Availability
Nick Lodolo finally delivered the healthy, front-line season managers have been waiting for in 2025, logging 156.2 innings with a 3.33 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and career-best 4.8% walk rate. The improved command was the separator, as his BB% dropped sharply while maintaining a strong 24.3% strikeout rate and suppressing hard contact (87.6 mph EV). His 3.81 FIP suggests the ERA was mostly earned, though a slightly elevated 3.4% HR rate and fly-ball lean in Cincinnati keep some volatility baked in. The 2026 projections forecast another step forward in workload with ratios that remain comfortably above league average, positioning Lodolo as a high-end SP2 with SP1 upside if the command gains hold. Durability is still part of the evaluation given prior injuries, but the underlying profile — plus control, above-average swing-and-miss and neutral batted-ball quality — supports drafting him confidently inside the top 25-30 starters with room for profit.