| 1 |
Mike Trout (LAA - CF) | 1 |
1 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
You can take out any of Trout's five full seasons and line them up with any all-time great's standard season and wouldn't notice much of a difference. He is well on his way to being one of the greatest players ever and there is no excuse to pass on him at 1.1. |
| 2 |
Jose Altuve (HOU - 2B) | 2 |
6 |
4.6 |
1.3 |
Altuve flirted with batting .360 or higher this season before going on a bit of a slump, so we know the potential for that type of season is there. Although his power has gone up from 7 to 15 to 24 HRs in the past three seasons, his steals have slipped from 56 to 38 to 30 in the same time. |
| 3 |
Bryce Harper (WSH - RF) | 2 |
10 |
5.1 |
2.7 |
We know that Harper has the potential to bat .330 with 42 bombs and 21 stolen bases because he has done it all before. Those kind of stats would carry you to a fantasy title. The matter of the fact is, if he can stay healthy, those numbers could swell even further. |
| 4 |
Clayton Kershaw (LAD - SP) | 2 |
11 |
5.3 |
3.2 |
Kershaw had five straight top-three Cy Young finishes in a row before his injury last season, when he was on pace to break the all-time single-season WHIP record, with his best ERA of his career while striking out near 300. At this point, he is still underrated. |
| 5 |
Paul Goldschmidt (ARI - 1B) | 2 |
10 |
5.3 |
2.7 |
Despite being in the prime years of a hitters career, Goldy had an off-year offensivley, hitting 'just' 24 homers and batting 'just' .297. While those numbers will almost certainly rise, keep in mind that he was also top five among all batters in stolen bases with 32, which is just absurd for a 1st basemen. |
| 6 |
Mookie Betts (BOS - RF) | 3 |
8 |
5.3 |
1.4 |
Mookie has seen steady offensive progression each season in the bigs. Last year, it took him to 31 homers and 26 stolen bases with a near .320 BA and a load of both RBIs and runs. If he can repeat that, we may very well be looking at the best fantasy player. If he continues to grow, well then, wow! |
| 7 |
Nolan Arenado (COL - 3B) | 2 |
11 |
5.7 |
2.9 |
With 83 homers and 263 RBIs in the past two seasons, it is difficult to envision any scenario where he doesn't finish the fantasy season as a top-five hitter once again, especially considering he is just 26 years old. Add in 3rd base eligibility and you could make a legitimate case for drafting Arenado 2nd overall. |
| 8 |
Kris Bryant (CHC - 1B,3B,LF,RF, LF) | 3 |
12 |
6.7 |
2.7 |
Last season's NL MVP is still just 25 years old and has more potential to grow into. While he hit 39 homers last year, that number could, and many would argue should, become 45 to 50 this season. Toss in the best lineup in baseball and he might just drive in 130 runs all while batting .290 or higher again. |
| 9 |
Charlie Blackmon (COL - CF) | 3 |
15 |
10.3 |
3.6 |
When Blackmon broke out for 19 homers and 28 SB two years ago, people weren't sure he could repeat, then he went for 17 and 43 the following year. At that point, it seemed like he had reached his ceiling, but then he knocked 29 homers while batting .324 last season. Don't rule out even further development this season. |
| 10 |
Manny Machado (BAL - 3B,SS, 3B) DTD | 8 |
18 |
11.0 |
3.1 |
The five-year veteran is still just 24 years old, so believe it or not, we could still see another level or two from him. That becomes almost unbelievable when you consider that he is shortstop eligible with the potential to hit 40 homers and seal 20 bases while batting .300. |
| 11 |
Joey Votto (CIN - 1B) | 8 |
16 |
13.0 |
3.0 |
Last season, Votto started off by batting .252 in the first-half, then proceeded to bat an absurd .408 the rest of the way. While that is unlikely to repeated for a full season, it is worth noting that only five players all time have a higher BA, OBP and SLG than the Reds' legend in the making. |
| 12 |
Chris Sale (BOS - SP) | 11 |
19 |
14.4 |
2.3 |
2016 was another dominant year for Boston's new ace, but even more concerning than the tough new division and ballpark is that Sale took a significant step backwards in his K-rate and overall metrics. That doesn't just mean less K's and likely ERA, wins, it means an elevated injury risk. |
| 13 |
Anthony Rizzo (CHC - 1B) | 6 |
26 |
15.0 |
6.8 |
Since Rizzo is the veteran in this Cubs' lineup and has seemingly been around forever, it is easy to forget that he is still just 27 years old and could take another step forward offensivley. With that being said, his stats have been extremely consistent each of the past three seasons so the floor seems as high as any other first round pick's. |
| 14 |
Max Scherzer (WSH - SP) | 10 |
21 |
15.1 |
3.5 |
Not only did Scherzer set a career-best 284 Ks last season, but he also led the league with a 0.968 WHIP and 20 wins. With that being said, drafting a pitcher with over 900 innings over the past four seasons is always dangerous because of elevated injury risk. |
| 15 |
Corey Seager (LAD - SS) | 13 |
38 |
20.1 |
9.8 |
Seager had a spectacular rookie season last year, bashing 26 homers and batting .308. What's more, is that he knocked 40 doubles, which could turn into homers as he continues to fill out his body. Whether it is this season or another in the future, Seager looks like an inevitable 35 homer, .320 batting average type of guy. |
| 16 |
Francisco Lindor (CLE - SS) | 9 |
39 |
20.6 |
8.9 |
Batting .300 isn't an easy task these days, but Lindor managed to pull it off in both of his first two MLB seasons and at a premium position. Add in the fact that his homers increased to 15 while his steals jumped to 19 and you have to wonder just how much better he will get in his age 23 season. |
| 17 |
Nelson Cruz (SEA - RF,DH, DH) | 14 |
31 |
21.4 |
5.2 |
Three straight years with 40 or more homers to go along with a useful batting average each season would typically warrant a lofty draft pick, but seeing that Cruz is now 36 years old, there is some negative regression anticipated. Don't hesitate to cash in on the hesitation of others. |
| 18 |
Miguel Cabrera (DET - 1B) | 10 |
67 |
25.1 |
18.5 |
It was beginning to look like Miggy's power numbers were never going to bounce back up after consecutive 25 and 18 hokmer seasons, but last year he popped back up to 38. He is now 34 years old, but still seems like a lock for 30+ homers and a .310 to .350 batting average. |
| 19 |
Daniel Murphy (WSH - 1B,2B, 1B) | 12 |
80 |
25.6 |
22.5 |
It's odd for a mediocre hitter to raise his OPS 200 points in his age 31 season and become a legitimate MVP candidate but thats exactly what Murphy did. Unfortunately, we don't have enough instances of this type of breakout to give us any idea of what to expect to proceed at your own risk here. |
| 20 |
Trea Turner (WSH - 2B,SS,CF, SS, CF) | 9 |
67 |
26.6 |
18.2 |
From the time Turner was called up last year, he was the best fantasy baseball player in the world thanks to a .342 BA, 33 SB and 13 HRs in just 69 starts. With that said, his minor league stats in the same at bats were vastly worse so if you aren't expecting significant regression, you aren't playing close enough attention. |
| 21 |
Carlos Correa (HOU - SS) | 17 |
53 |
26.7 |
11.6 |
Correa came out blazing as a 20-year-old his rookie season, but took a big step back in his sophomore campaign. With that being said, batting .274 with 20 bombs and 13 stolen bases at shortstop as a 21-year-old is extremely impressive and to think he should rebound well has to have fantasy owners excited. |
| 22 |
Giancarlo Stanton (MIA - RF) | 20 |
53 |
29.1 |
11.3 |
We have known all along that Stanton has the potential to hit 40+ or perhaps even 50 homers but he hasn't been able to stay on the field long enough to make it happen. Last season, his batting average took a big hit all the way down to .240 but should bump back up this year. |
| 23 |
Edwin Encarnacion (CLE - 1B,DH, DH) | 24 |
61 |
31.4 |
12.3 |
There has been no power hitter in baseball more consistent than EE over the past five seasons. He has at least 34 homers and 98 RBIs in every season during that stretch and while he should take a minor step backwards in his move to Cleveland, he can be trusted to produce in a big way once again this season. |
| 24 |
Wil Myers (SD - 1B,RF) | 22 |
89 |
35.6 |
22.0 |
Myers came out and said that his goal it to hit 40 bombs and swipe 40 bags this season. If he does that, he would be well worth a 1st round pick even if he continues his low batting average. It actually isn't as crazy as it sounds since his first half last season saw him on track to hit 35 homers with 29 stolen bases and a .286 BA. |
| 25 |
George Springer (HOU - CF,RF, CF) | 16 |
95 |
36.1 |
24.8 |
Although Springer has been around for just three years, he is already 27 years old so he may have already arrived at his ceiling. With that being said, near 30 homers with 10 stolen bases is a very fine player, and when you add in his durability, he seems like a safe bet to produce for your fantasy team. |
| 26 |
Yu Darvish (TEX - SP) | 20 |
55 |
36.4 |
12.9 |
As good as Clayton Kershaw was, he struck out 11.5 batters per 9 innings less than Darvish and that was before Darvish was entirely recovered from TJ surgery. We should expect even better results this season now that his body is back to normal, and perhaps an AL Cy Young award on the way. |
| 27 |
Xander Bogaerts (BOS - SS) | 16 |
75 |
38.4 |
17.7 |
Xander was unbelievable for most of the season before finishing in a major slump with a .294 batting average on the year. We can expect the batting average to see positive regression, and now that he is filling into his body, we might see the homers jump up once again from the 21 we saw in 2016. |
| 28 |
Jon Lester (CHC - SP) | 18 |
64 |
39.6 |
12.7 |
Lester just posted his best career season with 19 wins and a 2.44 ERA so at 33 year-old, it is safe to plan for some regression, but what's more is that his personal catcher, David Ross, is gone so who knows how he will react. There are safer options in the third round, but he does have a very helpful ceiling. |
| 29 |
Johnny Cueto (SF - SP) | 26 |
54 |
40.3 |
9.5 |
Cueto did win 18 games last season with a sparkling WHIP to support it, but his K/9 rate has continued to drop and is now down to just 8.1. This indicates that his ceiling is likely limited to what he did last year, which is a stellar pitcher, but not elite by any means. |
| 30 |
Christian Yelich (MIA - LF,CF, CF) | 30 |
71 |
40.3 |
13.1 |
The power came out of no-where last season for the 24-year-old who took his career high from 9 to 21. While that might not be repeatable, he seems like a surefire batting average source and could see a bounce-back in stolen bases to around 15. |
| 31 |
Corey Kluber (CLE - SP) DL10 | 27 |
97 |
41.3 |
23.0 |
It's easy to remember than Kluber was really struggling last season and chalk it up to the inevitable regression after a breakout, but look closer and you'll see the underlying stats showing he was the best pitcher in the AL once again. Now that he has an improved lineup and perhaps the best bullpen in baseball, you can pencil him in for 15+ wins too. |
| 32 |
Stephen Strasburg (WSH - SP) | 27 |
58 |
41.9 |
10.5 |
Don't be quick to look at Strasburg's final stat line and dismiss it to another missed year in development. Rather, his 12-0 first half with a 2.68 ERA and brilliant 11+ K/9 suggest he was the second best pitcher in baseball before a big hiccup. The talent is there for him to help you win your league if he falls to the third-round. |
| 33 |
A.J. Pollock (ARI - CF) DL10 | 23 |
84 |
42.7 |
19.4 |
We only got a 41 at bat sample size while A.J. was working back from his elbow injury, and that limited sample size wasn't pretty, but if he can even return to 80% of his 20/39 season in 2015 with a .315 batting average, then we would still be looking at an excellent 3rd round value. |
| 34 |
J.D. Martinez (DET - RF) | 19 |
71 |
43.1 |
17.1 |
Martinez will begin the season on the DL for 3 or 4 weeks, but over the past three seasons, Martinez is batting .299 and averaging 33 homers per 162 games played. Seeing that he is still in the prime years of a hitter's career, we should expect the same out of him, it is only a matter of whether or not he can stay healthy this year. |
| 35 |
Jacob DeGrom (NYM - SP) | 22 |
63 |
43.3 |
15.3 |
Recovering from elbow surgery is a big deal and the fact that he allowed base runners at a much higher rate while striking out far fewer batters should tell you that drafting him above the likes of a Cole Hamels or Danny Salazar likely won't pay dividends. |
| 36 |
Brian Dozier (MIN - 2B) | 24 |
81 |
45.0 |
17.4 |
If you spread Dozier's second-half out over a full season, he would have hit 63 homers with 25 stolen bases. Now, we shouldn't expect that or anything close to it, but it isn't crazy to think he could improve on his 42 bombs from last season based on the momentum he had at the close of the year. |
| 37 |
Robinson Cano (SEA - 2B) DL10 | 23 |
111 |
45.9 |
27.4 |
After six straight seasons with a .302 to .319 batting average and less than 100 strikeouts, Cano has dipped below .300 with over 100 K's now two consecutive years. It is clear that as he ages, his skills are diminishing, but he did manage to knock 39 homers last year so he can still provide huge value as a second basemen. |
| 38 |
Justin Verlander (DET - SP) | 28 |
61 |
46.1 |
10.2 |
Despite being 33 years old last season, Verlander was every bit as good as his 'prime years', striking out 10 batters per nine innings while leading the league in WHIP with over 225 innings. There is no reason to expect the workhorse to see much regression, as he has prove he can handle the load. |
| 39 |
Carlos Gonzalez (COL - RF) | 29 |
70 |
47.0 |
11.9 |
There were always two concerns with Car-Go: durability and the risk of being traded away from Coors. Seeing that he put the durability issue to rest the past two seasons and that the Rockies are actually contenders, he should be drafted with confidence. |
| 40 |
Jose Abreu (CWS - 1B) | 28 |
98 |
47.9 |
23.6 |
Last year marks the second straight season that he took a step backwards in homers, but take a look at his splits and you'll see plenty of reason to be optimistic for a big bounce-back since he finished the season with an .898 OPS in the second half. Granted, his RBIs might drop under 100 for the first time in his career, but the downward trend should disappear. |
| 41 |
Dallas Keuchel (HOU - SP) DL10 | 20 |
79 |
48.9 |
18.7 |
2015's Cy Young winner saw a significant increase in his hits allowed rate, walk rate and home run rate with a severe drop in his strikeout rate. It may be intriguing to trying grabbing such a recent Cy Young winner, but the facts that he pitched so poorly and has been dealing with a shoulder injury are both major red flags. |
| 42 |
Jake Arrieta (CHC - SP) | 33 |
66 |
49.6 |
12.6 |
Let's get it out of the way, Arrieta will get plenty of wins in front of that lineup, but any time a pitcher makes a leap to 70 innings above his previous career high then follows it up with a miserable second half, you should be on the lookout for an injury or at the very least, further regression. |
| 43 |
Buster Posey (SF - C,1B) | 16 |
69 |
50.0 |
17.0 |
Posey has the big name so he may go higher in drafts than he deserves after seeing his batting average and power numbers plummet. Now, he may bounce back, but catchers rarely produce at the same rates when they pass 30 years-old so make of that what you will. |
| 44 |
Matt Carpenter (STL - 1B,2B,3B, 1B, 3B) | 28 |
93 |
50.7 |
19.5 |
Carpenter has been extremely consistent with a .270 batting average each of the past three seasons with a huge OBP which will continue to lead to near 100 runs and now that Fowler is in the lineup, Carpenter should see his HR and RBI figures jump back up to what we received from him in 2015. |
| 45 |
Miguel Sano (MIN - 3B,RF,DH, RF, DH) | 24 |
141 |
51.1 |
37.5 |
You might be tempted to look at Sano's stats as a 23-year-old and imagine he has hit his ceiling, but he might just add 20 homers to last year's stat-line if he can stay on the field. Also, the average is due for positive regression based on underlying data so draft him with confidence. |
| 46 |
Chris Archer (TB - SP) | 35 |
77 |
51.6 |
14.0 |
Please do not be the fantasy owner who looks at his stat line, sees 19 losses and labels him an 'avoid at all costs'. Rather, look at the underlying metrics, especially his second-half splits, and you can be confident the wins will come along with his dominating performances. |
| 47 |
Justin Upton (DET - LF,CF) | 41 |
74 |
53.9 |
11.1 |
There has never been a question about Upton's upside, but time is starting to run out for him to realize it. What a lot of people don't realize is that Upton took that step in the second-half last season and might be able to continue that momentum into a breakout season in 2017. |
| 48 |
Josh Donaldson (TOR - 3B) DL10 | 14 |
182 |
54.0 |
54.9 |
Since moving to the Blue Jays, Donldson has produced two superb offensive campaigns. Take note, however, that he saw a drop in HRs, batting average and a significant drop in RBIs last season now that he is on the wrong side of 30 so be weary of further drops, but we certainly know the upside too. |
| 49 |
Eric Thames (MIL - 1B,LF,RF, 1B) DTD | 17 |
109 |
55.9 |
30.1 |
Eric Thames never did much in his stint in the majors. Since he moved to Asia, he has become a dominant power hitter, far more so than Jung Ho Kang, who has more than carried his own since coming to America so make of that what you will. |
| 50 |
Jonathan Villar (MIL - 2B,3B,SS, 2B, 3B) | 22 |
95 |
58.7 |
24.0 |
With 62 stolen bases and a surprising 19 homers, Villar ended the season as a top 5 fantasy baseball player. Seeing that he is still just 25 years old, it would be fair to expect similar production this year, but anytime a player jumps from undrafted to top 5, you've got to expect some sort of regression. |
| 51 |
Jean Segura (SEA - 2B,SS, 2B) | 25 |
138 |
59.3 |
36.8 |
After swimming in mediocrity for years, Segura finally realized his potential after changing teams in 2016. He finished the year as a top 15 fantasy asset thanks to 20 HR, 33 SB and a .319 BA. While we should see some regression with the ballpark change, it isn't enough to warrant such a significant drop in draft value. |
| 52 |
Kenley Jansen (LAD - RP) | 49 |
71 |
59.6 |
8.5 |
Kenley's WHIP has been unworldly low the past two seasons and the K-rates are as high as ever. He is without a doubt an elite closer and should see another 35+ save opportunities as long as he can stay healthy. |
| 53 |
DJ LeMahieu (COL - 2B) | 24 |
122 |
61.0 |
29.4 |
In past years, the thought of being able to grab a second basemen in middle-rounds who led the league in hitting last season while scoring over 100 runs is laughable, but the position is now so deep that it's exactly what we have in LeMahieu. If he can return to stealing some bases, he could finish the season as a top 50 overall asset this season. |
| 54 |
Billy Hamilton (CIN - CF) | 30 |
80 |
61.3 |
18.6 |
It may seem absurd to take a guy in the top 60 who may lose his job by the end of the year, but you could also argue that it is equally absurd a player could have a chance at 90 steals in this day and isn't being taken within the top 40 picks. |
| 55 |
Matt Kemp (ATL - LF,RF) | 22 |
121 |
62.3 |
32.6 |
Long gone are the days where Kemp was a near 40/40 player who batted over .320, but after being traded the Atlanta last season, he bounced back to being a slugger. If he can continue that momentum, he might sneak back towards 40 homers for the first time in his career this season. |
| 56 |
Carlos Carrasco (CLE - SP) DTD | 40 |
92 |
62.6 |
18.2 |
Over his last 70 starts, Carlos has been among the best pitchers in baseball. The issue is that he hasn't eclipsed 185 innings during that time and those durability issues won't just disappear during the off-season. He has the upside to win a Cy Young, but is likely to disappoint if you expect just that out of him. |
| 57 |
Ian Desmond (COL - 1B,LF,CF) | 34 |
120 |
63.0 |
26.6 |
Yes, Desmond is a 20/20 guy moving into Coors Field, but his BA was BABIP driven last season and he is on the wrong side of 30 years old so he shouldn't be considered a sure-bet to take a step forward or even repeat his 2016 campaign, especially since his second-half was so lousy. |
| 58 |
Ryan Braun (MIL - LF) | 23 |
269 |
63.1 |
84.2 |
When Ryan Braun was winning MVPs, he was a clear cut high first-round pick. Now that the PED scandal hit, his prestige has dissipated, but the numbers are quite nearly the same, minus about 10 stolen bases. Getting a value like this in the 3rd round is a rare opportunity. |
| 59 |
Dee Gordon (MIA - 2B) | 32 |
90 |
65.3 |
19.8 |
Yes, Gordon did see a 65 point drop from his batting average, but he still stole bases at an elite clip. That batting average should see some positive regression this season so he it is plausible that he might return to the type of his production we received in his 2015 all-star season. |
| 60 |
Hanley Ramirez (BOS - 1B,DH) | 35 |
113 |
67.9 |
27.2 |
After moving to first base in order to give his legs a break, the Red Sox 32-year-old put together one of the best seasons in his career. What's more is that as the season went on, his numbers continued to improve so it is entirely possible he builds on that for an even better season in 2017. |
| 61 |
Rougned Odor (TEX - 2B) | 28 |
157 |
68.4 |
43.0 |
Based on what we saw out of Odor in the minor leagues, it should be no surprise that this 5'11" middle infielder was able to hit 33 homers. What is surprising is that he was able to accomplish it at such a young age. You've got to wonder if he can take it to another level as a 23-year-old this season. The fact that we could be looking at a 40 HR, 20 SB middle infielder has to have you salivating. With that said, his BABIP suggests some negative regression so perhaps we should temper our expectations a little. |
| 62 |
Kyle Seager (SEA - 3B) | 29 |
149 |
70.3 |
41.0 |
The older Seager brother is making a name for himself as one of the more consistent players in baseball. Last season, he managed to take another step forward, mashing 30 homers with a .278 batting average. While he may not repeat those numbers, he is a strong bet to produce at last 90% of that performance in 2017. |
| 63 |
Chris Davis (BAL - 1B) | 50 |
110 |
71.0 |
20.1 |
Davis saw his batting average drop 40 points and homers plummet 9 in the course of a season so it is fair to assume some positive regression. He has only missed 7 games in the previous two seasons so he is a good bet to stay on the field and produce huge numbers once again. |
| 64 |
Ian Kinsler (DET - 2B) DTD | 32 |
148 |
72.0 |
41.4 |
It isn't common for a 34-year-old to hit 28 homers with 14 stolen bases and a .288 BA, especially as a middle infielder, but that's exactly what Kinsler pulled off last year in a major bounce-back. It is unlikely he will repeat that type of clip, but seeing that he is one of the most durable players in baseball, he does carry a nice high floor. |
| 65 |
Zack Greinke (ARI - SP) | 38 |
99 |
72.3 |
21.2 |
Greinke may have been the biggest disappointment in baseball season season, but let's imagine he bounces back to just 50% of what he was two years ago. We'd be talking about a 3.01 ERA with 16 wins and a 1.08 WHIP. That's a spectacular fantasy asset so don't give up on him quite yet. |
| 66 |
Gerrit Cole (PIT - SP) | 46 |
121 |
74.1 |
25.6 |
Cole battled through some elbow discomfort last season, which is a concern still heading into the season, but if he is healthy, his upside is virtually unlimited. The big righty sits in the upper 90s and has a career 3.23 ERA despite being just 25 years old. There is major upside here if you can afford the risk. |
| 67 |
Carlos Martinez (STL - SP) | 36 |
137 |
74.3 |
29.3 |
It is easy to look at Car-Mart, see the 30 wins and 3.03 ERA over his two full seasons to go with an electric fastball and just assume he strikes out a ton of hitters, but that is far from the truth. For whatever reason, his stuff pitches to contact so his ceiling is limited and his ERA likely to regress. |
| 68 |
Andrew McCutchen (PIT - CF,RF, RF) | 43 |
104 |
74.6 |
19.1 |
McCutchen was considered the safest first-round pick this time last year. He proceeded to disappoint, naturally, but is a picture-perfect bounce-back candidate seeing that he managed to right the ship in the second half and suffered from unlucky underlying metrics. |
| 69 |
Aroldis Chapman (NYY - RP) DL10 | 52 |
109 |
74.7 |
18.1 |
Unless Chapman were to get hurt, it is a virtual certainty that he will strikeout over 100 hitters and save 30+ games with a minuscule ERA and WHIP. The only question is whether the Yankees afford him enough save opportunities to be the top fantasy closer. |
| 70 |
Craig Kimbrel (BOS - RP) | 54 |
94 |
75.6 |
14.2 |
No more are the days where Kimbrel strikes out 16 hitters per nine innings or keeps a WHIP below 0.9, in fact, his BB-rate was significantly higher last season. Be careful to not get ahead of yourself, drafting based on who he has been. |
| 71 |
Adam Jones (BAL - CF) | 69 |
81 |
76.0 |
4.8 |
Jones doesn't steal bases anymore, but last season was the sixth straight time he knocked over 25 homers. He has been very durable and can be trusted see a bounce-back in batting average this season. |
| 72 |
Aaron Judge (NYY - RF) | 21 |
136 |
77.7 |
33.7 |
|
| 73 |
Khris Davis (OAK - LF,DH) | 40 |
148 |
80.3 |
32.2 |
The A's masher posted near identical ratio numbers between 2015 and 2016. The only difference, was that he played an extra 30 games, resulting in 15 more homers. If he can stay on the field again, you should expect another 35+ bombs. |
| 74 |
Marcell Ozuna (MIA - LF,CF,RF, LF) | 52 |
107 |
84.9 |
16.1 |
Ozuna has had flashes of brilliance in his young career, but hasn't been able to sustain it for a full season. Unless he can change that, Ozuna is being over-drafted as a .260 hitters with 20 homers, but the potential is riveting. |
| 75 |
Mark Trumbo (BAL - RF,DH) | 62 |
109 |
85.4 |
16.4 |
Like most Orioles' hitters, Trumbo saw a major uptick in homers upon his arrival to the hitter's haven. 47 was by far a career high so you might think regression is due, but he is the prime age for power hitters and in a tremendous ballpark so think again. |
| 76 |
Gary Sanchez (NYY - C) | 8 |
201 |
85.6 |
56.2 |
At bat for at bat, Sanchez was one of the top hitters in baseball last season. Before being called up, however, he was merely mediocre in the minor leagues. While he may have actually taken a big step forward, it is safe to assume significant regression in 2017. Keep in mind, he batted just .222 in September. |
| 77 |
Evan Longoria (TB - 3B) | 46 |
165 |
86.1 |
34.3 |
Although Longoria has been around for a while, he is by no means done being a big-time fantasy asset. Last season may have been the best of his career with 36 homers, so perhaps he takes another step forward in 2017. |
| 78 |
Wade Davis (CHC - RP) | 51 |
110 |
87.7 |
16.9 |
If Wade Davis is anything like he was before injury, you are getting a top three reliever for the price of a top 12 guy. We may be looking at 110 strikeouts and a sub 1.00 ERA with a league leading WHIP and 40+ saves. |
| 79 |
Anthony Rendon (WSH - 3B) | 52 |
172 |
89.4 |
36.1 |
Rendon now has two healthy seasons on the books and two 20/10 performances in those seasons. Likewise, he seems like a safe bet for BA and runs if he can stay healthy, but that is a big if considering his long injury history. |
| 80 |
Andrew Benintendi (BOS - LF,CF, CF) | 60 |
154 |
91.6 |
29.7 |
Benintendi is already a very fine MLB player, but that doesn't always translate well to fantasy baseball. Eventually, he should be a .290 hitter with 20 homers and 15 stolen bases, but this season, expect loads of doubles and walks, which should lead to plenty of runs, but doesn't warrant a 12th round pick. |
| 81 |
Jose Ramirez (CLE - 2B,3B,LF, 2B, LF) | 43 |
165 |
92.1 |
44.8 |
Jose Ramirez surprised a lot of people last season, and many expected regression at some point, but he just kept producing. His exit velos suggest it will stay in place but past production tells another story. |
| 82 |
Jose Quintana (CWS - SP) | 70 |
121 |
92.3 |
15.3 |
Despite moving Sale, the White Sox still have an ace in Quintana, who consistently throws 200+ innings with a sub 3.50 ERA. Last year was his best season yet so he is still trending upwards, as well. Eventually, the wins will catch up to his strong underlying numbers. |
| 83 |
Kyle Hendricks (CHC - SP) | 75 |
131 |
92.4 |
18.1 |
Some are ready to herald Hendricks as the next Greg Maddux. The ERA was far above any other qualified pitcher, but when you look at the deeper statistics, it becomes clear that his ERA is likely to regress from 2.13 to near 3.10. While still great, it isn't enough to make up for the low strikeout rates and warrant a top 70 pick. |
| 84 |
Carlos Santana (CLE - 1B,DH, DH) | 50 |
125 |
93.0 |
27.0 |
Santana is consistently among the top hitters in walks so he should continue to score loads of runs to go along with his newfound power stroke. Additionally, he has gotten at least 600 PA in all 6 full seasons of his career so he comes with little risk. |
| 85 |
Lorenzo Cain (KC - CF,RF) | 61 |
121 |
94.1 |
21.9 |
Last season, Cain took a 20 point drop to his batting average thanks to an increased k-rate, but his season was also injury riddled so perhaps a fresh Cain can return to 15 homers, 25 stolen bases and a .300 batting average once again this year. |
| 86 |
Lance McCullers (HOU - SP) | 43 |
156 |
94.9 |
34.1 |
Despite being just 23 years old, the Astros' true ace, McCullers, is averaging over 10 K/9 in his short career. The only other pitchers to accomplish that during the same time frame are all perennial Cy Young contenders. His ceiling is elite and he hasn't even scratched the surface of his potential. |
| 87 |
Yoenis Cespedes (NYM - LF,CF, CF) DL10 | 41 |
102 |
61.2 |
20.2 |
The Mets' sole-slugger now has two consecutive seasons with 30+ homers and a .280+ batting average. While he is unlikely to take another step forward at 31 years old, he should be considered a safe bet for power and average. |
| 88 |
Masahiro Tanaka (NYY - SP) | 69 |
133 |
95.9 |
23.1 |
Tanaka has a knack for getting hitters out without she strikeout, but because he is unlikely to surpass 180 Ks, his upside is limited. In fact, wins and ERA regression are both expected based on underlying metrics so enter your drafts knowing his limits and expectations. |
| 89 |
Michael Brantley (CLE - LF) | 54 |
263 |
96.7 |
68.8 |
If Brantley can stay on the field, he might just end up back in the MVP conversation. The problem is, his shoulder injury has derailed many careers so he is a significant risk, albeit a high-upside one. |
| 90 |
Ryan Zimmerman (WSH - 1B) | 52 |
143 |
97.3 |
36.5 |
|
| 91 |
Gregory Polanco (PIT - LF,RF) DL10 | 47 |
225 |
100.0 |
55.5 |
Polanco had the breakout we had been waiting for, moving from 9 to 22 homers with a big jump in RBIs, but he appears to be on the decline for stolen bases and unlikely to ever bat over .270. Perhaps, however, there is still more untapped potential. |
| 92 |
Mark Melancon (SF - RP) | 70 |
146 |
102.9 |
21.3 |
Although he isn't the top strikeout pitcher, Melancon's consistently low ERA and terrific WHIP should have prospective fantasy owners drooling. The thought of him moving to the best pitchers park in baseball is just bonus. |
| 93 |
Danny Duffy (KC - SP,RP) | 83 |
129 |
106.3 |
16.9 |
The Royals' lefty ace took a big leap forward last year by posting 188 Ks in just 179 innings. Seeing that he should see a full season in the rotation, 220 Ks and 15 wins with a strong ERA and WHIP is not out of the question. The fact that he qualifies at RP is just a cherry on top. |
| 94 |
Odubel Herrera (PHI - CF) | 80 |
148 |
107.0 |
22.2 |
Herrera became an impressive fantasy asset last season with 15 homers and 25 stolen bases to go with a .286 batting average. With that being said, nothing in his past suggested that type of production so don't be surprised to see him come crashing back down to earth this year. |
| 95 |
Salvador Perez (KC - C) | 31 |
181 |
108.1 |
48.2 |
Perez has become one of the most consistent catchers in baseball. While his ceiling is limited to what he has been, fantasy owners can expect 20 homers and positive regression from his luck-driven .247 batting average last season. |
| 96 |
Justin Turner (LAD - 3B) DL10 | 64 |
157 |
108.4 |
32.6 |
Turner somehow went from 17 homers in 400 career games to 27 in just 150 games last season. His batting average dropped in the process, but could see positive regression this season to help fantasy owners out there again. |
| 97 |
Cody Allen (CLE - RP) | 88 |
143 |
109.3 |
17.0 |
Cody Allen has quietly been one of the top closers in baseball over the past three years, with 91, 99 and 87 Ks in those seasons with a sub 3.00 ERA in each. The only reason he isn't commonly recognized as such is because of save opportunities, which should see positive regression this season. |
| 98 |
Jose Bautista (TOR - RF,DH) | 70 |
185 |
112.3 |
34.6 |
It may seem as though Bautista took a significant step backwards last season, but the primary difference were playing time and BABIP driven luck. If he can stay on the field this year, we might see a return to 40 homers and a .250 BA. |
| 99 |
Jason Kipnis (CLE - 2B) | 82 |
149 |
114.1 |
23.2 |
Kipnis started his fantasy career with a bang a few years back but has seen his stolen bases drop from 31 to 15 in that time. With that said, his power is finally beginning to emerge last season and projects to continue it into 2017. If you need a 2B in the middle rounds, look no further than this high-floor option. |
| 100 |
Seung-Hwan Oh (STL - RP) | 99 |
141 |
115.0 |
13.4 |
The Final Boss established himself as one of the most dominant relievers in baseball last season with 103 strikeouts in 79 innings. The saves are bound to come in bunches as the Cardinals once again have a very competitive team so don't hesitate to get him on your roster. |
| 101 |
Jonathan Lucroy (TEX - C,1B) | 54 |
229 |
116.6 |
70.2 |
The knock on Lucroy in the past has been that he isn't as durable as Posey, and that may be true, but his upside is 25 homers with a .300 batting average so he shouldn't be drafted much later, if at all. |
| 102 |
Marcus Stroman (TOR - SP) | 64 |
157 |
117.6 |
27.5 |
We all continue to hear that Stroman is oozing with potential and bound to take the league by storm, but nothing among his 7.3 K/9, 9.2 H/9 or any other metric suggest he is destined to take a big leap forward any time soon. |
| 103 |
Rick Porcello (BOS - SP) | 85 |
182 |
117.6 |
32.5 |
Porcello's 22 wins and superb ERA were constructs of the luckiest MLB season in regards to underlying metrics. His expected ERA based on every deep number suggest he was outside the top 25 pitchers in baseball, let alone the top pitcher in the AL. Significant regression should be expected and factored into his draft stock. |
| 104 |
Eric Hosmer (KC - 1B) | 55 |
176 |
118.3 |
45.9 |
Hosmer is as durable as players come and still well within the prime years of a hitters career. What's more is that his .266 batting average is due for plenty of positive regression and his exit velocities suggest an even further improvement in his power game is coming. |
| 105 |
Kenneth Giles (HOU - RP) | 102 |
150 |
119.9 |
15.4 |
You may be looking at his career stat line and wondering what in the world happened last year. Yes, the ERA dropped from 1.80 to 4.11, but don't be alarmed, the peripheral stats were actually better! He went from 11.2 K/9 all the way up to 14.0 He just might strike out 120 hitters this season and the ERA will come back down to earth. |
| 106 |
James Paxton (SEA - SP) DL10 | 79 |
161 |
122.1 |
32.4 |
If James Paxton could stay on the mound, the Mariners might have a nice piece for their rotation, but in three seasons he has only been able to compile 260 innings. His WHIP has been fairly high all along and the K's not enough to off-set all the concerns so it is best to avoid him unless he falls late into your drafts. |
| 107 |
Roberto Osuna (TOR - RP) | 99 |
141 |
124.0 |
13.2 |
Osuna took the fantasy world by storm as a 20 year old rookie in 2015 then repeated with very similar numbers. You may think he has another gear yet to be discovered, but most scouts believe he has already reached his ceiling so don't expect 90+ strikeouts or anything absurd like Betances' 130+. |
| 108 |
Danny Salazar (CLE - SP) | 86 |
206 |
124.1 |
42.7 |
Salazar is in the prime of his career at 27 years old and was in the driver's seat for the Cy Young award before a mild injury set him back. That should add up to much more than the 20th highest ranked pitcher, but your league-mates' miss can lead to your success. Nab this extreme upside if he falls, but also beware of the injury risk. |
| 109 |
Adam Duvall (CIN - LF,RF) | 61 |
211 |
124.3 |
48.9 |
Duvall has always been a masher, but finally got his opportunity last season as a 27 year old when he knocked 33 homers and 103 RBIs. With that said, his .241 BA hurt some fantasy owners and could be prone to dipping even lower this season. |
| 110 |
Adrian Beltre (TEX - 3B) DL10 | 40 |
266 |
124.9 |
70.3 |
Beltre is by no means a sexy fantasy player, but there is something to be said about consistency and he is the definition of the term. With that said, he is now 38 years old and eventually has to take a step backwards so perhaps he can't be trusted to keep producing at this rate. |
| 111 |
David Price (BOS - SP) DL10 | 59 |
277 |
124.9 |
73.6 |
Two years ago, Price had his best season of a terrific career, then he landed the big contract and blew up for his worst season since his 2009 rookie year. Not only were the strikeouts way down, but he gave up a league leading 227 hits. A bounce back in likely, but temper your expectations. |
| 112 |
Trevor Story (COL - SS) DL10 | 42 |
251 |
125.4 |
71.7 |
The Rockies' shiny new shortstop began his career with a bang in April, but a lot of people don't realize that he was spectacular in June and July as well before getting injured. There is no reason to expect regression out of a kid this young so the question becomes just how much he can progress over one winter. |
| 113 |
Greg Holland (COL - RP) | 85 |
181 |
126.3 |
28.4 |
Apparently, the Rockies are going to hand the closer job over to Greg Holland, who has been an electric bullpen arm in the past. Whether or not he can rebound from Tommy John surgery and pitch well in Coors are questions to be answered, however. |
| 114 |
Aledmys Diaz (STL - SS) | 84 |
194 |
127.1 |
35.1 |
Diaz moved from mediocre minor league hitter to seemingly being one of the top young shortstops in baseball by hitting .300 with 48 XBH in 111 games. Seeing that he has never been this type of hitter before, there is good reason to doubt the repeat performance in 2017. |
| 115 |
Michael Fulmer (DET - SP) | 84 |
179 |
129.1 |
35.9 |
Fulmer was able to produce a tremendous 3.06 ERA during his rookie campaign, but his strikeouts are lacking so his ceiling is limited. Both the ERA and WHIP are likely to regress based on what underlying metrics are telling us. |
| 116 |
Freddie Freeman (ATL - 1B) DL10 | 12 |
222 |
100.8 |
77.4 |
Freeman was terrible to begin his 2016 campaign, with a .252 bating average over his first 200 at bats, but then he went nuts, finishing the season with a .968 OPS despite the slow start. His 34 bombs were well above a career high, and being just 27 years old, you should believe the power trend will stick around for some time. |
| 117 |
Albert Pujols (LAA - 1B,DH) DTD | 82 |
247 |
129.6 |
51.6 |
You may think of Pujols as a risky injury prone player, but the fact of the matter is that he has played over 150 games in each of the past three years. He played really well at the close of the season so perhaps that will carry into another 40 homer season with a .260+ BA in 2017. |
| 118 |
Jake Lamb (ARI - 3B) | 81 |
151 |
130.3 |
23.4 |
Lamb exploded last year, moving from 6 homers to 29. This shouldn't have been such a surprise considering what he accomplished in the minors. The surprising part was just how quickly he started, with 20 homers and a .291 BA in the second-half. If he can rekindle that focus, he would be a spectacular mid-round pick. |
| 119 |
Elvis Andrus (TEX - SS) | 76 |
165 |
131.0 |
35.1 |
Andrus did manage to hit .300 with 24 stolen bases last season, but he never produces homers or RBI and should see some negative regression back to his norm in batting average this season. What can be said for Andrus is that he always stays on the field so you can rely on him. |
| 120 |
Kelvin Herrera (KC - RP) | 100 |
167 |
133.7 |
23.0 |
The Royals new closer has been excellent over the past three seasons, but last year he was actually much better, striking out 10.8 K/9 with a sub 1.00 WHIP for the first time in his career. Now that the job is all his, he should surge up the rankings this season. |
| 121 |
Julio Teheran (ATL - SP) | 119 |
179 |
134.7 |
20.2 |
After two extremely impressive seasons to launch his career, the 24-year-old slipped up" in 2015 with a 4.04 ERA and just 11 wins. Last year, Teheran put together a superb season with a 3.21 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. At just 26 years old in 2017, it is quite possible he could take another step forward. |
| 122 |
Todd Frazier (CWS - 1B,3B) | 62 |
199 |
136.0 |
52.0 |
The White Sox slugger swatted 40 homers last season to go with 15 stolen bases. While his batting average was a career low, it was primarily BABIP driven so we should see positive regression on that front. With all that being said, if he is traded to a pitcher's park, the power numbers would take a hit. |
| 123 |
Alexander Colome (TB - RP) | 101 |
191 |
137.3 |
29.2 |
Colome was initially supposed to be a starting pitcher last season, but when Boxberger went down, Colome was thrown into the role and really excelled with 11.3 K/9, a stellar 1.91 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP. If he can hang onto the job over Boxberger, there is no reason why he shouldn't be great once again. |
| 124 |
Dustin Pedroia (BOS - 2B) | 84 |
230 |
137.4 |
54.4 |
Pedroia was finally able to stay on the field this season after two injury ridden seasons. What we saw was the same old player who hits over .300 with enough power to be serviceable. With that said, he is now 33 years old so his ceiling is more limited than a guy like Javy Baez, but the floor is quite nice. |
| 125 |
John Lackey (CHC - SP) | 90 |
210 |
138.0 |
34.6 |
It is remarkable that as a 36 and 37 year old, Lackey has posted two of his top three career seasons. The wins haven't exactly been there, but the ERA and supporting metrics have been enough to earn most pitchers 30 wins in that time. 38 years old is a tough hurdle for many, but Lackey gives us every reason to trust him once again. |
| 126 |
Kenta Maeda (LAD - SP) DL10 | 87 |
190 |
138.6 |
37.0 |
Maeda isn't your traditional strikeout pitcher but he did manage over a strikeout per inning during his rookie season. While his wins should regress a tick or two, the ERA and WHIP are well supported by the deeper numbers so expect a repeat performance of 2016's strong season. |
| 127 |
Jay Bruce (NYM - 1B,RF) | 105 |
216 |
138.7 |
39.0 |
Since joining the league in 2008, Jay Bruce has hit between 18 and 33 homers every season. He is as durable as they come and is likely to knock near 30 homers with about 100 RBIs so if you need power late, look his way. |
| 128 |
Yasmany Tomas (ARI - LF,RF) | 89 |
199 |
139.3 |
33.8 |
In the second-half last season, Tomas started to earn his paycheck, batting .294 with 18 homers and a .913 OPS. Seeing that he is just 26 years old and still recovering from over a year away from baseball, it is more likely than not that the slugger will repeat his breakout. |
| 129 |
Stephen Piscotty (STL - CF,RF) | 57 |
157 |
114.7 |
35.7 |
Piscotty has done nothing but hit since he got to the big leagues, and even before then. There is no reason to imagine he will slow down, but he is the rare third-year player who has likely already reached his ceiling so don't draft him expecting improvement from last season. |
| 130 |
Kyle Schwarber (CHC - C,LF) | 61 |
296 |
145.1 |
71.3 |
There is no catcher in baseball who can tear the cover off the ball like Schwarber (sorry Gattis), but does he have a position? The Cubs don't get a DH so they will have to sneak the beastly hitter in at LF or C where he will significantly hurt the team defense. If he gets over 400 at bats, however, he could knock 30 homers. |
| 131 |
Starlin Castro (NYY - 2B) | 72 |
190 |
146.6 |
44.7 |
Don't be quick to forget that this middle infielder has a .280 career batting average and is still just 27 years old. Nor should you ignore the big power boost to 21 homers in his move to the hitter-friendly Yankee stadium last season. |
| 132 |
Alex Bregman (HOU - 3B) | 65 |
281 |
147.7 |
68.4 |
When Bregman was called up last season, some considered him the top overall prospect in baseball. His hit tool has received comparisons to Dustin Pedroia, but he shows more power. Whether he realizes most, some or any of that potential this season is up in the air, but the upside may justify absorbing the risk. |
| 133 |
David Robertson (CWS - RP) | 127 |
179 |
147.9 |
17.1 |
Over the past three seasons, there has been a clear downward trend with Robertson with a rising BAA and a plummeting K/9 rate. With that being said, he was so great when the trend began that he is still a very impressive closer who is stuck in a bad situation for save opportunities. |
| 134 |
Cody Bellinger (LAD - 1B,LF) | 99 |
270 |
148.0 |
58.1 |
|
| 135 |
Kendrys Morales (TOR - 1B,RF,DH) | 106 |
201 |
148.0 |
29.0 |
While Morales is 34 years old now, and hasn't been a consistent third tier first basemen, he was easily in that tier each of the last two seasons with 52 homers and 199 RBIs. Seeing that he is moving from KC to the hitter's haven in Toronto, it wouldn't be surprising if he hits for even more power without hurting your batting average. |
| 136 |
Andrew Miller (CLE - RP) | 112 |
201 |
151.4 |
31.1 |
Miller is unlikely to save more than the dozen games he secured last year, but his innings could increase beyond 80, which would give us above 130 Ks to go along with a dynamite ERA and WHIP, making him a surefire top 10 reliever yet again. |
| 137 |
Addison Russell (CHC - SS) | 53 |
220 |
128.0 |
58.1 |
The Cubs' shortstop batted just .238 last season, mostly thanks to a tough second half, but he whacked 21 homers with 95 RBI out of the shortstop position. Seeing that he didn't have any of these issues in the minors, it is fair to assume the former top prospect will snap out of it in his age-23 season this year. |
| 138 |
Willson Contreras (CHC - C,LF) | 107 |
251 |
153.1 |
46.6 |
After batting over .350 with loads of power in the minors last season, we got to see the another young Cubs' slugger first hand. His bat is unquestionably good, the only concern is whether his glove and durability will allow him to ascend towards the top of the fantasy catcher ratings this season. |
| 139 |
Cole Hamels (TEX - SP) DL10 | 72 |
292 |
154.0 |
68.3 |
Easily the most valueable thing about Hamels is that he has rattled off at least 30 starts in nine straight seasons and has a sub 3.30 ERA during that time. Being able to expect that from your #2 fantasy pitcher is a huge deal, even if he likely has a limited ceiling. |
| 140 |
Michael Conforto (NYM - LF,CF,RF) | 75 |
281 |
131.5 |
69.7 |
We all remember the upside with Conforto. He could be an annual all-star if he puts it all together. With that said, he could finish the season with a .220 BA again and lose his job before the all-star break. This is a risk, for sure, but perhaps one well worth taking. |
| 141 |
Tanner Roark (WSH - SP) | 118 |
205 |
156.0 |
32.2 |
Almost unbelievably, Roark's career ERA is just 3.01 through 573 innings. We should expect that to rise a bit this season, along with the 16 wins dropping quite a bit, but Roark does pitch to soft contact so he shouldn't entirely implode. |
| 142 |
Michael Pineda (NYY - SP) | 120 |
183 |
156.7 |
24.3 |
Michael Pineda was far and away the most unlucky pitcher in baseball last season in regards to ERA and wins. His ERA was 67th out of 73 qualified starting pitchers and he won just 6 games, but his xFIP was 3rd which typically warrants 14-17 wins. The wins will come and the ERA will see plenty of positive regression. |
| 143 |
Robbie Ray (ARI - SP) | 114 |
226 |
157.0 |
37.3 |
Last season, Ray finished 21st ALL-TIME for single season K/9 leaders. Yes, the ERA was terrible and he pitches in Coors Field lite, but you can't pass up potentially 250 Ks in the 20th round. Plus, his ERA was steep because of luck according to his underlying statistics. |
| 144 |
Nomar Mazara (TEX - LF,RF) | 124 |
194 |
158.4 |
21.5 |
Mazara exploded onto the scene last year despite being one of the youngest rookies in the league. He cooled off due to the strenuous 162 game season, but has all the upside in the world to bat .280 with 35 homers some day. |
| 145 |
Marco Estrada (TOR - SP) | 113 |
221 |
158.7 |
36.7 |
Estrada was an all-star for the first time in his career last season and has posted back to back seasons with an ERA under 3.50 thanks to the best BAA in the AL each season, but at 33 years old, you would be wise to be wary of old-man regression. |
| 146 |
J.T. Realmuto (MIA - C) | 92 |
258 |
160.1 |
54.8 |
While Realmuto owners should expect some regression from his .303 batting average, he is now just 26 years old so still growing into some power and may be the only catcher in baseball likely to hit 10+ homers and steal 10+ bases. |
| 147 |
Madison Bumgarner (SF - SP) DL10 | 57 |
210 |
137.2 |
56.6 |
What is perhaps more remarkable than Mad-Bum's unrivaled consistency is the fact that he has continued to get better each and every season. Last season was his career-best ERA and the first time he reached 10.0 k/9. He is a great bet to repeat and perhaps even expand on what he accomplished last season. |
| 148 |
Aaron Nola (PHI - SP) | 110 |
269 |
161.1 |
51.6 |
In just his second year in the Big Leagues, Nola was sensational to start the season. His xFIP suggested he was among the elite pitchers in baseball, even above 12-0 Stephen Strasburg. Knowing that the talent is right under the surface, it should be easy to forgive the unlucky 6 wins with a 4.78 ERA and expect a superb 2017. |
| 149 |
Brandon Belt (SF - 1B,LF) | 80 |
224 |
162.1 |
45.0 |
While Belt is an excellent MLB player, getting on base at 39% clip, but his power seems limited to under 20 homers and he seems to be a consistent .275 hitter. While that would be a fantastic middle infielder, it isn't necessarily impressive at first base. |
| 150 |
Aaron Sanchez (TOR - SP) DL10 | 106 |
217 |
162.9 |
41.5 |
It is easy to look at his 19-2 record with a 3.00 ERA and assume he will again be a top 10 pitcher in baseball, especially considering his age, but his xFIP makes it clear that both his record and ERA are due for major regression this season. He is being drafted in the 11th round, but should prove unworthy of a pick that early. |
| 151 |
Rich Hill (LAD - SP) | 94 |
250 |
164.9 |
53.0 |
Since Rich Hill re-entered the rotation, he is second in baseball with a 2.00 ERA, well ahead of third place, Jake Arrieta (2.39) and fourth place, Jacob deGrom (2.76). He also had 10.6 K/9 during that time. To put it simply, he is dominant when he pitches. The problem is, that might not be as often as we hope. If he does throw 160 IP, he is a complete steal in the second half of the draft. |
| 152 |
Corey Dickerson (TB - LF,DH) | 47 |
256 |
165.4 |
61.3 |
Dickerson saw a 60 point drop in his batting average, which even for Coors to Tampa is so much that positive regression appears in store. The power stuck, however, and you can expect another 20 plus bombs in 2017 from the 28-yer-old outfielder. |
| 153 |
Eduardo Nunez (SF - 3B,SS,LF) | 56 |
273 |
167.4 |
76.2 |
Eduardo Nunez was an all-star last season, managing 16 HRs, 40 SB and a solid .288 BA. With that being said, regression appears to be due in each of those categories with his move to a less friendly ballpark and a return to more reasonable underlying stats. |
| 154 |
Ender Inciarte (ATL - LF,CF) | 77 |
296 |
169.9 |
64.8 |
If you need stolen bases and batting average towards the end of your draft, Ender is exactly what you are looking for. His .291 career BA is no fluke, nor are the 56 stolen bases in less than 400 career games. he is a solid bet to repeat both. |
| 155 |
Yasmani Grandal (LAD - C) | 106 |
327 |
173.6 |
73.3 |
Grandal has killed fantasy teams in terms of batting average with his extended slumps, but when he is hot, there is no better hitting catcher in the league. Last season, he put together an .876 OPS in the second-half and could continue that production straight into 2017. |
| 156 |
Jeff Samardzija (SF - SP) | 96 |
214 |
171.7 |
34.8 |
Samardzija saw the expected 1.00+ drop in his ERA from season to season thanks to the ballpark and league change, but his strikeout rate and WHIP remained unimpressive. You could make the case that he could get a bounceback season to prominence in 2017, but at 32 years-old, it seems unlikely. |
| 157 |
Maikel Franco (PHI - 3B) | 94 |
257 |
171.9 |
50.2 |
Franco started off looking like the breakout player everyone pegged him for last season, but the effort fell apart in the second-half. With that said, he is still young enough that a huge breakout could be in store for the Phillies' third basemen. |
| 158 |
Nick Castellanos (DET - 3B) | 133 |
254 |
173.9 |
37.8 |
The former top-20 prospect was expected to breakout for some time, but disappointed year after year. Last season, he was terrific to begin the season, but hit a wall in June then was injured to close out the year. If he can rekindle that fire, he would be well worth a late-draft investment. |
| 159 |
Zach Britton (BAL - RP) DL10 | 63 |
288 |
175.1 |
74.6 |
While Britton has sported obscene ERAs the past three seasons and especially last season, he is likely to see some regression in that area and his K's set him far back from the two elite closers. |
| 160 |
Sean Manaea (OAK - SP) | 137 |
265 |
175.4 |
41.8 |
In his rookie season, Manaea tarted off looking like a mediocre pitcher, but took a few big steps forward in the second half. His first half WHIP was 1.39, while his second half dropped all the way to 1.02. Likewise, his ERA plummeted and k-rate increased. If he can carry that momentum into the season, he will be well worth a mid-round pick. |
| 161 |
Ervin Santana (MIN - SP) | 115 |
228 |
175.9 |
46.3 |
While Santana is unlikely to pick up more than 150 Ks or a dozen wins on the Twins, he had excellent ratios last season and should once again if he is able to stay healthy in 2017. |
| 162 |
Mike Moustakas (KC - 3B) | 102 |
234 |
176.0 |
43.6 |
Moustakas had a tough beginning to his 2016 campaign before the injury, but don't forget just how good he was in his all-star breakout 2015 season. He batted .284 with 22 HR and 82 RBI. Seeing that he is still just 28, you can bet he returns to similar production this season. |
| 163 |
Edwin Diaz (SEA - RP) | 113 |
250 |
176.4 |
52.5 |
If you are looking for the next Kenley Jansen, look no further. Diaz is likely to strike out near 110 batters this inning as a 23 year old with impeccable command and a stellar ERA. If he can get enough save opportunities with Seattle, he might end up the top closer in baseball. |
| 164 |
Matt Shoemaker (LAA - SP) | 144 |
236 |
177.9 |
29.3 |
In May and June last season, Shoemaker was beginning to look like one of the best starting pitchers in baseball. His rest of the season suggest that was a fluke, but knowing the talent to dominate is within him needs to be written on the back of your mind. |
| 165 |
Ben Zobrist (CHC - 2B,LF,RF) | 65 |
265 |
179.9 |
57.8 |
While Zobrist has been durable during his career, he has never been one to help much in homers and no long steals bases. His on-base percentage will lead to plenty of runs, but his batting average isn't anything special either so his ADP is too high in the 150s. |
| 166 |
Felix Hernandez (SEA - SP) DL10 | 95 |
228 |
162.5 |
42.6 |
Although it was just two years ago, King Felix is far separated from the days of posting huge strikeout rates with a league leading WHIP and sub 2.30 ERA. If you draft him, that is not the pitcher you are getting. Rather, expect lots of innings with a 3.50+ ERA and much lower K-rates. |
| 167 |
Cesar Hernandez (PHI - 2B) | 130 |
369 |
192.1 |
76.5 |
|
| 168 |
Tony Watson (PIT - RP) | 111 |
233 |
184.0 |
41.8 |
The Pirates' current closer is not a strikeout machine, but he does have a dazzling ERA over the past four season. With that being said, he took a big step backwards last season and if that continues, you can believe he will be replaced for the closer role in time. |
| 169 |
Jose Peraza (CIN - 2B,SS,LF,CF) | 90 |
231 |
165.5 |
51.4 |
Now that Brandon Phillips is out of the picture in Cincy, Peraza should see full playing time. He isn't going to hit any homers, but he just might steal 50 bases and bat .280. To be able to get a player like that in the middle of your draft is pure gold. |
| 170 |
Matt Harvey (NYM - SP) | 115 |
299 |
185.3 |
65.8 |
In 2013, Harvey was arguably the best pitcher in baseball. He bounced back from injury in miraculous fashion, but bombed the 2016 campaign. Seeing that he is still in the prime years of his career, going back to a Cy Young contender is entirely possible, but the lottery ticket doesn't come without significant risk. |
| 171 |
Jonathan Schoop (BAL - 2B) | 121 |
265 |
186.6 |
48.8 |
Schoop has always been a source of power from the middle infield when he plays, and last year we saw that with 25 homers in 162 games. While he won't help you with steals, his bat is enough to warrant a mid-round pick. |
| 172 |
Eugenio Suarez (CIN - 3B) | 112 |
280 |
187.7 |
56.5 |
Suarez hit the quietest 20 homers in the Bigs last season, plus he stole double-digit bags. With that said, his batting average will hurt your fantasy team and may get even worse than the .248 we received last year. |
| 173 |
Victor Martinez (DET - 1B,DH) | 128 |
256 |
188.0 |
44.8 |
Martinez may be 38 years old now, but don't forget that he is just two years separated from batting .335 to close a five year stretch of batting at least .300. What's more is that he has played at least 145 games in 4 of the previous 5 seasons despite the old age so he seems like a safe bet once again this season. |
| 174 |
Jedd Gyorko (STL - 1B,2B,3B,SS) | 73 |
387 |
200.6 |
92.0 |
The Cardinals' utility player broke out in a big way last year, hitting 30 homers. Don't be worried about him having just 59 RBIs, that number will soar if his HRs stay in place. Rather, worry about the playing time. With Peralta healthy, it isn't a sure thing that Gyorko will find his way to the plate even 400 times this season. |
| 175 |
Jonathan Gray (COL - SP) DL10 | 134 |
225 |
188.7 |
31.8 |
Gray may well be the most talented pitcher in Rockies' history thanks to a huge fastball that doesn't allow hitters to put the ball into play, which is extremely dangerous in Coors. With that being said, Coors boosts ERAs by about 25% so even with all the K's, his fantasy ceiling is limited this year. |
| 176 |
Dellin Betances (NYY - RP) | 126 |
235 |
189.7 |
40.8 |
Betances took a big step back last season, which is hilarious because he was still among the best relievers in baseball. With at least 125 Ks each of the previous three seasons, he should be regarded as a top 10 reliever regardless of the minimal save projections. |
| 177 |
Dexter Fowler (STL - CF) | 123 |
265 |
190.1 |
50.1 |
Fowler has shown that he is unlikely to ever hit 20 homers or bat .280, but he does steal some bags and is good for a bunch of runs considering how often he gets on base. He is reliable, if nothing else. |
| 178 |
Jake Odorizzi (TB - SP) | 140 |
203 |
172.3 |
22.2 |
Odorizzi is coming into the prime years of his career and has been making a name for himself as a consistent fantasy asset that will provide a solid ERA and WHIP with enough Ks to be worthy of a mid-round pick. If he is traded before the end of the season, however, that ERA may inflate a bit. |
| 179 |
Dylan Bundy (BAL - SP,RP) | 82 |
375 |
201.9 |
100.2 |
It was beginning to look like Bundy's career was never going to get going because of all the injury problems. he finally got his opportunity last year, posting a low K-9 and .305 batting BAA in the first-half, but he turned it around quickly in the second half with over a strikeout per inning and a strong .231 BAA. If he continues that progress, he will be a tremendous mid-round value. |
| 180 |
A.J. Ramos (MIA - RP) | 153 |
234 |
191.6 |
22.2 |
Ramos has been solid but unspectacular in his two years as the Marlins closer. He would be a nice late-draft pickup if it weren't for the fact that a more dominant reliever, Kyle Barraclough, was waiting in the wings behind him ready to take his job at the first slip up. |
| 181 |
Jerad Eickhoff (PHI - SP) | 112 |
276 |
192.0 |
58.6 |
Eickhoff began the season on fire, catching the NL East off guard. As the season went on, the hype fell off, but his underlying statistics actually improved. He is a sneaky late-round pick that should give a reliable ERA and WHIP with enough strikeouts to help out. |
| 182 |
Kole Calhoun (LAA - RF) | 119 |
275 |
173.8 |
53.1 |
There is nothing exciting fantasy wise about Anaheim's right fielder, but he is consistent, durable and ranked much higher by the expert consensus than his ADP. If you need a 4th outfielder, he could do the trick. |
| 183 |
Drew Pomeranz (BOS - SP) DTD | 114 |
254 |
192.7 |
47.6 |
After being traded to the Red Sox, Pomeranz had a steep drop off in virtually every stat, so owners are going to be quite low on him this season, but he is still coming into the prime of his career and is coming off a terrific 170 combined innings from last season so make of that what you will. |
| 184 |
Mitch Haniger (SEA - LF,CF,RF) DL10 | 129 |
223 |
175.8 |
32.7 |
The Mariners' rookie was acquired with Jean Segura in the Taijuan Walker deal after dominating Triple-A last season. He has carried that over into Spring Training and is zooming up draft boards. Don't hesitate to grab him late in your drafts. |
| 185 |
Steven Matz (NYM - SP) DL10 | 103 |
287 |
195.9 |
60.1 |
The 6'2 lefty has been referred to as a poor man's Tom Glavine. Now, Glavine never had the continual arm issues that Matz has been dealing with for several years but the pure stuff can make him a top 15 fantasy pitcher if he is able to stay on the field. |
| 186 |
Mike Leake (STL - SP) | 150 |
252 |
196.1 |
31.5 |
|
| 187 |
Hunter Pence (SF - RF) DL10 | 127 |
269 |
179.7 |
52.2 |
While Hunter Pence was as efficient as ever last season, he missed a big chunk of time for the second season in a row. If he can stay on the field, expect another 20 homers with a .280 batting average, but it is a big if. |
| 188 |
Ryon Healy (OAK - 1B,3B,DH) | 73 |
389 |
211.0 |
92.5 |
The A's young 3rd basemen was never a top prospect, thanks to nothing more than mediocre minor league numbers despite being one of the older players in the league. Soething appeared to click last season, as he mashed in the minors then the majors, but don't be so quick to assume that type of production is here to stay. |
| 189 |
Ivan Nova (PIT - SP,RP) | 145 |
268 |
198.6 |
42.6 |
|
| 190 |
Jackie Bradley (BOS - CF) | 114 |
219 |
182.0 |
36.1 |
Apparently JBJ had a huge breakout year last season. You wouldn't know it if you looked at his year to year numbers from 2015 to 2016. Sure, he had that hot streak, but the only real difference was playing time. He has always been this player so expect more of the same. |
| 191 |
Chris Owings (ARI - SS,CF,RF) | 124 |
227 |
186.8 |
35.3 |
|
| 192 |
David Peralta (ARI - RF) | 125 |
251 |
203.9 |
46.7 |
Just last season, Peralta was being touted as one of the most underrated hitters in baseball. He struggled before an injury derailed his 2016 season, but has the potential to hit 20 homers with a .300 batting average so if you are willing to take a risk, he comes with a nice upside. |
| 193 |
Travis Shaw (MIL - 1B,3B) | 91 |
377 |
217.4 |
93.5 |
|
| 194 |
Luis Severino (NYY - SP,RP) | 117 |
222 |
188.7 |
36.9 |
Severino took a major step backwards last season, but this former top 20 prospect has plenty of upside to dream on. If you are in a deeper league, don't hesitate to take a chance on this premium talent in hope that he realizes some of that potential this season. |
| 195 |
Josh Harrison (PIT - 2B,3B) | 140 |
262 |
204.7 |
40.0 |
|
| 196 |
Yasiel Puig (LAD - RF) DTD | 183 |
252 |
204.9 |
24.3 |
Puig displayed potential MVP upside in his first wo seasons then has dealt with injuries and struggled to maintain consistency. If he can stay healthy and grow up a little, he may bop 25 homers with 15 stolen bases and a BA near .300. |
| 197 |
Troy Tulowitzki (TOR - SS) DL10 | 102 |
280 |
190.2 |
69.5 |
Tulowitzki is injury prone and now 32 years old, but he is just two years removed from batting .340 with a 1.035 OPS. Granted, he did it in Coors, but Toronto's ballpark is a hitter's haven as well. If he can stay on the field, he will be a steal in the middle rounds of drafts. |
| 198 |
Kevin Kiermaier (TB - CF) | 117 |
258 |
206.7 |
50.3 |
Keirmaier has never been anything other than a glove who can get about 20 stolen bases. He is being overdrafted because of the defense so unless he falls, it would be wise to avoid him. |
| 199 |
Keon Broxton (MIL - CF) | 98 |
246 |
191.3 |
57.7 |
Broxton's 9 homers and 23 stolen bases in just 75 big league games last season. If he can maintain that rate of production, we might be talking about a 20/45 type of outfielder, but he was never all that impressive in the minors so it seems like a longshot. |
| 200 |
Josh Bell (PIT - 1B,RF) | 132 |
307 |
208.1 |
54.7 |
Bell wasn't excellent in his debut last year but he sure was in the minors with a .295/.382/.468. He should get another crack this year in Pittsburgh and while that ballpark isn't conducive to power, he should still be able to help fantasy teams in every category except stolen bases. |
| 201 |
Raisel Iglesias (CIN - SP,RP) | 165 |
215 |
191.7 |
16.3 |
Last season, Iglesias was impressive in 78 innings, but it was primarily out of the bullpen. If he does, in fact, make the starting rotation, his 1.14 WHIP, 2.53 ERA and 9.5 K/9 are all primed to go backwards as he logs more innings. With that said, he also has a chance to win the closer job so keep an eye out there. |
| 202 |
Vincent Velasquez (PHI - SP) | 116 |
268 |
192.2 |
51.9 |
If you are looking for upside, look no further. During the first-half last season, Velasquez broke out for an 8-2 record and 3.32 ERA with a terrific 10.6 K/9. His second-half was a different story, hence the low ADP, but knowing he has the potential to strikeout 220 with a strong ERA should turn every fantasy owners' head. |
| 203 |
Carlos Beltran (HOU - LF,RF,DH) | 149 |
297 |
209.6 |
42.9 |
In 2014, it seemed as though Beltran's career was practically over, but he revived his career by spending plenty of time at DH and batting over .285 with 48 homers the previous two seasons. Despite him being 40 years old, you can expect more of the same this year. |
| 204 |
Matt Holliday (NYY - 1B,LF,DH) | 175 |
239 |
209.6 |
27.2 |
While Holliday's power came back to 20 homers in less than 400 at bats, it has to be noted that he has missed 140 games over the past two years and has been seeing his batting average steadily dip. If he can stay on the field, he will help fantasy teams, but that's a big if. |
| 205 |
Mark Reynolds (COL - 1B) | 117 |
227 |
174.6 |
40.6 |
|
| 206 |
Noah Syndergaard (NYM - SP) DL60 | 128 |
264 |
195.7 |
41.9 |
Since Kershaw didn't pitch the whole season, it was the 23-year-old Syndergaard who led the Majors in WAR, FIP and seemingly every other underlying metric that distinguishes the best pitchers from one another. While he hasn't shown he can throw the innings of a Kershaw or Scherzer, his potential is as high as theirs. |
| 207 |
Evan Gattis (HOU - C,DH) | 136 |
319 |
215.9 |
53.1 |
Gattis is going to have a tough time getting in the loaded Astros' lineup every day this season, but when he plays, his bat is superb. He should knock another 25-35 homers this season and with the improved lineup, could work his way up to 90 RBIs in 2017.; |
| 208 |
Kevin Pillar (TOR - CF) | 99 |
316 |
201.8 |
66.1 |
|
| 209 |
David Dahl (COL - LF,CF) DL10 | 95 |
247 |
179.2 |
58.0 |
No, you shouldn't expect Dahl to bat .315 in the majors again this season, but .280 seems like a safe bet. Add in 15-20 homers and 15 stolen bases and you have a nice asset. The only issue is that playing time isn't yet guaranteed for the sophomore in a loaded lineup. |
| 210 |
Welington Castillo (BAL - C) | 141 |
381 |
225.7 |
80.1 |
Castillo hasn't made his way into the lineup enough to be a true starting catcher in fantasy baseball, but if he can find his way into 500 PA, we could be talking about a catcher who hits 20 homers and drives in 75 runs without killing your team's batting average. |
| 211 |
Justin Bour (MIA - 1B) | 120 |
290 |
200.0 |
59.2 |
|
| 212 |
Lance Lynn (STL - SP) | 132 |
239 |
200.0 |
33.6 |
Lynn is going undrafted in most standard leagues, but since he joined the Big Leagues, he was top 10 in wins, ERA and top 15 in strikeouts. He was, by all metrics, a fantasy ace before his injury, so don't let him go undrafted in your league this year. |
| 213 |
Brandon Crawford (SF - SS) | 139 |
261 |
200.2 |
37.5 |
Unfortunately, web gems are not a fantasy category, or Crawford would be selected 10 rounds higher. He does provide a reasonable batting average with decent power upside from the middle infield, however, and that type of production is worthwhile in the late rounds of standard league drafts. |
| 214 |
Randal Grichuk (STL - LF,CF,RF) | 164 |
282 |
214.9 |
38.0 |
Just two seasons ago, Grichuk was top 5 in isolated power, and continues to have extremely high exit velocities which indicate a big surge in power numbers could be on the way this season if he can avoid that prolonged slump he was met with last year. |
| 215 |
Carlos Gomez (TEX - LF,CF,RF) DL10 | 138 |
274 |
200.8 |
44.2 |
A few seasons ago, Gomez was a .280 hitter with 20+ homers and 30+ steals, but he has struggled quite a bit the previous two seasons. The end of 2016 was a bright spot, however, as he posted a .905 OPS after being traded to Texas. |
| 216 |
Brian McCann (HOU - C,DH) DL7 | 126 |
364 |
224.6 |
71.5 |
Even though he will be spending quite a bit of time as the DH for the Astros, he is at the stage of his career where we can know he won't eclipse 500 AB. With that said, he is a good bet to knock another 20 homers since he has done it nine straight seasons now, and while his BA will be low, 20 bombs from a catcher is difficult to come by at the position. |
| 217 |
Brett Gardner (NYY - LF) | 141 |
267 |
215.6 |
43.8 |
|
| 218 |
Joey Gallo (TEX - 3B) | 112 |
245 |
185.4 |
59.2 |
|
| 219 |
Jason Vargas (KC - SP) | 90 |
299 |
205.7 |
68.4 |
|
| 220 |
Kevin Gausman (BAL - SP) | 133 |
247 |
206.2 |
36.9 |
Don't be the guy who looks at his 453 IP and writes Gausman off for just having 23 wins. His deeper stats, especially in the second-half last year, when his K-rate soared and his OPS allowed dropped 60 points, tell us that the wins are well on the way. |
| 221 |
Eduardo Rodriguez (BOS - SP) | 139 |
333 |
224.9 |
60.2 |
|
| 222 |
Adrian Gonzalez (LAD - 1B) | 162 |
270 |
207.7 |
38.9 |
Although Gonzalez saw his homers drop below 20 for just the second time career, he still drove in 90 runs for the 10th straight season and managed to bat .285. If he can perform at even 80% of that level in 2017, it will warrant the mid-round pick he will cost. |
| 223 |
Melky Cabrera (CWS - LF) | 168 |
263 |
208.0 |
37.5 |
Need batting average late? Look no further than Melky, who is still just 32, believe it or not, and has a BA well over .300 the past six seasons. He should knock double-digit homers as well and score his fair share of runs. |
| 224 |
Yadier Molina (STL - C) | 63 |
355 |
229.9 |
82.2 |
Quite possibly, the quietest .300 hitter from last season was Molina. He only knocked 8 homers and isn't stealing double-digit bases anymore, but seeing that he batted .365 with the majority of his power in the second-half, it isn't impossible for him to improve upon last year's strong offensive performance. |
| 225 |
Taijuan Walker (ARI - SP) DL10 | 179 |
316 |
224.4 |
48.9 |
Taijuan obviously takes a major hit moving from Seattle to Arizona for his home ballpark, and his draft stock will suffer from hype-fatigue, but bare in mind that he is still just 24 years old and still possesses some of the best stuff in the majors. There were stints where he was filthy dominant, and its possible that could happen for an entire season. |
| 226 |
Jacoby Ellsbury (NYY - CF) | 128 |
277 |
223.1 |
49.1 |
Jacoby isn't going to hit double-digit homers and he won't steal 40 bases anymore, but 20 should be expected and a solid batting average to boot. Getting those two categories at the end of drafts is difficult to come by. |
| 227 |
Gio Gonzalez (WSH - SP) | 188 |
272 |
224.1 |
30.7 |
Gonzalez has at least 31 games started in 6 of his previous 7 seasons, but is now throwing just over 5 innings per start. What's more is that his WHIP has been 1.38 over the previous two seasons and his K-rate depressed so the projections rightfully don't line up with the hype of his name. |
| 228 |
Julio Urias (LAD - SP) MiLB | 169 |
277 |
224.3 |
44.5 |
Urias doesn't quite have a guaranteed spot in the Dodgers' deep rotation despite being a top five prospect. With that being said, he is still just 20 years old but was really impressive in his 77 inning debut. His ceiling is astronomical so if you can afford the risk, he might bring a huge payoff. |
| 229 |
Hunter Renfroe (SD - RF) | 173 |
359 |
233.3 |
59.0 |
It is a real shame that the early years of his career will be wasted in such a pitcher-friendly ballpark. Even so, his bat will play for fantasy. It all depends on when he is called up. His .306 BA with 30 HR and 105 RBI in 133 games last season suggests it should be soon. |
| 230 |
Matt Bush (TEX - RP) | 155 |
267 |
213.7 |
42.8 |
The Rangers don't have the most steady closer situation right now so don't put it past Bush to take over the job. Last season, the former first overall pick really emerged into one of the top middle relievers in baseball. |
| 231 |
Tim Anderson (CWS - SS) | 118 |
289 |
214.3 |
61.3 |
Two years ago, Tim Anderson batted .312 with 49 stolen bases in just 125 games. Granted, it was in the minor leagues, but that is the type of player he may eventually become in the big leagues. Whether it is 2017 or sometime down the road is still to be determined. |
| 232 |
Jameson Taillon (PIT - SP) DL10 | 128 |
306 |
217.0 |
71.6 |
You probably keep hearing that Taillon was a beast for the Pirates in the second half, but nothing from his stat line supports the luck-supported 3.38 ERA. Expect regression on that front and that he may hit a wall once he passes 150 IP this season for the first time in his career. |
| 233 |
Yonder Alonso (OAK - 1B) DTD | 84 |
271 |
174.0 |
72.4 |
|
| 234 |
Joc Pederson (LAD - CF) | 111 |
265 |
199.6 |
57.1 |
Joc raised his batting average 35 points last season and hit more extra base hits despite 70 less at bats. Perhaps this season he will be able to remain healthy and hit 35 homers with 90+ RBIs. |
| 235 |
Josh Reddick (HOU - LF,RF) | 151 |
333 |
233.6 |
61.3 |
|
| 236 |
Justin Wilson (DET - RP) | 127 |
279 |
175.8 |
60.4 |
|
| 237 |
Brad Brach (BAL - RP) | 120 |
238 |
176.8 |
42.0 |
|
| 238 |
Matt Wieters (WSH - C) | 140 |
389 |
243.1 |
75.8 |
Wieters hasn't hit above .250 in any of the previous three seasons and has had a difficult time staying on the field which doesn't sound good for someone moving from Baltimore to probably Tampa's pitcher's park, but if they stick him at 1st base or DH for the most part, his playing time and offensive ratios should both jump. |
| 239 |
Brandon Phillips (ATL - 2B) | 130 |
314 |
223.2 |
68.8 |
|
| 240 |
Scott Schebler (CIN - LF,CF,RF) | 74 |
391 |
239.7 |
99.6 |
|
| 241 |
Jose Berrios (MIN - SP) | 167 |
363 |
222.4 |
74.6 |
The Twins' sophomore struggled with an 8.02 ERA in his 58 inning debut, but we saw flashes of brilliance, which were proved over and over in the minors. He is still far from polished, but could breakout any time so keep an eye on him. |
| 242 |
Corey Knebel (MIL - RP) | 154 |
233 |
187.5 |
33.8 |
|
| 243 |
Aaron Altherr (PHI - LF,CF,RF) | 170 |
252 |
212.4 |
26.0 |
|
| 244 |
Domingo Santana (MIL - RF) | 188 |
287 |
237.9 |
29.2 |
Santana has been a masher throughout the minor leagues and posted super exit velos last season which indicates some positive regression in the power numbers. Likewise, his batting average should jump to near .270. |
| 245 |
Brad Miller (TB - 1B,2B,SS) DL10 | 139 |
303 |
191.8 |
65.0 |
Brad Miller went nuts in July and August with 15 homers and a .920 OPS. If he can find a way to stay consistent or hit lefties then he should fly up ECR by this time next year, but those are both big ifs. |
| 246 |
Alex Wood (LAD - SP,RP) | 146 |
383 |
242.5 |
75.7 |
|
| 247 |
Manuel Margot (SD - CF) | 180 |
299 |
239.6 |
39.3 |
Margot is an exciting fantasy prospect who could steal 20 bags this season in the second-half alone. With that being said, the rest of his game needs maturing so unless he wins a job out of camp, it is better off using this roster spot for someone who will contribute right away. |
| 248 |
J.A. Happ (TOR - SP) DL10 | 177 |
266 |
230.7 |
30.0 |
Some may be very tempted by Happ's superb ERA last season, but there are plenty of factors going against him this season, especially the deeper statistics. Take a chance if you insist, but he is a prime candidate for significant regression. |
| 249 |
Max Kepler (MIN - RF,CF) | 151 |
293 |
230.8 |
47.6 |
Kepler surged onto the scene last season, but cooled off towards the end. He could eventually sustain his big month for a full-season, but is still so new to baseball that it shouldn't be expected in 2017. |
| 250 |
Javier Baez (CHC - 2B,3B,SS) | 164 |
283 |
217.0 |
45.7 |
We saw glimpses of Baez being an excellent fantasy player at times last season, but it didn't all come together quite yet. With that being said, it looks like he is going to get more playing time and if he does, his potential could make him a top 5 second basemen one day, perhaps sooner than later. |
| 251 |
Jeremy Hellickson (PHI - SP) DTD | 176 |
277 |
217.6 |
34.5 |
|
| 252 |
Tommy Joseph (PHI - 1B) | 135 |
278 |
231.7 |
50.3 |
Tommy Joseph put up 21 homers in just 315 at bats as a rookie last year so it isn't out of the question for him to knock 35 this year. With that said, he has been prone to prolonged slumps in the minors. So while he managed to bat .347 in the minors last year, he was down at .241 the year before so this is a shot in the dark draft pick, but one with nice upside. |
| 253 |
Sonny Gray (OAK - SP) | 203 |
282 |
234.0 |
31.1 |
Gray will be one of the most polarizing pitchers this season thanks to a drop in ERA from 2.73 to 5.69 and in WHIP from 1.082 to 1.496 in just one season. He unquestionably has Cy Young potential, but could blow up your fantasy rotation in a repeat performance from 2016. |
| 254 |
Addison Reed (NYM - RP) | 159 |
374 |
235.8 |
75.5 |
|
| 255 |
Brandon Kintzler (MIN - RP) | 163 |
302 |
235.5 |
50.7 |
|
| 256 |
Logan Forsythe (LAD - 2B) DL10 | 193 |
244 |
223.6 |
19.8 |
Forsythe saw a surge in power two years ago and it seemed to be sustainable basd on what he did again last season. With that being said, he doesn't offer much of anything else besides a mediocre batting average. |
| 257 |
Jarrod Dyson (SEA - LF,CF,RF) | 177 |
291 |
246.9 |
33.2 |
Rumors have it that Dyson will be batting first for a great Seattle offense. That should lead to 80+ runs and we know he can steal 40+ bases with full playing time so he could end up one of the best steals of the draft. |
| 258 |
Michael Wacha (STL - SP,RP) | 171 |
329 |
244.3 |
58.0 |
Wacha was abysmal in 2016, but is still just 25 years-old and just one season removed from 17 wins and a 3.38 ERA. He isn't going to strike out more than 160 guys, but he is an excellent bounce-back flier late in drafts. |
| 259 |
Avisail Garcia (CWS - LF,RF,DH) | 65 |
276 |
226.4 |
81.1 |
|
| 260 |
Curtis Granderson (NYM - LF,CF,RF) | 188 |
284 |
226.4 |
35.3 |
He could single handedly drop you a few points in the BA category, but he is a sure bet to knock 25 homers and score near 90 runs. It is up to you to determine whether your team can afford the batting average blow, and if they can, the help in the other categories will be quite useful. |
| 261 |
C.J. Cron (LAA - 1B) MiLB | 126 |
285 |
209.0 |
59.1 |
If Cron can get himself 500 at bats, it's clear that he has the ability to hit 25 homers with 90 RBIs while batting near .280. It isn't easy to find that type of production out of a late round pick so target him if you need a utility player late. |
| 262 |
Matt Moore (SF - SP) | 198 |
299 |
240.2 |
38.1 |
The Giants' lefty has a big arm and is a former top prospect, but the strikeouts have never been there consistently and he has never displayed enough command to be relied upon for any of the four standard SP categories. |
| 263 |
Jason Heyward (CHC - CF,RF) | 214 |
264 |
240.5 |
18.1 |
We know the big outfielder has the upside to knock 27 homers like he did as a 22 year-old, and bat .293 like he did in 2015 with 23 steals, but last season was so terrible that it might be best to avoid him all-together. |
| 264 |
Neil Walker (NYM - 2B) | 161 |
291 |
241.8 |
46.5 |
After a season-ending back injury, it is difficult to trust a player. Fortunately for Walker owners, the price isn't so high that you can't justify taking that risk. If he is healthy, he should swat 20 to 30 homers with a reliable batting average. |
| 265 |
Didi Gregorius (NYY - SS) | 143 |
308 |
232.0 |
54.3 |
It was a huge surprise when Gregorious knocked 20 homers last season. He still won't steal bases and his batting average is merely mediocre, but that kind of production will do for a late round middle infielder, if only he can repeat his performance. |
| 266 |
Francisco Rodriguez (DET - RP) | 125 |
291 |
213.5 |
64.8 |
Although K-Rod is now 35 years old, he still holds the closer job in Detroit, however, because of the age, his k-rate has plummeted where he is now striking out just 40% of the hitters some of the elite closers are, with a significantly worse ERA and WHIP. Don't buy him just because he has a ton of saves the past three years, those opportunities are fickle and no guarantee to carry over from season to season. |
| 267 |
Mike Napoli (TEX - 1B,DH) | 204 |
272 |
242.7 |
21.4 |
Napoli was fantastic up until the final month of the season when he batted just .140, dropping his season long BA to .239 which killed some roto teams. With that said, homers don't grow on trees and Napoli mashes them at a nice clip and bare in mind, he has been incredible in his career while playing in Arlington, which he'll get for half of his games this year. |
| 268 |
Byron Buxton (MIN - CF) | 178 |
266 |
216.0 |
33.9 |
One of the most polarizing players in the draft is Buxton, who was a former top overall prospect. He could swat 20 homers and steal 60 bags this season, or he could lose his job and be sent back down to the minors for more development. The former is more likely, seeing that he was excellent to close the 2016 season. |
| 269 |
Devon Travis (TOR - 2B) | 134 |
326 |
238.8 |
62.8 |
Travis has deal with a pretty serious injury that could reoccur this season with overuse, but when he is on the field, you can welcome a near .300 BA with enough steals to keep fantasy owners happy. That kind of potential in a middle infielder is difficult to find late in drafts. |
| 270 |
Jim Johnson (ATL - RP) | 164 |
289 |
245.3 |
43.7 |
Johnson is apparently in line to get save opportunities for Atlanta, and while the Braves may not be good, we have seen crummy teams produce plenty of saves for their closer like with Jeanmar Gomez and Philly last season. Johnson should not go undrafted. |
| 271 |
Jeurys Familia (NYM - RP) DL60 | 138 |
367 |
250.8 |
74.4 |
After Oh, Giles and Davis, there is a fairly significant drop off to Familia, who is very good, but not quite on the same level. His WHIP, expected ERA and K-rate are all significantly worse than the above group, but he managed 51 saves because of all the opportunities, which aren't guaranteed to carry over into this season. Plus, he might just end up suspended for a month or two. |
| 272 |
Zack Cozart (CIN - SS) | 186 |
369 |
251.2 |
62.8 |
|
| 273 |
Hisashi Iwakuma (SEA - SP) DL10 | 185 |
285 |
239.6 |
32.1 |
Iwakuma saw a major spike from 8.1 to 9.9 H/9 last season with his age 35 season. While his career ERA is still 3.39, he will more than likely sit above 4.00 this season with limited strikeout numbers. The wins are likely to fall in place with that ERA jump so be careful here. |
| 274 |
Mitch Moreland (BOS - 1B) | 153 |
325 |
246.4 |
55.4 |
|
| 275 |
Ian Kennedy (KC - SP) | 195 |
275 |
228.0 |
29.7 |
Over the past three seasons, Kennedy has 565 strikeouts, so even though the ERA and wins haven't quite been where you would hope, he can fill the gap as a decent last pitcher on a fantasy roster. |
| 276 |
Hernan Perez (MIL - 2B,3B,SS,LF,CF,RF) | 190 |
325 |
247.8 |
54.7 |
|
| 277 |
Starling Marte (PIT - LF,CF) SUS | 206 |
258 |
229.5 |
22.9 |
Marte finished second in steals among all MLB players with 47 last season, up 17 from the previous year, and this in 24 fewer games. If he can stay on the field, we might just see 60 swipes this time around and hopefully his power can just back up to the 19 homers he knocked in 2015. |
| 278 |
Marcus Semien (OAK - SS) DL60 | 140 |
281 |
208.0 |
57.7 |
Believe it or not, if Semien is still available at the end of your drafts, you can still get a shortstop who might hit 30 bombs with 10 stolen bases. Granted, the batting average dipped down last season, but should pop back up to near .250 which won't hurt you nearly as much as the boost in the other four categories will help. |
| 279 |
Cameron Bedrosian (LAA - RP) DL10 | 169 |
278 |
231.5 |
42.2 |
It isn't quite clear whether the Angels will give the job to Cam or Huston Street, but you should approach the situation with confidence. In Bedrosian's 40 innings last season, he was one of the most impressive relief pitchers in baseball with 11.4 K/9 and a superb 1.12 ERA. |
| 280 |
Steven Souza (TB - RF) | 202 |
319 |
258.5 |
38.4 |
|
| 281 |
Greg Bird (NYY - 1B) DL10 | 196 |
286 |
235.0 |
33.3 |
Bird may have missed the 2016 season, but he was tremendous in his 2015 rookie debut with 11 homers in just 157 at bats. He was a masher throughout his minor league career so it doesn't seem like a fluke, so if he can stay healthy and beat our Chris Carter for at-bats, Bird just might knock 30 bombs this year. |
| 282 |
Andrew Triggs (OAK - SP,RP) | 134 |
304 |
237.0 |
66.7 |
|
| 283 |
Fernando Rodney (ARI - RP) | 186 |
335 |
264.7 |
46.3 |
The Diamondbacks are expected to win at least a handful of games and apparently Rodney will get the first crack at the closing duties. That doesn't mean his ratios will be helpful or that he will hang onto the job, but saves are saves after all. |
| 284 |
Yulieski Gurriel (HOU - 1B,3B) | 198 |
297 |
238.0 |
37.7 |
Gurriel was one of the best hitters in Cuban history before coming to America. He batted at even .500 with power and only two strikeouts all season! If he can carry over even a fraction of that talent this season, he will be well worth a late-round investment. |
| 285 |
Russell Martin (TOR - C) | 202 |
336 |
257.8 |
43.9 |
Gone are the days where Martin will hit anywhere close to .290, but he is a good bet to swat 15 or more homers with 60 RBIs once again and has been consistent in securing 400 at bats each season so he is a safe middle round investment in a tough position. |
| 286 |
Drew Smyly (SEA - SP) DL60 | 158 |
320 |
226.0 |
68.6 |
There is little to like about Smyly outside of a luck-driven ERA for three half-seasons before last year's disastrous 4.88 ERA. The strikeouts went backwards and he is unlikely to win enough games to be a useful fantasy contributor in leagues this season. |
| 287 |
Adam Wainwright (STL - SP) | 234 |
291 |
252.2 |
21.3 |
Typically when a 34 year old starting pitcher posts a 4.62 ERA after a long career, you throw your hands up and call his career over. Wainwright isn't your typical 35-year-old. He is now 22 months away from Tommy John, and remember, his 2nd season after his first full year missed, his ERA dropped from 3.94 to 2.94. The same could happen again this year. |
| 288 |
Chris Devenski (HOU - SP,RP) | 191 |
339 |
250.8 |
59.2 |
|
| 289 |
Shin-Soo Choo (TEX - RF,DH) | 230 |
292 |
261.2 |
20.0 |
Choo missed most of last season, but has always been a high batting average, high runs producer. Sure, he is getting up there in age and can't be counted on to stay healthy, but if he is healthy, you can bet he will be worth more than a late round pick. |
| 290 |
Brandon Drury (ARI - 2B,3B,LF,RF) | 204 |
351 |
263.8 |
53.2 |
|
| 291 |
Joe Ross (WSH - SP) MiLB | 206 |
341 |
269.3 |
41.8 |
Joe Ross is getting loads of hype thanks to an impressive 3.52 cumulative ERA as a 22 and 23 year old, but the ERA wasn't driven by dominating metrics. Rather, his deeper stats were mediocre, which signals for ERA regression in 2017. |
| 292 |
Yangervis Solarte (SD - 2B,3B) | 227 |
365 |
273.3 |
45.9 |
|
| 293 |
Koda Glover (WSH - RP) | 166 |
384 |
270.0 |
86.8 |
Glover has been a closer prospect for some time and now that Papelbon's star has faded, the Nationals look all set to hand the closer job over to the kid. Bare in mind, however, that they were trying to acquire David Roberston so Glover's leash should be short. |
| 294 |
Austin Hedges (SD - C) | 192 |
354 |
279.2 |
57.1 |
|
| 295 |
Hector Neris (PHI - RP) | 194 |
368 |
262.0 |
70.0 |
Let in sink in for a minute that the Phillies' backup closer struck out 102 hitters last season to go with a sparkling ERA and WHIP. Now you can join me in wondering why his ADP is so low seeing that he will almost definitely take the job from Jeanmar Gomez within a few months. Don't hesitate to go up and get this guy in the middle of drafts. |
| 296 |
Charlie Morton (HOU - SP) | 200 |
283 |
246.5 |
29.9 |
|
| 297 |
Rajai Davis (OAK - LF,CF) | 187 |
310 |
259.6 |
43.8 |
Need steals late? The 36-year-old World Series hero led the league with 43 of them last season. Granted, his BA was crummy and he doesn't have power, but it is tough to turn away a steals champion. |
| 298 |
Neftali Feliz (MIL - RP) | 158 |
284 |
247.3 |
52.0 |
|
| 299 |
Jayson Werth (WSH - LF) | 221 |
357 |
282.5 |
52.7 |
|
| 300 |
Brandon Maurer (SD - RP) | 169 |
301 |
260.2 |
47.6 |
|
| 301 |
Collin McHugh (HOU - SP) DL10 | 170 |
270 |
236.0 |
46.7 |
McHugh has had his ups and his downs, but unfortunately for his fantasy status, the trend has been consistently down. With that said, there is reason to believe he will be serviceable once again. |
| 302 |
Bradley Zimmer (CLE - CF) | 193 |
290 |
238.3 |
39.9 |
|
| 303 |
Jharel Cotton (OAK - SP) MiLB | 228 |
335 |
279.8 |
42.0 |
Last year, Cotton was significantly better than his 4.31 Triple-A ERA indicated. His 1.084 WHIP and 10.3 K/9 were among the top marks in a hitter-friendly league, then he proceeded to allow very few hitters on base in his debut. Cotton is polished and ready to roll for the A's in 2017. |
| 304 |
Asdrubal Cabrera (NYM - SS) DL10 | 218 |
317 |
261.0 |
43.2 |
|
| 305 |
Carlos Rodon (CWS - SP) DL60 | 208 |
403 |
284.8 |
73.5 |
This former top 10 prospect has dealt with some control issues to begin his career, but really got his stuff together in the second-half, dropping his OPS against from .812 to .696 with an increased K-rate. If he can keep up that trend, we may be looking at a top 20 fantasy pitcher this season. |
| 306 |
Yoan Moncada (CWS - 3B) MiLB | 186 |
360 |
265.3 |
71.9 |
The big question for Moncada is when he will be called up. If it is at the all-star break, he might just steal 30 bags in the second-half. If is is before then, well you'd better hope you scoop him up before the next guy does. |
| 307 |
Alex Cobb (TB - SP) | 210 |
361 |
280.0 |
48.2 |
Alex Cobb has had all kinds of injuries issues over his career and wasn't impressive whatsoever last year in limited innings, but in 2013 and 2014 he posted ERAs under 3.00 with double-digit wins so returning to that type of production is entirely possible. |
| 308 |
Jorge Soler (KC - LF,RF) | 184 |
257 |
220.5 |
36.5 |
The former top 5 prospect should finally see full time at bats for the Royals this season. This is an outfielder who posted a .700 slugging percentage in the minors and could surpass 35 homers some day. His batting average won't kill anyone either so the risk appears worth the price. |
| 309 |
Cameron Rupp (PHI - C) | 198 |
392 |
301.3 |
82.2 |
|
| 310 |
Ian Happ (CHC - 2B,LF) | 215 |
232 |
223.5 |
8.5 |
|
| 311 |
Brandon McCarthy (LAD - SP,RP) | 207 |
243 |
225.0 |
18.0 |
|
| 312 |
Nathan Karns (KC - SP,RP) DTD | 252 |
273 |
263.3 |
9.8 |
|
| 313 |
Tyler Anderson (COL - SP) | 238 |
303 |
272.0 |
22.0 |
The Rockies are much improved this season so many more than 5 wins could be in store for the big lefty. With that being said, his 3.54 ERA is almost certainly not going to be duplicated based on what underlying stats signify so if you are willing to take the Coors Field risk, go into it knowing that. |
| 314 |
Shawn Kelley (WSH - RP) | 246 |
342 |
280.2 |
34.1 |
It looks as though Koda Glover is going to be handed the closer job, but seeing that the Nationals were looking to acquire a closer via trade, that gives us a strong indication that Glover will have a short leash so keep an eye on Kelley. |
| 315 |
Wilson Ramos (TB - C) DL60 | 171 |
299 |
254.7 |
59.2 |
Ramos will see a drop off in his home ballpark factor this season and will start the season injured for an undisclosed amount of time, but it's tough to ignore 22 homers and a catcher who batted over .300. |
| 316 |
Bud Norris (LAA - SP,RP) | 245 |
357 |
281.3 |
44.4 |
|
| 317 |
Trevor Cahill (SD - SP,RP) DL10 | 237 |
278 |
256.3 |
16.8 |
|
| 318 |
Jose Reyes (NYM - 3B,SS) DTD | 228 |
353 |
286.0 |
40.0 |
|
| 319 |
Junior Guerra (MIL - SP) DL10 | 232 |
290 |
258.7 |
23.9 |
Astonishingly, Junior Guerra went from 30 year old career minor leaguer to a rookie of the year candidate with a 2.81 ERA in over 120 innings pitched. Much of that was luck driven however, as his BABIP and HR/FB ratio were extremely low. Don't buy into the notion that he will repeat his rookie performance this year. |
| 320 |
Dansby Swanson (ATL - SS) | 248 |
282 |
269.8 |
14.0 |
Someone in your draft is going to see that a former top prospect was called up, batted .302 and plays a premium position, then go on to draft him too early. Don't let that be you. His minor league numbers suggest his quick start was a fluke last year and that he has some serious growing to do before he is a quality big league hitter. |
| 321 |
Daniel Norris (DET - SP) | 260 |
328 |
278.5 |
28.6 |
The Tigers acquired Norris from the Blue Jays in the David Price deal a few years back and have been disappointed at how slowly Norris has developed. With that being said, he has top-notch stuff and could emerge into a quality fantasy player this season. |
| 322 |
Zach Davies (MIL - SP) | 253 |
324 |
283.0 |
23.1 |
|
| 323 |
Daniel Straily (MIA - SP) | 248 |
385 |
294.0 |
64.3 |
|
| 324 |
Santiago Casilla (OAK - RP) | 220 |
279 |
249.5 |
29.5 |
|
| 325 |
Aaron Hicks (NYY - LF,CF,RF) | 232 |
267 |
249.5 |
17.5 |
|
| 326 |
Francisco Liriano (TOR - SP) DL10 | 242 |
324 |
281.3 |
29.5 |
|
| 327 |
Justin Smoak (TOR - 1B) | 226 |
275 |
250.5 |
24.5 |
|
| 328 |
Stephen Vogt (OAK - C,DH) | 241 |
331 |
293.4 |
34.6 |
Vogt has found his way onto the all-star team each of the past two seasons, but the stats haven't been impressive at all. Just 32 homers despite playing more games than most catchers and now he is 32 years old so any progression seems unlikely. |
| 329 |
Cameron Maybin (LAA - LF,CF,RF) | 243 |
345 |
283.0 |
44.5 |
|
| 330 |
Amir Garrett (CIN - SP) | 207 |
304 |
255.5 |
48.5 |
|
| 331 |
Kendall Graveman (OAK - SP) | 249 |
259 |
254.0 |
5.0 |
|
| 332 |
Adam Ottavino (COL - RP) | 239 |
323 |
278.0 |
34.6 |
It is anticipated that Ottavino will win the closer job over Greg Holland after his extraordinary 27 innings last season, but trusting a reliever in Coors Field has proven to be a fools bet so proceed with caution. |
| 333 |
Travis d'Arnaud (NYM - C) DL10 | 249 |
388 |
300.3 |
53.2 |
This former top prospect hasn't been able to stay on the field long enough to develop, but if he stays healthy this season, that 2015 OPS of .825 would look really nice on a fantasy catcher stretched out over a full season, especially for someone who is going undrafted in most leagues. |
| 334 |
Ryan Schimpf (SD - 2B,3B) | 217 |
346 |
298.5 |
50.4 |
|
| 335 |
Wei-Yin Chen (MIA - SP) DL10 | 247 |
356 |
290.3 |
47.2 |
|
| 336 |
Jaime Garcia (ATL - SP) | 241 |
276 |
258.5 |
17.5 |
|
| 337 |
Joe Panik (SF - 2B) | 217 |
367 |
310.7 |
66.7 |
|
| 338 |
Chris Carter (NYY - 1B) | 217 |
329 |
273.0 |
56.0 |
If Chris Carter can find his way on the field almost every day, he is a tremendous value in the late rounds of standard leagues. Yes, he might not bat over .200, but this was the NL leader in homers last year and that is an amazing addition in the last rounds of drafts. |
| 339 |
Chris Tillman (BAL - SP) | 231 |
352 |
295.5 |
43.7 |
|
| 340 |
Chris Taylor (LAD - 2B,3B,SS) | 248 |
276 |
262.0 |
14.0 |
|
| 341 |
Bartolo Colon (ATL - SP) | 258 |
305 |
282.5 |
20.3 |
|
| 342 |
Joe Musgrove (HOU - SP) | 224 |
332 |
278.0 |
54.0 |
Musgrove was exceptional in Single-A with a 0.70 ERA, then again in Double-A with a 0.34 ERA. He slowed down a little in the majors, but was still quite good, blowing away expectations. His stuff doesn't seem the sort to dominate, but the track record is golden. |
| 343 |
Trevor Bauer (CLE - SP,RP) | 249 |
340 |
289.7 |
37.8 |
Many expected Bauer to put together a more impressive season by now, but the former top prospect hasn't had a consistent season yet in his career and sports a 4.42 ERA despite the impressive stuff. We know the talent is there to propel him further up the rankings, but it seems as though he will continue to have command issues that hold him back. |
| 344 |
Alex Gordon (KC - LF) PL | 238 |
336 |
288.7 |
40.1 |
|
| 345 |
Jung-Ho Kang (PIT - 3B) RST | 230 |
337 |
283.5 |
53.5 |
Kang won't be sent to prison during the season for his off-the-field antics but he may not be allowed back into America after his visa was revoked. If he does get to play, you can expect 20 to 25 homers with a batting average that won't hurt you from Pittsburgh's shortstop. His ADP is still late enough to consider him a steal even if you "reach" a round or two. |
| 346 |
Tyler Glasnow (PIT - SP) | 235 |
352 |
303.3 |
49.7 |
Over the past three seasons, the 6'8 rookie with a blazing fastball, has completely mowed down minor league hitters with dazzling strikeout numbers and an ERA down below 2.00. He struggled a bit in his MLB debut because he needs work on his command but the potential is there for him to take over the world. |
| 347 |
Freddy Galvis (PHI - SS) | 253 |
309 |
281.7 |
22.9 |
|
| 348 |
Tyson Ross (TEX - SP) DL10 | 254 |
370 |
302.7 |
49.2 |
There is a possibility that Ross throws 180+ innings this season, but more than likely, he will miss a chunk of time to start the season and who knows if he will be normal Tyson Ross, or even close at that point. What's more is that he is going from the best park for pitchers to one of the five worst and now sees a DH in every lineup. |
| 349 |
Nick Markakis (ATL - RF) | 263 |
349 |
300.4 |
29.4 |
|
| 350 |
Ty Blach (SF - SP,RP) | 240 |
326 |
283.0 |
43.0 |
|
| 351 |
Francisco Cervelli (PIT - C) | 271 |
385 |
314.4 |
43.6 |
|
| 352 |
Ryan Madson (OAK - RP) | 272 |
274 |
273.0 |
1.0 |
Oakland is presumably going to let him get the first crack at the closer job, but hanging onto it for the entire year is a different story, especially when you consider that none of his statistics were particularly impressive and he is now 36 years old. |
| 353 |
Blake Snell (TB - SP) MiLB | 280 |
322 |
292.8 |
17.0 |
This former top 15 prospect and Minor League Pitcher of the Year, was one of the top strikeout pitchers per inning in the majors last season. His control took a big step backwards, but Snell has proved himself enough that we can expect the WHIP to get into shape enough to help fantasy owners this season with all those strikeouts. |
| 354 |
Michael Foltynewicz (ATL - SP) | 253 |
358 |
309.7 |
43.3 |
|
| 355 |
Martin Prado (MIA - 3B) DL10 | 270 |
377 |
312.0 |
46.6 |
|
| 356 |
Matt Duffy (TB - 3B,SS) DL10 | 261 |
343 |
302.0 |
41.0 |
|
| 357 |
C.J. Edwards (CHC - RP) | 263 |
373 |
331.7 |
48.9 |
Edwards was flat out disgusting last season after he was promoted. It is no wonder why the Cubs were only willing to use Edwards outside of Chapman in the World Series. The kid has spectacular stuff and could step right in for Wade Davis if anything were to happen to his arm. |
| 358 |
Danny Valencia (SEA - 1B,3B,RF) DTD | 278 |
368 |
311.0 |
40.5 |
|
| 359 |
Jordan Zimmermann (DET - SP) | 269 |
302 |
290.3 |
15.1 |
Zimmerman was a major disappointment last season after signing a big contract, but keep in mind, he is just two seasons removed from a 2.66 ERA and had an excellent ERA for five straight seasons. Sure, the strikeouts aren't going to be all that high, but there is a good chance he returns to strong ratios. |
| 360 |
Derek Law (SF - RP) | 286 |
286 |
286.0 |
0.0 |
|
| 361 |
Robert Gsellman (NYM - SP) | 277 |
309 |
294.3 |
13.2 |
|
| 362 |
Lucas Duda (NYM - 1B) | 286 |
288 |
287.0 |
1.0 |
|
| 363 |
Kolten Wong (STL - 2B,CF) DTD | 274 |
378 |
319.0 |
43.6 |
Just last season, Wong was being selected well within the top 100 for his potential to swat 20 homers and steal 15 bags. That potential hasn't disappeared, but he did have a rough season. With that said, his rough season shouldn't plummet him 200 spots in the draft so if you need a middle infielder late, consider his upside. |
| 364 |
Matt Andriese (TB - SP,RP) | 274 |
307 |
290.5 |
16.5 |
|
| 365 |
Blake Parker (LAA - RP) | 275 |
364 |
319.5 |
44.5 |
|
| 366 |
Tyler Skaggs (LAA - SP) DL10 | 276 |
322 |
299.0 |
23.0 |
|
| 367 |
Alcides Escobar (KC - SS) | 285 |
346 |
307.7 |
27.3 |
|
| 368 |
Jordan Montgomery (NYY - SP) | 279 |
300 |
289.5 |
10.5 |
|
| 369 |
Jason Hammel (KC - SP) | 284 |
330 |
303.0 |
19.6 |
|
| 370 |
Steve Pearce (TOR - 1B,2B,LF,RF) DL10 | 279 |
353 |
316.0 |
37.0 |
|
| 371 |
Nate Jones (CWS - RP) DL10 | 279 |
334 |
306.5 |
27.5 |
While you may think Jones is a lock to be a middle reliever this season, bare in mind that there is a chance Robertson may be dealt to a team like the Nationals, which would open the door for Jones to immediately become a very good closer. |
| 372 |
Denard Span (SF - CF) | 280 |
355 |
317.5 |
37.5 |
|
| 373 |
Yunel Escobar (LAA - 3B) DL10 | 281 |
306 |
293.5 |
12.5 |
|
| 374 |
Jhonny Peralta (STL - 3B,SS) | 282 |
344 |
313.0 |
31.0 |
|
| 375 |
Howie Kendrick (PHI - 1B,2B,3B,LF) DL10 | 284 |
386 |
335.0 |
51.0 |
|
| 376 |
Chase Headley (NYY - 3B) | 287 |
300 |
293.5 |
6.5 |
|
| 377 |
Travis Jankowski (SD - LF,CF,RF) DL10 | 288 |
390 |
339.0 |
51.0 |
|
| 378 |
Orlando Arcia (MIL - SS) | 289 |
371 |
332.7 |
33.7 |
|
| 379 |
Gerardo Parra (COL - 1B,LF,CF,RF) | 290 |
370 |
330.0 |
40.0 |
|
| 380 |
Kyle Barraclough (MIA - RP) | 290 |
358 |
320.0 |
28.3 |
Outside of Miller and Betances, you could make a case that Barraclough is the best middle reliever to own, as he has the ability to strike out 110 and potentially take over the closer job from A.J. Ramos if he slips up. |
| 381 |
Mike Fiers (HOU - SP) | 296 |
372 |
334.0 |
38.0 |
|
| 382 |
David Phelps (MIA - SP,RP) | 297 |
361 |
329.0 |
32.0 |
|
| 383 |
Tom Murphy (COL - C) DL10 | 298 |
384 |
341.0 |
43.0 |
Yes, it was a small sample size when Murphy put together a 1.006 OPS last year in the bigs, but he also went .327/.361/.647 in Triple-A over 300 at bats so there is plenty to be excited about and he is worthy of a flier in case we get a breakout here. |
| 384 |
Pablo Sandoval (BOS - 3B) DL10 | 315 |
320 |
317.5 |
2.5 |
|
| 385 |
Yan Gomes (CLE - C) | 321 |
391 |
356.0 |
35.0 |
|
| 386 |
Arodys Vizcaino (ATL - RP) | 330 |
379 |
354.5 |
24.5 |
|
| 387 |
Sandy Leon (BOS - C) | 332 |
394 |
363.0 |
31.0 |
|
| 388 |
Jose De Leon (TB - SP) MiLB | 337 |
388 |
362.5 |
25.5 |
While many have grown fatigued on De Leon's prospect status, including the Dodgers apparently, the polished rookie was absolutely dominant in the minors and has a chance to carry much of that over to the Rays from the get-go. |
| 389 |
Jeanmar Gomez (PHI - RP) DL10 | 338 |
376 |
357.0 |
19.0 |
While the Phillies have one of the best relievers in baseball with Hector Neris, there is some speculation that the mediocre Gomez might be given the closer role to begin the season. While it likely wouldn't last, you've got to find a way to get saves where and when you can. |
| 390 |
Archie Bradley (ARI - SP,RP) | 341 |
362 |
351.5 |
10.5 |
|
| 391 |
Tyler Naquin (CLE - CF) MiLB | 342 |
373 |
357.5 |
15.5 |
Naquin began his career hotter than any player in MLB history and that's not an exaggeration. He was never a highly regarded prospect so there is plenty of reasonable skepticism, especially after he finished the year slow, but there seems to be upside that is worthy of a late round pick. |
| 392 |
Sean Doolittle (OAK - RP) DL10 | 345 |
360 |
352.5 |
7.5 |
|
| 393 |
Raul Adalberto Mondesi (KC - 2B) | 349 |
378 |
363.5 |
14.5 |
|
| 394 |
Melvin Upton Jr. (LF,CF) FA | 363 |
390 |
376.5 |
13.5 |
|
| 395 |
Leonys Martin (SEA - CF) MiLB | 374 |
396 |
385.0 |
11.0 |
There may be no player more overlooked than Leonys Martin this season. Sure, his batting average hurt a bit, but that should see positive regression. His 20 steals and 15 homeruns are repeatable as well. |
