Availability
Tanner Bibee took a noticeable step back in 2025, posting a 4.24 ERA and 4.34 FIP across a career-high 182.1 innings after delivering sub-3.50 ERAs in each of his first two seasons. The biggest red flag was a sharp dip in strikeout rate (21.3% K%) paired with a career-worst 3.5% HR rate, as his four-seam/slider combo generated fewer whiffs and more damaging contact despite a heavier ground-ball lean (44.6% GB%). While his walk rate remained solid and his BABIP (.283) suggests little bad luck, the decline in swing-and-miss ability and negative WPA underscore the regression. With 2026 projections forecasting stabilization rather than a full rebound, Bibee profiles as a mild fantasy faller entering draft season — more SP3 than frontline anchor unless the strikeout rate bounces back.