2019 Fantasy Baseball ROS Rankings

Expert Consensus Ranking (15 of 19 Experts) -
Rank Player (Team, Position) Overall Notes
1 Max Scherzer (WSH - SP) 6 1 1 1.0 0.0 4.0 -2.0
You may not know it from his surface stats over the first two months of the season, but Scherzer is still the best pitcher in baseball. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is the best it's ever been, but his ERA has suffered from an unlucky BABIP and strand rate that should normalize soon. Scherzer's FIP, xFIP, and SIERA all indicate that he is pitching like a sub-3.00 ERA pitcher, and that's what you can expect going forward.
2 Justin Verlander (HOU - SP) 12 2 6 2.8 1.1 21.0 +9.0
Judging solely by his peripheral numbers, Verlander has been quite lucky so far this year -- he currently has the lowest BABIP allowed and highest strand rate of any qualified starter in the Majors. But top-tier aces like Verlander are also fully capable of making their own luck. Verlander probably won't be a sub-3.00 ERA pitcher from here on out if he continues pitching like he has been, but he could always take his performance to another level like he did last year -- and he'll still be really valuable even if he doesn't.
3 Jacob deGrom (NYM - SP) 14 2 7 3.8 1.7 10.0 -4.0
There's every reason to believe deGrom is every bit as good as we thought he was coming into the season, but the results haven't quite been there because of an inflated HR rate. While deGrom rode an unsustainably low HR/FB ratio to a sub-2.00 ERA last season, this year the opposite has occurred -- an inflated HR/FB ratio has pushed his ERA close to 4.00. In the long run, he should be something in between, which is why the projection systems expect an ERA in the 2.90-3.00 range. Most deGrom owners would surely be just fine with that.
4 Gerrit Cole (HOU - SP) 17 3 7 4.5 0.7 27.0 +10.0
While's he's been quite good in his own right, Cole has been overshadowed by teammate Justin Verlander. But the peripheral numbers suggest Cole has actually been the better pitcher. Cole is generating more strikeouts than any other pitcher in the game, but he's been hurt by a low strand rate and high HR/FB rate. Expect those rates to normalize soon and for Cole to start producing the numbers of a top-five fantasy starter.
5 Chris Sale (BOS - SP) 19 2 8 5.0 1.9 11.0 -8.0
Sale's 2019 campaign got off to a nightmarish start, but he's righted the ship in a big way in May. And while his diminished velocity was a legitimate concern for fantasy owners early in the season, it is now not far off from where it was in his best seasons. Hopefully you bought low.
6 Blake Snell (TB - SP) 22 2 7 5.0 1.4 28.0 +6.0
Snell had a 1.89 ERA last year, and yet he's somehow managed to pitch even better so far this season. He missed 10 days with a broken toe, but when he's been on the mound, he's generated significantly more strikeouts and significantly fewer walks. If there's one knock on Snell, it's that he isn't a huge innings-eater, which could impact his win total. But once his batted ball outcomes normalize, we could see his ERA quickly surge below 3.00.
7 Trevor Bauer (CLE - SP) 29 4 21 6.2 1.1 31.0 +2.0
Bauer is an elite bat-misser, but he's had a big issue with walks this season and it has begun to come back to haunt him. Last season showed the upside Bauer possesses when he is in a groove, but the fact it was the only time he posted a sub-4.00 ERA should give fantasy owners pause.
8 Clayton Kershaw (LAD - SP) 39 7 17 10.5 2.2 54.0 +15.0
Kershaw is no longer the big strikeout guy he once was, but his elite control remains. He also seemingly has the intangible characteristics of a pitcher who has mastered his craft: He has outperformed his peripherals each of the last two seasons and looks well on his way to doing it again in 2019. Don't expect any major regression here -- only an injury could keep him from being a must-start option for the rest of the season.
9 Carlos Carrasco (CLE - SP) 37 7 17 10.5 2.2 36.0 -1.0
Carrasco's 2019 season got off to a rocky start, but he has quickly rounded into form. "Cookie" has had a fair amount of batted ball misfortune, but with a career-best strikeout rate and career-best walk rate, he just might be pitching as well as he ever has. He's a terrific buy-low candidate.
10 Patrick Corbin (WSH - SP) 38 8 19 10.5 1.9 47.0 +9.0
For the most part, Corbin has picked up right where he left off when he broke out during his final season in Arizona. His strikeout, walk, and ground ball rates all aren't quite as great as they were last year, but they're still good enough to enjoy continued fantasy success. He is an under-the-radar fantasy ace.
11 Noah Syndergaard (NYM - SP) 42 8 17 12.1 2.6 35.0 -7.0
Syndergaard has only been a pitcher who performs like an ace when healthy, but this year some performance issues have creeped in to accompany the ever-present injury risk. Thor is striking out less than a batter per inning for the first time in his career, and he's allowing opposing hitters to elevate the ball more, which has contributed to a spike in his home run rate. That said, he's also been incredibly unfortunate when it comes to his strand rate and HR/FB ratio, so expect much better numbers going forward.
12 Luis Castillo (CIN - SP) 45 8 19 12.6 3.2 128.0 +83.0
Castillo has picked up right where he left off last September, when he began dominating hitters. He is generating far more swings-and-misses than he did in his first two Big League seasons, providing confidence that the breakout is real. His relatively high walk rate is mildly concerning, but Castillo should be able to maintain many of the gains he's made through the first two months of the season.
13 Stephen Strasburg (WSH - SP) 50 7 19 13.1 2.6 59.0 +9.0
Strasburg is having another one of his typically-dominant seasons, the only question is whether he can stay healthy. He has broken 200 innings just once in his career, and has surpassed 150 in just one of the last four seasons. Still, injuries are difficult to predict, and there's little doubt that Strasburg is a top-12 starter for however long he can avoid the injured list.
14 Aaron Nola (PHI - SP) 51 11 40 14.2 1.9 25.0 -26.0
Nola has really struggled with walks and home runs so far this year, but the good news is that he is striking out more hitters than ever. Last season always seemed like a best-case scenario, but things should get better, particularly if he can throw more strikes.
15 Zack Greinke (ARI - SP) DTD 56 8 22 14.6 3.6 56.0
Greinke is not an elite strikeout pitcher, but he is a workhorse with pinpoint control who is on track to produce an ERA of 3.21 or better and WHIP of 1.15 or better for the sixth time in the last seven seasons. There is real value in that consistency.
16 Jose Berrios (MIN - SP) 60 11 23 15.9 1.8 73.0 +13.0
Berrios is doing an excellent job of limiting free passes this season, but there isn't much else in his profile to suggest he is experiencing a legitimate breakout. Given his strong surface numbers and high prospect pedigree, he is a potential sell-high candidate.
17 Walker Buehler (LAD - SP) 53 9 28 16.8 2.8 40.0 -13.0
Buehler hasn't looked nearly as dominant as he did in his breakout 2018 campaign, but he's been better of late. Pitching in a favorable ballpark and division with a great lineup supporting him, Buehler has the talent to be a huge fantasy contributor down the stretch.
18 Charlie Morton (TB - SP) 71 15 31 21.0 3.2 114.0 +43.0
Morton has successfully carried over the improvements he made as a pitcher during his two seasons in Houston. His walk rate can be a bit of an issue at times, but he misses a ton of bats and is also quite adept at limiting hard contact. It remains to be seen how many innings he'll be able to throw -- he's never surpassed 172 -- but he should continue to be a high-end fantasy starter as long as he's healthy.
19 German Marquez (COL - SP) 76 12 34 22.1 4.4 82.0 +6.0
It's been the same old story with Marquez: struggles at Coors Field and dominance on the road. His peripherals suggest he deserves a better fate, but until we see him have sustained success at home, he is really a glorified streamer, albeit a very high-end one.
20 Jack Flaherty (STL - SP) 70 14 39 22.1 5.1 60.0 -10.0
Flaherty has the arsenal to be a fantasy ace, but his issue with walks has reared its ugly head again over the last month, and home runs have also been a continual thorn in his side. He still has a bit of work to do to fully reach his potential.
21 James Paxton (NYY - SP) IL10 73 9 41 22.9 7.2 49.0 -24.0
Paxton has been limited to just seven starts so far due to knee inflammation, but he appears to be on the verge of returning. When he has been on the mound, Paxton has looked just as dominant as he did in his Seattle years. Missed time is always part of the equation with Paxton, but he'll be a must-start option whenever he is healthy.
22 Zack Wheeler (NYM - SP) 75 13 41 23.1 3.2 85.0 +10.0
Wheeler's issues with wildness have resurfaced this season, but he's also been unlucky in terms of BABIP and strand rate. He should be a lot better in the second half than he's been in the first, so buy-low if you can.
23 Chris Paddack (SD - SP) 93 11 32 23.9 4.7 227.0 +134.0
Paddack has been one of the biggest breakout fantasy stars of 2019, and while his owners can expect some regression, there's no doubt he can be a top-tier fantasy starter for the rest of the year and beyond. The bigger issue for Paddack's 2019 outlook is a likely innings limit -- expect the Padres to look for opportunities to skip his turn in the rotation in the second half of the season, even if they don't resort to shutting him down completely.
24 Hyun-Jin Ryu (LAD - SP) 99 13 35 24.5 5.7 181.0 +82.0
Ryu has been a solid fantasy starter for several years, but he became an elite one last year and has fully carried it over to 2019. There's really no reason to expect major regression from Ryu, so the only real concern is how many innings he'll be able to throw. He hasn't thrown more than 152 innings since he threw 192 as a rookie in 2013, and we all know the Dodgers love to rotate their starters on and off the injured list.
25 Caleb Smith (MIA - SP) 107 12 39 24.8 4.2 395.0 +288.0
Smith is a strong early candidate to emerge as the most under-the-radar fantasy ace of 2019. He's had some fortunate batted ball luck, but with an excellent strikeout-to-walk ratio, his true skills are those of a pitcher capable of finishing with a sub-3.00 ERA. He may not get a ton of wins pitching for the Marlins, but fantasy owners who struck gold on the waiver wire by adding Smith will hardly complain.
26 Shane Bieber (CLE - SP) 102 19 45 25.6 5.5 149.0 +47.0
Bieber is a little bit homer-prone, but his combination of pinpoint control and lots of strikeouts is a recipe for sustained fantasy success.
27 Matthew Boyd (DET - SP) 116 18 150 26.7 5.8 299.0 +183.0
Boyd has emerged from relative obscurity to emerge as one of the better pitchers in the American League. Wins could be hard to come by on a rebuilding Tigers team, but with a pristine strikeout-to-walk ratio, Boyd's mid-3.00s ERA is as likely to go down as it is to go up.
28 David Price (BOS - SP) 105 21 43 27.8 6.2 84.0 -21.0
Price missed a couple weeks with elbow tendinitis, but he's been very good when healthy and appears to be fully recovered from the injury.
29 Madison Bumgarner (SF - SP) 111 20 36 29.8 3.7 96.0 -15.0
Bumgarner's surface stats don't look like anything special, but his peripherals suggest he deserves much better results than he's been getting. His strikeout-to-walk ratio, in particularly, is a very promising sign. Expect a MadBum resurgence in the near future -- he's a terrific buy-low candidate.
30 Masahiro Tanaka (NYY - SP) DTD 125 25 42 32.5 4.2 120.0 -5.0
Tanaka has been very good in the early going, but his ERA is due for some regression towards the high-3.00s. His strikeout rate and swinging strike rate are down a bit this year, so that also merits watching.
31 Tyler Glasnow (TB - SP,RP) IL10 115 20 58 34.5 10.7 162.0 +47.0
Glasnow was in the midst of a massive breakout season before he hit the injured list with a forearm strain. His future is still incredibly bright but his outlook for the rest of 2019 is cloudy until we see him back on a mound.
32 Mike Soroka (ATL - SP) 134 24 53 34.7 7.3 416.0 +282.0
Soroka is due for a healthy amount of regression, but he's been so good that he can afford to regress and still be a well-above average fantasy starter.
33 Domingo German (NYY - SP,RP) 133 25 91 35.0 7.3 363.0 +230.0
German has quickly emerged as the Yankees' best starting pitcher, and while he has been a tad fortunate in terms of batted ball outcomes, he should be able to remain a significant fantasy asset for the rest of 2019 and beyond.
34 Robbie Ray (ARI - SP) 130 26 49 35.2 6.2 116.0 -14.0
Everything went right for Ray in 2017, when he registered a 2.89 ERA despite a 3.94 BB/9 and 3.72 FIP. An oblique strain limited him to just 123.2 innings in 24 starts last season, and 70 walks led to a 3.93 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. He remained just as tough to hit with a .215 batting average against and 12.01 K/9, so he could bounce back to the 218 strikeouts procured in 2016 and 2017 even if again held below 175 frames. Yet the ballooning walk rate makes him a WHIP liability, and run support could be scarce from a ransacked Diamondbacks lineup. His April has resembled more of the same, and he has recorded 22 strikeouts and 11 walks in 15.1 frames.
35 Kyle Hendricks (CHC - SP) 129 28 57 36.4 6.5 126.0 -3.0
Hendricks got off to a little bit of a slow start this season, but he was able to quickly get back on track. He is going to be a liability in terms of strikeouts, but can be a big help in ERA and WHIP. There's value to be found in his consistency.
36 Cole Hamels (CHC - SP) 138 26 56 37.2 6.8 146.0 +8.0
Hamels has really benefitted from escaping Texas and returning to the National League. He is outperforming his peripherals with a low-3.00s ERA, but he's managed to do that for much of his career so regression isn't guaranteed.
37 Rich Hill (LAD - SP) 136 25 48 39.2 5.0 174.0 +38.0
Hill missed the first month with a knee strain, but he's been his usual excellent self since returning. The next injury is never far away with Hill, but he should be a major fantasy asset whenever he takes the mound.
38 Chris Archer (PIT - SP) 137 25 60 40.5 8.6 124.0 -13.0
Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, well, look at all those strikeouts. Fool me three times … but what about his FIP? Archer looked poised to finally reverse his fortune before ceding six runs to the Dodgers, ballooning his ERA back to familiar heights at 4.33. He then went on the IL with right thumb inflammation. He may just require a minimal 10-day stay on the shelf. While Archer once again struck out over a batter per frame (9.67 K/9) through five starts, his command waned (4.00 BB/9) while he traded ground balls for fly balls. The upside remains there, but the 30-year-old still looks too dicey to trust as a top-30 starter.
39 Joe Musgrove (PIT - SP) 142 31 61 41.0 9.0 208.0 +66.0
Musgrove initially pleased drafters who felt they snagged the perfect late-round flier with sneaky upside. They have since (this writer included) learned a valuable lesson about taking early victory laps. He exited April with a pristine 1.54 ERA, but it has jumped to 4.20 following a pair of disastrous starts. He still possesses a 2.97 FIP and 11.6% swinging-strike rate, so don't overreact and drop him. Yet the walks are up, and he has benefited by ceding just one homer all season. The strong beginning may have set expectations too high, but Musgrove still has the makings of a solid SP4 as long as his struggles aren't caused by an unidentified injury.
40 Miles Mikolas (STL - SP) 143 32 59 42.3 6.3 98.0 -45.0
Four starts into the season, Mikolas had yet to record more strikeouts than runs allowed. While he has lowered his ERA to 4.02 with a pair of strong starts, he has fetched just 28 strikeouts in 47 innings. Even last year's middling 6.55 K/9 was playable without any walks, but he's not going to reach that low threshold with a 7.3% swinging-strike rate. Managers should worry and lower expectations, but the precise pitcher has looked far better in his last two outings.
41 Jose Quintana (CHC - SP) 154 32 62 43.3 6.6 165.0 +11.0
Let's hope furious drafters looked at Chicago's schedule before dropping Quintana when the Brewers burned him for eight runs on April 5. He has since tossed seven scoreless innings against both the Pirates and Marlins, accumulating 18 combined strikeouts and one walk. After posting an ERA above 4.00 in consecutive years, it's nice to see the 30-year-old southpaw dominate anyone. He may at least return to top-50 SP form as someone to use confidently in the right matchups.
42 Luke Weaver (ARI - SP) 167 25 84 44.9 9.8 310.0 +143.0
Weaver is in the midst of a breakout year, and his peripherals largely support the excellent results he's been getting.
43 Jon Lester (CHC - SP) 161 33 74 46.2 7.8 161.0
A clear regression candidate, Lester has instead gotten better. Unlike last year, his spectacular start (1.43 ERA) is backed by a 20.3 K-B%. Yet his contact and swinging-strike rates haven't improved, and a .337 xwOBA is right in line with last year's .340. He may not fall off the map as sharply as he did in 2018, but the veteran southpaw won't vie for the ERA title either. He's a steady hand for those who temper expectations.
44 Kenta Maeda (LAD - SP) IL10 158 36 60 48.4 7.4 175.0 +17.0
Maeda is an excellent strikeout pitcher who has a great ballpark and lineup supporting him. But he does struggle with walks at times, and is likely to be shuttled on and off the injured list with minor ailments more than once this season.
45 Max Fried (ATL - SP,RP) 194 27 149 48.8 12.9 521.0 +327.0
 
46 Mike Foltynewicz (ATL - SP) 156 26 79 50.2 11.5 112.0 -44.0
A relative afterthought in many 2018 drafts, Foltynewicz fastened a 2.85 ERA and 202 strikeouts in 183 frames. Deploying fewer sinkers and more sliders helped unlock his upside, but he hardly looks poised for an encore. The 27-year-old has a 5.94 ERA and 10 strikeouts in three starts, which has seen his fastball velocity drop two mph. Although he should at least return to a useful option when fully healthy, managers can't even trust him in their starting lineups at the moment.
47 Mike Minor (TEX - SP) 173 36 99 50.2 9.6 320.0 +147.0
This looks like a different Minor than the man who posted a 4.18 ERA and 20.6 K% last season. He now sports a 2.40 ERA and 48 strikeouts in 48.2 innings. He has blanked the opposition three times in seven starts, and that doesn't include a one-run, 13-strikeout gem against Seattle. Bolstered velocity and an elite spin rate has led to better success with his four-seam fastball, and all three of his other offerings (slider, changeup, and curveball) have a swinging-strike rate above 13.0%. Even if a 3.91 SIERA suggests regression is coming, the southpaw has shown more than enough to roster in all leagues.
48 Yu Darvish (CHC - SP) 184 38 84 54.3 11.6 143.0 -41.0
Arthroscopic elbow surgery limited Darvish to eight starts in 2018. Adding insult to injury, he wasn't even good (4.95 ERA) in his brief time on the mound. He looks even worse in 2019. The righty has relinquished an appalling 33 walks in 36.2 innings, giving him a destructive 5.40 ERA and 1.72 WHIP. Darvish has also served up eight home runs in eight starts and has only once got through six innings. Maybe he rights the ship, but it's getting hard to trust him in any starting lineups. He's the ultimate boom-or-bust starter whose value keeps dipping. It's not crazy to drop him in 10- or 12-team mixed leagues with limited bench spots.
49 Eduardo Rodriguez (BOS - SP) 201 36 83 55.2 12.6 150.0 -51.0
An intriguing option when healthy, Rodriguez took another step forward with a 3.82 ERA, 3.65 FIP, and 10.13 K/9 in 2018. Good luck, however, getting a full season out of the lefty. Knee and ankle injuries contained him to 129.2 frames, so he has yet to make 25 starts for more than 137.1 frames in a single season. He flaunted a high ceiling by mixing in fewer four-seamers in favor of a cutter, and he has reportedly spent the offseason working on his slider with help from Chris Sale and Pedro Martinez. Drafters must prepare to make up the lost innings elsewhere, but he's nevertheless the type of high-strikeout hurler worth rostering alongside sturdier rotation anchors. Investors can breathe a sigh of relief. After two brutal starts to open 2019, he has regained his velocity and posted a 2.76 ERA and 39 strikeouts in his past six outings.
50 Yusei Kikuchi (SEA - SP) 176 40 76 55.4 5.9 163.0 -13.0
Signed by Seattle this winter, Kikuchi heads to the U.S. with a career 2.77 ERA in eight seasons in Japan's Nippon Professional Baseball. Since he is accustomed to working in a six-man rotation, Seattle has limited him to no more than six innings per start in addition to using him once as a first-inning opener. With a 4.54 ERA and 6.68 K/9, he hasn't shown much upside to start his MLB career. The 27-year-old southpaw looks more like a matchup play than a solid mid-rotation piece, but the book isn't closed just yet.
51 J.A. Happ (NYY - SP) 185 43 118 57.2 12.1 131.0 -54.0
Happ massively out-performed his 2018 draft pick despite posting his highest ERA (3.65) since 2014. He now owns a 3.49 ERA and 8.45 K/9 over those past four seasons, and yet many drafters scoffed at him going around the pick-150 range. It seemed like a reasonable price for someone who accompanied his career-high 193 strikeouts with a career-high 10.3% swinging-strike rate and career-low 78.3% contact rate. Yet many the skeptics were right. The 36-year-old has coughed up 19 hits and 12 runs in 12.1 innings, which is especially concerning since he twice faced the Orioles. Despite losing a bit of velocity, he keeps striking out over a batter per frame. Give him at least one or two more chances to rebound before dropping him in standard mixed leagues.
52 Sonny Gray (CIN - SP) 182 47 78 59.1 8.9 268.0 +86.0
Maybe Gray just needed to get away from the Yankees. The righty has quickly rebounded from a lost 2018 with a 3.65 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in five starts. That doesn't even begin to properly display his dominance, as the 28-year-old has recorded 31 strikeouts in 24.2 innings with a 54.1% ground-ball rate and 1.97 FIP. The owner of a career 3.66 ERA, Gray should be rostered in all leagues.
53 Matt Strahm (SD - SP,RP) 207 40 90 59.5 13.0 262.0 +55.0
Strahm has done a great job avoiding walks and home runs thus far, but it would be nice to see him starting striking out more batters. Otherwise his ERA could be due for quite a bit of regression.
54 Brandon Woodruff (MIL - SP,RP) 210 32 83 61.2 10.5 276.0 +66.0
Woodruff has emerged from the pack as the young Brewers pitcher to own in fantasy leagues. He generates a lot of strikeouts and his peripherals fully back up his mid-3.00s ERA.
55 Corey Kluber (CLE - SP) IL10 188 4 110 62.0 28.2 24.0 -164.0
Kluber has averaged 218 innings and 245 strikeouts with a 2.85 ERA in the last five seasons. His streak of stability will end this year due to a line-drive comebacker fracturing his forearm. There's no set timetable, but the fact that he has talked about it not being season-ending seems to suggest it could be months rather than weeks. Although it's awfully tough to drop an ace, managers shouldn't expect him back anytime soon.
56 Frankie Montas (OAK - SP) 231 34 161 62.4 11.6 659.0 +428.0
Montas has harvested a 2.67 ERA with 52 strikeouts and 11 walks in 54 superb innings this season. He has introduced a splitter that has ate up opponents with a 63.6% ground-ball rate and 19.0% swinging-strike rate. While the 26-year-old has dominated with help from an easy May schedule, he fared well in two April outings against the Astros. He looks like the real deal, or at least a borderline top-50 starter.
57 Marco Gonzales (SEA - SP) 215 48 98 62.7 8.7 229.0 +14.0
 
58 Jake Arrieta (PHI - SP) 204 34 80 63.3 8.1 191.0 -13.0
 
59 Brad Peacock (HOU - RP,SP) 206 38 83 64.2 11.4 247.0 +41.0
Peacock has had some ups and downs this season, but he's been more good than bad. He should remain a solid mixed league starter for however long he holds down a rotation spot in Houston.
60 Kevin Gausman (ATL - SP) 214 44 103 64.5 13.2 209.0 -5.0
Gausman, who begin 2019 on the IL with a minor shoulder injury, is a sneaky post-hype sleeper whose strikeout rate dipped to 19.1% despite a career-high 11.3% swinging-strike rate. Once freed from Baltimore, he boasted a 2.87 ERA in 10 starts with the Braves. He has brought those gains into 2019, collecting a 31.0 K% through three starts with the help of an increased splitter usage. This could be the breakout some have expected for years.
61 Jon Gray (COL - SP) 230 31 102 64.5 14.9 190.0 -40.0
Anyone would be forgiven for giving up on Gray, who continually fails to transfer his FIP (3.68) to a strong ERA (4.65). Coors can't take the full blame; he posted a 5.34 ERA on the road last season. Demoted during the season, he threw out a triumphant July return (1.66) by yielding 35 runs in his final 58.2 frames. With a four-seamer rocked to a career .326/.401/.512 slash line, Gray might never escape this purgatory, at least not with the Rockies. The same Jekyll and Hyde profile has persisted into 2019, as he has yielded one or zero runs three times (including once at home against the Phillies) but five runs each in three other starts. His 4.64 FIP isn't even calling for better days, so the maddening righty no longer feels worth the hassle as a top-50 starter.
62 Rick Porcello (BOS - SP) 232 40 100 65.2 8.3 148.0 -84.0
After surrendering 19 runs (14 earned) through three dreadful starts, Porcello could soon find himself on the wavier in shallower leagues. The durable righty has endured such dreadful outings over the years, but he'll at least take the ball every turn and compile 180-190 strikeouts. He could be a valuable buy-low addition in deeper leagues and viable matchup play in standard mixed leagues.
63 Joey Lucchesi (SD - SP) 200 27 110 65.8 13.9 196.0 -4.0
 
64 Shohei Ohtani (LAA - SP,DH) 144 26 48 37.0 8.3 171.0 +27.0
Regardless of how the league's host site manages the Ohtani dilemma, he'll only contribute as a hitter after undergoing Tommy John surgery last season. He wasn't ready for April in that capacity either. The Japanese phenom exceeded expectations inside the batter's box, batting .285/.361/.564 with 22 homers and 10 steals (13 HRs and eight SBs over the final two months) in just 357 plate appearances. There's still 25/10 potential, but those stashing him should temper speed expectations since the Angels won't want to risk another injury. Now that Ohtani is back in the lineup, make sure he's rostered in all leagues in case he rediscovers last year's late game-changing ceiling.
65 Martin Perez (MIN - SP,RP) 250 44 86 66.1 12.0 818.0 +568.0
Since moving into Minnesota's rotation in mid-April, Perez has posted a 2.01 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in seven starts. He has notched at least seven strikeouts in all four May turns with help from a dominant new cutter that has ceded a -10 wRC+ and 15.5% swinging-strike rate. This clearly isn't the same pitcher who holds a career 4.52 ERA and 5.69 K/9, so make sure he's rostered in all mixed leagues. Getting to pitch against the feeble AL Central will help sustain his resurgence.
66 Ross Stripling (LAD - SP,RP) 242 47 95 69.2 10.9 192.0 -50.0
Despite posting a 3.07 ERA in five starts, Stripling will move to the bullpen with Rich Hill rejoining the Dodgers' rotation. This known risk deflated the cost of a potential top-25 starter, and he never stood much of a chance at working more than 160 frames. Don't cut bait just yet; it's highly unlikely Hill, Hyun-Jin Ryu, Clayton Kershaw, Walker Buehler, and Kenta Maeda will all stay healthy. Stripling could even supplant the struggling Maeda.
67 Marcus Stroman (TOR - SP) 291 46 107 70.3 13.7 277.0 -14.0
 
68 Kyle Gibson (MIN - SP) 263 51 87 72.1 9.0 293.0 +30.0
 
69 Mike Clevinger (CLE - SP) IL60 224 38 105 64.6 19.9 58.0 -166.0
Clevinger was off to a fantastic start and looked primed to join the elite tier of fantasy starters, but a back injury has derailed those plans. He's now expected to be out until around the All Star break, but he's shown more than enough -- both last year and this year -- to be a must-stash player for the second half.
70 Pablo Lopez (MIA - SP,RP) 267 50 166 72.7 14.3 498.0 +231.0
 
71 Jake Odorizzi (MIN - SP) 235 49 121 73.2 18.0 448.0 +213.0
 
72 Jameson Taillon (PIT - SP) IL60 223 25 110 66.4 25.6 66.0 -157.0
The Pirates placed Taillon on the IL with a right elbow flexor strain on May 4, and he's expected to be shut down for a month before resuming baseball activity. He didn't meet lofty expectations before going down, registering a 4.10 ERA and 19.0% K rate in seven starts. Those who have the room should stash him, but don't count on a swift return.
73 Tyler Skaggs (LAA - SP) 243 46 110 74.0 14.1 217.0 -26.0
After getting shelled by the Cubs, Skaggs went on the IL with a sprained ankle. He returns in short order to beat the Royals, so investors can only hope he'll start looking like the breakout hurler they anticipated. A terrible showing right before getting sidelined also hurt his bottom line in 2018, and he still wields a 3.15 ERA through five outings.
74 Luis Severino (NYY - SP) IL60 256 31 106 70.2 20.1 68.0 -188.0
Already sidelined through April with a shoulder injury, Severino also suffered a Grade 2 lat strain. He won't be back before the All-Star break, making this Exhibit A for those who don't touch injured players in late drafts. An ace when healthy, it's still difficult to bench him altogether. It's understandable, though, for anyone with no IL spots who needs a healthy performer.
75 Lucas Giolito (CWS - SP) 278 41 124 77.6 22.0 455.0 +177.0
 
76 Zach Eflin (PHI - SP,RP) 279 48 129 78.1 26.2 304.0 +25.0
 
77 Steven Matz (NYM - SP) 260 32 96 78.2 10.1 258.0 -2.0
Matz had allowed five runs through three combined starts before ceding eight runs (without recording a single out) at Philadelphia on April 16. His ERA jumped from 1.65 to 4.96. That catastrophic risk comes with the territory for the Mets southpaw, who allowed seven runs in a similarly disastrous turn at Washington last year. An 8.5% swinging-strike rate doesn't support a high strikeout rate, so he's a fringe option better saved for streaming in the typical 10- or 12-team mixed league. Such an opportunity arises when he returns from a forearm injury to face the Marlins of May 18.
78 Jimmy Nelson (MIL - SP) IL10 275 63 115 78.2 13.6 371.0 +96.0
Last seen in the majors on September 8, 2017, Nelson is on the verge of returning from a partially torn labrum and a strained rotator cuff in his throwing shoulder. He looks ready to rejoin Milwaukee's rotation after recording eight strikeouts in 5.2 scoreless innings in his third Triple-A rehab start. Before the injury cut his 2017 short, he had posted a 3.49 ERA and 199 strikeouts in 175.1 innings. Stash him now if still sitting on the waiver wire.
79 Kyle Freeland (COL - SP) 262 58 113 81.9 12.6 158.0 -104.0
Freeland registered a 4.23 ERA through five starts before landing on the IL with a blister on his left middle finger. That's simply the regression most expected when posting a 2.87 ERA and 4.35 SIERA in 2018. Not so fast. He also improved his WHIP from 1.25 to 1.19 and bolstered his K% from 20.5 to 25.2 before going down. This time his SIERA (3.98) predicts a step forward. While Coors Field still looms as a serious threat -- he has already allowed seven runs in a home start against the Braves -- this version of Freeland is a borderline top-50 starter to use with confidence on the road when healthy.
80 Spencer Turnbull (DET - SP) 299 45 162 83.8 26.2 813.0 +514.0
 
81 Trevor Richards (MIA - SP) 367 57 133 86.8 7.0 357.0 -10.0
Richards carried a 4.42 ERA with 4 wins last year and formerly played independent baseball after going undrafted. It helps, however, that he has the best changeup in baseball. Richards' changeup is Trevor Hoffman-esque. It carried a 41.2% whiff rate with a .214 xWOBA. It certainly helped his performance when he adjusted by throwing it 38% of the time instead of 23% of the time at the start of the season. In those closing months, hitters were so focused on his filthy change-up that his slider suddenly became even more deadly than the changeup. With two of the most useful pitches in baseball, Richards could breakout this year in Miami much like Jake Peavy did in in 2004 after a rough start to his career.
82 Jerad Eickhoff (PHI - SP) 284 35 125 73.8 18.5 573.0 +289.0
 
83 Collin McHugh (HOU - RP,SP) 268 40 111 82.0 20.8 210.0 -58.0
Well, that didn't last long. Moved back into the rotation, McHugh mustered a 1.96 ERA through four superb starts. Four starts, later, his ERA has inflated to 6.37. He has relinquished eight home runs among his 24 hits allowed in those 18 frames. Those who rode his fast start must either move on or bench him until he turns the corner. It might not be long until the Astros slide him back into the bullpen.
84 Michael Pineda (MIN - SP) 301 72 133 89.0 10.0 329.0 +28.0
 
85 Trevor Williams (PIT - SP) IL10 339 70 114 89.5 11.0 292.0 -47.0
 
86 Reynaldo Lopez (CWS - SP) 331 71 139 90.1 14.2 284.0 -47.0
 
87 Anthony DeSclafani (CIN - SP) 359 76 150 93.2 15.7 445.0 +86.0
 
88 Andrew Heaney (LAA - SP) IL10 318 59 131 93.4 18.8 189.0 -129.0
Following a rocky return from Tommy John surgery, Heaney made major strides by submitting 180 strikeouts in as many innings last season. Since he also issued just 45 walks, a 3.74 SIERA hints at improvement from last season's 4.15 ERA. The spotty health history and mediocre sinker present concerns, but he flashed ace upside with five double-digit strikeout gems. Early elbow discomfort pushed back his 2019 debut, but he's schedule to begin his minor league rehab on May 20. Consider stashing him before the Angels activate him.
89 Jordan Lyles (PIT - SP,RP) 317 54 139 94.0 23.7 851.0 +534.0
Ignore Lyles at your own risk. After spending the last few years as a subpar reliever, the unlikely breakout star has posted a 1.97 ERA and 26.4% K rate in eight starts. A 3.94 xFIP and 3.99 SIERA suggest this won't last, but he could still regress into a capable mixed-league option. He shouldn't be sitting on any waiver wires after May 17's 12-strikeout gem at San Diego.
90 Griffin Canning (LAA - SP) 345 50 163 94.5 25.2 746.0 +401.0
 
91 Jesus Luzardo (OAK - SP) MiLB 333 62 132 94.9 23.7 259.0 -74.0
Initially a candidate for an early-season promotion, Luzardo was shut down for four-to-six weeks in late March because of a strained rotator cuff in his left shoulder. The 21-year-old southpaw still has a bright future, and he could conceivably headline Oakland's weak rotation by the summer. This setback, however, lessens the appeal of drafting and stashing him in shallower re-draft formats.
92 Jeff Samardzija (SF - SP) 334 50 122 97.8 12.9 453.0 +119.0
 
93 Tyler Mahle (CIN - SP) 323 35 147 93.8 28.6 636.0 +313.0
Mahle has one of the better strikeout-to-walk ratios in the game, and even though he is a little homer-prone, his peripherals fully back up his mid-3.00s ERA. The breakout is real.
94 Zach Davies (MIL - SP) 325 61 160 97.0 29.7 646.0 +321.0
 
95 Vince Velasquez (PHI - SP) IL10 404 63 142 102.3 17.7 386.0 -18.0
 
96 Alex Wood (CIN - SP) IL10 300 52 147 97.8 20.9 230.0 -70.0
Wood, who was initially expected to return from a back injury in April, continues to suffer setbacks that push back his timetable. Although he initially looked like an intriguing piece to round out the rotation, most of that appeal came from the potential of logging more innings for the Reds. There's not enough upside to exert a spot on him in shallower leagues with limited or no IL spots.
97 Julio Teheran (ATL - SP) 400 71 148 103.2 12.8 238.0 -162.0
 
98 Yonny Chirinos (TB - SP,RP) 435 74 150 98.6 18.6 411.0 -24.0
 
99 Michael Wacha (STL - SP) 340 62 143 104.4 18.1 271.0 -69.0
 
100 Wade Miley (HOU - SP) 474 75 134 105.0 16.2 358.0 -116.0
 
101 Dallas Keuchel (SP) FA 354 60 125 100.9 15.4 183.0 -171.0
Keuchel is still without a team. Even if he signs, don't get too excited. Remember how a prolonged free agency worked out for Alex Cobb, Lance Lynn, and Greg Holland last year? After posting a 3.74 ERA and 1.31 WHIP with an underwhelming 153 strikeouts in 204.2 innings, the 31-year-old lefty isn't particularly alluring in shallow mixed leagues anyway. Drafters shouldn't feel too guilty about dropping him in a 10- or 12-team mixed league with limited bench slots.
102 Nathan Eovaldi (BOS - SP) IL10 353 57 137 103.8 19.1 159.0 -194.0
Eovaldi is expected to miss 4-6 weeks after undergoing surgery to remove loose bodies in his right elbow. He posted a 6.00 ERA before landing on the IL, so the hard-throwing, but erratic righty is not an essential stash in standard mixed leagues.
103 Nick Pivetta (PHI - SP) MiLB 381 81 143 108.3 16.1 151.0 -230.0
Most metrics painted Pivetta as the perfect breakout pick. On the strength of a stellar 19.7 K-BB%, he posted a 3.80 FIP and 3.51 SIERA despite a bloated 4.77 ERA in 2018. That makes his abhorrent start to 2019 all the more frustrating. The polarizing pitcher has acquiesced 31 hits and 18 runs in 18.1 nightmarish innings. Because of his weak fastball, the erratic righty may never be trustworthy on a game-by-game basis. The Phillies demoted him to Triple-A, so disgruntled managers can move on in 12-team mixed leagues.
104 CC Sabathia (NYY - SP) 438 85 138 108.5 11.1 355.0 -83.0
 
105 Sandy Alcantara (MIA - SP) 461 88 141 108.6 13.6 556.0 +95.0
Wild in his brief big league audition last year, Alcantara opened 2019 with no walks in eight scoreless frames against the Rockies. Wielding a mid-90s heater, the 23-year-old righty possesses immense upside if he continues to harness his command. Undrafted in most leagues, give him an April test run to see if there's anything to his strong first impression.
106 Chris Bassitt (OAK - SP) 375 51 175 101.8 36.0 888.0 +513.0
 
107 Josh James (HOU - SP) 355 63 142 106.3 17.4 222.0 -133.0
James missed out on his chance at the rotation because of a quad injury and landed in the bullpen instead where he is unsurprisingly dominant. Don't be shy about picking him up with expectations for him to perform similarly to Delin Betances.
108 Carlos Martinez (STL - SP) 363 62 131 107.0 16.4 194.0 -169.0
Martinez, who has missed the season's first month after experiencing shoulder weakness in spring training, will officially return as a reliever. With Jordan Hicks solidifying St. Louis' closer role, this transition is unlikely to include any save opportunities. That makes the former front-line starter an unnecessary stash in standard mixed leagues.
109 Corbin Martin (HOU - SP,RP) 326 46 118 89.2 16.8 993.0 +667.0
 
110 Jhoulys Chacin (MIL - SP) 423 87 145 108.2 19.0 237.0 -186.0
 
111 Julio Urias (LAD - SP) 393 78 132 104.1 12.2 266.0 -127.0
Urias doesn't qualify as a rookie but if he were, we might be talking about the best rookie pitcher in baseball. He looks tremendous to start the year and will carry fantasy owners as long as the Dodgers allow him to remain in the rotation.
112 Forrest Whitley (HOU - SP) MiLB 336 47 147 106.6 21.0 273.0 -63.0
 
113 Aaron Sanchez (TOR - SP) 468 86 146 116.5 13.1 328.0 -140.0
 
114 Anibal Sanchez (WSH - SP) IL10 397 80 141 108.2 18.6 294.0 -103.0
 
115 Freddy Peralta (MIL - SP) 443 79 145 114.3 15.7 301.0 -142.0
Peralta's first two turns tell prospective investors everything they need to know about the volatile righty. He began the season by allowing four runs in three innings, only to rebound with 11 strikeouts over eight shutout frames at Cincinnati. He'll look like a dark horse Cy Young Award contender one day, but he'll torpedo your ratios the next. After getting rocked twice more, the Brewers placed him on the IL with a sore shoulder. There's no need to stash him beyond deeper dynasty leagues.
116 Jakob Junis (KC - SP) 419 71 138 118.3 13.0 319.0 -100.0
 
117 Derek Holland (SF - SP)   66 149 114.7 18.9 388.0  
 
118 Touki Toussaint (ATL - SP) 434 79 138 114.8 14.9 333.0 -101.0
 
119 Dylan Bundy (BAL - SP) 436 83 150 115.9 14.5 280.0 -156.0
 
120 Dereck Rodriguez (SF - SP) MiLB 446 88 130 113.3 12.7 295.0 -151.0
 
121 Danny Duffy (KC - SP) 387 64 145 113.6 20.4 458.0 +71.0
 
122 Gio Gonzalez (MIL - SP) 378 56 141 109.8 23.3 403.0 +25.0
 
123 Zack Godley (ARI - SP) 361 68 158 114.8 21.5 246.0 -115.0
Everyone's (or at least this writer's) favorite 2018 breakout pick pitched his way out of Arizona's rotation by relinquishing a 7.58 ERA and 1.72 WHIP through six disastrous starts. Those still holding out hope for a turnaround should drop Godley in all formats.
124 Sergio Romo (MIA - SP,RP) 311 66 122 90.0 20.9 399.0 +88.0
 
125 Tanner Roark (CIN - SP)   94 138 121.0 13.0 346.0  
 
126 Brad Keller (KC - SP,RP) 427 69 143 117.6 15.7 361.0 -66.0
 
127 Trevor Cahill (LAA - SP) 456 100 151 122.1 11.1 452.0 -4.0
 
128 Alex Reyes (STL - SP) MiLB 392 66 147 119.4 20.0 261.0 -131.0
Reyes didn't end up in the rotation but that doesn't mean he will be in the bullpen all season. Keep a close eye on your league's waiver wire in case the owner grows impatient and cuts him. There is a chance Reyes in the Walker Buehler of 2019's second half.
129 Sean Newcomb (ATL - SP) 414 81 166 119.9 24.8 213.0 -201.0
Newcomb got optioned to Triple-A after issuing eight walks to five strikeouts through his first three starts. The lefty allowed a ghastly 90.3% contact rate while generating just nine swinging strikes. Drop him in all leagues.
130 Mike Fiers (OAK - SP) 442 89 148 122.8 14.5 338.0 -104.0
 
131 John Gant (STL - SP,RP) 347 63 143 98.8 29.3 648.0 +301.0
 
132 Drew Pomeranz (SF - SP) 465 97 140 120.7 9.9 414.0 -51.0
 
133 Felix Pena (LAA - SP)   92 134 116.7 12.5 540.0  
 
134 Trent Thornton (TOR - SP,RP)   81 165 122.9 25.5 1,043.0  
 
135 Ian Kennedy (KC - SP) 409 69 113 93.8 15.9 665.0 +256.0
 
136 Eric Lauer (SD - SP)   87 157 129.4 21.8 421.0  
 
137 Seranthony Dominguez (PHI - SP,RP) 358 80 133 112.6 13.5 256.0 -102.0
 
138 Brent Honeywell Jr. (TB - SP) MiLB 440 78 160 135.8 14.5 558.0 +118.0
 
139 Trevor May (MIN - SP,RP)   90 168 128.3 20.4 240.0  
May did not win the closer job in Minnesota. While he may get a few saves here and there, Rocco Baldelli is employing a true closer by committee approach. May can be used as a Josh Hader-lite, but otherwise is droppable.
140 Dylan Cease (CWS - SP) MiLB   100 133 122.4 12.2 528.0  
 
141 Jonathan Loaisiga (NYY - SP) IL60 448 95 142 124.0 16.1 426.0 -22.0
 
142 Jordan Zimmermann (DET - SP) IL10   103 164 135.6 17.5 446.0  
 
143 Clay Buchholz (TOR - SP) IL10   99 143 127.0 16.6 404.0  
 
144 Dinelson Lamet (SD - SP) IL60 464 89 154 130.0 21.9 514.0 +50.0
 
145 Cole Irvin (PHI - SP)   96 120 108.7 9.8    
 
146 Chase Anderson (MIL - SP) 441 88 178 139.3 19.8 383.0 -58.0
 
147 Lance Lynn (TEX - SP)   89 149 131.8 15.0 551.0  
 
148 Robert Stephenson (CIN - SP) 477 104 120 111.0 6.7 766.0 +289.0
 
149 Justus Sheffield (SEA - SP,RP) MiLB   110 179 140.2 22.1 471.0  
 
150 Jose Urena (MIA - SP)   97 154 134.8 14.5 422.0  
 
151 A.J. Puk (OAK - SP) MiLB 471 95 176 131.5 30.0 622.0 +151.0
 
152 Tyler Anderson (COL - SP) MiLB   120 161 143.6 10.3 464.0  
 
153 Matt Harvey (LAA - SP)   121 155 136.0 11.7 390.0  
 
154 Nick Kingham (PIT - SP)   105 187 147.0 22.5 600.0  
 
155 Kyle Wright (ATL - SP) MiLB   120 153 144.0 8.5 420.0  
 
156 Zac Gallen (MIA - SP) MiLB   102 111 106.5 4.5 1,016.0  
 
157 Casey Mize (DET - SP) MiLB   69 146 107.5 38.5 617.0  
 
158 Bryse Wilson (ATL - SP) MiLB   121 167 145.7 14.5 443.0  
 
159 Jaime Barria (LAA - SP) MiLB 445 92 179 140.5 31.9 457.0 +12.0
 
160 Seth Lugo (NYM - SP,RP) IL10 475 99 180 142.3 28.8 454.0 -21.0
 
161 Taijuan Walker (ARI - SP) IL60 439 87 168 133.0 34.0 647.0 +208.0
 
162 Jefry Rodriguez (CLE - SP,RP)   98 137 117.5 19.5    
 
163 Marcus Walden (BOS - SP,RP)   109 126 117.5 8.5    
 
164 Framber Valdez (HOU - SP) 449 96 169 142.8 27.8 542.0 +93.0
 
165 Adam Wainwright (STL - SP)   108 167 146.8 12.5 429.0  
 
166 Jon Duplantier (ARI - SP) MiLB 466 111 148 135.0 17.0 650.0 +184.0
 
167 Danny Salazar (CLE - SP) IL60   115 190 156.8 28.0 585.0  
 
168 Marco Estrada (OAK - SP) IL10   118 169 144.8 22.5 531.0  
 
169 Sam Gaviglio (TOR - SP,RP)   121 124 122.5 1.5 938.0  
 
170 Drew Smyly (TEX - SP)   104 189 155.0 34.7 467.0  
 
171 Jeremy Hellickson (WSH - SP) IL10   101 165 139.0 27.5 603.0  
 
172 Mike Leake (SEA - SP)   122 173 151.2 18.9 463.0  
 
173 Felix Hernandez (SEA - SP) IL10   126 158 145.0 13.3 428.0  
 
174 Alex Cobb (BAL - SP) IL10   107 176 151.0 27.0 516.0  
 
175 Ryan Yarbrough (TB - SP,RP) MiLB   133 173 150.8 16.1 334.0  
 
176 Wade LeBlanc (SEA - SP,RP)   139 172 150.5 13.1 391.0  
 
177 Erik Swanson (SEA - SP) MiLB   123 178 150.3 22.5 863.0  
 
178 Homer Bailey (KC - SP)   115 163 139.0 24.0 826.0  
 
179 Daniel Mengden (OAK - SP)   117 205 161.0 44.0 605.0  
 
180 Fernando Romero (MIN - SP,RP) MiLB   120 204 169.0 35.7 472.0  
 
181 Ryan Borucki (TOR - SP,RP) IL60   124 189 156.5 32.5 618.0  
 
182 Tyson Ross (DET - SP) IL10   126 163 150.0 17.0 478.0  
 
183 Mitch Keller (PIT - SP) MiLB   133 155 144.0 11.0 593.0  
 
184 Daniel Norris (DET - SP)   128 162 145.0 17.0 581.0  
 
185 Caleb Ferguson (LAD - SP,RP)   130 196 163.0 33.0 741.0  
 
186 Joe Ross (WSH - SP)   135 182 158.5 23.5 499.0  
 
187 Robbie Erlin (SD - SP,RP)   138 185 165.7 20.1 590.0  
 
188 Dan Straily (BAL - SP)   140 177 158.5 18.5 656.0  
 
189 Aaron Brooks (OAK - SP,RP)   142 170 156.0 14.0 886.0  
 
190 Ivan Nova (CWS - SP)   143 186 170.7 19.6 598.0  
 
191 Mike Montgomery (CHC - SP,RP)   145 200 172.5 27.5 543.0  
 
192 Jake Faria (TB - SP) MiLB   145 175 160.0 15.0 643.0  
 
193 Sean Reid-Foley (TOR - SP) MiLB   148 211 180.0 25.7 620.0  
 
194 Manny Banuelos (CWS - SP) IL10   152 193 172.5 20.5 913.0  
 
195 Ervin Santana (CWS - SP) FA   153 184 173.7 14.6 584.0  
 
196 Junior Guerra (MIL - SP,RP)   156 194 175.0 19.0 487.0  
 
197 Taylor Widener (ARI - SP) MiLB   157 177 167.0 10.0 748.0  
 
198 Adalberto Mejia (MIN - SP) IL10   159 208 183.5 24.5 752.0  
 
199 Jason Vargas (NYM - SP) IL10   171 171 171.0 0.0 523.0  
 
200 Andrew Suarez (SF - SP)   188 197 192.5 4.5 607.0  
 
201 Jordan Montgomery (NYY - SP) IL60   191 195 193.0 2.0 700.0