| 1 |
Edwin Encarnacion (CLE - 1B,DH) | 22 |
1 |
4 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
13.0 |
-9.0 |
There has been no power hitter in baseball more consistent than EE over the past five seasons. He has at least 34 homers and 98 RBIs in every season during that stretch and while he should take a minor step backwards in his move to Cleveland, he can be trusted to produce in a big way once again this season. |
| 2 |
Nelson Cruz (SEA - RF,DH) | 24 |
1 |
2 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
9.0 |
-15.0 |
Three straight years with 40 or more homers to go along with a useful batting average each season would typically warrant a lofty draft pick, but seeing that Cruz is now 36 years old, there is some negative regression anticipated. Don't hesitate to cash in on the hesitation of others. |
| 3 |
Mark Trumbo (BAL - RF,DH) | 60 |
3 |
9 |
3.9 |
1.3 |
76.0 |
+16.0 |
Like most Orioles' hitters, Trumbo saw a major uptick in homers upon his arrival to the hitter's haven. 47 was by far a career high so you might think regression is due, but he is the prime age for power hitters and in a tremendous ballpark so think again. |
| 4 |
Khris Davis (OAK - LF,DH) | 64 |
2 |
7 |
4.5 |
1.2 |
33.0 |
-31.0 |
The A's masher posted near identical ratio numbers between 2015 and 2016. The only difference, was that he played an extra 30 games, resulting in 15 more homers. If he can stay on the field again, you should expect another 35+ bombs. |
| 5 |
Jose Bautista (TOR - RF,DH) | 79 |
2 |
12 |
5.5 |
2.1 |
130.0 |
+51.0 |
It may seem as though Bautista took a significant step backwards last season, but the primary difference were playing time and BABIP driven luck. If he can stay on the field this year, we might see a return to 40 homers and a .250 BA. |
| 6 |
Carlos Santana (CLE - 1B,RF,DH) | 84 |
3 |
10 |
5.8 |
1.7 |
98.0 |
+14.0 |
Santana is consistently among the top hitters in walks so he should continue to score loads of runs to go along with his newfound power stroke. Additionally, he has gotten at least 600 PA in all 6 full seasons of his career so he comes with little risk. |
| 7 |
Albert Pujols (LAA - 1B,DH) | 93 |
2 |
10 |
6.6 |
1.7 |
196.0 |
+103.0 |
You may think of Pujols as a risky injury prone player, but the fact of the matter is that he has played over 150 games in each of the past three years. He played really well at the close of the season so perhaps that will carry into another 40 homer season with a .260+ BA in 2017. |
| 8 |
Kendrys Morales (TOR - 1B,RF,DH) | 119 |
4 |
13 |
8.6 |
2.0 |
149.0 |
+30.0 |
While Morales is 34 years old now, and hasn't been a consistent third tier first basemen, he was easily in that tier each of the last two seasons with 52 homers and 199 RBIs. Seeing that he is moving from KC to the hitter's haven in Toronto, it wouldn't be surprising if he hits for even more power without hurting your batting average. |
| 9 |
Miguel Sano (MIN - 1B,3B,RF,DH) | 121 |
5 |
15 |
8.9 |
1.9 |
70.0 |
-51.0 |
You might be tempted to look at Sano's stats as a 23-year-old and imagine he has hit his ceiling, but he might just add 20 homers to last year's stat-line if he can stay on the field. Also, the average is due for positive regression based on underlying data so draft him with confidence. |
| 10 |
Evan Gattis (HOU - C,DH) DL10 | 154 |
5 |
17 |
10.2 |
2.6 |
226.0 |
+72.0 |
Gattis is going to have a tough time getting in the loaded Astros' lineup every day this season, but when he plays, his bat is superb. He should knock another 25-35 homers this season and with the improved lineup, could work his way up to 90 RBIs in 2017.; |
| 11 |
Victor Martinez (DET - 1B,DH) | 158 |
3 |
15 |
10.9 |
2.0 |
241.0 |
+83.0 |
Martinez may be 38 years old now, but don't forget that he is just two years separated from batting .335 to close a five year stretch of batting at least .300. What's more is that he has played at least 145 games in 4 of the previous 5 seasons despite the old age so he seems like a safe bet once again this season. |
| 12 |
Brian McCann (HOU - C,DH) DL10 | 179 |
6 |
17 |
12.3 |
2.5 |
177.0 |
-2.0 |
Even though he will be spending quite a bit of time as the DH for the Astros, he is at the stage of his career where we can know he won't eclipse 500 AB. With that said, he is a good bet to knock another 20 homers since he has done it nine straight seasons now, and while his BA will be low, 20 bombs from a catcher is difficult to come by at the position. |
| 13 |
Mike Napoli (TEX - 1B,DH) | 177 |
8 |
16 |
12.5 |
2.0 |
293.0 |
+116.0 |
Napoli was fantastic up until the final month of the season when he batted just .140, dropping his season long BA to .239 which killed some roto teams. With that said, homers don't grow on trees and Napoli mashes them at a nice clip and bare in mind, he has been incredible in his career while playing in Arlington, which he'll get for half of his games this year. |
| 14 |
Corey Dickerson (TB - LF,DH) | 236 |
5 |
17 |
14.5 |
2.3 |
108.0 |
-128.0 |
Dickerson saw a 60 point drop in his batting average, which even for Coors to Tampa is so much that positive regression appears in store. The power stuck, however, and you can expect another 20 plus bombs in 2017 from the 28-yer-old outfielder. |
| 15 |
Joe Mauer (MIN - 1B,DH) | 356 |
6 |
19 |
17.4 |
2.6 |
447.0 |
+91.0 |
|
| 16 |
Carlos Beltran (HOU - LF,RF,DH) | 186 |
10 |
18 |
12.8 |
1.5 |
244.0 |
+58.0 |
In 2014, it seemed as though Beltran's career was practically over, but he revived his career by spending plenty of time at DH and batting over .285 with 48 homers the previous two seasons. Despite him being 40 years old, you can expect more of the same this year. |
| 17 |
Stephen Vogt (MIL - C,DH) | 228 |
11 |
17 |
14.5 |
1.7 |
350.0 |
+122.0 |
Vogt has found his way onto the all-star team each of the past two seasons, but the stats haven't been impressive at all. Just 32 homers despite playing more games than most catchers and now he is 32 years old so any progression seems unlikely. |
| 18 |
Avisail Garcia (CWS - LF,RF,DH) | 467 |
16 |
23 |
19.9 |
1.6 |
219.0 |
-248.0 |
|
| 19 |
Trey Mancini (BAL - 1B,LF,DH) | |
17 |
59 |
22.2 |
10.8 |
216.0 |
|
|
| 20 |
Pedro Alvarez (BAL - 3B,DH) MiLB | |
17 |
27 |
18.2 |
2.1 |
|
|
|
| 21 |
Byung-ho Park (MIN - 1B,DH) MiLB | 383 |
17 |
21 |
19.9 |
1.5 |
|
|
|
| 22 |
Ben Francisco (LF,RF,DH) | |
20 |
26 |
24.3 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
| 23 |
Dalton Pompey (TOR - LF,DH) DL60 | |
20 |
25 |
22.6 |
1.7 |
|
|
|
| 24 |
Justin Morneau (DH) FA | |
21 |
38 |
31.3 |
5.0 |
|
|
|
| 25 |
Bill Hall (RF,DH) | |
21 |
27 |
25.4 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
| 26 |
Matt Davidson (CWS - 1B,3B,DH) DL10 | |
22 |
50 |
33.8 |
7.7 |
386.0 |
|
|
| 27 |
Chris Dickerson (BAL - LF,RF,DH) MiLB | |
22 |
29 |
26.5 |
1.9 |
|
|
|
| 28 |
Rusney Castillo (BOS - LF,DH) NRI | |
22 |
28 |
26.2 |
2.0 |
|
|
|
| 29 |
David DeJesus (LF,DH) | |
23 |
32 |
28.7 |
2.2 |
|
|
|
| 30 |
Preston Tucker (HOU - LF,DH) MiLB | |
23 |
30 |
28.4 |
2.2 |
|
|
|
| 31 |
Billy Butler (1B,DH) FA | |
25 |
43 |
31.6 |
4.1 |
|
|
|
| 32 |
Jerry Sands (SF - 1B,LF,RF,DH) MiLB | |
25 |
40 |
33.3 |
4.1 |
|
|
|
| 33 |
Terrance Gore (KC - LF,DH) MiLB | |
25 |
34 |
30.1 |
3.3 |
|
|
|
| 34 |
Wily Mo Pena (CLE - LF,DH) MiLB | |
27 |
47 |
39.7 |
5.1 |
|
|
|
| 35 |
Renato Nunez (OAK - DH) MiLB | |
29 |
53 |
42.7 |
6.2 |
|
|
|
| 36 |
Dean Anna (KC - 2B,SS,DH) MiLB | |
30 |
54 |
43.7 |
6.2 |
|
|
|
| 37 |
Rico Noel (LAD - DH) MiLB | |
31 |
58 |
46.7 |
7.0 |
|
|
|
| 38 |
Luke Scott (DH,1B) | |
33 |
44 |
37.0 |
4.1 |
|
|
|
| 39 |
Nick Johnson (1B,DH) | |
35 |
46 |
38.6 |
4.5 |
|
|
|
| 40 |
Raul Ibanez (LF,RF,DH) | |
36 |
48 |
40.2 |
4.9 |
|
|
|
| 41 |
Shelley Duncan (LF,1B,DH) RET | |
37 |
49 |
41.2 |
4.9 |
|
|
|
| 42 |
Vernon Wells (LF,CF,RF,DH) | |
38 |
47 |
40.5 |
3.4 |
|
|
|
| 43 |
Steve Lombardozzi (MIA - 2B,DH) MiLB | |
40 |
49 |
41.9 |
3.3 |
|
|
|
| 44 |
Henry Urrutia (BOS - LF,DH) MiLB | |
41 |
51 |
43.1 |
3.8 |
|
|
|
| 45 |
Vince Belnome (2B,DH,1B) | |
44 |
56 |
46.6 |
4.6 |
|
|
|
| 46 |
Julio Morban (RF,DH) | |
45 |
57 |
47.6 |
4.6 |
|
|
|
