Who Should I Trade?

Merrill Kelly for Rhett Lowder (2026)

Summary
Stats
Projections
News & Notes
Schedule

Who Should I Trade? Player Summaries
	Experts' Pick
	Merrill Kelly SP - ARI	Rhett Lowder SP - CIN
Expert Recommendation	100% Recommended by 4 of 4 experts	0% Recommended by 0 of 4 experts
Rankings

Rest of Season	# 158	# 189
VBR	# 473	# 727

Projections

Strikeouts	24	20
Wins	2	1
Saves	0	0
ERA	4.65	4.63
WHIP	1.40	1.44

Misc

Injury Alert	-	-

Expert Ranks

Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports	# 166	# 168

Mike Maher BettingPros	# 160	# 165

Kelly Kirby FantasyPros	# 213	# 427

Kevin Spinelli KevScores	# 156	# 178

Who Should I Trade? Player Statistics
	Merrill Kelly SP - ARI	Rhett Lowder SP - CIN
2026 Stats


Games Played	24	23

Games Started	24	20

Innings Pitched	134.2	107.0

Wins	8	5

Losses	12	8

Saves	0	0

Blown Saves	0	0

Holds	0	0

Hits Allowed	144	114

Earned Runs	80	61

Home Runs Allowed	26	15

Strikeouts	88	83

Walks	60	43

ERA	5.35	5.13

WHIP	1.51	1.47

Who Should I Trade? Player Projections
	Merrill Kelly SP - ARI	Rhett Lowder SP - CIN
2026 Projections


Games Played	6	6

Games Started	6	5

Innings Pitched	31.0	26.3

Wins	2	1

Losses	2	2

Saves	0	0

Blown Saves	0	0

Holds	0	0

Hits Allowed	32	27

Earned Runs	16	14

Home Runs Allowed	5	4

Strikeouts	24	20

Walks	11	10

ERA	4.65	4.63

WHIP	1.40	1.44

Who Should I Trade? Player Notes
	Merrill Kelly SP - ARI	Rhett Lowder SP - CIN
News
	Merrill Kelly allowed three runs on five hits over 5 2/3 innings with four strikeouts and three walks in a loss on Tuesday against the Cubs. Ari Koslow Tue, Aug 25th	Rhett Lowder allowed three earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out one over six innings in Saturday's win over the Diamondbacks. Chris Schommer Sun, Aug 23rd
	Merrill Kelly allowed six runs on seven hits over four innings with two strikeouts and four walks in a loss on Tuesday against the Red Sox. Ari Koslow Wed, Aug 19th	Rhett Lowder allowed two earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out four over 5 1/3 innings in Wednesday's 5-0 loss to the White Sox. Chris Schommer Thu, Aug 13th
	Merrill Kelly allowed six runs on six hits over five innings with two strikeouts and three walks in a loss on Wednesday against the Rockies. Ari Koslow Thu, Aug 13th	Reds right-hander Rhett Lowder pitched six innings of two-run ball, but took a no-decision in an eventual 3-2 win over the Pirates on Thursday. Brenton Kemp Fri, Jul 31st
	Merrill Kelly left his start Friday because of a right leg cramp. Ari Koslow Sat, Aug 8th	Rhett Lowder allowed two earned runs on one hit and two walks while striking out four over five innings in Friday's win over the Cardinals. Chris Schommer Sat, Jul 25th
	Merrill Kelly allowed five runs on eight hits over five innings with five strikeouts and four walks in a loss on Sunday against the Guardians. Ari Koslow Mon, Aug 3rd	Rhett Lowder allowed eight earned runs on 11 hits while striking out two over 2 1/3 innings in Saturday's loss to the Rockies. Chris Schommer Sun, Jul 19th
Notes
There are no recent notes for these players

Who Should I Trade? Player Schedules
Date	Opp	Opp Pitcher	VBR	Opp	Opp Pitcher	VBR
	Merrill Kelly SP - ARI			Rhett Lowder SP - CIN
Thu, Mar 26th	@ LAD	Yoshinobu Yamamoto (12-8)	#5	vs BOS	Garrett Crochet (3-3)	#162
Fri, Mar 27th	@ LAD	Emmet Sheehan (4-8)	#170
Sat, Mar 28th	@ LAD	Tyler Glasnow (3-0)	#17	vs BOS	Sonny Gray (16-4)	#30
Mon, Mar 30th	vs DET	Justin Verlander (0-1)	#206	vs PIT	Braxton Ashcraft (13-5)	#28
Tue, Mar 31st	vs DET	Casey Mize (5-7)	#48	vs PIT	Bubba Chandler (6-9)	#129
Wed, Apr 1st	vs DET	Tarik Skubal (8-7)	#2	vs PIT	Paul Skenes (9-11)	#7
Thu, Apr 2nd	vs ATL	Reynaldo Lopez (4-3)	#88
Fri, Apr 3rd	vs ATL	Grant Holmes (8-5)	#144	@ TEX	MacKenzie Gore (7-10)	#37
Sat, Apr 4th	vs ATL	Bryce Elder (8-7)	#128	@ TEX	Kumar Rocker (5-10)	#124
Sun, Apr 5th	vs ATL	Martin Perez (8-8)	#230	@ TEX	Jack Leiter (3-7)	#122
Tue, Apr 7th	@ NYM	Freddy Peralta (6-11)	#51	@ MIA	Sandy Alcantara (13-8)	#61
Wed, Apr 8th	@ NYM	David Peterson (7-7)	#85	@ MIA	Eury Perez (7-9)	#36
Thu, Apr 9th	@ NYM	Nolan McLean (9-8)	#34	@ MIA	Max Meyer (9-1)
Fri, Apr 10th	@ PHI	Jesus Luzardo (12-5)	#11	vs LAA	Jack Kochanowicz (2-5)
Sat, Apr 11th	@ PHI	Taijuan Walker (1-4)		vs LAA	George Klassen (2-2)	#225
Sun, Apr 12th	@ PHI	Zach Pop		vs LAA	Jose Soriano (10-7)	#42
Mon, Apr 13th	@ BAL	Dean Kremer (2-4)	#80
Tue, Apr 14th	@ BAL	Trevor Rogers (9-9)	#63	vs SF	Robbie Ray (11-7)	#96
Wed, Apr 15th	@ BAL	Kyle Bradish (7-12)	#55	vs SF	Tyler Mahle (5-10)	#78
Fri, Apr 17th	vs TOR	Braydon Fisher (3-4)	#148	@ MIN	Joe Ryan (6-8)	#73
Sat, Apr 18th	vs TOR	Max Scherzer (1-7)	#154	@ MIN	Taj Bradley (9-6)	#45
Sun, Apr 19th	vs TOR	Kevin Gausman (7-11)	#27	@ MIN	Bailey Ober (7-4)	#81
Tue, Apr 21st	vs CWS	Sean Burke (7-6)	#58	@ TB	Steven Matz (5-4)	#150
Wed, Apr 22nd	vs CWS	Anthony Kay (9-6)	#191	@ TB	Nick Martinez (13-4)	#82
Thu, Apr 23rd	vs CWS	Davis Martin (9-6)	#145
Sat, Apr 25th	vs SD	German Marquez (4-2)	#426	vs DET	Jack Flaherty (3-8)	#108
Sun, Apr 26th	vs SD	Michael King (8-9)	#57	vs DET	Keider Montero (9-8)	#174
Tue, Apr 28th	@ MIL	Chad Patrick (7-4)	#120	vs COL	Kyle Freeland (4-10)	#418
Wed, Apr 29th	@ MIL	Brandon Sproat (3-7)	#186	vs COL	Tomoyuki Sugano (12-7)	#437
Thu, Apr 30th	@ MIL	Brandon Woodruff (2-2)		vs COL	Michael Lorenzen (3-11)	#414
Fri, May 1st	@ CHC	Colin Rea (8-8)	#182	@ PIT	Mitch Keller (6-8)
Sat, May 2nd	@ CHC	Shota Imanaga (8-9)	#24	@ PIT	Carmen Mlodzinski (6-6)	#91
Sun, May 3rd	@ CHC	Matthew Boyd (8-3)	#52	@ PIT	Braxton Ashcraft (13-5)	#28
Tue, May 5th	vs PIT	Bubba Chandler (6-9)	#129	@ CHC	Jameson Taillon (2-6)	#188
Wed, May 6th	vs PIT	Paul Skenes (9-11)	#7	@ CHC	Colin Rea (8-8)	#182
Thu, May 7th	vs PIT	Mitch Keller (6-8)		@ CHC	Shota Imanaga (8-9)	#24
Fri, May 8th	vs NYM	Nolan McLean (9-8)	#34	vs HOU	Mike Burrows (4-9)	#212
Sat, May 9th	vs NYM	Clay Holmes (5-6)	#66	vs HOU	Spencer Arrighetti (7-7)	#226
Sun, May 10th	vs NYM	Huascar Brazoban (5-2)	#289	vs HOU	Kai-Wei Teng (5-6)	#201
Mon, May 11th	@ TEX	Jakob Junis
Tue, May 12th	@ TEX	MacKenzie Gore (7-10)	#37	vs WSH	Miles Mikolas (3-9)
Wed, May 13th	@ TEX	Kumar Rocker (5-10)	#124	vs WSH	Jake Irvin (2-8)	#211
Fri, May 15th	@ COL	Kyle Freeland (4-10)	#418	@ CLE	Tanner Bibee (5-13)	#59
Sat, May 16th	@ COL	Tomoyuki Sugano (12-7)	#437	@ CLE	Joey Cantillo (9-7)	#62
Sun, May 17th	@ COL	Michael Lorenzen (3-11)	#414	@ CLE	Gavin Williams (12-7)	#19
Mon, May 18th	vs SF	Robbie Ray (11-7)	#96	@ PHI	Andrew Painter (3-8)	#219
Tue, May 19th	vs SF	Landen Roupp (8-13)	#71	@ PHI	Jesus Luzardo (12-5)	#11
Wed, May 20th	vs SF	Tyler Mahle (5-10)	#78	@ PHI	Aaron Nola (5-10)	#54
Thu, May 21st	vs COL	Zach Agnos
Fri, May 22nd	vs COL	Tomoyuki Sugano (12-7)	#437
Sat, May 23rd	vs COL	Michael Lorenzen (3-11)	#414	vs STL	Kyle Leahy (10-4)	#98
Sun, May 24th	vs COL	Jose Quintana (2-3)	#434
Mon, May 25th	@ SF	Landen Roupp (8-13)	#71	@ NYM	Nolan McLean (9-8)	#34
Tue, May 26th	@ SF	Tyler Mahle (5-10)	#78	@ NYM	David Peterson (7-7)	#85
Wed, May 27th	@ SF	Trevor McDonald (3-7)		@ NYM	Huascar Brazoban (5-2)	#289
Fri, May 29th	@ SEA	George Kirby (9-10)	#26	vs ATL	Grant Holmes (8-5)	#144
Sat, May 30th	@ SEA	Bryan Woo (9-9)	#16	vs ATL	Martin Perez (8-8)	#230
Sun, May 31st	@ SEA	Bryce Miller (4-8)	#44	vs ATL	Spencer Strider (4-2)	#227
Mon, Jun 1st	vs LAD	Emmet Sheehan (4-8)	#170	vs KC	Luinder Avila (5-4)
Tue, Jun 2nd	vs LAD	Eric Lauer (8-6)	#358	vs KC	Noah Cameron (9-8)	#70
Wed, Jun 3rd	vs LAD	Shohei Ohtani (8-2)	#1	vs KC	Stephen Kolek (4-3)
Thu, Jun 4th	vs LAD	Justin Wrobleski (11-5)	#223
Fri, Jun 5th	vs WSH	Foster Griffin (15-4)	#41	@ STL	Kyle Leahy (10-4)	#98
Sat, Jun 6th	vs WSH	Zack Littell (8-8)	#306	@ STL	Matthew Liberatore (5-12)	#77
Sun, Jun 7th	vs WSH	Cade Cavalli (12-5)	#40	@ STL	Michael McGreevy (5-9)	#89
Tue, Jun 9th	@ MIA	Max Meyer (9-1)		@ SD	Lucas Giolito (2-3)	#318
Wed, Jun 10th	@ MIA	Ryan Gusto (1-3)	#156	@ SD	Michael King (8-9)	#57
Thu, Jun 11th	@ MIA	Tyler Phillips (3-6)	#246
Fri, Jun 12th	@ CIN	Nick Lodolo (3-3)	#118	vs ARI	Eduardo Rodriguez (14-4)	#100
Sat, Jun 13th	@ CIN	Rhett Lowder (5-8)	#243	vs ARI	Michael Soroka (8-4)	#113
Sun, Jun 14th	@ CIN	Andrew Abbott (6-9)	#103	vs ARI	Zac Gallen (3-9)	#199
Mon, Jun 15th	vs LAA	Walbert Urena (8-9)	#266	vs NYM	Tobias Myers (0-2)	#157
Tue, Jun 16th	vs LAA	Reid Detmers (4-8)	#32	vs NYM	Kodai Senga (0-9)	#95
Wed, Jun 17th	vs LAA	Sam Aldegheri (3-4)	#421	vs NYM	Nolan McLean (9-8)	#34
Fri, Jun 19th	vs MIN	Connor Prielipp (3-7)	#94	@ NYY	Cam Schlittler (11-6)	#13
Sat, Jun 20th	vs MIN	Taj Bradley (9-6)	#45	@ NYY	Will Warren (8-6)	#67
Sun, Jun 21st	vs MIN	Mike Paredes (0-3)	#295	@ NYY	Elmer Rodriguez (0-2)	#265
Mon, Jun 22nd	@ STL	Andre Pallante (12-6)	#290	vs MIL	Brandon Woodruff (2-2)
Tue, Jun 23rd	@ STL	Kyle Leahy (10-4)	#98	vs MIL	Brandon Sproat (3-7)	#186
Wed, Jun 24th	@ STL	Matthew Liberatore (5-12)	#77	vs MIL	Shane Drohan (6-5)	#133
Fri, Jun 26th	@ TB	Nick Martinez (13-4)	#82	@ PIT	Paul Skenes (9-11)	#7
Sat, Jun 27th	@ TB	Cole Sulser		@ PIT	Jared Jones (2-5)	#47
Sun, Jun 28th	@ TB	Drew Rasmussen (14-5)	#15	@ PIT	Mitch Keller (6-8)
Mon, Jun 29th	vs SF	Tyler Mahle (5-10)	#78	@ MIL	Robert Gasser (4-5)	#106
Tue, Jun 30th	vs SF	Landen Roupp (8-13)	#71	@ MIL	Brandon Sproat (3-7)	#186
Wed, Jul 1st	vs SF	Trevor McDonald (3-7)		@ MIL	Shane Drohan (6-5)	#133
Fri, Jul 3rd	vs MIL	Kyle Harrison (10-3)	#38	vs BAL	Trevor Rogers (9-9)	#63
Sat, Jul 4th	vs MIL	Brandon Woodruff (2-2)		vs BAL	Brandon Young (9-3)	#172
Sun, Jul 5th	vs MIL	Brandon Sproat (3-7)	#186	vs BAL	Kyle Bradish (7-12)	#55
Mon, Jul 6th	@ SD	Walker Buehler (8-6)	#222
Tue, Jul 7th	@ SD	German Marquez (4-2)	#426	vs PHI	Zack Wheeler (10-5)	#10
Wed, Jul 8th	@ SD	Michael King (8-9)	#57	vs PHI	Alan Rangel (0-3)	#346
Thu, Jul 9th	@ SD	Griffin Canning (4-9)	#178	vs PHI	Jesus Luzardo (12-5)	#11
Fri, Jul 10th	@ LAD	Kyle Hurt		vs CHC	Shota Imanaga (8-9)	#24
Sat, Jul 11th	@ LAD	Yoshinobu Yamamoto (12-8)	#5	vs CHC	Javier Assad (6-1)	#195
Sun, Jul 12th	@ LAD	Emmet Sheehan (4-8)	#170	vs CHC	Matthew Boyd (8-3)	#52
Fri, Jul 17th	vs STL	Michael McGreevy (5-9)	#89	@ COL	Gabriel Hughes (0-6)	#393
Sat, Jul 18th	vs STL	Dustin May (6-8)	#49	@ COL	Tomoyuki Sugano (12-7)	#437
Sun, Jul 19th	vs STL	Andre Pallante (12-6)	#290	@ COL	Ryan Feltner (5-8)	#436
Mon, Jul 20th	vs ATH	Jeffrey Springs (3-12)	#382	@ SEA	George Kirby (9-10)	#26
Tue, Jul 21st	vs ATH	Jack Perkins (3-9)	#146	@ SEA	Luis Castillo (4-10)	#83
Wed, Jul 22nd	vs ATH	Gage Jump (6-8)	#87	@ SEA	Emerson Hancock (7-7)	#72
Thu, Jul 23rd	@ STL	Michael McGreevy (5-9)	#89
Fri, Jul 24th	@ WSH	Carson Palmquist (0-2)	#377	@ STL	Dustin May (6-8)	#49
Sat, Jul 25th	@ WSH	Foster Griffin (15-4)	#41	@ STL	Andre Pallante (12-6)	#290
Sun, Jul 26th	@ WSH	Miles Mikolas (3-9)		@ STL	Kyle Leahy (10-4)	#98
Mon, Jul 27th	@ PIT	Mitch Keller (6-8)
Tue, Jul 28th	@ PIT	Bubba Chandler (6-9)	#129	vs CLE	Gavin Williams (12-7)	#19
Wed, Jul 29th	@ PIT	Jared Jones (2-5)	#47	vs CLE	Joey Cantillo (9-7)	#62
Fri, Jul 31st	@ CLE	Tanner Bibee (5-13)	#59	vs PIT	Paul Skenes (9-11)	#7
Sat, Aug 1st	@ CLE	Parker Messick (10-8)	#33	vs PIT	Braxton Ashcraft (13-5)	#28
Sun, Aug 2nd	@ CLE	Gavin Williams (12-7)	#19	vs PIT	Mitch Keller (6-8)
Mon, Aug 3rd	vs SD	Michael King (8-9)	#57
Tue, Aug 4th	vs SD	Randy Vasquez (10-6)	#281	vs ATH	J.T. Ginn (9-8)	#179
Wed, Aug 5th	vs SD	Casey Mize (5-7)	#48	vs ATH	Jacob Lopez (5-4)	#176
Thu, Aug 6th	vs SD	Walker Buehler (8-6)	#222	vs ATH	Mason Barnett (1-4)	#410
Fri, Aug 7th	vs LAD	Roki Sasaki (5-5)	#75	@ WSH	Cade Cavalli (12-5)	#40
Sat, Aug 8th	vs LAD	Yoshinobu Yamamoto (12-8)	#5	@ WSH	Andrew Alvarez (2-6)	#143
Sun, Aug 9th	vs LAD	Justin Wrobleski (11-5)	#223	@ WSH	Brad Lord (5-2)	#158
Mon, Aug 10th	vs COL	Gabriel Hughes (0-6)	#393
Tue, Aug 11th	vs COL	Tomoyuki Sugano (12-7)	#437	@ CWS	Sean Burke (7-6)	#58
Wed, Aug 12th	vs COL	Ryan Feltner (5-8)	#436	@ CWS	Luis Castillo (4-10)	#83
Fri, Aug 14th	@ ATL	Chris Sale (13-9)	#3	vs MIA	Sandy Alcantara (13-8)	#61
Sat, Aug 15th	@ ATL	Grant Holmes (8-5)	#144	vs MIA	Ryan Gusto (1-3)	#156
Sun, Aug 16th	@ ATL	Bryce Elder (8-7)	#128	vs MIA	Eury Perez (7-9)	#36
Mon, Aug 17th	@ BOS	Alec Gamboa		vs STL	Andre Pallante (12-6)	#290
Tue, Aug 18th	@ BOS	Ranger Suarez (5-3)	#29	vs STL	Kyle Leahy (10-4)	#98
Wed, Aug 19th	@ BOS	Payton Tolle (8-6)	#23	vs STL	Matthew Liberatore (5-12)	#77
Fri, Aug 21st	vs CIN	Nick Lodolo (3-3)	#118	@ ARI	Eduardo Rodriguez (14-4)	#100
Sat, Aug 22nd	vs CIN	Rhett Lowder (5-8)	#243	@ ARI	Michael Soroka (8-4)	#113
Sun, Aug 23rd	vs CIN	Andrew Abbott (6-9)	#103	@ ARI	Mitch Bratt (1-2)	#187
Mon, Aug 24th	vs CHC	Kevin Gausman (7-11)	#27	@ SF	Carson Whisenhunt (3-4)	#294
Tue, Aug 25th	vs CHC	Clay Holmes (5-6)	#66	@ SF	Adrian Houser (4-7)	#217
Wed, Aug 26th	vs CHC	Matthew Boyd (8-3)	#52	@ SF	Logan Webb (8-8)	#21
Thu, Aug 27th	@ SF	Landen Roupp (8-13)	#71
Fri, Aug 28th	@ SF	Blade Tidwell (0-0)	#171	@ CHC	David Peterson (7-7)	#85
Sat, Aug 29th	@ SF			@ CHC	Kevin Gausman (7-11)	#27
Mon, Aug 31st	vs PHI	Aaron Nola (5-10)	#54	vs SD	Michael King (8-9)	#57
Tue, Sep 1st	vs PHI	Jesus Luzardo (12-5)	#11	vs SD	Randy Vasquez (10-6)	#281
Wed, Sep 2nd	vs PHI	Andrew Painter (3-8)	#219	vs SD	Casey Mize (5-7)	#48
Fri, Sep 4th	@ HOU	Mike Burrows (4-9)	#212	vs MIL	Shane Drohan (6-5)	#133
Sat, Sep 5th	@ HOU	Peter Lambert (8-7)	#177	vs MIL	Robert Gasser (4-5)	#106
Sun, Sep 6th	@ HOU	Hayden Wesneski (4-1)	#79	vs MIL	Kyle Harrison (10-3)	#38
Mon, Sep 7th	@ KC			@ LAD
Tue, Sep 8th	@ KC			@ LAD
Wed, Sep 9th	@ KC			@ LAD
Fri, Sep 11th	vs TEX			@ MIL
Sat, Sep 12th	vs TEX			@ MIL
Sun, Sep 13th	vs TEX			@ MIL
Mon, Sep 14th	vs MIA			vs LAD
Tue, Sep 15th	vs MIA			vs LAD
Wed, Sep 16th	vs MIA			vs LAD
Fri, Sep 18th	vs NYY			vs CHC
Sat, Sep 19th	vs NYY			vs CHC
Sun, Sep 20th	vs NYY			vs CHC
Tue, Sep 22nd	@ COL			@ ATL
Wed, Sep 23rd	@ COL			@ ATL
Thu, Sep 24th	@ COL			@ ATL
Fri, Sep 25th	@ SD			@ TOR
Sat, Sep 26th	@ SD			@ TOR
Sun, Sep 27th	@ SD			@ TOR
Sun, Mar 29th				vs BOS	Connelly Early (7-5)	#142
Mon, Apr 6th				@ MIA	Janson Junk (6-8)	#117
Thu, Apr 16th				vs SF	Landen Roupp (8-13)	#71
Mon, Apr 20th				@ TB	Jesse Scholtens (5-3)	#198
Fri, Apr 24th				vs DET	Framber Valdez (8-9)	#46
Mon, May 4th				@ CHC	Edward Cabrera (5-5)	#135
Thu, May 14th				vs WSH	Foster Griffin (15-4)	#41
Mon, Jun 8th				@ SD	Walker Buehler (8-6)	#222
Thu, Jul 2nd				@ MIL	Jacob Misiorowski (14-5)	#6
Thu, Jul 30th				vs PIT	Yohan Ramirez
Thu, Aug 13th				@ CWS	Davis Martin (9-6)	#145
Thu, Aug 20th				vs STL	Michael McGreevy (5-9)	#89
Sun, Aug 30th				@ CHC	Shota Imanaga (8-9)	#24
Thu, Sep 17th				vs LAD

Who Should I Trade?

Merrill Kelly for Rhett Lowder (2026)

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