Bellinger (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Whit Merrifield
1B,2B,CF,RF,DH - KC
Whit Merrifield
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Expert
Recommendation
55%
Recommended by
31 of 56 experts
45%
Recommended by
25 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 29# 30
Best Rank# 19# 16
Worst Rank# 119# 49
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 32# 39
Best Rank# 29# 38
Worst Rank# 36# 50
   
Projections 
   
Runs8588
Home Runs1432
RBI6595
Stolen Bases3412
Batting Average.287.262
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 48
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 27# 45
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 36# 37
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 24# 33
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 23# 49
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 26# 32
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 24# 40
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 23# 41
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 32
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 28# 32
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 24# 31
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 34# 45
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 27# 33
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 25# 29
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 25# 38
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 25# 33
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 25# 33
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 29# 33
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 30# 31
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 30# 31
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 28# 32
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 27# 28
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 19# 33
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 23# 27
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 23# 34
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 23# 31
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 25# 30
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 25# 39
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 22# 28
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 23# 31
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 32# 36
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 26# 24
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 27# 26
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 28# 27
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 28
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 27
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 27
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 30# 29
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 30# 25
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 31# 26
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 32# 19
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 33# 29
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 33# 16
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 34# 32
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 34# 28
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 34# 30
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 35# 30
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 36# 32
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 37# 32
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 41# 29
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 49# 26
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 49# 30
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 50# 33
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 54# 32
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 77# 46
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 119# 34
   
  Whit Merrifield
1B,2B,CF,RF,DH - KC
Whit Merrifield
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats632557
   
Runs8884
   
Hits192145
   
Singles13485
   
Doubles4328
   
Triples37
   
Home Runs1225
   
RBI6076
   
Stolen Bases4514
   
Caught Stealing101
   
Walks6169
   
Strikeouts114151
   
Batting Average.304.260
   
On Base Pct.367.343
   
Slugging Pct.438.470
   
On-base Plus Slugging.806.814
   
  Whit Merrifield
1B,2B,CF,RF,DH - KC
Whit Merrifield
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats596548
   
Runs8588
   
Hits171143
   
Singles11679
   
Doubles3828
   
Triples45
   
Home Runs1432
   
RBI6595
   
Stolen Bases3412
   
Caught Stealing93
   
Walks4769
   
Strikeouts104149
   
Batting Average.287.262
   
On Base Pct.339.345
   
Slugging Pct.432.507
   
On-base Plus Slugging.771.851
   
  Whit Merrifield
1B,2B,CF,RF,DH - KC
Whit Merrifield
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
News 
 Kansas City Royals outfielder Whit Merrifield went 2-for-4 with a run in a 6-1 win over the Twins on Sunday.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Jun 23rd
Cody Bellinger hit his 25th homer of the year in Friday's 4-2 win over the Rockies.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 22nd
 Kansas City Royals first baseman Whit Merrifield had a monster game in a 9-0 win over Seattle on Tuesday. Merrifield went 3-for-4 with two homers and six RBI in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Jun 19th
Cody Bellinger went 1-for-3 with a solo homer and a walk as the Dodgers beat the Cubs 3-2 on Sunday Night Baseball.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 17th
 Kansas City Royals first baseman Whit Merrifield went 1-for-4 with an RBI and a steal in an 8-6 win over the Twins on Sunday.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Jun 17th
Cody Bellinger went 0-for-3 with a walk and a stolen base as the Dodgers fell to the Cubs 2-1 on Saturday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
 Kansas City Royals outfielder Whit Merrifield went 4-for-5 with a solo homer and two runs scored in a 5-4 loss to the Twins on Saturday.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Jun 16th
Cody Bellinger went 3-for-4 with two homers, two RBI, and two runs scored in Thursday's 7-3 win over the Cubs.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
 Kansas City Royals outfielder Whit Merrifield went 1-for-4 with a double, a run, and a steal in a 3-2 loss to the Tigers on Wednesday.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 13th
Cody Bellinger went 1-for-4 with a single in Monday's 5-3 loss to the Angels.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 11th
Notes 
 With the Royals not expected to compete in 2019, there is little doubt that Merrifield will surpass 40 stolen bases again. He doesn't have much in the way of power, nor will he score a load of runs in this offense, but the batting average should end up around .300 once again
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Last year was a major disappointment for Bellinger owners after he hit 39 homers in just 132 rookie games in 2017. He still managed to hit 25 bombs with 14 steals, however, so the floor is plenty high. At just 23 years old, we clearly haven't seen the best of Bellinger so don't be surprised if he breaks out for 50 bombs this year or next
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Merrifield followed up his breakout 2017 campaign with another excellent fantasy season in 2018, hitting .304 with 12 homers and a league-leading 45 stolen bases. Fantasy owners shouldn't expect him to hit .300 again -- his .352 BABIP was among the league's highest -- but he should settle in at around .280-.285 and again produce 10-15 HRs. His run and RBI totals may not be great in a weak-hitting Royals lineup, but you're really paying for the steals, and Merrifield should again have the green light on the base paths early and often for a team that will need to manufacture runs.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Bellinger was always due for some negative regression after he belted 39 home runs in just 480 at-bats during his rookie 2017 season, but he should now be due for a bit of positive regression after managing just 25 home runs last year. His hard hit rate tailed off a bit, but his exit velocity and launch angle remained unchanged, so he's a good bet to return to the 30-35 HR range this year. Bellinger promisingly trimmed his strikeout rate, indicating that he should be able to keep his batting average in the .260 range even if his BABIP drops a little, and the 10-15 steals he provides give him a leg up on most other 1B-eligible players. The fact he's unlikely to hit .280-.300 keeps him a notch below Freeman, Goldschmidt, and Rizzo, but he's already the next best thing and is still just 23 years old.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Do not draft as OF, use at 2B
Michael Florio - Fantrax
In 162 games and 84 more plate appearances than in his spectacular arrival, Bellinger hit 14 fewer home runs (25) while his ISO dropped from .315 to .210. On the bright side, he avoided significant batting-average regression by hitting .260 with a diminished strikeout rate (23.9%). The 23-year-old maintains more than enough raw power to jump back to 30 long balls, but don't overlook his 14 steals in 15 tries. This isn't a mere case of catching opponents off guard, as the 6'4" stud recorded a higher Statcast speed score (28.9) than Jose Peraza, Tim Anderson, and Ozzie Albies. He's a 30-15 candidate with upside for more, so don't let him fall too far beyond the fourth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Merrifield not only absconded an MLB-high 45 steals but also batted .304 with 12 homers and 43 doubles. That's borderline extinct skill set justifies his spot as an upper-echelon pick, but beware some regression. His batting average rose despite modest drops in contact and strikeout rates, and no speedster should hold a 14.7% infield-fly rate. Still, there aren't many .280, 12-35 hitters either.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros