2018 Fantasy Baseball Rankings
Expert Consensus Ranking (59 of 62 Experts) -
|Rank||Player (Team, Position)||Overall||Notes|
|1||Nolan Arenado (COL - 3B)||3||1||3||1.1||0.3||3.0||‐||
Arenado has become one of the most consistently elite performers in baseball, as 2017 marked his third straight season with at least 37 home runs and 130 RBI. Batting in Colorado certainly helps, but Arenado's numbers on the road (.283 batting average and a .531 slugging percentage) show that he's not merely a product of Coors Field. Even if he were, he'll remain in Colorado for the foreseeable future, and Arenado owners can put about 40 homers, 130 RBI, and outstanding production in the other fantasy categories in the bank for 2018, making him an easy top-five pick.
|2||Kris Bryant (CHC - 3B,RF)||12||1||6||2.4||0.8||15.0||+3.0||
Bryant had a bizarre year, in that he disappointed with just 29 homers and a shockingly low 73 RBI. But he showed plenty of signs of growth as a hitter, cutting his strikeout-rate and raising his walk-rate significantly. In the end, Bryant still bats near the top of an elite lineup, and he is just now entering his prime. Expect the home run and RBI totals to rise (even if he continues to bat second as he did most of last year), and for him to provide first-round production in 2018 and beyond.
|3||Manny Machado (BAL - 3B)||17||2||7||3.5||1.2||16.0||-1.0||
Machado had a "down" year, which was largely the product of a terrible first two months of the season. But other than in the batting average department, where he batted a career-low .259, his numbers largely wound up in the range of his career-norms. That batting average drop appears to be a mirage, as Machado set a career-high in hard-contact percentage but had a career-worst .265 BABIP. Expect his batting average to jump back closer to his .279 career mark this season, and with soon-to-come dual eligibility, Machado should once again be considered a borderline first-rounder.
|4||Jose Ramirez (CLE - 2B,3B)||28||2||18||5.1||2.2||22.0||-6.0||
Ramirez's 2017 numbers didn't look all that different from his 2016 numbers, with one drastic exception - a dramatic increase in power. Ramirez upped his home run total to what was a then-career-high of 11 in 2016 to 29 in 2017, and increased his doubles from 46 to 56. Nothing about the gains seems particularly fluky, as Ramirez appears to have made a conscious effort to pull the ball and hit more fly balls last year, which usually does (and did for Ramirez) produce a jump in power. If he stays with that approach, he should have little trouble keeping his power gains, and should once again be one of the most valuable infielders in all of fantasy in 2018.
|5||Freddie Freeman (ATL - 1B,3B)||18||2||6||3.8||1.1||19.0||+1.0||
Absent his wrist injury that cost him more than six weeks of action, Freeman easily would have had his best season ever. Regardless, he showed that the power gains he made in 2016 were real, and he posted the lowest strikeout rate and highest ISO of his career. Playing in the bandbox that is SunTrust Park, there's little reason to doubt Freeman's ability to be an elite power hitter going forward. Especially if he has third-base eligibility in your league, Freeman should be a very early pick and can be relied on as one of the building blocks of your fantasy team.
|6||Josh Donaldson (TOR - 3B) DL10||24||3||9||5.6||1.1||29.0||+5.0||
Donaldson finally succumbed to the calf injury he seemed to have been battling for the last two seasons, and missed six weeks on the disabled list. Although he struggled mightily for a bit after his return, he found his form in the second half, hitting 24 home runs for a total of 33 in just 113 games. Donaldson's strikeout-rate jumped significantly last year, which is always a little worrisome as he likely begins the downside of his career. But playing in a hitter's park and in his walk year, Donaldson should at least have one more big season in the bag, and should return to being an elite hitter this year.
|7||Alex Bregman (HOU - 3B,SS)||43||5||19||7.6||1.8||39.0||-4.0||
Both in his 49-game cameo in 2016 and his full season last year, Bregman got off to a painfully slow start before coming on strong in the latter part of the season. He carried over his excellent second half last year (.903 OPS) into the playoffs, where he became a household name with home runs in the World Series off of Clayton Kershaw and Kenley Jansen. All the signs point to a breakout for the youngster, as his strong strikeout- and walk-rates, and his rare power-speed combination, make him an intriguing option. The problem is that Bregman is exactly the type of guy who will be on everyone's "breakout" list, and you'll likely need to pay a high price for him if you want him on your team.
|8||Anthony Rendon (WSH - 3B) DL10||46||6||20||7.8||1.9||46.0||‐||
Rendon simply had a fantastic year in 2017, batting over .300 with solid counting stats all around. Perhaps most impressively, Rendon upped his walk-rate and dropped his strikeout significantly, so much so that he was one of just a few players to have more walks than strikeouts last year. The only thing truly keeping him down was Dusty Baker's insistence on batting him sixth, which depressed his run scored total (just 81). That shouldn't be a problem this year under Dave Martinez and, health-willing, Rendon should continue his growth as a hitter and perhaps put up a career-best season.
|9||Travis Shaw (MIL - 3B)||78||6||21||11.7||3.3||85.0||+7.0||
Shaw had a true breakout season with the Brewers, swatting 31 home runs, totaling 101 RBI, and throwing in 10 steals. His ability to hold his own against lefties led to him keeping the everyday job at third base, and though he struggled a bit down the stretch as he fought through injuries, there are few warning signs heading into this season. Shaw set career-bests in walk percentage and strikeout rate, and he should be a fine fantasy option at the hot corner this season.
|10||Rafael Devers (BOS - 3B)||87||8||27||13.0||3.7||94.0||+7.0||
We saw an amazing hitter at times and a 20-year-old who wasn't ready at others. I can't quite tell you which Devers we will see in 2017, but know that the upside is that of a superstar and the floor is that he gets sent back down to the minors for more tuning up.
|11||Adrian Beltre (TEX - 3B,DH)||85||9||24||13.3||3.1||135.0||+50.0||
At this point, it seems as though the now 39-year-old Beltre might play until he is 50. He is still cruising along with a .312 batting average and a pro-rated 30+ HR, 100+ RBI rate over a full season. Draft away still in the top 100.
|12||Miguel Sano (MIN - 1B,3B,DH)||83||7||22||13.5||3.8||89.0||+6.0||
You cannot find five hitters in all of baseball with more power than Sano. We haven't seen it fully realized quite yet, but he is still just 24 and hasn't played more than 120 games in his career. If he does this year, don't be startled if he knocks 45 out of the yard with a healthy batting average and a load of RBIs.
|13||Kyle Seager (SEA - 3B)||90||8||22||13.9||2.6||122.0||+32.0||
Seager went from being the most consistent hitter in all of fantasy baseball to the most consistent hitter with an odd BABIP-induced drop in his batting average. Expect his usual 25 HR, .270 BA and 90 RBI this season.
|14||Nick Castellanos (DET - 3B,RF)||100||7||27||14.8||4.2||106.0||+6.0||
Castellanos has consistently been a batted ball outlier in the fact that his data screams for positive regression. For whatever reason, it hasn't quite happened yet, but a 30 HR, .290 season with 100+ RBI may be right around the corner.
|15||Joey Gallo (TEX - 1B,3B,LF)||95||5||42||15.1||6.2||105.0||+10.0||
Yes, the batting average is disgusting and will almost certainly remain that way, but you can't easily replace the 40 to 50 homers we should expect this year. Plus, we have to consider that he got substantially better each year in the minors so growth in the BA department can't be ruled out.
|16||Mike Moustakas (KC - 3B)||113||7||23||15.3||3.7||121.0||+8.0||
For a while, Moose seemed like a bust, but he has been improving each year lately and suddenly became a 38 HR masher in 2018. With him finally signing, he becomes a fringe top 100 pick. It would have been substantially better had he landed in the Bronx.
|17||Jake Lamb (ARI - 3B) DL10||114||9||25||16.1||3.4||140.0||+26.0||
Lamb was superb in the first-half last year, but really fell off in the second-half. With the humidor now in place, don't expect 30 HR or 100 RBI again this year. That .250 BA won't seem as manageable without all the power in place.
|18||Justin Turner (LAD - 3B) DL10||145||8||36||17.2||6.1||95.0||-50.0||
Turner missed time with leg injuries but he proved, once again, that he is a completely changed hitter. He set career-bests in walk rate, strikeout rate, and OPS, and even threw in seven steals to boot. Injuries will always be an issue - last year's 130 games played were the second-most of Turner's career - but there is no reason to doubt his production when he's in the lineup. Forget the part-time player that the Mets cast off years ago - Turner's a legitimate fantasy stud when he plays, and is worthy of an early-mid round pick.
|19||Matt Carpenter (STL - 1B,2B,3B)||130||7||27||17.2||4.5||145.0||+15.0||
Carpenter's batting average dropped to a career-low .241, but the rest of his numbers remained almost entirely consistent with his career norms. He may have been one of the few victims of the fly-ball revolution, as his large jump in fly-ball rate (50.8%) led to a career low in BABIP (.274), despite a strong hard-contact percentage. In the end, don't let the .241 batting average fool you. Carpenter has not declined much if at all, and he should once again put up excellent numbers in 2018 batting at or near the top of a strong Cardinals lineup.
|20||Eugenio Suarez (CIN - 3B) DL10||146||11||28||19.3||3.3||193.0||+47.0||
Suarez doesn't offer much in the way of batting average or stolen bases, but he is useful in the other three main categories and makes for a reliable mid-round third basemen.
|21||Evan Longoria (SF - 3B)||148||11||31||20.2||3.4||180.0||+32.0||
Longoria was fantastic in 2016, so his 2017 season may have seemed like a major disappointment. The fact is, however, that it was very much in line with what he did in both 2014 and 2015, so don't be banking on a bounce-back.
|22||Eduardo Nunez (BOS - 2B,3B,SS,LF)||180||10||40||22.4||4.9||142.0||-38.0||
Nunez was an all-star two years ago, but was actually better last season, driving his batting average up to .313 and swatting 12 homers with 24 steals in just 114 games. He may reach 20 and 35 this season if he can stay healthy.
|23||Marwin Gonzalez (HOU - 1B,2B,3B,SS,LF)||167||13||31||22.4||4.0||133.0||-34.0||
Marwin broke out in the first-half last season with a top 10 OPS in all of baseball. He took a step backward after the all-star break but was still more than a quality fantasy asset. The concern will be playing time, as Derek Fisher and others are breathing down his neck.
|24||Maikel Franco (PHI - 3B)||207||15||44||24.5||4.1||232.0||+25.0||
Franco has been around long enough that you may think we know exactly who he is, but he's still just 24 years old and could break out into a 30 HR, .270 BA type of monster any time. If you need a lottery ticket late in drafts, Franco fits the description.
|25||Todd Frazier (NYM - 3B)||215||16||34||24.8||3.3||239.0||+24.0||
Frazier had a rough year splitting time between the White Sox and the Yankees, but he still clubbed 27 home runs. Although his batting average was anemic even by his standards (just .213), he set a career high in walk rate at 14.4% and his strikeout rate remained consistent. Now batting in the middle of suddenly solid Mets lineup and playing close to his home town, Frazier should be able to once again top 25 home runs with decent counting stats. If he gets his steals back up into the double digits, he could be a draft day bargain.
|26||Scooter Gennett (CIN - 2B,3B,LF)||210||17||37||25.0||3.9||189.0||-21.0||
While it is reasonable to expect Scooter to take a major step back after last year's major breakout, even regression would leave him as a .270 hitter with 20 homers which is a plenty useful fantasy middle infielder.
|27||Josh Harrison (PIT - 2B,3B,LF) DL10||266||16||41||28.2||4.2||281.0||+15.0||
Harrison's power has been up and down over the last few seasons, but you can be sure he will get you a .270 batting average with double digit steals and around 60 runs scored. The homers may or not be there, but that is a quality late-round utility player.
|28||Matt Chapman (OAK - 3B)||265||17||39||27.7||3.8||266.0||+1.0||
Chapman is not only one of the league's best young defenders, but he's got some pop in his bat too. If you extend his 14 homers out to a full season, he would have knocked 27 with 75 runs and 77 RBI. The batting average will obviously hurt some, but the power more than makes up for it.
|29||Ryon Healy (SEA - 1B,3B,DH) DL10||259||18||39||27.8||3.7||245.0||-14.0||
Healy had a nice season for the A's and now averages 28 HR, 84 RBI, 75 R and a .282 batting average over his career per 162 games played. The problem here, is that he might start the season on the DL with a hand injury. If he is healthy, you'll end up with a late-round steal.
|30||Jedd Gyorko (STL - 1B,2B,3B)||277||19||40||30.1||4.1||420.0||+143.0||
Jedd has 50 HRs in his last 825 at bats and batted .272 last season. If he remains the starter, fantasy owners will have a bargain utility player late in drafts.
|31||Matt Davidson (CWS - 1B,3B,DH)||326||12||48||35.5||7.5||430.0||+104.0|
|32||Russell Martin (TOR - C,3B)||346||23||42||34.1||5.6||326.0||-20.0||
Unless you are in a 15-team league or there is some odd manager hoarding catchers, there isn't much of a draw to select Martin because of how limited his ceiling is.
|33||Logan Forsythe (LAD - 2B,3B) DL10||334||21||53||35.1||6.8||374.0||+40.0||
While Forsythe is much better in on-base percentage leagues, you've got to recognize that his .224 BA last year must have been a fluke. He hit .281 and .264 the previous seasons with 27 combined homers and 15 combined stolen bases. That is much more in line with what his 2018 expectations ought to be.
|34||Yangervis Solarte (TOR - 2B,3B,SS)||337||25||45||33.1||4.9||269.0||-68.0||
Had Solarte played a full season last year, he likely would have hit 22 or 23 homers. That was in Petco, so imagine what he may do playing his games in Toronto. 30 is a distinct possibility, and coming with a .267 career batting average, that is a very useful late-round fantasy pick.
|35||Asdrubal Cabrera (NYM - 2B,3B,SS)||327||24||49||32.3||4.7||299.0||-28.0||
If you are looking for upside, you've come to the wrong place, but in terms of a floor, you won't find a better middle infielder late into drafts. He is a strong bet to hit 15 homers with a solid batting average and both runs and RBI help for your fantasy squad.
|36||Nick Senzel (CIN - 3B) MiLB||393||24||46||36.7||5.8||385.0||-8.0||
Senzel may not make the big leagues out of Spring Training, but he is the top draft and stash candidate in fantasy baseball. He should help in all five categories from the moment he arrives in Cincy.
|37||Jeimer Candelario (DET - 3B)||360||24||63||33.7||6.0||405.0||+45.0||
You won't see the 24-year-old drafted in most standard leagues this year, but you can bet he will be a hot pickup after a few weeks of starting for the Tigers. Prior to last season, he was a top 100 prospect who always hit well in the minors. He was dealt to the Cubs and most people seem to have forgotten about him because he had a BABIP driven .265 BA in Triple-A before he was called-up. While Jeimer isn't a star in the making, Detroit may have another Travis Fryman on their hands.
|38||J.P. Crawford (PHI - 3B,SS)||400||24||62||36.3||6.5||352.0||-48.0||
Crawford was once a top 20 prospect and many considered him a favorite to eventually take over as number one overall. He has struggled in the minors, however, but the tools are not gone. The Phillies' new long-term shortstop is your classic case of a big-time boom or bust rookie. Invest at your own risk.
|39||Eduardo Escobar (MIN - 2B,3B,SS,DH)||436||24||50||36.8||6.3||389.0||-47.0|
|40||Christian Villanueva (SD - 3B)||25||58||41.5||16.5||754.0|
|41||Wilmer Flores (NYM - 1B,2B,3B)||410||26||59||36.5||6.9||426.0||+16.0||
Through his career, Flores has only given fantasy owners 350 or more at bats once. If he can compile 500 at-bats, we should see 25 to 30 homers to go with his steady .260 batting average. It further helps that he qualifies at three positions.
|42||Hernan Perez (MIL - 2B,3B,SS,LF,CF,RF)||500||26||55||41.3||6.4||401.0||-99.0|
|43||Derek Dietrich (MIA - 1B,2B,3B)||439||26||51||39.7||5.6||564.0||+125.0|
|44||Matt Duffy (TB - 2B,3B,SS) DL10||415||26||51||39.4||6.6||505.0||+90.0|
|45||Enrique Hernandez (LAD - 3B,SS,LF,CF,RF)||452||27||64||49.0||14.1||622.0||+170.0|
|46||Jose Reyes (NYM - 2B,3B,SS)||473||27||55||39.7||6.4||353.0||-120.0||
Reyes is far removed from hitting .337 with near 80 stolen bases, but he does still offer 20+ steals to go with a sudden on-surge of power that can help your fantasy team from multiple positions late into drafts.
|47||Miguel Andujar (NYY - 3B)||524||28||60||40.2||7.5||362.0||-162.0||
With the Yankees having traded for Brandon Drury, it seems unlikely that Andujar will arrive in Yankee Stadium for a few months. With that said, he has enough talent to push the envelope so make sure to watch his progress just in case he steals the job outright.
|48||Brandon Phillips (2B,3B) FA||479||29||67||45.6||9.4||313.0||-166.0|
|49||Pat Valaika (COL - 3B,SS)||470||29||66||51.4||12.4||722.0||+252.0|
|50||Yandy Diaz (CLE - 3B)||448||29||66||43.9||10.2||569.0||+121.0|
|51||Chase Headley (SD - 1B,3B)||431||30||49||39.7||5.2||400.0||-31.0|
|52||Martin Prado (MIA - 3B) DL10||480||31||65||44.3||7.4||511.0||+31.0|
|53||Brian Anderson (MIA - 3B)||538||32||64||44.9||8.2||562.0||+24.0|
|54||Yolmer Sanchez (CWS - 2B,3B)||519||32||62||45.6||9.5||471.0||-48.0|
|55||Cory Spangenberg (SD - 3B,LF)||501||32||61||42.9||7.2||481.0||-20.0|
|56||Matt Duffy (TEX - 1B,3B) MiLB||498||34||52||40.5||7.0|
|57||Luis Valbuena (LAA - 1B,3B)||599||35||58||44.4||6.4||506.0||-93.0|
|58||Ryan Schimpf (LAA - 3B) MiLB||613||38||68||52.8||10.0||709.0||+96.0|
|59||Johan Camargo (ATL - 2B,3B,SS)||605||40||57||47.5||4.7||503.0||-102.0|
|60||Cheslor Cuthbert (KC - 3B)||658||41||65||49.8||6.6||645.0||-13.0|
|61||David Freese (PIT - 3B)||667||43||86||56.3||12.0||698.0||+31.0|
|62||Sean Rodriguez (PIT - 2B,3B,SS,LF,RF)||666||43||75||55.6||11.2||724.0||+58.0|
|63||J.D. Davis (HOU - 3B) MiLB||48||77||62.5||14.5||707.0|
|64||Brock Holt (BOS - 2B,3B,LF)||48||70||59.0||11.0||765.0|
|65||Ronald Torreyes (NYY - 2B,3B,SS)||731||48||69||57.3||6.3||320.0||-411.0|
|66||Pablo Sandoval (SF - 1B,3B)||722||49||72||62.8||8.8|
|67||Christian Arroyo (TB - 3B,SS) MiLB||49||64||55.8||5.3||589.0|
|68||Daniel Descalso (ARI - 1B,2B,3B,LF)||50||83||63.0||12.2||730.0|
|69||Drew Robinson (TEX - 3B,LF)||50||70||60.0||10.0||835.0|
|70||Wilmer Difo (WSH - 2B,3B,SS)||718||50||60||53.3||4.7||451.0||-267.0|
|71||Hunter Dozier (KC - 1B,3B,RF) MiLB||50||55||53.0||2.2||704.0|
|72||Austin Riley (ATL - 3B) NRI||51||62||56.5||5.5||720.0|
|73||Michael Chavis (BOS - 3B) MiLB||51||55||53.0||2.0||712.0|
|74||Kaleb Cowart (LAA - 2B,3B) MiLB||53||62||58.7||4.0||791.0|
|75||Tyler Saladino (MIL - 2B,3B,SS) MiLB||54||56||54.7||0.9|
|76||Greg Garcia (STL - 2B,3B,SS)||57||61||59.0||2.0|
|77||David Wright (NYM - 3B) DL10||58||87||72.5||14.5|
|78||Miguel Rojas (MIA - 3B,SS)||61||71||66.0||5.0||794.0|
|79||Ehire Adrianza (MIN - 3B,SS,LF)||61||63||62.0||1.0|
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|Le'Veon Bell (PIT)||RB|
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|David Johnson (ARI)||RB|
|DeAndre Hopkins (HOU)||WR|
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|Adam Thielen (MIN)||WR|
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|Doug Baldwin (SEA)||WR|
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|Mike Trout (LAA)||CF|
|Jose Altuve (HOU)||2B|
|Nolan Arenado (COL)||3B|
|Bryce Harper (WSH)||RF|
|Charlie Blackmon (COL)||CF|
|Paul Goldschmidt (ARI)||1B|
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|Trea Turner (WSH)||SS|
|Max Scherzer (WSH)||SP|
|Clayton Kershaw (LAD)||SP|
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|Carlos Correa (HOU)||SS|
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|Kris Bryant (CHC)||3B,RF|
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|Manny Machado (BAL)||3B|
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|J.D. Martinez (BOS)||RF|
|Francisco Lindor (CLE)||SS|
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|Anthony Rizzo (CHC)||1B,2B|
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|Kevin Durant (GSW)||SF,PF|
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|John Wall (WAS)||PG|
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|Hassan Whiteside (MIA)||C,PF|
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|Paul George (OKC)||SG,SF|
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|Kevin Love (CLE)||PF,C|
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|Joel Embiid (PHI)||PF,C|
|Eric Bledsoe (MIL)||PG,SG|
|Blake Griffin (DET)||PF,C|