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2021 Fantasy Baseball Rankings

Expert Consensus Ranking (51 of 51 Experts) -

Rank Player (Team, Position) Overall Notes
1 Jacob deGrom (NYM - SP) IL10 6 1 3 1.1 0.3 6.0
deGrom barely missed out on winning his third straight Cy Young Award last year, but it was yet another dominant season. For the third straight year, he came in with a WHIP under 1.00, an ERA under 2.50, and a strikeout percentage above 31%. deGrom is getting up there in age, but it's worth remembering that he has fewer miles on his arm than most pitcher entering their age-33 season, given that he didn't transition to pitching until late in his college career and missed significant time with injuries during his time in the minors. deGrom has shown no decline in his game, and should hopefully (finally) begin to pile on more wins this year pitching for a better team in front of an improved bullpen. He should be the first or second starting pitcher taken and is an obvious first-round pick.
2 Gerrit Cole (NYY - SP) 8 1 5 2.2 0.5 7.0 -1.0
Cole was pretty much as advertised in his first season with the Yankees. His ERA rose a tad, as did his home run rate as expected, and his strikeout rate fell a bit, though it remained at an absurdly high level. And, for the most part, all of his expected metrics fell off a tad from his 2019 season. But Cole's numbers from that season were so dominating that he could withstand plenty of regression and still be one of the best pitchers in fantasy. As such, he'll head into 2021 close to the way he came into the 2020 season: a dominant, high-strikeout, low-walk starter who will throw plenty of innings and who is more likely to finish as the top overall fantasy pitcher than he is to finish outside the top-10. It's a matter of personal preference between Cole and Jacob deGrom as the first pitcher off the board, but neither should fall outside the top-10 overall picks on draft day.
3 Shane Bieber (CLE - SP) IL60 12 1 4 2.8 0.5 9.0 -3.0
Bieber took the huge gains he had made in 2019 and kicked the into hyperdrive en route to a Cy Young season. He had a miniscule 1.63 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and took his strikeout percentage to 41.1%, which ranked first among qualified starters. Everything was exceptional for Bieber, as he held batters to just a .167 batting average, barely allowed home runs, and earned eight wins in just 12 starts. He may struggle to again find wins given the Indians' depleted lineup, but there is nothing else to think twice about with Bieber. He's part of the ultra-elite tier in starting pitching with Jacob deGrom and Gerrit Cole, and should be a first-round selection, especially since he seems to have had no ill effects from his battle with COVID-19.
4 Yu Darvish (SD - SP) 18 3 11 5.3 1.4 17.0 -1.0
After a career year in 2020, Darvish moves to San Diego in a trade that shouldn't affect his strong 2021 outlook all that much. Despite his advancing age, Darvish built on the gains he had made over the second half of 2019, finishing with a 2.01 ER, a 0.96 WHIP, and a 31.3% strikeout rate. Darvish's walk rate has declined to a level once thought unattainable for the veteran, a mere 4.7%, which was in the top 8% of MLB in 2020. Although he'll be entering his age-35 season, there's simply nothing in Darvish's numbers, metrics, or statcast data that points to a decline. If you are desperate to find a negative, it's a move from the weak-hitting NL Central to the much stronger NL West, but that's hardly a reason to avoid Darvish. Draft him as an easy top-10 starter, and more like a top-5 option.
5 Trevor Bauer (LAD - SP) RST 19 2 20 6.0 2.2 14.0 -5.0
Bauer capped off a Cy Young season by signing a massive deal with the Dodgers. There's no other way to describe Bauer's 2020 season other than utterly dominant. A 1.73 ERA, a 0.79 WHIP, and a 36% strikeout rate. Notably, the spin rate on almost all of his pitched jumped dramatically, and every single one of them was more effective than we'd previously seen. Bauer had an outstanding season in 2018 and followed it up with a sub-par 2019, so we shouldn't take for granted that he'll be the best pitcher in baseball for the second season in a row. But on the best team in baseball with a near bulletproof 2020 resume, he should be drafted as a top-five starter and a second-round pick.
6 Lucas Giolito (CWS - SP) 22 4 23 7.2 2.9 19.0 -3.0
Giolito followed up his breakout 2019 season with a nearly identical 2020 season. His ERA was within .07, his WHIP within .02, and his strikeout percentage within a point and a half. Despite pitching in a homer-friendly park, Giolito has managed to limit home runs, which is a key to his continued success with the White Sox. He won't face quite an easy schedule this year (AL and NL Central pitchers had plenty of sub-par offenses to feast on in 2019), but entering his age-27 season, he should only continue to improve from a skills standpoint. Draft him as an SP1, albeit a low-end one.
7 Walker Buehler (LAD - SP) 21 4 15 7.3 2.2 21.0
Because the Dodgers wanted to closely watch Buehler's routine and workload, he got a late start to the shortened season, essentially using his first few starts as the end of his spring training. He also dealt with blisters late in the year. All that to say, Buehler's 36 2/3 regular-season innings are, for the most part, largely meaningless. He gave up a few more home runs and walked a few more batters than usual, and he won just a single game. But none of it matters. Value Buehler as you did after his 2019 season - as one of the true stud pitchers in the game. Once the big three of Jacob deGrom, Gerrit Cole, and Shane Bieber are off the board, Buehler should come under immediate consideration, as the type of starting pitcher who can be your fantasy ace.
8 Aaron Nola (PHI - SP) 23 3 13 7.7 1.8 22.0 -1.0
Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace.
9 Max Scherzer (LAD - SP) 26 4 14 8.8 2.1 23.0 -3.0
Scherzer had a decent season for a mortal, but for someone with his career track record, it was a major disappointment. His 3.74 ERA was his highest since 2012, his 1.38 WHIP the highest of his career, and his 7.8% walk percentage his worst in a decade. Scherzer still struck out plenty of batters but entering his age-37 season and with a ton of mileage on his arm, it's only fair to accept that the old Scherzer is gone for good. But though he may not be a consensus top-three starter anymore, he's still perfectly capable of being a fantasy ace. After all, Scherzer's velocity hasn't declined much, and his 31.2% strikeout rate was tied for 10th among starters. Scherzer likely won't reach 200 innings pitched again and his ERA seems destined to remain above 3.00 going forward, but he's far from someone to avoid in fantasy drafts.
10 Jack Flaherty (STL - SP) IL60 30 7 18 10.6 1.9 32.0 +2.0
Flaherty ended up with a 4.91 ERA, but that hardly represents his actual performance, given that he allowed nine runs in a three-inning start in September. If you take out that outing, Flaherty had just a 3.13 ERA, and he didn't allow more than three earned runs in any of his eight other starts. Given that Flaherty's season was shorter than most due to the Cardinals' COVID-19 issues, it's fair to essentially throw out at that one abysmal outing, considering his other numbers were relatively consistent from 2019. Indeed, his swinging strike rate improved, as did his K/9 rate and ground ball percentage. With his devastating slider, Flaherty should still be considered one of the top pitchers in the real and fantasy game, and is capable of fronting a fantasy staff.
11 Luis Castillo (CIN - SP) 33 6 17 10.7 2.3 27.0 -6.0
Castillo turned in another excellent season last year, cutting his walk rate and striking out batters at a higher rate than he ever had in his career. His WHIP increased to a career-worst 1.23, but that was largely due to bad luck, as batters hit .232 against him despite an expected batting average of just .212. Nevertheless, Castillo kept runs off the board, largely because he was able to avoid home runs (just five in 70 innings) and limit free passes. Castillo is capable of fronting a fantasy pitching staff, though he's more of a low-end ace, and there are plenty of trade rumors following him around. But, given his reliable production and increased strikeout rate the past two seasons, he can be drafted with confidence.
12 Clayton Kershaw (LAD - SP) IL10 35 5 17 11.3 2.2 30.0 -5.0
Kershaw turned back the clock a bit in 2020, as the shortened season allowed him to let things go a bit more and add some of the velocity he had lost over the previous two seasons. The result was his best WHIP and ERA since 2016 and best strikeout rate since 2017. Kershaw isn't going to reach 200 innings pitched at this stage of his career, not with his injury history and the Dodgers' depth in their rotation and World Series aspirations. But even entering his age-33 season, he offers next to no downside. Consider this: Kershaw had probably the worst season of his career in 2019 and pitched to a 3.03 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP with more than a strikeout per inning. Draft him as a strong SP2 but bank on 160 innings. Anything more is gravy.
13 Brandon Woodruff (MIL - SP) 40 4 27 12.4 2.3 37.0 -3.0
There were some skeptics after Woodruff succeeded in 2019 based largely on one pitch - his devastating fastball - but he put those concerns to rest in 2020. His ERA (3.05) and WHIP (0.99) were incredibly strong, particularly when you consider that he struck out more than 11 batters per nine innings. Woodruff's fastball hits rests at 96 MPH and is one of the better pitches in baseball, but his slider and changeup both made strides last year. The Brewers are reportedly planning to add about 100 innings to their starter's workloads last season, so pencil Woodruff in for roughly 175 extremely strong frames. You can survive with him as your fantasy ace, though he's best as an incredibly strong number 2.
14 Blake Snell (SD - SP) 44 8 33 14.4 2.9 43.0 -1.0
Snell moves to the Padres fresh off a solid year, in which he pitched to a 3.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP, with a memorable early exit in the World Series. Snell has a checkered injury history and has pitched just 157 innings over the past two years, so don't expect him to be a big innings-eater in 2021. And, although he'll escape the dreaded AL East, he'll get a downgrade in park and defense, which largely makes the move a neutral one. All that said, Snell has plenty of talent as he's shown throughout his career, and should be able to pile up wins and strikeouts pitching for a strong Padres team. Draft him as an SP2 with upside.
15 Tyler Glasnow (TB - SP) IL60 50 9 39 16.7 4.1 49.0 -1.0
Glasnow is really a fascinating case study. He followed up an incredible 60-inning stretch in 2019 (1.78 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 33% strikeout rate) with a bit of a step back last year (4.08 ERA and 1.13 WHIP). But his xFIP in 2020 (2.75) was actually lower than in 2019 (2.94), and his strikeout rate jumped to a whopping 38.2%. The real issue for Glasnow is that he's a two-pitch pitcher, and although both his fastball and curveball are outstanding, they need to be superb at all times for him to have a dominant season. And last year, they were both just a bit worse than the season prior, particularly his fastball. With enormous strikeout upside and a spot in the rotation of one of the best and most pitching-savvy teams in the Rays, Glasnow makes a fine SP2 for a fantasy team. But his injury history, and his lack of a third pitch, make him a bit riskier than others going in his range.
16 Kenta Maeda (MIN - SP,RP) 55 5 36 18.0 4.8 47.0 -8.0
Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
17 Lance Lynn (CWS - SP) 57 12 38 18.9 3.8 52.0 -5.0
Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2.
18 Josh Hader (MIL - RP) IL10 63 12 56 20.0 4.5 54.0 -9.0
Hader wasn't quite as dominant as he had been the previous two years, largely due to a spike in walk rate and the slightest of declines in strikeout rate. But he still tallied 13 saves, third-best in baseball, and had a miniscule 0.95 WHIP. If you parse it closely, it was just a bizarre season for Hader, who didn't give up a run through his first nine appearances, but subsequently allowed four runs in an inning. He walked five batters in a game, but didn't allow a single walk in any game after that, a span of 11 appearances. In other words, there seems to be a lot of noise in Hader's "decline," which likely would have been ironed out over the course of a full season. Draft him as the top closer off the board with few concerns.
19 Liam Hendriks (CWS - RP) 66 14 57 21.2 4.1 55.0 -11.0
Hendriks showed last year that his 2019 breakout season was not a fluke, as he improved on just about all of his numbers. Not only did he put up 14 saves in the shortened season, but he dropped his ERA to 1.78, his WHIP to 0.67, and his walk rate to just 3.3%. In short, there's nothing negative you can possibly take away from his 2020 season. Despite moving to a worse park with the White Sox, Hendriks is, without question one of the top closers in fantasy, and should be either the first or second (behind only Josh Hader) relief pitcher drafted.
20 Corbin Burnes (MIL - SP,RP) 64 14 46 22.0 6.3 56.0 -8.0
Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster.
21 Hyun Jin Ryu (TOR - SP) 71 13 121 24.6 6.6 62.0 -9.0
Fantasy managers expected some regression from Ryu after his career season in 2019 and with him moving to the Blue Jays, but it really didn't come. He continued to be among the best in the game at limiting opposing batters' quality of contact, and upped his strikeout rate to 26.2%, second best of his career. Ryu's 2.69 ERA was a bit higher than the 2.32 mark he put up in in 2019, but his FIP, xFIP, SIERA, and xERA were all the same or better than the previous year. In short, other than the potential for injury, which hasn't been a factor in the last two seasons, there's no reason to doubt Ryu at this point.
22 Stephen Strasburg (WSH - SP) IL10 74 8 122 25.1 8.0 59.0 -15.0
Strasburg was limited to just five innings in 2020, with an injury that eventually required carpal tunnel syndrome. Although that's a minor surgery, the truth is that fantasy managers have very little data as to the impact and/or successful recovery rate after that surgery for pitchers. Strasburg's a tricky draft pick in any given year - he always provides strong value when he's on the mound, but has only topped 200 innings pitched twice in his career. Now entering his age-33 season, Strasburg will likely again provide excellent overall numbers assuming he is healthy. He looks great in the spring, though he's currently battling a minor calf injury, though it shouldn't keep him out for long. Draft him as an SP2, but anything more than 160 innings is gravy.
23 Aroldis Chapman (NYY - RP) 76 16 61 25.1 4.8 65.0 -11.0
Chapman missed time last year because he was diagnosed with COVID-19, but he was largely the same pitcher as always when he was on the mount. He struck out 22 batters in his 11 2/3 innings pitched and allowed just six hits. His velocity may be slightly below what it was at its peak, but it's still elite, and he appears to have plenty left in the tank heading into his age-33 season. He'll again close for one of the best teams in baseball, and although he's never had a 40-save season, he should easily surpass 30 and be one of the top closers drafted in fantasy.
24 Kyle Hendricks (CHC - SP) 77 13 43 25.4 5.1 72.0 -5.0
Hendricks is the Rodney Dangerfield of fantasy pitchers in that he never gets the respect he deserves. He's had an ERA above 3.46 once in his career and he's never had a WHIP higher than 1.19. Yes, his strikeout rate is never going to help fantasy managers, but Dave Ross let him go deeper into games last year (Hendricks' 81 innings pitched were among the most in MLB), so he should make up for his lack of strikeout rate with some additional innings. The Cubs probably won't be a great team but the NL Central has mostly weak offenses, so Hendricks should find his way to enough wins to make a difference. Ignore the fact that he outperforms his expected metrics every year. Hendricks is a reliable, high-end SP3 for a fantasy team. Just be sure to take care of strikeouts elsewhere.
25 Jose Berrios (TOR - SP) 82 14 44 27.4 5.1 76.0 -6.0
Berrios may not ever become the dominant pitcher many projected him to be, but he offers a strong floor for fantasy managers. Ignoring his 2016 cup of coffee, Berrios has pitched to a 3.89 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a strikeout per inning in his career. And although his walk rate went up a tad and he gave up a bit harder contact in 2020's shortened season, his numbers didn't vary from his usual output significantly. Bank on around a 4.00 ERA, a WHIP somewhere around 1.25, and plenty of strikeouts. In today's fantasy game, that's more than adequate for a strong fantasy staff.
26 Edwin Diaz (NYM - RP) 85 18 58 28.0 5.0 81.0 -4.0
Diaz's overall numbers bounced back in a monstrous way last season. He dropped his ERA from a bloated 5.59 in 2019 to a 1.75, and upped his strikeout rate to a career-best 45.5%. He was among the league leaders in nearly every expected statistic (batting average, slugging percentage wOBA, and ERA), and he cut his HR/9 rate from 2.33 to just 0.70. Diaz's walk rate actually regressed, however, as he issued free passes to nearly five batters per nine innings. That's not often a recipe for success from a closer, but Diaz can survive at that rate if he continues to keep the strikeouts up and limit the long balls. In the end, Diaz does carry some risk given his history, but he should be drafted as one of the upper echelon closers in the game, if not a touch behind the truly elite options.
27 Max Fried (ATL - SP) 88 17 61 29.4 7.5 64.0 -24.0
In many ways, Fried regressed during his 2020 season. His strikeout rate dropped, his walk rate increased, and his xFIP and SIERA jumped significantly. Nevertheless, thanks to his ability to limit hard contact (his 83.4 MPH average exit velocity and 23.8% hard hit rate allowed were among the best in MLB) led to a massive drop in BABIP allowed, and kept both his ERA and WHIP in check. It's hard to buy a pitcher without an elite strikeout rate whose underlying numbers don't fully support his gains. Nevertheless, Fried was an elite prospect playing on an excellent team, and is just 27 years old. Don't pay for last year's numbers, but don't run away from him in drafts either.
28 Sonny Gray (CIN - SP) 86 16 120 29.7 9.4 90.0 +4.0
Two dreadful starts late in the season severely hurt what was otherwise a strong 2020 campaign for Gray, though it was a bizarre year. His strikeout rate surpassed 30% for the first time in his career, while his walk rate jumped to 11.1%. He was also far more hittable, particularly his slider and curveball, which had been dominant pitches in 2019. But even if Gray simply repeats his 2020 season, his strikeout rate and decent ERA and WHIP should be enough to make him a borderline SP2 for fantasy leagues. He will likely begin the year on the IL after experiencing back spasms in mid-March, but the injury doesn't sound like it will keep him out for long. Considering we've seen much more than that from him in 2019, fantasy managers should have little hesitation drafting him.
29 Zack Greinke (HOU - SP) 91 10 61 31.3 7.6 93.0 +2.0
Greinke is entering his age-37 season, but still somehow keeps getting it done. His ERA of 4.03 last year was certainly higher than fantasy managers are used to seeing, but it came with a 2.80 FIP and 3.51 xFIP. His strikeout rate was his best since 2017 and his walk rate of 3.3% was the best of his entire career. But his velocity was down about two ticks, with his fastball clocking in at just 87.9 miles per hour. Greinke is as smart a pitcher as there is but it's going to be difficult to succeed over the course of a full 162-game season if his pure stuff continues to diminish. He's one of the few pitchers in the game who is probably capable of pitching 200 innings in 2021, but expect a continued downward trend in his performance.
30 Zack Wheeler (PHI - SP) 92 19 54 31.7 6.3 87.0 -5.0
Wheeler's first season in Philadelphia was a success, in that he had the lowest ERA of his career (2.92) and a strong 1.17 WHIP. But his strikeout numbers plummeted, as he struck out just 18.4% of batters. The whiff rate on all of Wheeler's pitches, other than his "show me" curveball, dropped significantly, despite the fact that his velocity remained the same. If Wheeler can again excel at completely limiting hard contact like he did last season (his 85.7 MPH average exit velocity allowed ranked in the top 10% in baseball), then he can probably get away with the lack of strikeouts. Otherwise, he's unlikely to repeat his 2020 success. Given the shortened season, it's a good bet that Wheeler's strikeouts will bounce back, and you can slot him in as an SP3 without much worry.
31 Charlie Morton (ATL - SP) 95 15 64 33.7 8.1 107.0 +12.0
Morton's 2020 numbers were poor, without question. He was limited to just 38 regular season innings because of a shoulder injury, and pitched to a 4.74 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. His velocity was way down early in the season (when he got hit hard) and trickled up after he returned, but he got back to his normal 95 MPH fastball in the postseason and totaled a 2.70 ERA. Now 37 and with the Braves, the question is whether fantasy managers can write off Morton's down 2020 season considering his sterling post-season, or whether his age and injury history means they should avoid him. In reality, the answer is neither. Morton should still have gas left in the tank considering his playoff run, but should only be drafted as a value, meaning no earlier than a low-end SP3. Grab him there, at which point the risk-reward balance should reach an equilibrium.
32 Raisel Iglesias (LAA - RP) 97 21 60 33.8 6.2 94.0 -3.0
Iglesias bounced back from a sub-par 2019 to post an excellent 2020 season, with a 2.74 ERA, a 0.91 WHIP, and the lowest walk rate of his career. He'll now move to the Angels where he'll keep his role as a closer. Iglesias's numbers should be solid as usual, and his precise value should hinge on whether the Angels use him in more of a multi-inning role like the Reds historically did (which limited Iglesias's save totals), or deploy him as a more traditional ninth-inning option. Either way, Iglesias will be the Angels' stopper, and hence, should be drafted as a strong top-10 RP option.
33 Jesus Luzardo (MIA - SP,RP) 99 20 66 35.6 7.8 101.0 +2.0
Luzardo's 2020 campaign wasn't terrible, but it certainly left fantasy managers wanting more. The strikeouts were there, but not quite at the level that was expected. He rarely went deep into games. And he was just more hittable than he ever was in the minors or in his brief time as a reliever in 2019. Luzardo throws four quality pitches and is working to improve his arsenal as we head into the 2021 season, so there's little reason to downgrade your opinion of him too much from where it was prior to the 2020 campaign because of one nine-start stretch. He's an incredibly high-upside pitcher who carries with him plenty of injury risk, and the combination leaves him as a solid SP3 for fantasy leagues.
34 Chris Paddack (SD - SP) IL10 107 17 67 37.3 8.9 97.0 -10.0
Paddack followed up his stellar rookie campaign with a subpar sophomore season, as his ERA rose to 4.73 and his WHIP to 1.22, while his strikeout rate dipped below one per inning. Paddack's bread and butter changeup was as good as ever in 2020 (and even better than in 2019), but his usually outstanding fastball just fell apart. After batters hit .204 with a .391 slugging percentage and .275 wOBA against the pitch in 2019, they hit .308 with a .658 slugging percentage and .407 wOBA against it in 2020. Paddack added a cutter in 2020, and it's possible that the addition of the pitch impacted the way he threw his fastball, as the vertical movement of it fell significantly. Either way, Paddack has too much talent to see his ERA hover around 5.00. There's risk given what we saw last year, but it's baked into his draft price.
35 Zach Plesac (CLE - SP) 105 21 63 37.5 8.9 73.0 -32.0
Plesac is getting a ton of love for his eight excellent starts in 2020, but there's plenty of reason to be cautious. His FIP, xFIP, xERA, and SIERA were all more than a run higher than his ERA, and both his strikeout rate and walk rate significantly outproduced what he showed he could do in the minors. Yes, Plesac altered his pitch mix, throwing fewer fastballs and instead more sliders and changeups, so if you're looking for a reason to buy the gains, you have one. But he had a ridiculous 91.7% LOB rate, and even with his ability to limit hard contact, his BABIP against should rise from the .224 mark last year. Plesac can help a fantasy staff, but manage expectations significantly.
36 Ian Anderson (ATL - SP) IL10 110 22 71 38.9 8.3 89.0 -21.0
After rising through the minor leagues, Anderson had an excellent debut season with the Braves in 2020, pitching to a 1.95 ERA and 1.08 WHIP with a 29.7% strikeout rate. He was even better in four postseason starts, allowing just two runs over 18 2/3 innings while striking out 24. Anderson led all starters in barrel rate (just 1.2%), and has an excellent fastball, curveball, and changeup. His control isn't elite, but his raw stuff and prospect pedigree suggest that his 2020 season was no fluke. Draft him with confidence as a No. 2 starter.
37 Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU - SP) 112 22 67 39.5 7.0 124.0 +12.0
McCullers made a successful return from Tommy John surgery after missing the 2019 season and looked almost exactly like the 2018 version of himself. His ERA (3.93) and WHIP (1.16) were within seven-tenths of a point of his 2018 numbers, and his walk and strikeout rates fell just slightly. McCullers relied a bit more on his sinker and less on his curveball than in past years, but the two work well together and he continued to throw them in combination about 80% of the time. In short, what you thought of McCullers heading into 2018 is pretty much what you should think of him now. Unfortunately, that includes concerns about his innings, because after a missed year and 55 innings last year, the chances of him topping 150 innings this season are remote. Buy him at his production, but understand that there's likely a hard cap on his innings total.
38 Joe Musgrove (SD - SP) 115 16 77 40.2 9.5 130.0 +15.0
Musgrove has been a popular sleeper the last two seasons and now that he's been traded to the Padres, his ADP is surely going to rise. In 2019, Musgrove continued to improve as a pitcher, upping his strikeout rate and adding velocity. But his 2020 season looked like a step back, until he returned from the IL strong, including finishing his season with back-to-back scoreless outings while getting back some of the lost zip on his fastball. Overall, Musgrove's 2020 numbers suggest a breakout waiting to happen, as he built significantly on his gains in 2019, increasing his strikeout rate to 33.1%. His chances for wins should improve dramatically in San Diego, and he's a fine fourth starter with upside.
39 Ryan Pressly (HOU - RP) PL 116 21 77 40.5 8.5 105.0 -11.0
Pressly had his usual solid season, but got the benefit of closing for the Astros after Roberto Osuna's injury. His numbers fell off a bit from the previous two years (his 1.33 WHIP was particularly out of character), but he will almost certainly rebound from the .365 BABIP he allowed. He's slated to again be the Astros' closer, and as such, should provide plenty of saves while giving fantasy managers positive value in ratios. That makes him one of the few reliable closers worth drafting at more than a late-round price.
40 Dinelson Lamet (SD - SP) IL10 114 19 262 40.6 12.3 106.0 -8.0
Lamet had a dominant curveball in 2019 which he threw 31.7% of the time. Batters hit just .105 against it that year with a .193 wOBA. But Lamet ditched it entirely in 2020, and instead replaced it by greatly upping his slider usage, from 12.2% in 2019 to 53.4% in 2020. And somehow, his slider was even better than his curveball ever was. Batters hit 0.80 against it with a .120 slugging percentage and a .141 wOBA. It was, simply put, the best pitch in baseball last year. Unfortunately, Lamet's arm couldn't hold up to the stress, and he missed the end of the regular season and the playoffs because of an elbow injury. He underwent PRP therapy on his elbow in October and is progressing well, but the Padres' focus on adding starting pitching this offseason suggests that they are not expecting to have Lamet for the full season. Monitor his health this spring, but understand that even if he begins the year healthy, there are plenty of injury concerns.
41 Zac Gallen (ARI - SP) 119 10 97 42.6 19.6 83.0 -36.0
Gallen has a hairline stress fracture of his right forearm at the radial head. He's reportedly going to be able to continue playing catch at a "low stress level" while recovering, though there's no indication of how much time he'll miss. When healthy, he's a solid SP2. He built on his excellent 2019 season with an even more impressive 2020 campaign. Not only did he drop his ERA slightly to 2.75, but he cut way down on his walks (10.8% to 8.6%), which led to a much-improved 1.11 WHIP. Gallen has a 28.5% strikeout rate in 152 MLB innings, and an excellent fastball, curveball, and changeup. There's just not much negative you can say about him when he's healthy other than he might again struggle for wins playing for a mediocre team in a good division. Because of the injury and surrounding uncertainty, you shouldn't draft him as anything higher than an SP4, but he should perform extremely well when he does recover.
42 Kenley Jansen (LAD - RP) 121 22 68 43.1 7.9 111.0 -10.0
It feels like Jansen has been on the verge of losing his job at several points over the last two seasons, but he continues to receive nearly every save opportunity for the Dodgers. But Jansen is far from the dominant reliever he was in his prime, as his patented cutter has gone from 94 MPH in 2016 to just 90.9 MPH last year. The Dodgers have plenty of depth behind Jansen, including Blake Treinen, Brusdar Graterol, Joe Kelly, and Corey Knebel, so Jansen's leash probably won't be all that long. At the same time, Jansen will certainly be the closer coming into the season and has a lengthy track record and a large contract. In today's day and age, that makes him a fairly desirable fantasy closer, despite the concerns.
43 Dylan Bundy (LAA - SP) 123 23 107 43.7 11.3 112.0 -11.0
Bundy largely made good on the enormous amount of buzz that surrounded him after he moved from the Orioles to the Angels. He set career bests in ERA (3.29), WHIP (1.04), strikeout rate (27%), and walk rate (6.4%). Bundy's fastball, though it continued to trend down in velocity, was more effective than in years' past, in part because he cut way down on his usage of the pitch (just 33.6%, after throwing it at least 42.4% of the time in every previous season). His slider remained one of the best pitches in the game, and his remaining secondary pitches improved, too. At some point, Bundy's fastball velocity is going to become an issue, but there's little reason to expect that to come in 2021. Draft him as as an SP3.
44 Patrick Corbin (WSH - SP) 127 17 88 45.8 13.7 125.0 -2.0
Corbin had a disastrous 2020 season, during which he went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP. His strikeout rate plummeted, and his velocity dropped significantly, with his fastball seeing a dip of almost two miles per hour. Corbin leans heavily into his slider, and he needs it to be pristine to be an effective pitcher. And although it wasn't a terrible pitch in 2020, the swinging strike rate on it dropped from 28.1% to 21.2%, and the whiff rate from 52% to just 38.2%. If the loss in velocity and effectiveness of his slider were entirely due to the oddities of the shortened season, then Corbin is going to be a major value in drafts this year. But if not, then his days as a "set it and forget it" starter are likely over. Monitor Corbin's performance this spring, particularly with his velocity. If it's back up to prior levels, then push him up your board significantly.
45 Julio Urias (LAD - SP,RP) 131 21 81 46.9 10.7 118.0 -13.0
Urias had an interesting season (other than his postseason, which was dominant). His numbers overall were very solid, with a 3.27 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. But his strikeout rate dipped dramatically as a full-time starter, and his SIERA (4.88) and xFIP (5.06) suggest he got lucky. But the bottom line is that Urias is excellent at limiting hard contact, and he's allowed just a .257 BABIP over the last two seasons, which should keep his ERA in check. The Dodgers' rotation is overflowing, so it's possible they continue to limit Urias's innings. But for now, he should be considered an SP3, and as his playoffs showed, there's plenty of room for growth with his strikeout numbers.
46 Brad Hand (TOR - RP) 130 28 79 47.1 7.2 104.0 -26.0
Hand joins the Nationals on a one-year deal after Cleveland declined his option. His velocity declined a bit last season, but the league's collective lack of interest in Hand is surprising, given that he's coming off one of the best seasons of his career, led the league in saves, has been a top-10 reliever over the last five seasons, and is a lefty. Dave Martinez wants Hand to be the Nationals' closer based on his comments, but it's unclear whether he'll be the sole option. The Nationals barely have another lefty reliever in their bullpen, let alone a reliable one, so chances are that Hand will be deployed earlier in the game if the opposing team has multiple left-handed hitters due up. All that to say that Hand is a reliable reliever who you should draft for his overall numbers, but he may provide fewer saves than most traditional closers.
47 Pablo Lopez (MIA - SP) IL10 135 33 63 47.6 5.6 138.0 +3.0
Despite his 5.09 ERA and mediocre strikeout rate in 2019, there was some buzz about Lopez heading into last season because of his outstanding changeup and his ability to keep his WHIP in check. He justified the expectations, cutting his ERA to 3.61 and striking out about a batter and a half more per nine innings than he had previously. He's still volatile, as he has seemingly random games where he lacks command with his changeup and gets hit hard. And he needs another pitch to complement his fastball and changeup. But if he can continue to develop either his curveball or cutter, he could be a true breakout candidate. Draft him as an SP4 with upside for more if his other pitches continue to improve.
48 Kevin Gausman (SF - SP,RP) 134 17 111 47.8 13.3 137.0 +3.0
Gausman had the best season of his career with the Giants last season, and accepted a qualifying offer to remain in San Francisco. Gausman not only put up an impressive 3.62 ERA, but he upped his strikeout rate by about nine points to 32.2%. He saw a nice velocity bump on his fastball and leaned into his excellent splitter a bit more than usual. The downside for Gausman is that he really is mostly a fastball/splitter pitcher, meaning that when his splitter isn't working, he's likely to get hit hard. But, we've now at least seen the upside over a full season, and he's a pretty ideal SP4/SP5 if you can get him in that range.
49 James Karinchak (CLE - RP) 139 28 117 50.8 15.7 102.0 -37.0
Karinchak is expected to be Cleveland's closer after Brad Hand moved on to the Nationals, though it's not a sure thing yet. Yes, he walks too many batters (5.33 per nine innings), but you can get away with it when you strike out nearly half the batters you face and hitters bat .151 against you overall. Karinchak has two absolutely devastating pitches: a mid-90's fastball (.184 batting average against, .151 xBA) and a power curveball (.140 batting average against, .114 xBA). Cleveland may not have a ton of success this year and hence save opportunities may be limited, but Karinchak can be a dominant fantasy reliever if he gets the job. Monitor reports out of the spring to see when and if Terry Francona formerly anoints him as the closer. If he does, he should vault to being a top-6 or 7 reliever.
50 Trevor Rosenthal (OAK - RP) IL60 143 28 98 52.6 15.6 120.0 -23.0
After missing the 2018 season and most of the 2019 season, Rosenthal bounced back in a huge way last year. He stepped in as the Royals' closer, notching seven saves, and then was unhittable with the Padres after a mid-year trade. He parlayed his success into a one-year contract with the A's, where all signs point to him being the undisputed closer. Rosenthal was an outstanding reliever in his prime and once had back-to-back 45-save (or better) seasons. And his raw stuff looked excellent last year, as he totaled the best strikeout rate of his career. If he stays healthy, he has a shot at being a top-5 closer, but you can draft him a little later than that and likely make a profit.
51 Frankie Montas (OAK - SP) 144 36 88 53.9 11.1 168.0 +24.0
Montas had a terrible 2020 season, but it was more than likely due to a back injury he suffered early on which probably bothered him throughout the year. He started off with four excellent starts (four runs and 22 strikeouts in 23 innings) before he was scratched with back tightness and returned with lower velocity. Yes, he had the PED suspension in 2019, but Montas's splitter was, and should continue to be when a healthy, a dominant pitch, and a healthy season should mean a return to being a starter you can "set and forget." If he can ever get away from throwing his sinker so much, and incorporate more of his splitter and/or four-seam fastball, he could be a monster. Montas was diagnosed with COVID-19 right at the start of spring training, but he has returned healthy and looked good in the spring, so he's an ideal sleeper.
52 Sandy Alcantara (MIA - SP) 148 34 184 54.5 14.5 131.0 -17.0
Alcantara continued to build on what was a pretty strong foundation heading into 2020. He lowered his ERA to 3.00 and his WHIP to 1.19, and improved in both his strikeout and walk rate while adding velocity. He pitched only 42 innings last year because of COVID-19 issues, but he dominated over the latter three-quarters of the season, pitching to a 2.30 ERA with 30 strikeouts over his final 31 1/3 innings. There's not a ton to dislike about Alcantara, and there's room for continued growth. Draft him as a fourth starter with upside for more.
53 Sixto Sanchez (MIA - SP) MiLB 153 27 115 56.8 16.2 136.0 -17.0
Sanchez built on his strong 2019 season in Double-A with an excellent seven-start stretch in the majors, during which he put up a 3.46 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Sanchez throws really hard (his fastball velocity is in the 98th percentile), but he doesn't put up a ton of strikeouts, either in the minors or during his stint in the majors last year. But his outstanding changeup (.148 BAA, .148 slugging against, .158 wOBA against) keeps hitters off balance, and allows him to avoid giving up too much hard contact. Combine that with his well above-average control and his almost comical ability to avoid giving up home runs, and you have a quality pitcher who can slide into the middle of your staff.
54 Shohei Ohtani (LAA - SP,DH) 155 14 120 59.8 19.6 154.0 -1.0
Depending on your league settings, Ohtani has the potential to be a dominant force in 2021. There has never been any doubt about his talent, and he looks fantastic in the spring, hitting home runs at will and pumping in high-90s fastballs when on the mound. He's been batting on days he pitches, and Joe Maddon has suggested that he's going to throw out the old rules that led to Ohtani's decreased playing time. If you can move him between hitter and pitcher on a daily basis, then move him up your board significantly. Even if not, he should provide plenty of value when healthy as either a hitter or a pitcher, so make sure he's on your radar as you move into the double-digit rounds.
55 German Marquez (COL - SP) 162 27 107 63.0 16.2 175.0 +13.0
If Marquez ever extricates himself from Colorado, you'd probably have a bona fide superstar on your hands. As it is, you have a very solid overall pitcher who won't really help you out tremendously in any category, but won't hurt you badly either. Marquez's control is above average, and although his strikeout rate has dipped in two consecutive seasons, he has the ability to miss bats regularly. His value rises in leagues with daily lineup changes as you can avoid him at home (career 5.10 ERA) and start him on the road (career 3.51 ERA). But, absent that, consider him a back-end of the rotation starter in deeper leagues.
56 Tyler Mahle (CIN - SP) 164 36 109 63.3 12.1 173.0 +9.0
Mahle's solid 2020 season (3.59 ERA, 1.15 WHIP) will probably slip under the radar, but there are a lot of reasons to be optimistic about him with a guaranteed spot in the Reds rotation. His strikeout rate jumped to 30% on the back of a 4.4% increase in his swinging strike rate, and he had just a .188 expected batting average against, top 10% in the league. The biggest change for Mahle was that he brought back a slider that he had shelved entirely in 2019, and batters hit just .180 against the pitch with a .249 wOBA. He could do well to cut down on his walks a bit, but still, as a fifth starter for your fantasy team, there's plenty of potential for profit.
57 Marco Gonzales (SEA - SP) 167 36 161 64.7 14.0 163.0 -4.0
If you want to buy into performances from the 2020 season, then you'll have Gonzales significantly higher than you would otherwise. He made major gains last year, including up his strikeout rate to a career-best 23.1% and lowering his walk rate to a career-best 2.5%. Bu even with the gains, Gonzales's swinging strike rate was only 8.4% (below his career average), and his fastball velocity is close to the worst in the league. As a pure back end of the rotation starter, he's fine, but do not expect anything close to a 3.10 ERA again, and bake in regression for his strikeouts.
58 Carlos Carrasco (NYM - SP,RP) 165 16 183 65.4 33.8 116.0 -49.0
Carrasco suffered a serious hamstring strain in mid-March which is likely to keep him out 6-8 weeks. It's a devastating blow to the veteran who returned strong from his battle with leukemia in 2019 to post a 2.91 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 2020. There was plenty to like about Carrasco in New York, including that the Mets will provide him with a better chance at wins, their infield defense should be above average, and Carrasco will play in a more favorable park. But at this point, he's nothing more than a bench starter for your fantasy team given his injury.
59 Corey Kluber (NYY - SP) IL60 168 39 154 65.6 14.1 144.0 -24.0
Kluber has pitched 36 2/3 innings combined over the last two years, and will now join the Yankees on a one-year deal. There's nothing to be gained from looking at his numbers since 2018, as the sample size is too small, and prior to that, he was a perennial Cy Young contender. There was a bit of a velocity drop at the end of his last healthy season, but he was also finishing up his fifth straight 200-inning season. In other words, his lack of innings over the last two years (due to injury) may wind up being a blessing in disguise for Kluber. His ADP has some helium based on how quickly the Yankees signed him, but so long as you bake in some pretty substantial injury risk, he's certainly worth drafting as an SP5 with upside.
60 Marcus Stroman (NYM - SP) 169 24 161 66.2 18.0 189.0 +20.0
Stroman missed the entire 2020 season after battling a calf injury and then opting out, but he'll return to the Mets after accepting the team's qualifying offer. Stroman's strikeout rate jumped after his trade to the National League, but with a career 58.7% ground ball rate, he'll need the Mets' infield defense to be better than it was in 2019. The trade for Francisco Lindor should help, as should his reported development of both a new split changeup and four-seam fastball. Stroman has always had a decent floor, but now out of the AL East and with some tweaks to his arsenal coming, he possesses plenty of upside as a late-round draft pick.
61 Craig Kimbrel (CWS - RP) 173 35 108 66.4 15.2 164.0 -9.0
As a whole, Kimbrel's 2020 numbers were abysmal. A 5.28 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a walk rate of 17.4%. And yet, there were some encouraging signs. Not only did his strikeout rate bounce back to 40.6%, but he was actually an elite pitcher after his first four outings. How elite? He pitched to a 1.42 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and stuck out 53.1% of the batters he faced. It wasn't perfect, as Kimbrel still walked five batters per nine innings over that stretch. But he showed that he still has some has left in the tank. Although he never reclaimed the closer's job despite his strong finish, it's a good bet that the Cubs hand him the ninth-inning role to start, as they try to rebuild his trade value in the final year of his deal. That means Kimbrel should at least get save chances for the first several weeks of the season, and, as such, should be drafted as low-end second closer with just a modicum of upside.
62 James Paxton (SEA - SP) IL60 170 36 99 66.5 13.9 204.0 +34.0
Paxton missed almost the entire 2020 season after straining a flexor in his pitching forearm. Any forearm injury is worrisome because of the connection to the elbow, and Paxton has hardly been the picture of health in his career. He'll try to jumpstart his career again back with the Mariners, and the reports from his workout, where he reportedly touched 94 MPH, were encouraging after his velocity drop last year. When he pitches, he's almost always effective, so he's worth a late-round pick for the potential upside. But the injury history should keep him relatively low on your draft board.
63 Mike Soroka (ATL - SP) IL60 171 36 172 67.7 20.2 165.0 -6.0
Soroka pitched in just three games last year before rupturing his Achilles tendon. He's progressing well but the best case scenario for him appears to be a late-April return. When healthy, he's someone who fantasy managers can rely on as an ERA and WHIP stabilizer, who should contribute plenty of wins. The strikeouts won't be there, however, and given that he's coming off a significant injury, the Braves will likely be extra cautious with him when he does start. All that to say, don't draft Soroka expecting much more than 100-120 innings out of him. If you do that, you'll likely be happy with your return on investment.
64 Aaron Civale (CLE - SP) IL60 172 42 146 67.9 18.8 191.0 +19.0
Civale fits the mold of the Cleveland pitcher over the last few seasons: start with the command, and let the team work on the rest. That's how Civale has found success the last two seasons, and continues to do so in the spring. He's never going to be a high-strikeout pitcher - he never was in the minors and his fastball sits in about the 91 MPH range. But his ability to limit free passes and hard contact means that he shouldn't hurt a fantasy rotation. He's a high-floor, low-ceiling starter, who is ideal for the back end of a fantasy staff.
65 Devin Williams (MIL - RP) 176 41 118 68.8 17.3 159.0 -17.0
You have to hand it to the Brewers - they produce relievers who put up historically great seasons. Williams wasn't just good in 2020 - he was truly beyond belief. A 0.33 ERA. One run and eight hits allowed in 27 innings. A 44% K-BB%. Williams has battled injuries for much of his career, but given what he did last year, he should be drafted among the elite fantasy relievers in the game. Even if he never gets a save chance with Josh Hader in front of him, his ratios make him more than worth it.
66 Andrew Heaney (NYY - SP) 180 34 101 69.5 10.8 197.0 +17.0
Heaney is a fine pitcher, but it feels like he has a lot more to him than his career 4.44 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. His fastball is hittable and he throws it often, and his curveball isn't quite good enough to offset the damage. He was outspoken about working this offseason to become less predictable, so hopefully that manifests itself in his 2021 performance. But there's no reason to draft him as anything but a pitcher who will give you decent strikeouts and mediocre ratios, hopefully as someone you can use on your bench and stream in the right matchup.
67 Chris Bassitt (OAK - SP) 182 47 100 70.4 12.2 172.0 -10.0
Bassitt doesn't wow you with his raw stuff, and is never going to be a high-strikeout pitcher. But he has above-average command and is able to generally limit hard contact and home runs. If he were being drafted on the basis of his 2.29 ERA last year then he would be someone to avoid, but the fact is he is never going to be drafted on the basis of his actual numbers given his sub-par strikeout rate and his significantly higher FIP and xFIP (versus his ERA). He can add plenty of value on the back end of a fantasy rotation, so long as you have strikeouts covered elsewhere.
68 Jose Urquidy (HOU - SP) IL10 185 46 127 73.4 15.5 183.0 -2.0
 
69 Zach Eflin (PHI - SP) IL10 187 41 124 74.4 13.5 184.0 -3.0
 
70 Rafael Montero (HOU - RP) 191 41 160 74.9 14.1 169.0 -22.0
Montero wound up closing for the Rangers and totaling eight saves in 2020, but it wasn't a particularly special season. His hard-hit rate and walk-rate increased from his strong 2019 season, and he totaled a 4.08 ERA. Now with Seattle, Montero's best asset may be his lack of competition for the closer's role, as Seattle has struggled for several seasons to find a reliable ninth-inning option. Draft Montero as a mid-tier closer, who you're taking more for his job security than his spectacular numbers.
71 Triston McKenzie (CLE - SP) 190 53 199 76.8 21.7 181.0 -9.0
McKenzie had a very successful major league debut last year, pitching to a 3.24 ERA, a 0.90 WHIP, and a 33.1% strikeout rate. His talent isn't in question at this point, but his health certainly is. McKenzie has a very slight build and has missed time with injury in his minor league career, including all of the 2019 season. Even if he stays healthy all year, Cleveland is likely to put a hard cap on his innings. There's a reward, but there's plenty of risk to go with it. Draft him for the back end of your rotation and hope he gets to 140 innings.
72 Will Smith (ATL - RP) 195 25 112 67.5 19.8 162.0 -33.0
Smith had a rough 2020 season, losing several weeks to a bout with COVID-19 and being far less effective than usual when he did pitch. His dominant slider just wasn't the same, as batters hit .263 (after never hitting better than .193) and tallied a .398 wOBA (after never totaling higher than .282) against it. But Brian Snitker appears to be willing to throw out Smith's poor season almost entirely. Although he hasn't named Smith the closer, he has professed his confidence in him, and there's been speculation from beat writers that Smith will ultimately win the role after a battle with Chris Martin and A.J. Minter. Draft Smith as the presumptive closer unless you hear otherwise from Braves camp.
73 Eduardo Rodriguez (BOS - SP) 197 45 287 80.5 21.7 199.0 +2.0
Rodriguez missed the entire 2020 season because of serious complications from a heart conditions caused by COVID-19, but he looks to be healthy heading into 2021. Assuming he doesn't have any setbacks, he should be considered one of the safest pitchers in the game. You know what you're going to get from Rodriguez: an ERA around 4.00, a WHIP around 1.30, and solid strikeouts. Those numbers won't wow you, but Rodriguez has consistently limited hard contact throughout his career, so he should retain what amounts to a fairly high floor. Plus, the usual innings concerns shouldn't be as much of a factor for him, considering nearly every pitcher has similar concerns after 2020. For a late-round pitcher, he's hardly an upside play, but he should be someone you can stick in the back end of your rotation and not think much about it.
74 Alex Colome (MIN - RP) 199 43 146 81.7 19.2 160.0 -39.0
Colome has been a quality major league reliever for year, but last year, managed to drop his ERA down to a silly 0.81 and his WHIP below 1.00 for the first time in his career. His success was largely on the back of increased movement on his cutter (which induced a ton of weak contact, but which was also less of a strikeout pitch, leading to a drop in strikeouts), as well as Yasmani Grandal's pitch-framing skills. He'll now move to Minnesota where he'll likely form some sort of committee with Taylor Rogers. He's worth drafting, but only very late, and with the expectation that he won't pile on a ton of saves.
75 John Means (BAL - SP) 198 39 197 81.9 22.7 229.0 +31.0
Means's 4.53 ERA and grotesque home run rate are probably going to scare the casual fantasy manager away, but there is a ton to like about him heading into 2021. First, Means had a weird year last season, as he dealt with arm fatigue early and then his father passed away, so his schedule was certainly thrown up into the air at the start. Probably because of those difficulties, his outstanding changeup wasn't effective earlier in the season, but it was back to being his money pitch by season's end. Add to that Means' increase in velocity, his strong finish (1.52 ERA, 30 strikeouts over his last four starts), and his excellent command, and there's a breakout waiting to happen, despite the tough division.
76 David Price (LAD - RP,SP) 202 50 286 84.2 34.8 180.0 -22.0
Price was traded to the Dodgers along with Mookie Betts, but hasn't yet made a start with the team after opting out of the 2020 season. He'll be back for 2021, but his role isn't yet solidified according to reports, especially considering the extreme depth of the Dodgers' rotation. When healthy, even at his advanced age, Price is still a quality major league starter, with above-average strikeout and walk rates. The issue for Price is really health, as he's averaged only about 120 innings per season over his previous three years. His average draft position reflects the risk, and assuming he does end up in the rotation, he offers as much upside as anyone going in his range. There's still juice left for Price when he's healthy, so monitor reports out of the spring.
77 Jordan Romano (TOR - RP) 207 29 136 75.9 20.8 192.0 -15.0
Romano is poised to serve as the Blue Jays' closer after Kirby Yates suffered an elbow injury which will cost him the season. Romano's stuff isn't special, but he had a very solid 2020 campaign, and should see plenty of save chances with Toronto, assuming he's officially named the closer. The relief pitcher landscape for fantasy gets cloudy quickly, so despite the lack of certainty, Romano makes a decent option for your second reliever. Bump him higher if he's officially named the closer before the season.
78 Dustin May (LAD - SP,RP) IL60 200 42 147 80.6 19.9 198.0 -2.0
May has been named the Dodgers' fifth starter by Dave Roberts, a surprising twist given the presence of David Price and Tony Gonsolin. Given the Dodgers' depth and their history, it's unlikely that he'll remain in the rotation from start to finish, but if you haven't drafted yet, move him significantly higher on your board.
79 Taylor Rogers (MIN - RP) IL10 208 45 162 86.4 20.1 202.0 -6.0
Rogers has been the reliever to roster in Minnesota for the past two seasons, but he's totaled just 39 saves over that span. Even with the shortened 2020 season, that's just not the total you want to see from a reliever if you're relying on him as an RP1, especially when the Twins as a team have totaled 92 saves over the last two years. Rogers's lack of saves is all about Rocco Baldelli's philosophy, rather than Rogers's lack of effectiveness (he's totaled a 2.80 ERA, a 1.04 WHIP, and a 10.8 K/9 over the last three years). Unfortunately, Baldelli is unlikely to abandon his committee approach with the additions of Alex Colome and Hansel Robles. Rogers is still a fine RP2, but certainly don't expect him to get every save chance in Minnesota.
80 Richard Rodriguez (ATL - RP) 215 39 161 86.3 18.8 206.0 -9.0
So long as he remains with the Pirates, Rodriguez is likely to be the closer after locking down four saves last year. He's been a quality reliever for a few years in a row now, including last year when he put up a 2.70 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP with plenty of strikeouts. There's been speculation that the Pirates will look to deal Rodriguez before the season begins. But until and unless they do, he's a decent late-round selection who will likely total a handful of saves until he's inevitably dealt mid-season.
81 Jordan Montgomery (NYY - SP) 213 56 139 86.6 15.7 231.0 +18.0
 
82 Amir Garrett (CIN - RP) 220 44 152 83.0 21.0 217.0 -3.0
Garrett cut way down on his walks in 2020 and had the best season of his career, striking out 37.7% of the batters he faced. He also retired the first batter he faced in every inning, and completely dominated against left-handed hitters. He's in the mix to be the Reds' closer with Lucas Sims and Sean Doolittle, and he's been vocal about wanting the job. He's probably the first reliever to draft out of Cincinnati until there's some clarity, but it's far from a sure thing that he'll be the everyday closer.
83 Jameson Taillon (NYY - SP) 212 43 288 91.3 35.5 182.0 -30.0
Taillon has undergone Tommy John surgery twice, and has totaled just 37 1/3 innings over the last two years. And really, he's had only one truly notable year, which was in 2018. But what separated Taillon that year was his outstanding slider, which not only performed exceedingly well, but also buoyed the effectiveness of the rest of his pitches. Now with the Yankees, Taillon has plenty of upside. But, as always, health remains the concern, and is the reason you shouldn't draft him until you've filled out most of your staff.
84 Michael Pineda (MIN - SP) 218 42 209 92.0 23.2 220.0 +2.0
 
85 Sean Manaea (OAK - SP) 222 49 120 89.1 16.6 228.0 +6.0
 
86 Dallas Keuchel (CWS - SP) 216 57 185 86.1 26.0 171.0 -45.0
Keuchel pitched to a remarkable 1.99 ERA last year, though that's hardly to be expected to repeat in 2021. His xFIP was nearly two runs higher, his BABIP against was nearly 40 points below his career average, and his already low strikeout rate dipped to just 16.3%. Having Yasmani Grandal as a catcher certainly helps a pitcher outperform his expected stats, but even if Keuchel were to repeat his 2020 performance, his strikeout rate is such a drain that it keeps his value in check. If your staff is dominant in strikeouts, then you can roll with Keuchel at the very back end of your rotation. But if not, just ignore him on draft day.
87 Hector Neris (PHI - RP) 233 60 131 97.3 18.0 300.0 +67.0
Neris has been named the Phillies' closer to start the season. Although he has been the Phillies' primary closer for the past four seasons, he's hardly been the model of efficiency. His ERA over those seasons is 3.01, 5.10, 2.93, and 4.57. And he surprisingly struggled with his control last year, seeking his BB/9 rate jump to 5.40 and his WHIP to 1.71. Neris's splitter is outstanding when it's on, but he has the tendency to get hit hard when it's not. With Archie Bradley and Jose Alvarado in tow, and Brandon Kintzler with the team on a minor league deal, Neris's leash will be short. Draft him as a low-end closer, but don't rush to do so.
88 Elieser Hernandez (MIA - SP,RP) IL60 231 50 197 90.5 24.3 258.0 +27.0
Hernandez was excellent in his six starts last season, tallying a 3.16 ERA, a 1.01 WHIP, and a 32.1% strikeout rate. But he allowed a lot of hard contact along the way, including a 91.8 MPH average exit velocity (bottom three percent in the league). He worked on his changeup this offseason in an effort to add a reliable third pitch (he threw his fastball and slider 94% of the time last year), and it has gotten rave reviews in camp. He's fourth in the pecking order of the Marlins starters, but if his changeup can be an effective pitch, he might be the one to provide the most value given his extremely modest ADP.
89 Matt Barnes (BOS - RP) 230 58 136 91.8 14.5 221.0 -9.0
Barnes may begin the year as the closer, but it's hardly a guarantee that he'll keep the role. His walk rate has been above 13% for each of the last two seasons, and his WHIP is 1.38 over that span. Adam Ottavino, Darwinzon Hernandez, and Hirokazu Sawamura are in play to take over for Barnes if he struggles. For now, consider Barnes on the very tail end of draftable relievers in fantasy.
90 Brady Singer (KC - SP) IL10 232 65 289 98.3 36.7 280.0 +48.0
 
91 Cristian Javier (HOU - RP,SP) 237 43 290 100.7 42.3 212.0 -25.0
 
92 Diego Castillo (SEA - SP,RP) 242 47 182 100.5 23.5 263.0 +21.0
 
93 Jake Odorizzi (HOU - SP) 241 60 156 96.8 16.5 281.0 +40.0
 
94 Freddy Peralta (MIL - SP,RP) 243 49 158 93.0 23.5 261.0 +18.0
 
95 Ryan Yarbrough (TB - SP,RP) 240 49 298 93.8 35.5 259.0 +19.0
Yarbrough doesn't get a ton of respect in the fantasy community because he doesn't strike out a ton of batters, but he's quietly put together an excellent career. He's practically a wizard at limiting hard contact (he has allowed an average exit velocity of 84.8 MPH and an average hard hit rate of 26.3%, both remarkably low numbers), and he rarely issues free passes or home runs. In other words, it's really difficult to string together big innings against Yarbrough, especially as he's continued to use his excellent changeup more and more. The Rays will probably let him go a little more this year with their rotation, but even if they keep his usage the same, he'll be an excellent addition to the back end of a fantasy staff.
96 Nathan Eovaldi (BOS - SP,RP) 246 54 162 96.2 18.6 246.0
Similar to John Means, Eovaldi is another starter who finished the season on a roll. Eovaldi upped his cutter usage as the expense of his four-seam fastball, and he posted a 25:2 K:BB ratio over his final four starts (while allowing just two earned runs). If you take out his worst start of the season, Eovaldi's ERA drops from 3.72 to 2.51. He has never shown any kind of consistency at the major league level, but fantasy managers could do worse when searching for a late-round lottery ticket.
97 Griffin Canning (LAA - SP) MiLB 249 80 141 104.0 14.2 368.0 +119.0
It's mostly about health with Canning, who offers a great deal of stability when he's on the mound. You can expect at worst a low 4.00 ERA, about a 1.30 WHIP, and roughly a strikeout per inning. But he did close last season notably strong, pitching to a 3.14 ERA, and a 1.19 WHIP, with a 14.5% swinging strike rate and a 10.4 K/9 mark over his final five starts. That's probably his ceiling, but it shows what he's capable of when he is healthy and gets into a groove. He's a fine pick at his cost (which is minimal), but bake in some injury risk.
98 Drew Pomeranz (SD - SP,RP) 251 63 171 98.0 21.2 210.0 -41.0
Pomeranz likely would have, at the very least, factored into the closer's mix for San Diego prior to the Mark Melancon and Keone Kela signings. After finally switching into a full-time reliever role last year, Pomeranz shined, with a 1.45 ERA, a 1.02 WHIP, and a 39.7% strikeout rate. Although he may still be in line for save opportunities, the presence of Melancon, Kela, and Emilio Pagan muddy the waters. That's especially true given that Pomeranz is currently the only healthy and reliable left-hander in the bullpen. Pomeranz is worth a late selection until and unless Jayce Tingler declares that he's not an option for the ninth inning.
99 Jordan Hicks (STL - RP) IL60 256 50 291 98.3 36.3 200.0 -56.0
Hicks is likely to serve as the Cardinals' closer this year if he can show that he has fully recovered from Tommy John surgery. He totaled 20 saves from 2018-2019 before hurting his elbow, and then opted out of last season, in part because of setbacks in his recovery. Early reports from the spring are promising, and it seems that the Cardinals want him and his 100+ MPH fastball to lead the way in the ninth inning. Monitor his health in the spring, but draft him late for now and expect saves so long as he is healthy.
100 Greg Holland (KC - RP) 257 59 164 102.0 23.6 214.0 -43.0
Holland re-signed with the Royals after an outstanding season, during which he put up an ERA under 2.00 and a WHIP below 1.00 for the first time since 2014. He'll almost certainly begin the year as the closer, but he's unlikely to stay in the role for the entire season. Even if he's not dealt to a contender by the trade deadline, his walk rate is surely to be closer to the 5.3/9 innings that he put up his previous four seasons, rather than the 2.22 he managed last year. Draft Holland late as someone who can chip in saves early, but be prepared to hit the waiver wire later in the year.
101 Zach Davies (CHC - SP) 255 66 332 110.7 40.9 252.0 -3.0
Davies has quietly put together two quality seasons, with a 3.55 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 2019, and a 2.73 ERA and 1.07 WHIP last year. Notably, he started throwing more changeups in 2020, which led both to an increased swinging strike rate and strikeout rate. But his xERA was still 5.01, and although he routinely outperforms his expected stats, it's a reminder not to get too high on a pitcher who amounts to a command specialist. The upside is that after a trade to the Cubs, he'll face mostly weak offenses, which should help to boost his floor a bit.
102 Tony Gonsolin (LAD - SP,RP) IL10 259 54 190 100.2 22.6 257.0 -2.0
Gonsolin doesn't have a guaranteed spot in the Dodgers' rotation to start the season, and with the team signing Trevor Bauer, it's unclear just how much he'll start this season. His stuff doesn't blow you away, but he's got a 2.60 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP in 86.2 big league innings. And there were gains last year, as he cut his walk rate down and upped his strikeout rate. Gonsolin is an ideal candidate to have on your bench, because if he does get a spot in the rotation, he'll be a popular waiver wire add, and he can add value as a reliever in the meantime. So draft him late, and likely reap the rewards.
103 Drew Smyly (ATL - SP) 261 48 204 104.9 23.6 355.0 +94.0
If you're willing to buy into Smyly's 2020 season, then he's likely to come at a major discount in drafts. He added more than two miles per hour to his fastball, struck out 37.8% of the batters he faced, and leaned more into his excellent curveball. There's reason for optimism after the Braves offered him a substantial one-year deal. Of course, Smyly's real issue is his health, as he missed two full seasons because of Tommy John surgery and even last year was limited to 26 1/3 innings. But there's reason to believe his gains last year are sustainable, so taking him late in your drafts, is worth the gamble.
104 Matthew Boyd (DET - SP) IL10 264 62 215 110.5 24.3 278.0 +14.0
 
105 Mike Minor (KC - SP) 265 52 160 107.5 21.7 305.0 +40.0
 
106 Giovanny Gallegos (STL - RP) 266 60 136 101.0 15.4 275.0 +9.0
Gallegos pitched well last year with the Cardinals despite seeing limited innings because of his difficulty in getting to the states in the middle of a pandemic. But he was effective when he pithed, and owns a career 3.06 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and 31.6% strikeout rate. The Cardinals want Jordan Hicks to be their closer, but Gallegos will undoubtedly be in the mix should Hick prove ineffective or suffer a setback in his return from Tommy John surgery.
107 Chris Sale (BOS - SP) IL60 267 48 292 108.7 40.7 270.0 +3.0
 
108 Joakim Soria (TOR - RP) 269 71 165 101.4 19.0 247.0 -22.0
The Diamondbacks gave Soria a one-year, $3.5 million deal after his successful stint with the A's. Soria fixed his home run problem from 2019, which was an outlier for his career anyway, and his 2020 numbers looked much more in line with his typical output. Soria hasn't been named the closer, but given that he has totaled at least 16 saves in eight separate seasons, it's a strong bet that he'll begin the year in the ninth inning. The Diamondbacks aren't expected to be competitive, so if you do draft him, bank on him being traded to another team, and into another role, by mid-season.
109 Pete Fairbanks (TB - RP) IL10 277 56 293 108.7 40.1 314.0 +37.0
 
110 Yusei Kikuchi (SEA - SP) 273 56 147 104.8 16.5 369.0 +96.0
 
111 Anthony Bass (MIA - RP) 280 32 147 101.9 20.1 276.0 -4.0
Bass will likely be in the mix for saves with Yimi Garcia (and possibly Dylan Floro) after he signed a two-year deal with the Marlins. He lacks the typical strikeout stuff of most closers, but he's totaled 12 saves, a 3.54 ERA, and a 0.99 WHIP over the past two years. Bass is an extreme ground ball pitcher (62.3% ground ball rate last year), which is how he's able to survive without big time stuff. But Don Mattingly likely won't name a closer until the end of spring training, so draft Bass late for now, but have plenty of other bullpen options.
112 Emilio Pagan (SD - RP) 278 53 180 98.8 23.4 260.0 -18.0
 
113 Framber Valdez (HOU - SP,RP) 281 37 333 111.7 52.9 193.0 -88.0
Valdez was shaping up to be a fine sleeper this year, after he had a highly successful stint in the Astros rotation last year. But he fractured his finger early in spring training and the expectation is that he'll miss significant time, though recent reports are far more optimistic than the initial season-ending variety. Drop him down a ton from where you initially had him ranked, but draft him toward the back end of your rotation where the risk/reward balance should equalize.
114 Taijuan Walker (NYM - SP) 283 49 266 120.3 29.5 279.0 -4.0
 
115 Domingo German (NYY - SP) IL10 288 59 320 122.2 53.6 239.0 -49.0
German has won the fifth starter's job after a torrid spring, during which he didn't allow a run over nine innings pitched while walking one and striking out 13. German's off-the-field issues aside, he was a quality MLB pitcher in 2019, and he should be a decent contributor in four categories, especially considering his low walk rate. He's not risk-free, as a downturn in his performance could lead to Deivi Garcia coming back in the rotation. But he's a fine, late-round selection.
116 Mark Melancon (SD - RP) 292 68 186 118.2 25.4 264.0 -28.0
Melancon had another fine year as the Braves' closer, and now joins the back end of the Padres bullpen. It's unclear if he'll serve as the closer, a Drew Pomeranz and Emilio Pagan also may have a claim to the role. Melancon is entering his age-36 season and his strikeout rate is mediocre at best. Although he is still performing well, his lack of pure stuff suggests that the wheels could come off at any moment. That said, he'll have plenty of value if he can earn the ninth-inning role, so monitor the reports out of spring, and draft him late until and unless he's officially ruled out for the role.
117 Archie Bradley (PHI - RP) 291 65 158 112.9 16.9 256.0 -35.0
Bradley joined the Phillies on a one-year deal after a successful 2020 season with Arizona and Philadelphia. He performed admirably over the past two seasons as the Diamondbacks' closer, and last year put up a very solid 2.95 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and 24.7% strikeout rate. The Phillies were open about their desire to add some velocity to their bullpen and Bradley does just that. But although Joe Girardi has indicated he'd like set roles for the Phillies' bullpen, those roles may not be decided until close to the end of spring training. Bradley is worth drafting, but only late, as he may go back to his former role as a setup man.
118 Daniel Bard (COL - RP) 294 65 297 118.4 35.9 255.0 -39.0
Bard comes into 2021 as the Rockies' presumptive closer, after he came out of a two-year retirement to pitch in the majors for the first time since 2013. Bard's control problems, which derailed his career, were largely solved, and his 3.65 ERA and 1.30 WHIP were more than passable for a Colorado closer. Mychal Givens remains, and Scott Oberg will try to pitch effectively after undergoing thoracic outlet surgery, but if Bard can maintain his control, he'll likely earn and hold the closer's job.
119 Justus Sheffield (SEA - SP) IL10 303 63 377 131.9 59.7 371.0 +68.0
 
120 Noah Syndergaard (NYM - SP) IL60 305 66 334 131.2 53.7 262.0 -43.0
 
121 Jake McGee (SF - RP) 298 45 251 115.4 36.1 273.0 -25.0
 
122 Nate Pearson (TOR - SP) MiLB 302 69 296 129.5 49.0 283.0 -19.0
Pearson is oozing with talent, but he just can't seem to stay healthy. Whether it was elbow soreness last year or the groin strain that is now going to keep him out of action for a bit, something seem to crop up to delay his success in the majors. He wound up pitching just 18 innings overall last year, but the stuff is there, without question. His fastball reaches triple digits, his slider is dominant, and his curveball and changeup are far above average. There's always a bit more uncertainty with young power pitchers, particularly when they've had elbow injuries like Pearson has. And, after trading for Steven Matz, the Blue Jays have plenty of rotation depth and shouldn't feel pressured into rushing Pearson back from injury. In keeper and dynasty formats, he's still a buy, but in redraft leagues, he's probably not worth a pick at this point.
123 Tarik Skubal (DET - SP) 308 73 184 115.7 20.7 299.0 -9.0
 
124 Dane Dunning (TEX - SP) 311 79 293 123.0 36.4 418.0 +107.0
Dunning had an interesting seven-start run in 2020. He started out relying heavily on his outstanding slider and his fastball, which led to a strong swinging strike rate and plenty of punchouts in his first few starts. He then abandoned that approach to focus more on his changeup, which led to him missing fewer bats and being less successful. Now with the Rangers, Dunning should get a chance to compete for a rotation spot right out of the gate. He has the tools and skills necessary to be successful, and the draft capital necessary to acquire him should be minimal. He's worth a late-round pick in nearly all formats.
125 Luis Severino (NYY - SP) IL60 317 65 248 127.0 32.7 321.0 +4.0
Severino is working his way back from Tommy John surgery, but the reports so far have been generally positive. He's already throwing off a mound in mid-March, and a June return isn't out of the question if he can avoid setbacks. Avoiding setbacks is the key, of course, and it's something that's rare in the world of returning from multiple serious issues, as Severino is trying to do. But, for now, draft him with one of your last picks and stash him in your IL spot, if you have the room.
126 Adam Ottavino (BOS - RP) 319 72 170 124.1 21.1 326.0 +7.0
 
127 Kwang Hyun Kim (STL - SP) 315 94 337 131.2 44.8 287.0 -28.0
If you want upside with a late-round pitcher, you're looking in the wrong place with Kim. Although he put up a 1.62 ERA and 1.07 WHIP last year, his xFIP and SIERA were each about three runs higher than his ERA. He also struck out just 5.54 batters per nine innings, and never showed much strikeout potential in the KBO. That said, for a pitcher who is basically free in drafts, he offers some decent stability, and is worth taking late if you have an otherwise strong staff, particularly with strikeouts. Back tightness may put him on the IL to start the year, but there does not appear to be any long-term concerns.
128 Chris Martin (ATL - RP) 318 58 168 120.5 20.1 317.0 -1.0
 
129 MacKenzie Gore (SD - SP) MiLB 324 84 246 136.9 37.4 322.0 -2.0
 
130 Nick Wittgren (CLE - RP) 323 56 198 122.1 27.8 387.0 +64.0
 
131 Robbie Ray (TOR - SP) 326 45 409 134.5 57.8 290.0 -36.0
 
132 Brad Keller (KC - SP) 325 71 238 127.8 35.0 306.0 -19.0
 
133 Trevor Rogers (MIA - SP) 322 70 214 122.5 30.0 318.0 -4.0
 
134 Mitch Keller (PIT - SP) 340 89 310 146.7 45.6 426.0 +86.0
In his brief MLB career, Keller is the author of one of the unluckiest (2019) and luckiest (2020) seasons in recent memory. So, the best course of action is to essentially ignore his 69 major league innings and focus on his stuff and minor league career. If you do that, there's a lot to like. Keller has a mid-90s fastball to go along with an above average slider and curveball. Over more than 500 minor league innings, he had a 25.5% strikeout rate, a 3.12 ERA, and a 1.15 WHIP. He will likely struggle for wins on the Pirates, but he'll also get a long leash given the dearth of reliable options, and he should face mostly weak offenses in the NL Central. Keller likely won't be a star, but he'll probably outperform where you need to draft him.
135 Stefan Crichton (ARI - RP) MiLB 341 82 279 146.4 36.2 370.0 +29.0
Crichton filled in admirably for Archie Bradley after Bradley was traded last season. His strikeout numbers weren't particularly impressive, but he had a 2.42 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP, and tallied five saves. He doesn't have prototypical "closer's stuff," but he's more than capable of getting major league hitters out. The Diamondbacks signed Joakim Soria to a one-year deal (and added Tyler Clippard, too), so Crichton seems unlikely to begin the year as the closer, even though it's an open competition at the moment. He's not worth anything other than an extremely late-round pick as a speculative ninth-inning option.
136 Tejay Antone (CIN - SP,RP) IL10 329 79 207 127.2 27.1 312.0 -17.0
Antone's role wasn't entirely clear at the outset of spring training, but he now looks destined for a starter's job, if he can stay healthy. With Sonny Gray and Wade Miley likely to begin the year on the IL, Antone should begin the year in the rotation, assuming he is healthy enough to do so. He's currently battling a groin strain, and his status is uncertain. When healthy, he's got a wipeout slider, enough to pile on the strikeouts, and has enough upside to be worth a late-round dart throw. Monitor his, Gray's, and Miley's health status closely heading into your drafts.
137 Tanner Scott (BAL - RP) IL10 344 86 173 133.3 22.4 362.0 +18.0
 
138 Madison Bumgarner (ARI - SP) 343 61 419 150.5 66.9 286.0 -57.0
 
139 Josh Lindblom (MIL - RP,SP) MiLB 351 61 260 132.2 36.6 427.0 +76.0
 
140 J.A. Happ (STL - SP) 353 68 203 146.0 26.1 346.0 -7.0
 
141 Dylan Cease (CWS - SP) 349 71 286 147.8 45.9 304.0 -45.0
 
142 Michael Kopech (CWS - RP,SP) 350 97 258 137.1 31.4 303.0 -47.0
Kopech remains one of the top pitching prospects in the game, but he hasn't pitched competitively in about two-and-a-half year at this point. His fastball and slider are more than MLB caliber, and he had a 31.2% strikeout rate in the minors. But after missing all of 2019 with Tommy John surgery and opting out last year, it wouldn't be wise to just expect Kopech to step right back into a rotation without any growing pains. The White Sox also have depth in their rotation after trading for Lance Lynn and signing Carlos Rodon, so Chicago can, and likely will, stick Kopech in the minors to start the year to continue his development. But given their championship aspirations, he should crack the rotation at some point during the season if he show he is back to form.
143 Jake Diekman (OAK - RP) 355 90 225 138.7 27.3 310.0 -45.0
 
144 Caleb Smith (ARI - RP,SP) 362 78 299 140.8 39.6 335.0 -27.0
 
145 Luke Weaver (ARI - SP) IL60 358 89 340 144.9 49.2 442.0 +84.0
 
146 Spencer Turnbull (DET - SP) IL60 368 92 239 154.0 33.8 433.0 +65.0
 
147 Nick Anderson (TB - RP) IL60 346 45 321 149.1 76.1 201.0 -145.0
Anderson has a partial tear of his elbow ligament and, although he won't need surgery, he is likely out until after the All-Star Break. Although he can be dominant when healthy, there's no reason to draft and stash him at this point, given that he won't even be the sole closer for the Rays if and when he returns.
148 Adbert Alzolay (CHC - SP) 372 96 288 151.4 38.7 436.0 +64.0
 
149 Miles Mikolas (STL - SP) IL60 379 100 309 157.8 53.5 451.0 +72.0
 
150 Trevor May (NYM - RP) 382 73 192 143.9 31.8 357.0 -25.0
 
151 Lucas Sims (CIN - SP,RP) IL10 373 73 218 144.8 29.7 395.0 +22.0
Sims had a fine 2020, going 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA a 0.94 WHIP, and plenty of strikeouts. He'll be in the mix for the Reds' closer job with Amir Garrett and Sean Doolittle, though his early bout with elbow soreness this spring doesn't help him. Monitor the reports out of spring training, but he's a late-round speculative draft pick at best at the moment.
152 Tanner Rainey (WSH - RP) MiLB 369 101 177 144.8 19.8 459.0 +90.0
 
153 Anthony DeSclafani (SF - SP) 377 98 259 160.3 37.1 453.0 +76.0
 
154 Yimi Garcia (HOU - RP) 378 61 283 149.6 37.2 342.0 -36.0
Garcia was the favorite for saves in Miami until the team signed Anthony Bass, and now his exact role in the bullpen is unclear. He struck out 31.7% of the batter he faced last year, and put up a 0.80 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. He's got more prototypical "closer's stuff" than Bass does, and he has a lengthy relationship with Don Mattingly dating back to their Dodgers days. Draft Garcia late and hope he wins the job, but make sure you have other options.
155 A.J. Puk (OAK - RP) MiLB 374 100 270 156.1 39.6 386.0 +12.0
 
156 Chad Green (NYY - SP,RP) 375 71 207 145.4 33.3 360.0 -15.0
 
157 Alex Reyes (STL - RP) 384 77 284 147.4 44.4 347.0 -37.0
 
158 Casey Mize (DET - SP) 385 94 428 170.8 89.5 320.0 -65.0
 
159 Adam Wainwright (STL - SP) 399 111 322 174.3 52.9 289.0 -110.0
 
160 Rich Hill (NYM - SP) 389 64 218 156.3 37.4 392.0 +3.0
 
161 Jose Quintana (LAA - SP,RP) 405 102 343 166.9 57.4 384.0 -21.0
 
162 Carlos Martinez (STL - SP,RP) IL60 386 109 345 165.4 49.8 324.0 -62.0
 
163 Emmanuel Clase (CLE - RP) 393 97 206 156.9 32.5 467.0 +74.0
 
164 Deivi Garcia (NYY - SP) MiLB 402 91 296 165.5 51.1 319.0 -83.0
 
165 Spencer Howard (TEX - SP) 404 95 344 171.3 52.2 434.0 +30.0
 
166 Seth Lugo (NYM - SP,RP) 396 81 217 149.3 31.3 401.0 +5.0
 
167 Aaron Bummer (CWS - RP) 417 86 237 159.9 35.1 400.0 -17.0
 
168 Ian Kennedy (PHI - RP) 409 94 237 167.1 38.2 375.0 -34.0
 
169 Logan Webb (SF - SP) 392 92 398 189.1 82.6 469.0 +77.0
 
170 Garrett Richards (BOS - SP) 412 105 364 183.7 57.2 448.0 +36.0
 
171 Chris Archer (TB - SP) IL60 418 104 306 169.3 47.5 349.0 -69.0
 
172 Blake Treinen (LAD - RP) 421 105 210 164.3 25.7 361.0 -60.0
 
173 Jose Alvarado (PHI - RP) 411 91 201 165.9 24.3 483.0 +72.0
 
174 Josh Staumont (KC - RP) 431 98 309 189.1 48.5 413.0 -18.0
 
175 Carlos Rodon (CWS - SP) 410 85 390 194.0 71.2 472.0 +62.0
 
176 Randy Dobnak (MIN - RP,SP) IL60 419 113 229 164.5 32.5 464.0 +45.0
 
177 Rafael Dolis (TOR - RP) 434 122 264 172.1 37.4 409.0 -25.0
 
178 Ross Stripling (TOR - SP,RP) 424 113 289 180.8 51.4 466.0 +42.0
 
179 Daulton Jefferies (OAK - SP) 420 113 280 175.1 43.4 489.0 +69.0
 
180 Merrill Kelly (ARI - SP) 414 100 280 178.0 50.2 456.0 +42.0
 
181 Tyler Duffey (MIN - RP) 426 93 235 171.9 32.6 373.0 -53.0
 
182 Brent Suter (MIL - SP,RP) 422 85 249 172.7 46.4 425.0 +3.0
 
183 Gregory Soto (DET - SP,RP) 423 95 372 194.7 84.6 358.0 -65.0
 
184 Reyes Moronta (SF - RP) IL60 441 112 279 176.1 50.6 549.0 +108.0
 
185 Brusdar Graterol (LAD - RP) MiLB 443 92 208 176.2 28.1 372.0 -71.0
 
186 Alex Wood (SF - SP,RP) 442 114 319 188.5 48.1 550.0 +108.0
 
187 Tanner Houck (BOS - SP) MiLB 437 103 418 205.5 88.0 340.0 -97.0
 
188 Michael Lorenzen (CIN - CF,RP) 459 98 394 202.8 75.1 515.0 +56.0
 
189 Adrian Morejon (SD - SP,RP) IL60 440 114 216 183.8 29.6 542.0 +102.0
 
190 Bryan Garcia (DET - RP) MiLB 447 116 444 211.0 78.7 460.0 +13.0
Garcia is the favorite for the closer's role in Detroit, but don't be fooled by his 1.66 ERA last year, as it came with a 5.74 xFIP and a 4.98 K/9 mark. His minor league career has been fairly stellar (2.50 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 11.5 K/9), and he has extensive experience as a closer from both college and the minors. If you're drafting a Tigers reliever, it should be Garcia, but only at a bargain-basement price.
191 Danny Duffy (LAD - SP) IL10 438 127 311 198.0 50.1 525.0 +87.0
 
192 JT Brubaker (PIT - SP) 445 116 297 193.7 48.3 532.0 +87.0
 
193 Adrian Houser (MIL - SP,RP) 446 119 269 198.6 36.6 530.0 +84.0
 
194 David Peterson (NYM - SP) IL60 473 142 285 197.4 40.8 509.0 +36.0
 
195 Brandon Kintzler (PHI - RP) DFA 453 106 353 208.9 51.5 396.0 -57.0
 
196 Daniel Ponce de Leon (STL - SP,RP) IL10 471 112 287 200.0 36.0 523.0 +52.0
 
197 Mike Mayers (LAA - RP) 454 134 279 195.5 30.9 498.0 +44.0
 
198 Sean Doolittle (CIN - RP) 483 146 266 206.5 36.9 513.0 +30.0
After missing most of 2020 with various injuries, Doolittle took a small one-year deal from the Reds in his hope of a bounceback season. He's been trending the wrong way for a couple of seasons now, but he did tally at least 24 saves in each season between 2017 and 2019. Doolittle is the only one in the Reds bullpen with much closing experience, so if he performs well this spring, he could win the ninth-inning job. But there's a ton of uncertainty, and given Doolittle's small contract, it's far from a sure thing that he sees any save opportunities in 2021.
199 J.B. Wendelken (OAK - RP) 468 117 303 203.9 38.7 424.0 -44.0
 
200 Brandon Workman (RP) FA 457 143 252 202.4 21.9 507.0 +50.0
 
201 Garrett Crochet (CWS - RP) 463 64 223 185.0 25.3 364.0 -99.0
 
202 Matt Bush (TEX - RP) IL60 507 122 429 201.6 75.0 526.0 +19.0
 
203 Matt Shoemaker (MIN - RP,SP) MiLB 481 140 282 196.1 39.0 490.0 +9.0
 
204 Tyler Matzek (ATL - RP) 456 80 216 169.6 27.5 508.0 +52.0
 
205 Joely Rodriguez (NYY - RP) 472 138 220 189.0 23.9 696.0 +224.0
 
206 Matt Wisler (TB - SP,RP) 464 131 241 196.5 30.8 545.0 +81.0
 
207 Scott Barlow (KC - RP) 476 126 255 190.3 35.7 572.0 +96.0
 
208 Joey Lucchesi (NYM - SP) IL60 475 121 268 204.4 39.2 573.0 +98.0
 
209 Dean Kremer (BAL - SP) MiLB 470 91 714 251.9 161.7 552.0 +82.0
 
210 Johnny Cueto (SF - SP) 469 118 414 221.9 74.9 365.0 -104.0
 
211 A.J. Minter (ATL - RP) MiLB 485 123 265 188.4 39.2 512.0 +27.0
 
212 Keone Kela (SD - RP) IL60 474 100 240 197.5 27.7 688.0 +214.0
 
213 Zack Britton (NYY - RP) 465 122 263 203.9 37.4 351.0 -114.0
 
214 Tyler Rogers (SF - RP) 505 152 293 208.7 30.6 618.0 +113.0
 
215 Rowan Wick (CHC - RP) IL60 480 132 290 214.2 39.9 521.0 +41.0
 
216 Andrew Miller (STL - RP) 458 131 249 198.2 31.3 670.0 +212.0
 
217 Daniel Hudson (SD - RP) MiLB 498 139 286 216.3 29.0 476.0 -22.0
 
218 Alec Mills (CHC - SP,RP) 499 125 370 224.7 65.5 379.0 -120.0
 
219 Cal Quantrill (CLE - SP,RP) 541 147 535 246.8 104.6 465.0 -76.0
 
220 Jon Gray (COL - SP) 556 84 635 262.8 133.3 480.0 -76.0
 
221 Roberto Osuna (RP) FA 479 111 370 210.2 62.3 334.0 -145.0
 
222 Mike Foltynewicz (TEX - SP) 513 116 510 247.0 119.4 481.0 -32.0
 
223 Jonathan Hernandez (TEX - RP) IL60 502 129 288 225.4 38.6 405.0 -97.0
 
224 Matt Manning (DET - SP) 526 131 305 218.7 31.9 544.0 +18.0
 
225 Yusmeiro Petit (OAK - RP) 486 109 324 200.3 59.2 539.0 +53.0
 
226 Luis Patino (TB - RP,SP) 494 129 438 236.4 83.5 446.0 -48.0
 
227 Masahiro Tanaka (SP) FA 462 112 365 184.2 91.3 457.0 -5.0
 
228 Alex Cobb (LAA - SP) IL10 561 125 560 258.1 118.3 503.0 -58.0
 
229 Kyle Gibson (PHI - SP,RP) 489 102 807 284.0 184.8 430.0 -59.0
 
230 Josh Fleming (TB - RP,SP) 544 127 252 215.5 28.0 477.0 -67.0
 
231 Mychal Givens (CIN - RP) 511 148 257 216.0 28.0 689.0 +178.0
 
232 Lou Trivino (OAK - RP) 515 149 317 223.4 39.9 751.0 +236.0
 
233 Will Harris (WSH - RP) IL60 491 118 276 205.6 38.5    
 
234 Keegan Akin (BAL - RP,SP) 528 100 594 274.3 124.8 561.0 +33.0
 
235 Jonathan Loaisiga (NYY - SP,RP) 518 154 275 217.6 38.1 634.0 +116.0
 
236 Victor Gonzalez (LAD - RP) 525 87 243 201.6 34.0 403.0 -122.0
 
237 Kevin Ginkel (ARI - RP) MiLB 493 153 316 218.6 50.2 771.0 +278.0
 
238 Steven Matz (TOR - SP) 551 127 422 261.9 71.5 411.0 -140.0
 
239 Cesar Valdez (BAL - RP) 545 148 351 235.3 44.7 744.0 +199.0
 
240 Pedro Baez (HOU - RP) IL60 521 155 316 228.3 45.5 753.0 +232.0
 
241 John Gant (MIN - RP,SP) 520 147 322 223.4 47.4 537.0 +17.0
 
242 Connor Brogdon (PHI - RP) 510 135 275 199.0 47.3 778.0 +268.0
 
243 Darren O'Day (NYY - RP) IL60 500 131 300 230.4 54.3 619.0 +119.0
 
244 Dylan Floro (MIA - RP) 527 127 314 219.0 49.6 836.0 +309.0
 
245 Matt Strahm (SD - SP,RP) IL60 522 137 251 221.5 29.4 845.0 +323.0
 
246 Hunter Harvey (BAL - RP) IL10 554 177 314 227.6 45.7 390.0 -164.0
Harvey strained his oblique in spring training and was placed on the 60-day IL, meaning he's unlikely to contribute as the Orioles' designated closer, which was unlikely anyway with Brandon Hyde as the manager. Harvey had a ton of buzz heading into last season, but a strained forearm ultimately limited him to just 8 2/3 innings. He's got a dominant fastball that can reach triple digits, but his injury history has been a roadblock to him becoming a regular and reliable reliever. Hyde likes to go by committee anyway, and Harvey's injury should give him the chance to do just that again. Perhaps spend a last-round pick on Harvey, but better yet, leave him undrafted.
247 Jesse Hahn (KC - RP) IL60 519 158 247 214.9 25.6 724.0 +205.0
 
248 Kris Bubic (KC - RP,SP) 598 140 411 249.4 69.4 536.0 -62.0
 
249 Kohei Arihara (TEX - SP) IL60 583 148 329 231.9 48.2 479.0 -104.0
 
250 Corey Knebel (LAD - RP) IL60 503 141 250 208.7 34.9 652.0 +149.0
 
251 Dellin Betances (NYM - RP) IL60 529 151 283 227.0 41.1 687.0 +158.0
 
252 Cody Stashak (MIN - RP) IL60 524 165 252 210.2 24.2    
 
253 Kyle Wright (ATL - SP) MiLB 586 111 397 267.2 74.3 548.0 -38.0
 
254 Enoli Paredes (HOU - RP) IL10 579 142 283 229.3 37.2 580.0 +1.0
 
255 Craig Stammen (SD - RP) 552 174 268 221.9 36.5    
 
256 Brendan McKay (TB - SP,DH) MiLB 568 171 307 233.1 34.4 646.0 +78.0
 
257 Evan Marshall (CWS - RP) IL60 538 178 258 224.4 22.7 798.0 +260.0
 
258 Logan Allen (CLE - SP,RP) MiLB 550 115 842 327.0 243.8 716.0 +166.0
 
259 Sergio Romo (OAK - RP) 546 179 312 241.0 37.6 564.0 +18.0
 
260 Phil Maton (HOU - RP) 553 168 282 219.2 39.3 817.0 +264.0
 
261 Jon Lester (STL - SP) 617 135 764 314.1 167.4 366.0 -251.0
 
262 Codi Heuer (CHC - RP) 532 161 280 209.8 43.4 768.0 +236.0
 
263 Ryan Brasier (BOS - RP) IL60 565 186 378 247.5 57.4    
 
264 Vince Velasquez (PHI - SP,RP) IL10 666 140 388 249.1 59.4 586.0 -80.0
 
265 Andrew Chafin (OAK - RP) 558 187 241 211.4 23.9    
 
266 Michael Wacha (TB - SP,RP) 606 159 415 285.0 81.8 454.0 -152.0
 
267 Collin McHugh (TB - SP,RP) IL10 530 157 281 226.0 30.6 796.0 +266.0
 
268 Drew Rasmussen (TB - RP) 562 133 340 228.6 67.5 880.0 +318.0
 
269 Pierce Johnson (SD - RP) 514 130 267 225.8 29.0 797.0 +283.0
 
270 David Bednar (PIT - RP) 658 179 495 264.2 106.5 782.0 +124.0
 
271 Felix Pena (LAA - SP,RP) MiLB 543 132 319 227.4 63.4 819.0 +276.0
 
272 Aaron Loup (NYM - RP) 540 165 290 222.4 41.2    
 
273 Joe Smith (SEA - RP) 512 115 247 219.6 22.3    
 
274 Miguel Castro (NYM - RP) IL10 576 167 348 255.0 69.3 909.0 +333.0
 
275 Darwinzon Hernandez (BOS - RP) IL10 629 120 456 275.8 80.5 712.0 +83.0
 
276 Justin Dunn (SEA - SP) IL10 646 179 529 301.5 113.4 555.0 -91.0
 
277 Austin Adams (RP) FA 557 126 274 192.7 61.3 761.0 +204.0
 
278 Nick Pivetta (BOS - SP,RP) 603 115 843 318.4 180.7 540.0 -63.0
 
279 Jake Arrieta (CHC - SP) 718 188 468 295.9 90.0 337.0 -381.0
 
280 Brett Anderson (MIL - SP) 645 173 381 270.8 78.8 680.0 +35.0
 
281 Matt Foster (CWS - RP) MiLB 531 146 284 239.7 30.8 522.0 -9.0
 
282 Jaime Barria (LAA - SP,RP) 614 162 356 270.3 58.9 717.0 +103.0
 
283 Sam Selman (LAA - RP) 592 190 303 236.8 37.2 647.0 +55.0
 
284 Tommy Kahnle (LAD - RP) IL60 575 151 511 288.8 140.1    
 
285 Kyle Crick (CWS - RP) MiLB 632 130 515 292.3 85.6 702.0 +70.0
 
286 Kyle Freeland (COL - SP) 663 178 837 358.6 212.8 500.0 -163.0
 
287 Tyler Clippard (ARI - SP,RP) 548 147 330 262.2 57.8 843.0 +295.0
 
288 Jose Cisnero (DET - RP) 567 182 291 228.3 39.9 770.0 +203.0
 
289 Logan Gilbert (SEA - SP) 737 201 297 257.4 29.7 447.0 -290.0
 
290 Luis Garcia (HOU - RP,SP) 667 146 838 376.8 245.6    
 
291 Scott Oberg (COL - RP) IL60 621 183 420 277.2 79.1 628.0 +7.0
 
292 Jorge Alcala (MIN - RP) 604 143 301 243.4 35.7    
 
293 Genesis Cabrera (STL - RP) 535 155 294 243.2 38.6 757.0 +222.0
 
294 Antonio Senzatela (COL - SP) IL10 638 167 857 370.7 216.8 547.0 -91.0
 
295 Joe Kelly (LAD - RP) 571 188 314 247.2 45.7 599.0 +28.0
 
296 Brent Honeywell Jr. (TB - SP) MiLB 677 188 266 250.0 15.1 662.0 -15.0
 
297 Anthony Misiewicz (SEA - RP) 587 200 335 252.4 48.5 905.0 +318.0
 
298 David Phelps (TOR - RP) IL60 572 202 318 252.0 45.3    
 
299 Chad Kuhl (PIT - SP) IL10 835 157 546 332.1 115.4 557.0 -278.0
 
300 Dakota Hudson (STL - SP) IL60 591 105 297 201.0 96.0 823.0 +232.0
 
301 Blake Taylor (HOU - RP) 610 208 358 268.8 55.5    
 
302 Wander Suero (WSH - RP) 612 227 352 271.7 54.6    
 
303 Shane Greene (ATL - RP) 593 181 396 265.3 83.5 766.0 +173.0
 
304 Ryan Tepera (CWS - RP) 650 209 389 271.7 61.1 865.0 +215.0
 
305 Tyler Alexander (DET - SP,RP) 618 151 512 328.2 127.5    
 
306 Dillon Tate (BAL - RP) 665 195 496 290.7 97.5 862.0 +197.0
 
307 Austin Adams (SD - RP) 634 203 297 240.8 37.7    
 
308 Adam Kolarek (OAK - RP) MiLB 542 160 285 247.6 39.5    
 
309 Taylor Hearn (TEX - RP,SP) 589 119 795 410.4 227.1    
 
310 Ryan Thompson (TB - RP) IL10 626 198 401 288.4 82.1    
 
311 Chris Flexen (SEA - SP,RP) 633 145 361 276.3 51.3 516.0 -117.0
 
312 Joe Jimenez (DET - RP) 624 158 271 250.0 26.6 648.0 +24.0
 
313 Austin Gomber (COL - SP,RP) 687 167 850 384.2 224.2 496.0 -191.0
 
314 Michael King (NYY - SP,RP) IL60 635 169 479 323.5 105.4    
 
315 Justin Wilson (CIN - RP) 608 213 331 269.0 45.7    
 
316 Oliver Perez (CLE - RP) MiLB 651 201 342 266.8 63.4    
 
317 Cody Reed (TB - RP) IL60 590 211 375 276.8 64.6    
 
318 Kyle McGowin (WSH - RP) IL10 601 135 491 326.5 134.4    
 
319 Blake Parker (CLE - RP) 656 196 431 295.2 85.2    
 
320 Cam Bedrosian (PHI - SP,RP) MiLB 630 197 499 301.8 107.8    
 
321 Justin Topa (MIL - RP) IL60 596 149 293 248.5 58.4    
 
322 Tyler Webb (STL - RP) MiLB 620 223 363 278.8 54.3    
 
323 Pedro Strop (RP) FA 637 185 481 299.0 130.1 649.0 +12.0
 
324 Steve Cishek (LAA - RP) 623 204 454 291.2 88.6    
 
325 Tyler Chatwood (TOR - SP,RP) DFA 673 229 373 280.3 52.5 728.0 +55.0
 
326 Cole Hamels (SP) FA 725 195 453 320.0 100.5 732.0 +7.0
 
327 Josh Tomlin (ATL - SP,RP) 613 201 517 343.8 123.9    
 
328 Grant Dayton (ATL - RP) IL60 607 220 392 286.2 69.9    
 
329 Duane Underwood Jr. (PIT - RP) 615 145 553 355.5 151.3 868.0 +253.0
 
330 Edward Cabrera (MIA - SP,RP) MiLB 720 223 334 263.6 42.0 603.0 -117.0
 
331 Ty Buttrey (RP) RET 655 160 356 271.2 46.7 801.0 +146.0
 
332 Keynan Middleton (SEA - RP) 616 201 419 297.2 78.0    
 
333 Chase Anderson (PHI - SP,RP) 570 153 392 300.2 84.3 741.0 +171.0
 
334 Andres Munoz (SEA - RP) IL60 619 200 432 289.8 79.8 783.0 +164.0
 
335 Bruce Zimmermann (BAL - SP) IL10 1012 157 848 489.0 245.6 842.0 -170.0
 
336 Jeff Hoffman (CIN - SP,RP) 627 162 833 472.0 241.0 802.0 +175.0
 
337 Jakob Junis (KC - RP,SP) MiLB 694 170 394 299.3 62.1 754.0 +60.0
 
338 Michael Feliz (CIN - RP) IL10 757 209 484 337.4 110.5    
 
339 Patrick Sandoval (LAA - SP) 669 150 359 280.3 47.8 632.0 -37.0
 
340 Tim Hill (SD - RP) 563 169 295 258.0 22.7    
 
341 John Curtiss (MIL - SP,RP) 643 172 310 269.6 40.4 554.0 -89.0
 
342 Julio Teheran (DET - SP) IL60 657 149 851 407.3 217.8 543.0 -114.0
 
343 Jacob Webb (ATL - RP) MiLB 690 198 497 330.8 115.9    
 
344 Chaz Roe (TB - RP) IL60 775 211 403 303.4 77.7    
 
345 Tyler Anderson (SEA - SP) 670 193 679 358.7 161.4 735.0 +65.0
 
346 Shawn Armstrong (TB - RP) MiLB 628 235 409 303.2 75.4    
 
347 Caleb Thielbar (MIN - RP) 631 210 415 309.3 85.1    
 
348 Chris Stratton (PIT - SP,RP) 647 179 500 360.3 121.5 803.0 +156.0
 
349 Richard Bleier (MIA - RP) 664 212 361 290.8 55.3    
 
350 Tony Watson (SF - RP) 595 190 335 280.0 46.5 833.0 +238.0
 
351 Brett Martin (TEX - RP) 639 218 459 317.0 93.8    
 
352 Eric Yardley (MIL - RP) MiLB 698 242 416 304.3 67.7 697.0 -1.0
 
353 Josh Sborz (TEX - RP) 841 187 571 332.3 143.7    
 
354 Matt Moore (PHI - RP,SP) 843 173 540 336.7 104.8 583.0 -260.0
 
355 Corbin Martin (ARI - SP) MiLB 769 230 368 287.5 50.3 617.0 -152.0
 
356 Kyle Finnegan (WSH - RP) 653 231 407 307.3 76.8    
 
357 Cole Sulser (BAL - RP) 659 192 473 349.3 110.4    
 
358 Trevor Cahill (PIT - SP,RP) IL60 731 195 443 348.6 83.3 590.0 -141.0
 
359 Kendall Graveman (HOU - RP) 855 221 638 369.0 138.1 729.0 -126.0
 
360 Jason Adam (CHC - RP) MiLB 582 171 374 296.4 58.7    
 
361 Ryan Helsley (STL - RP) 660 227 404 293.8 57.6 827.0 +167.0
 
362 Daniel Lynch (KC - SP) 876 230 443 327.3 91.8 633.0 -243.0
 
363 Hansel Robles (BOS - RP) 648 231 477 302.7 81.6 567.0 -81.0
 
364 Mike Fiers (OAK - SP) IL60 704 135 467 335.0 99.1 569.0 -135.0
 
365 David Hale (RP) FA 662 202 773 409.4 200.7    
 
366 Tanner Roark (ATL - SP) MiLB 708 196 829 379.9 195.9 736.0 +28.0
 
367 Carl Edwards Jr. (TOR - RP) IL60 743 208 552 380.0 172.0    
 
368 Alex Young (CLE - SP,RP) MiLB 733 211 626 378.6 140.7 585.0 -148.0
 
369 Hunter Wood (TEX - RP) IL60 678 215 502 358.5 143.5    
 
370 Asa Lacy (KC - RP,SP) MiLB   216 655 435.5 219.5 866.0  
 
371 Julian Merryweather (TOR - SP,RP) IL60 679 216 449 344.3 92.2 804.0 +125.0
 
372 Max Meyer (MIA - SP) MiLB   217 287 252.0 35.0 846.0  
 
373 Matt Andriese (BOS - RP) IL10 680 228 455 333.8 83.0 834.0 +154.0
 
374 Noe Ramirez (ARI - SP,RP) IL10 745 220 458 327.5 90.2    
 
375 Grayson Rodriguez (BAL - SP) MiLB   219 301 260.0 41.0 896.0  
 
376 Josiah Gray (WSH - SP) 787 234 363 287.2 43.9 742.0 -45.0
 
377 Brailyn Marquez (CHC - RP) MiLB   221 686 453.5 232.5 748.0  
 
378 DL Hall (BAL - SP) MiLB   226 270 248.0 22.0    
 
379 Nick Lodolo (CIN - SP) MiLB   222 278 250.0 28.0 809.0  
 
380 Kyle Zimmer (KC - RP) 683 223 741 412.4 184.8    
 
381 Martin Perez (BOS - SP) 842 155 853 417.0 196.4 621.0 -221.0
 
382 Drew Steckenrider (SEA - RP)   223 498 360.5 137.5    
 
383 Simeon Woods-Richardson (MIN - SP) MiLB   224 860 542.0 318.0 867.0  
 
384 Jordan Balazovic (MIN - SP) MiLB 909 236 444 322.4 79.0 806.0 -103.0
 
385 Junior Guerra (LAA - RP) 684 225 573 344.0 114.9    
 
386 Jairo Diaz (COL - RP) MiLB 852 226 824 457.8 222.0    
 
387 Richard Lovelady (KC - RP) 781 226 642 389.7 181.0    
 
388 J.P. Feyereisen (TB - RP) IL10 705 240 391 308.2 58.9    
 
389 Aaron Sanchez (SF - SP,RP) 858 214 663 389.3 135.9 607.0 -251.0
 
390 Taylor Clarke (ARI - SP,RP) IL10 768 228 710 415.4 162.2 883.0 +115.0
 
391 Trevor Stephan (CLE - RP,SP)   228 362 295.0 67.0    
 
392 Jarlin Garcia (SF - RP) 609 191 386 312.8 56.2    
 
393 Nick Nelson (NYY - RP) MiLB 693 229 757 453.5 195.9 820.0 +127.0
 
394 Jacob Barnes (TOR - RP) DFA 714 230 442 332.8 77.2    
 
395 Kolby Allard (TEX - RP,SP) 735 230 410 333.8 67.3 840.0 +105.0
 
396 Bryse Wilson (PIT - SP,RP) 872 198 451 320.0 67.4 608.0 -264.0
 
397 Ray Black (MIL - RP) MiLB 699 231 441 336.0 105.0    
 
398 Josh James (HOU - RP) MiLB 723 221 399 310.3 57.4 781.0 +58.0
 
399 Reid Detmers (LAA - SP)   232 333 282.5 50.5 874.0  
 
400 Jace Fry (CWS - RP) MiLB 748 214 445 317.7 72.9    
 
401 Zack Godley (CLE - SP,RP) MiLB 755 253 356 288.0 48.1    
 
402 Austin Voth (WSH - RP,SP) IL10 750 226 371 299.2 43.6 747.0 -3.0
 
403 Devin Smeltzer (MIN - SP,RP) IL60 701 235 716 406.6 166.2 899.0 +198.0
 
404 Sean Newcomb (ATL - SP,RP) MiLB 716 246 339 282.0 34.8    
 
405 Shane McClanahan (TB - SP,RP) 854 132 434 308.6 57.7 640.0 -214.0
 
406 Wade Miley (CIN - SP) 859 160 524 375.3 100.9 643.0 -216.0
 
407 Justin Verlander (HOU - SP) IL60 926 237 551 371.5 113.5 441.0 -485.0
 
408 Jose Urena (DET - SP,RP) IL10 778 253 827 408.0 200.7 755.0 -23.0
 
409 Brandon Brennan (BOS - RP) MiLB 703 239 584 369.6 120.0    
 
410 Josh Taylor (BOS - RP) 700 246 480 347.0 95.3    
 
411 Steven Brault (PIT - SP,RP) IL60 857 210 430 346.0 73.7 505.0 -352.0
 
412 Alex Claudio (RP) FA 722 231 545 338.2 99.6    
 
413 Cole Irvin (OAK - SP,RP)   240 708 474.0 234.0 731.0  
 
414 Buck Farmer (DET - RP) 706 241 462 372.5 93.2    
 
415 Tyler Ivey (HOU - SP,RP) IL60 753 241 336 291.0 38.9    
 
416 Clarke Schmidt (NYY - P,RP,SP) IL60 837 218 665 355.3 141.9 592.0 -245.0
 
417 JoJo Romero (PHI - RP) IL60   244 650 447.0 203.0    
 
418 Kyle Cody (TEX - RP,SP) IL60 686 244 408 325.4 58.3 684.0 -2.0
 
419 Sam Howard (PIT - RP) IL10 734 252 476 333.2 87.2    
 
420 Jeremy Jeffress (RP) FA 729 256 316 278.3 26.8 423.0 -306.0
 
421 Ryne Stanek (HOU - SP,RP) 685 258 390 319.0 60.1    
 
422 Trevor Williams (NYM - SP) MiLB 809 211 654 373.9 129.0 637.0 -172.0
 
423 Hunter Greene (CIN - SP) MiLB   246 486 366.0 120.0    
 
424 Jeurys Familia (NYM - RP) 636 233 463 309.0 70.4    
 
425 Matt Magill (SEA - RP) MiLB 761 247 643 414.7 167.3    
 
426 Nick Margevicius (SEA - SP,RP) IL60 895 247 420 332.7 53.2 779.0 -116.0
 
427 Eric Lauer (MIL - SP) 865 200 400 333.2 56.9 808.0 -57.0
 
428 Miguel Yajure (PIT - RP) MiLB 879 250 543 374.0 115.1 878.0 -1.0
 
429 Erik Swanson (SEA - SP,RP) 877 251 440 341.8 76.4    
 
430 Jordan Lyles (TEX - SP) 805 252 845 453.8 209.2 743.0 -62.0
 
431 Chris Devenski (ARI - RP) IL60 732 253 452 344.3 76.8    
 
432 Ljay Newsome (SEA - RP,SP) IL60 767 253 350 301.5 35.2    
 
433 Andrew Kittredge (TB - SP,RP) 817 254 327 294.3 30.3 764.0 -53.0
 
434 Adam Plutko (BAL - SP,RP) 807 255 849 461.0 206.6    
 
435 Luke Jackson (ATL - RP) 711 255 448 337.0 70.8 701.0 -10.0
 
436 Derek Holland (DET - SP,RP) 724 256 774 515.0 259.0 695.0 -29.0
 
437 Demarcus Evans (TEX - RP) MiLB 894 256 487 371.5 115.5 775.0 -119.0
 
438 Ryan Sherriff (TB - RP) 777 256 457 355.3 74.0    
 
439 Robert Stock (NYM - RP,SP) IL10 838 257 690 473.5 216.5    
 
440 Angel Perdomo (MIL - RP) MiLB   257 576 416.5 159.5    
 
441 Ivan Nova (SP) FA 810 257 469 370.4 69.2    
 
442 Reynaldo Lopez (CWS - RP,SP) 883 237 447 352.5 72.7 730.0 -153.0
 
443 Ryan Borucki (TOR - RP) 712 245 461 335.7 74.6 910.0 +198.0
 
444 Lewis Thorpe (MIN - RP,SP) MiLB 784 259 781 439.0 201.7    
 
445 Ranger Suarez (PHI - RP) 774 259 702 419.0 200.7    
 
446 Heath Hembree (CIN - RP) 847 259 525 392.0 133.0    
 
447 Robert Stephenson (COL - RP) IL10 730 260 730 460.3 174.7    
 
448 Brandon Finnegan (CIN - SP,RP) MiLB 851 260 421 340.5 80.5    
 
449 Keury Mella (RP) FA 863 261 616 438.5 177.5    
 
450 Anthony Swarzak (RP) FA 868 262 537 399.5 137.5    
 
451 Heath Fillmyer (CLE - SP,RP) MiLB 870 263 701 482.0 219.0    
 
452 Rick Porcello (SP) FA 793 263 410 356.3 55.7 715.0 -78.0
 
453 James Hoyt (LAA - RP) MiLB 814 268 574 377.8 124.9    
 
454 Joe Ross (WSH - SP,RP) 899 265 854 464.6 205.4 541.0 -358.0
 
455 Hector Rondon (BOS - RP) MiLB 798 265 541 393.3 113.5    
 
456 Marcus Walden (BOS - RP) MiLB 875 266 752 509.0 243.0    
 
457 Rogelio Armenteros (WSH - SP,RP) MiLB 799 266 728 456.7 197.0    
 
458 Adam Cimber (TOR - RP) 824 269 501 361.8 96.4    
 
459 Jimmy Cordero (CWS - RP) IL60   270 870 570.0 300.0    
 
460 Luis Cessa (CIN - RP) 771 270 602 389.4 122.3    
 
461 Kodi Whitley (STL - RP) MiLB 833 270 503 390.0 95.3    
 
462 Tom Hatch (TOR - RP) MiLB 740 271 620 445.5 174.5 767.0 +27.0
 
463 Wade Davis (KC - RP) 806 272 813 463.8 206.9 668.0 -138.0
 
464 Anthony Kay (TOR - RP,SP) MiLB 741 272 756 433.0 172.7 889.0 +148.0
 
465 Dan Winkler (CHC - RP) 795 273 812 448.0 194.5    
 
466 Andre Scrubb (HOU - RP) IL10 742 273 740 444.3 182.3    
 
467 Gerardo Reyes (LAA - RP) MiLB 891 273 514 393.5 120.5    
 
468 Jhoan Duran (MIN - SP) MiLB   273 355 314.0 41.0 835.0  
 
469 Seranthony Dominguez (PHI - RP) IL60 808 274 520 393.0 100.6    
 
470 Jackson Kowar (KC - SP) MiLB 901 274 437 333.8 65.4 774.0 -127.0
 
471 Daniel Norris (MIL - SP,RP) 849 175 383 332.2 45.3 749.0 -100.0
 
472 Yoan Lopez (ATL - RP) MiLB 839 275 709 446.0 166.5    
 
473 Michael Fulmer (DET - RP,SP) 816 275 651 377.7 135.4 703.0 -113.0
 
474 Nate Jones (RP) FA 744 276 493 384.5 108.5    
 
475 Luke Bard (LAA - SP,RP) IL60 896 277 797 537.0 260.0    
 
476 Casey Sadler (SEA - RP) 746 277 592 410.8 123.1    
 
477 Joe Ryan (MIN - SP) MiLB   278 284 281.0 3.0 623.0  
 
478 Ross Detwiler (MIA - SP,RP) 846 279 809 488.5 199.0    
 
479 Jimmy Nelson (LAD - SP,RP) 747 279 434 360.0 65.1 821.0 +74.0
 
480 Yency Almonte (COL - RP) IL10 848 280 846 510.8 209.0    
 
481 Ryan Weathers (SD - SP,RP)   280 769 524.5 244.5 848.0  
 
482 Chasen Shreve (PIT - RP) 864 281 466 385.7 77.5    
 
483 Tyler Beede (SF - SP) MiLB 921 281 457 363.6 57.8 844.0 -77.0
 
484 Erick Fedde (WSH - SP,RP) 853 282 822 479.4 185.3 900.0 +47.0
 
485 Travis Bergen (TOR - RP) MiLB 752 282 711 496.5 214.5    
 
486 Jorge Lopez (BAL - SP,RP) 862 283 856 498.8 219.5 908.0 +46.0
 
487 Tyler Kinley (COL - 2B,RP) 867 284 839 506.3 206.5    
 
488 Chi Chi Gonzalez (COL - SP) IL10 871 285 847 515.5 206.7 694.0 -177.0
 
489 Burch Smith (OAK - RP) 754 286 516 401.0 115.0    
 
490 Shaun Anderson (BAL - SP,RP) 756 289 792 454.2 178.6    
 
491 Aaron Slegers (LAA - RP) MiLB 759 290 800 545.0 255.0    
 
492 Mitch White (LAD - RP) MiLB 762 291 412 351.5 60.5    
 
493 Scott Alexander (LAD - RP) IL10 766 293 427 360.0 67.0    
 
494 Trent Thornton (TOR - RP,SP) MiLB 834 294 407 342.0 49.1 913.0 +79.0
 
495 Hirokazu Sawamura (BOS - RP,SP) 882 295 365 326.0 29.1 785.0 -97.0
 
496 Austin Brice (BOS - RP) MiLB 776 297 700 442.3 160.1    
 
497 Jeff Samardzija (SP) FA 873 298 801 491.0 187.8 904.0 +31.0
 
498 Huascar Ynoa (ATL - SP) IL60 779 300 408 354.0 54.0    
 
499 Cionel Perez (CIN - RP) MiLB 782 302 697 499.5 197.5 920.0 +138.0
 
500 Brad Wieck (CHC - RP) IL60   302 433 367.5 65.5    
 
501 Wandy Peralta (NYY - RP) IL10 802 304 565 404.3 105.7    
 
502 Ryan Weber (SEA - SP,RP) MiLB 887 305 821 485.0 198.6    
 
503 Zac Lowther (BAL - SP) MiLB 850 305 491 395.7 76.0    
 
504 Jeffrey Springs (TB - RP) IL10 786 305 482 393.5 88.5    
 
505 Trevor Richards (TOR - SP,RP) 890 306 509 412.3 83.2 887.0 -3.0
 
506 Carlos Estevez (COL - RP) 791 308 762 476.3 176.2    
 
507 Cam Hill (CLE - RP) MiLB 900 308 596 447.3 117.8    
 
508 Dan Altavilla (SD - RP) IL60 794 309 405 357.0 48.0    
 
509 Riley Smith (ARI - RP,SP) IL10 903 312 508 420.7 81.4    
 
510 Mike Leake (SP) FA 897 312 478 408.5 60.3 914.0 +17.0
 
511 Brad Peacock (CLE - SP,RP) MiLB 898 313 428 388.3 53.3    
 
512 Mike Montgomery (NYY - SP,RP) MiLB 910 316 662 438.3 134.9    
 
513 Jake Newberry (KC - RP) MiLB 804 317 804 493.8 189.2    
 
514 Jordan Yamamoto (NYM - SP) IL60 902 320 439 369.3 50.7 682.0 -220.0
 
515 Wes Benjamin (TEX - RP) MiLB 904 321 835 494.5 201.0    
 
516 Andrew Cashner (SP,RP) FA 885 321 423 368.7 41.9    
 
517 Jonathan Holder (CHC - RP) IL60 813 323 526 424.5 101.5    
 
518 J.B. Bukauskas (ARI - RP,SP) 823 326 472 399.0 73.0    
 
519 Jhoulys Chacin (COL - SP,RP) 915 328 796 524.0 198.5    
 
520 Nik Turley (CWS - RP) MiLB   328 715 521.5 193.5    
 
521 Kyle Ryan (CHC - RP) 919 329 713 500.7 159.4    
 
522 Dennis Santana (TEX - RP)   329 577 453.0 124.0 849.0  
 
523 Phillips Valdez (BOS - RP) 960 330 819 503.0 191.3    
 
524 Homer Bailey (OAK - SP) MiLB 916 330 454 408.5 47.0 884.0 -32.0
 
525 Colten Brewer (BOS - SP,RP) MiLB   331 805 568.0 237.0    
 
526 Taylor Widener (ARI - SP,RP) 917 331 366 350.0 14.4    
 
527 Felix Hernandez (SP) FA 924 339 818 516.8 180.3 674.0 -250.0
 
528 Anibal Sanchez (SP) FA 928 344 759 501.0 155.6 858.0 -70.0
 
529 Tyson Ross (TEX - SP) MiLB 929 345 474 428.7 59.2    
 
530 Jon Duplantier (ARI - SP,RP) MiLB 932 346 645 483.0 123.3    
 
531 Joe Palumbo (TEX - SP,RP) MiLB 933 347 465 415.7 50.1    
 
532 Yohan Ramirez (SEA - SP,RP) MiLB 913 349 379 361.7 12.7 799.0 -114.0
 
533 Shun Yamaguchi (RP) FA 937 350 521 447.3 71.8 656.0 -281.0
 
534 Sam Coonrod (PHI - RP) IL10 940 353 803 542.7 190.4    
 
535 Glenn Sparkman (SP,RP) FA 943 354 867 564.7 219.2    
 
536 Braxton Garrett (MIA - SP) MiLB 911 354 418 379.0 27.9 881.0 -30.0
 
537 Hyeon-jong Yang (TEX - RP,SP) MiLB 922 355 436 386.3 35.5 871.0 -51.0
 
538 Shelby Miller (PIT - SP,RP) MiLB 945 356 840 524.3 187.2    
 
539 Jordan Zimmermann (SP) RET 914 357 451 389.0 43.8    
 
540 Jose De Leon (RP) FA 955 359 832 521.8 185.9 760.0 -195.0
 
541 Wade LeBlanc (STL - SP,RP) 958 361 814 525.3 172.4    
 
542 John King (TEX - RP) MiLB 952 363 751 532.0 162.3    
 
543 Kelvin Herrera (RP) RET   367 878 622.5 255.5    
 
544 Colin Rea (RP,SP) FA   369 689 529.0 160.0 666.0  
 
545 Anthony Banda (PIT - RP) MiLB 971 385 780 552.3 166.8    
 
546 Connor Seabold (BOS - SP) MiLB 935 387 470 416.7 37.8    
 
547 Carlos Hernandez (KC - RP,SP) 965 396 489 441.3 38.0    
 
548 Nick Neidert (MIA - RP,SP) MiLB 987 401 836 578.0 186.6    
 
549 Travis Lakins Sr. (BAL - SP,RP) IL60 989 402 825 574.0 181.5    
 
550 Evan Phillips (RP) FA 991 405 712 538.7 128.4    
 
551 Cody Ponce (PIT - SP) 969 407 481 444.7 30.2    
 
552 Johan Oviedo (STL - SP) MiLB 994 413 652 521.7 98.8    
 
553 Logan Allen (CLE - P) MiLB 1004 424 480 452.0 28.0    
 
554 Wil Crowe (PIT - SP) 1007 437 841 593.7 177.0    
 
555 Mike Baumann (BAL - SP) MiLB 1008 438 798 580.0 156.5    
 
556 Ryan Castellani (COL - SP) MiLB 1020 457 855 606.0 177.2 678.0 -342.0