2022 Fantasy Baseball Rankings (AL)
Expert Consensus Ranking (45 of 45 Experts) -
|Rank||Player (Team, Position)||Overall||Notes|
|1||Bo Bichette (TOR - DH,SS)||3||3.0||‐||
The future is bright for this young star as he enters his age-24 season. Bichette broke out in 2021 with an AL-high 191 hits and proved himself to be a true five-category performer. His dad Dante once hit 40 HRs for the Rockies, and Bo seemingly has room for growth in the power department with some launch-angle adjustments, since his ground ball rate last season was just shy of 50%. Bichette doesn't like to take walks, but he hits the ball hard to all fields. Playing in one of MLB's best lineups should help keep his run and RBI totals robust. His 2021 season will be a tough act to follow, but this is a first-round profile.
|2||Tim Anderson (CWS - SS)||13||20.0||+7.0||
Anderson could fall out of bed and go 2-for-5. His batting averages the last three seasons: .335, .322, .309. At this point, we have to conclude that his consistently high BABIPs aren't fluky. Anderson isn't a truly elite base stealer, but he swiped 18 bags in 123 games last season and could conceivably steal 25-30 bases in a good year. Anderson has consistently been in the 17-20 home run range, so while he won't provide a lot of help in the power department, he won't hurt you either. In a loaded White Sox lineup, Anderson has a chance to score 100 runs if he can stay healthy. Anderson's ADP suggests he might slip into the fourth round of your draft. Pounce on him if he does.
|3||Xander Bogaerts (BOS - SS)||15||21.0||+6.0||
He was batting .321 at the All-Star Break last year, but a wrist injury sapped some of his mojo in the back half of the season. Bogaerts has one of the more stable skill sets in MLB. He has a .290 career average, and his run production has been remarkably stable. You can pencil in Bogaerts for 25 HRs, 90 RBI and 90 runs, and he's likely to hew pretty close to those numbers. Fenway Park and a strong lineup work in his favor. He's been so good for so long, it's hard to believe he's still in his 20s.
|4||Trevor Story (BOS - 2B,SS)||16||18.0||+2.0||
In Colorado, Story was a menace. Away from the mile high air, he's just another guy. Since 2019, Story's batting average has been 80 points lower away from Denver, and his slugging percentage is 150 points lower. He's hit 60.1% of his career home runs at Coors Field, and 62% of his career RBI have come there. Now he'll be playing his home games in Fenway Park, arguably the second-best hitters park in baseball. But while Fenway is good for hitters overall, it actually depresses home runs slightly. Let someone else spend the year complaining that they weren't smart enough to dodge this overpriced bullet.
|5||Marcus Semien (TEX - 2B,SS)||18||14.0||-4.0||
Semien's 45 HRs last season were the most ever by a second baseman. His monster 2021 performance also included 115 runs, 102 RBI and 15 stolen bases. A 48% flyball rate makes Semien a launch angle darling and suggests that he'll keep clearing the fences. He's been a prolific run scorer for the last four seasons. On the other hand, there's some batting average risk here, and Semien probably maxed out his SB potential last year. He's going from a loaded Blue Jays lineup to a sketchy Rangers lineup, and Semien will turn 32 in September. Last year's numbers will make him irresistible to some investors, but a drop-off in value may be imminent.
|6||Wander Franco (TB - 3B,SS)||26||24.0||-2.0||
The Rays' wunderkind signed an 11-year, $182 million contract in November and now simply has to go about the business of becoming the superstar everyone expects him to become. Franco scored 53 runs and had 39 RBI in only 70 games last season. He also displayed impressive plate patience and remarkable contact skills as a 20-year-old rookie. He's not a speed merchant, and the power might take time to develop, but Franco should score a lot of runs, drive in a lot of runs and produce something close to a .300 batting average.
|7||Corey Seager (TEX - SS)||31||32.0||+1.0||
Seager will play with an American League team for the first time after the Rangers gave him a 10-year $325 million deal. Seager will rake when healthy. He's batted .307 and .306 the last two years and has a career average of .297. He also makes solid contributions in HRs, RBI and runs. Seager won't offer much help in the SB department, however. There's little performance risk, but there's a lot of health risk. Seager had both hip surgery and Tommy John surgery in 2018, and he missed more than two months with a broken hand last year. He's in the prime of his career and figures to offer a satisfying return on investment if he can stay healthy.
|8||Javier Baez (DET - 2B,SS)||34||34.0||‐||
The free-swinging middle infielder signed a six-year, $140 million contract with the Tigers. Baez led the NL with 184 strikeouts last year but also belted 31 homers, had 87 RBI and 80 runs, and batted a respectable .265. This is a strange, volatile skill set, but Baez can usually be counted on to provide help with the counting stats. He won't hurt you in leagues that use batting average, but his unwillingness to take a walk becomes a liability in OBP leagues.
|9||Jorge Polanco (MIN - 2B,SS)||41||41.0||‐||
Polanco enjoyed the finest season of his career in 2021, batting .269 with 33 HRs, 98 RBI, 97 runs and 11 SBs. He went nuclear after the All-Star break, batting .287 with 21 homers. Could it be that Polanco feels less pressure as a second baseman than as a shortstop, and his hitting has benefitted as a result? Polanco has always been a line drive machine, so even if the power gains don't stick (and there's a good chance they won't), he should still deliver a healthy batting average. Dual 2B-SS eligibility is a plus. Polanco is a worthy investment, but don't pay for a full repeat of the power.
|10||Adalberto Mondesi (KC - 3B,SS) IL10||37||37.0||‐||
If only we could transfer this skill set to a more durable body. Mondesi is a stolen base machine with some surprising pop in his bat, but he hasn't played in more than 102 games or made more than 443 plate appearances in any season, and he's played more than 75 games only once. Leg and foot injuries limited him to only 35 games last year, yet Mondesi still managed to swipe 15 bags and belt six home runs. He strikes out a ton, doesn't take walks and has a .249 career batting average, but his contributions in the counting categories (especially steals) more than make up for it. This is all about risk tolerance, and you're obligated to bake some missed games into Mondesi's price.
|11||Carlos Correa (MIN - SS)||39||45.0||+6.0||
Correa enjoyed one of his finest seasons to date in 2021, establishing new career highs in homers (26) and runs (104). He also had 92 RBI and batted .279. Good health was a key, as he played 148 games. Since breaking into the league in 2015, Correa had played more than 110 games only twice. At 27, Correa is squarely in his prime. His power production is probably maxed out due to his modest flyball rates, but his improved plate patience and robust line drive rates suggest that the healthy batting average and solid run production are easily repeatable. Correa is a free agent, so his landing spot will have a major bearing on his value.
|12||Bobby Witt Jr. (KC - 3B,SS)||49||52.0||+3.0||
Witt was drafted everywhere after buzz in the spring suggested that he'd be up in the majors before long. "Before long" became never, as Witt spent the entire year in Double-A and Triple-A, admittedly showing why he's such a valued prospect. In 123 games combined between the levels, he hit 33 home runs and stole 29 bases, all with a plus average. Witt should begin the year in the majors (or be up shortly after the start of the season), and he'll almost certainly play third base, giving him dual-eligibility. He may struggle early on, but he's too talented to let it continue for long. At a barren third base position, he could be one of the most impactful players in fantasy baseball this year based on his ADP.
|13||Gleyber Torres (NYY - 2B,SS)||79||85.0||+6.0||
Forget about ever seeing Torres come close to the 38 home runs he hit in 2019. His power has come crashing back down to earth over the past two years, along with his batting average. He did rebound a bit in the second half, hitting .289 with six home runs and eight steals, but when those are the numbers that force you to have hope for his fantasy production, things aren't in great shape. He'll still bat in an outstanding lineup so his counting stats should have somewhat of a floor, but he's now an option you settle for, rather than target.
|14||Amed Rosario (CLE - SS,CF)||101||117.0||+16.0||
It was a tale of two halves for Rosario, as he slashed .259/.306/.367 in the first half and .309/.339/.457 in the second half. The end result was a good one, as Rosario wound up being a contributor in four of the five rotisserie categories, and is trending up heading into 2022. The biggest issue at this point is the extreme weakness of the Guardians' lineup, which is projected to be one of the worst in baseball. That's going to significantly cut into Rosario's counting stats and depress his value. But the options to help your batting average and generally contribute everywhere are few and far between, so Rosario should be no worse than a high-end bench player for your team.
|15||Eugenio Suarez (SEA - 3B,DH,SS)||104||105.0||+1.0||
Suarez has continued to hit for power but his batting average has fallen off a cliff the last two seasons to just .199. Other than the fact that he had shoulder surgery just before the 2020 season, there's nothing really to explain. Almost all of his underlying metrics and quality of contact data look nearly identical to how they have his whole career, and he's just entering his age-30 season. But whatever the reason, Suarez is now a batting average drain, and he'll likely hit fewer home runs after being traded to Seattle. There's still plenty of value there, as he should still be a plus contributor in homers and RBI. But hope for a .230 batting avaerage as his ceiling at this point.
|16||Isiah Kiner-Falefa (NYY - SS)||140||141.0||+1.0||
Kiner-Falefa had eight home runs and 20 steals last season, but he was the ultimate compiler with 677 plate appearances. He'll move to a better lineup and home park with the Yankees but, realistically, his value was at his ceiling last year. He doesn't hit the ball particularly hard or get on base much, but his defense should keep him in the lineup enough to again compile enough stats to at least be interesting for fantasy. But "interesting" is basically his ceiling.
|17||Gio Urshela (MIN - 3B,SS)||137||167.0||+30.0||
Urshela was moved to Minnesota this offseason where he'll man third base and likely bat in the bottom third of the order. When healthy, he's a high-average, 20-homer bat who will chip in everywhere but steals. But his margin for error is fairly thin given how mediocre his quality of contact is and with his poor walk rate. Given that his surrounding llineup and home park took a pretty drastic step down, he's really just an AL-only option at this point.
|18||Nicky Lopez (KC - 2B,SS)||139||133.0||-6.0||
If they gave out fantasy points for soft contact, Lopez would be one of your leaders. He has five home runs in three combined seasons, and his career high in RBI is 43. He has some speed, as his 22 stolen bases showed last year, and he shouldn't hurt you in batting average. But batting ninth in a mediocre Kansas City lineup, with zero power upside, is just not a formula for success. There are better places to spend your late-round draft capital.
|19||Jeremy Pena (HOU - SS)||141||171.0||+30.0|
|20||Andres Gimenez (CLE - 2B,SS)||149||166.0||+17.0|
|21||David Fletcher (LAA - 2B,SS) IL60||174||155.0||-19.0|
|22||J.P. Crawford (SEA - SS)||167||157.0||-10.0|
|23||Jorge Mateo (BAL - 2B,SS,CF)||189||222.0||+33.0|
|24||Josh Harrison (CWS - 2B,3B,SS,LF)||213||182.0||-31.0|
|25||Ramon Urias (BAL - 2B,3B,SS)||257||270.0||+13.0|
|26||Willi Castro (DET - 2B,SS,LF)||370||275.0||-95.0|
|27||Kevin Smith (OAK - 3B,SS)||267||223.0||-44.0|
|28||Taylor Walls (TB - 3B,SS)||390||332.0||-58.0|
|29||Elvis Andrus (OAK - SS)||293||300.0||+7.0|
|30||Jeter Downs (BOS - SS) MiLB||409||381.0||-28.0|
|31||Tyler Wade (LAA - 2B,3B,SS,CF)||292||225.0||-67.0|
|32||Leury Garcia (CWS - 2B,3B,SS,LF,CF,RF)||268||201.0||-67.0|
|33||Nick Gordon (MIN - 2B,SS,LF,CF)||363||323.0||-40.0|
|34||Niko Goodrum (HOU - 2B,SS,LF) MiLB||384||325.0||-59.0|
|35||Aledmys Diaz (HOU - 1B,2B,3B,SS,LF)||431||215.0||-216.0|
|36||Marwin Gonzalez (NYY - 1B,2B,3B,SS,LF)||479||214.0||-265.0|
|37||Mauricio Dubon (HOU - 2B,3B,SS,CF)||491||340.0||-151.0|
|38||Yu Chang (CLE - 1B,3B,SS)||473||232.0||-241.0|
|39||Luis Rengifo (LAA - 2B,3B,RF,SS)||481|
|40||Harold Castro (DET - 1B,2B,3B,SS)||488||390.0||-98.0|
|41||Jack Mayfield (LAA - 2B,3B,SS) MiLB||493|
|42||Vimael Machin (OAK - SS) MiLB||511|
|43||Nick Allen (OAK - 2B,SS)|
|44||Andrew Velazquez (LAA - SS)||506|
|45||Gabriel Arias (CLE - SS) MiLB||510||407.0||-103.0|
|46||Danny Mendick (CWS - 2B,SS,RF) MiLB||502|
|47||Jordan Groshans (TOR - 3B,SS) MiLB||543||369.0||-174.0|
|48||Richie Martin (BAL - SS) MiLB||529|
|49||Oswaldo Cabrera (NYY - 2B,SS) MiLB||542|
|50||Otto Lopez (TOR - 2B,SS) MiLB||515||243.0||-272.0|
|51||Zack Short (DET - SS) MiLB||541|
|52||Jonathan Arauz (BOS - 2B,SS) MiLB||522|
|53||Tyler Freeman (CLE - SS) MiLB||521||416.0||-105.0|
|54||Royce Lewis (MIN - SS) MiLB||532||359.0||-173.0|
|55||Pedro Leon (HOU - SS,CF) MiLB||561||397.0||-164.0|
|56||Oswald Peraza (NYY - SS) MiLB||545||386.0||-159.0|
|57||Clay Dungan (KC - 2B,SS) MiLB||556|
|58||Ryan Kreidler (DET - SS) MiLB||560|
|59||Logan Warmoth (TOR - 2B,SS) MiLB||562|