Alvin Kamara or AJ Dillon
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
Alvin Kamara RB - NO  Alvin Kamara RB - NO | AJ Dillon RB - GB  AJ Dillon RB - GB |  | |
Expert |
74% Recommended by 51 of 69 experts |
26% Recommended by 18 of 69 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop RB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would draftUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 30 | # 35 | - |
| Best Rank | # 21 | # 27 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 41 | # 40 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 154.7 | 139.6 | - |
| Avg Game | 10.3 | 8.2 | - |
| Avg Projection | 147.6 | 127.6 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 9 | 5 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Alvin Kamara | AJ Dillon | Add Player |
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05/28 | #31 | #33 | - |
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05/28 | #41 | #36 | - |
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05/28 | #28 | #27 | - |
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05/28 | #36 | #35 | - |
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05/28 | #34 | #38 | - |
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05/28 | #31 | #35 | - |
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05/27 | #33 | #38 | - |
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05/27 | #28 | #29 | - |
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05/27 | #27 | #38 | - |
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05/27 | #52 | #39 | - |
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05/27 | #35 | #37 | - |
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05/28 | #32 | #30 | - |
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05/26 | #31 | #33 | - |
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05/26 | #29 | #35 | - |
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05/26 | #19 | #32 | - |
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05/25 | #31 | #30 | - |
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05/25 | #34 | #30 | - |
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05/25 | #21 | #32 | - |
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05/24 | #24 | #27 | - |
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05/24 | #27 | #31 | - |
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05/24 | #29 | #31 | - |
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05/24 | #28 | #33 | - |
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05/22 | #35 | #43 | - |
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05/22 | #29 | #35 | - |
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05/26 | #32 | #36 | - |
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05/22 | #29 | #35 | - |
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05/23 | #34 | #40 | - |
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05/21 | #41 | #33 | - |
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05/19 | #29 | #35 | - |
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05/18 | #29 | #37 | - |
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05/26 | #41 | #26 | - |
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05/18 | #28 | #38 | - |
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05/22 | #29 | #32 | - |
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05/18 | #39 | #33 | - |
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05/17 | #29 | #33 | - |
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05/16 | #29 | #31 | - |
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05/15 | #22 | #29 | - |
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05/15 | #28 | #37 | - |
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05/17 | #28 | #31 | - |
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05/14 | #36 | #35 | - |
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05/27 | #30 | #33 | - |
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05/12 | #33 | #36 | - |
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05/12 | #30 | #33 | - |
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05/10 | #32 | #27 | - |
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05/09 | #31 | #34 | - |
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05/09 | #30 | #32 | - |
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05/08 | #27 | #30 | - |
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05/10 | #31 | #33 | - |
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05/03 | #32 | #34 | - |
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05/03 | #32 | #31 | - |
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05/01 | #29 | #34 | - |
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05/01 | #41 | #35 | - |
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05/01 | #27 | #33 | - |
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05/01 | #30 | #33 | - |
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04/30 | #27 | #32 | - |
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04/30 | #40 | #32 | - |
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04/28 | #28 | #32 | - |
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04/24 | #35 | #31 | - |
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04/23 | #26 | #30 | - |
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05/23 | #23 | #35 | - |
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04/21 | #27 | #31 | - |
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03/05 | #41 | #25 | - |
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03/02 | #38 | #32 | - |
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02/27 | #27 | #29 | - |
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02/22 | #25 | #30 | - |
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02/09 | #22 | #26 | - |
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02/02 | #23 | #29 | - |
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01/30 | #23 | #35 | - |
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01/19 | #19 | #27 | - |
Alvin Kamara RB - NO Alvin Kamara RB - NO | AJ Dillon RB - GB AJ Dillon RB - GB | |
| 2023 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. TEN | at CHI |
| Week 2 | at CAR | at ATL |
| Week 3 | at GB | vs. NO |
| Week 4 | vs. TB | vs. DET |
| Week 5 | at NE | at LV |
| Week 6 | at HOU | BYE WEEK |
| Week 7 | vs. JAC | at DEN |
| Week 8 | at IND | vs. MIN |
| Week 9 | vs. CHI | vs. LAR |
| Week 10 | at MIN | at PIT |
| Week 11 | BYE WEEK | vs. LAC |
| Week 12 | at ATL | at DET |
| Week 13 | vs. DET | vs. KC |
| Week 14 | vs. CAR | at NYG |
| Week 15 | vs. NYG | vs. TB |
| Week 16 | at LAR | at CAR |
| Week 17 | at TB | at MIN |
| Week 18 | vs. ATL | vs. CHI |
Alvin Kamara RB - NO Alvin Kamara RB - NO | AJ Dillon RB - GB AJ Dillon RB - GB | |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 163.1 | 171.9 |
| Rush Yards | 674.4 | 723.6 |
| Rush TDs | 3.9 | 5.7 |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 51.2 | 26.9 |
| Rec Yards | 467.1 | 212.5 |
| Rec TDs | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 147.6 | 127.6 |
Alvin Kamara RB - NO Alvin Kamara RB - NO | AJ Dillon RB - GB AJ Dillon RB - GB | |
| 2022 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 4.6 | 15.1 |
| Week 2 | ‐ | 6.7 |
| Week 3 | 5.3 | 3.8 |
| Week 4 | ‐ | 8.4 |
| Week 5 | 17.4 | 3.4 |
| Week 6 | 12.4 | 5.2 |
| Week 7 | 10.5 | 1.5 |
| Week 8 | 33.8 | 6.3 |
| Week 9 | 6.2 | 4.4 |
| Week 10 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
| Week 11 | 8.9 | 2.3 |
| Week 12 | 1.0 | 14.8 |
| Week 13 | 3.7 | 17.9 |
| Week 14 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 15 | 10.4 | 19.1 |
| Week 16 | 17.0 | 10.8 |
| Week 17 | 8.0 | 10.1 |
| Week 18 | 11.0 | 3.3 |
| Total | 154.7 | 139.6 |
| Average | 10.3 | 8.2 |
Alvin Kamara RB - NO Alvin Kamara RB - NO | AJ Dillon RB - GB AJ Dillon RB - GB | |
| 2022 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 4 | 6 |
| Week 2 | ‐ | 3 |
| Week 3 | 7 | 3 |
| Week 4 | ‐ | 2 |
| Week 5 | 6 | 0 |
| Week 6 | 9 | 6 |
| Week 7 | 9 | 0 |
| Week 8 | 10 | 1 |
| Week 9 | 4 | 4 |
| Week 10 | 4 | 0 |
| Week 11 | 5 | 1 |
| Week 12 | 7 | 4 |
| Week 13 | 3 | 3 |
| Week 14 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 15 | 2 | 3 |
| Week 16 | 4 | 3 |
| Week 17 | 1 | 1 |
| Week 18 | 2 | 3 |
Alvin Kamara RB - NO Alvin Kamara RB - NO | AJ Dillon RB - GB AJ Dillon RB - GB | |
| Expert | ||
| Mark Ringo Sleepers and Busts | Last season Alvin Kamara escaped suspension because his trial was delayed. This year there is no escape. Once the trial concludes he is most likely facing a minimum six-game suspension and possibly an entire year. The Saints didn't sign Jamaal Williams in free agency for his good looks folks. The word on the street is that they signed Jamaal in case Roger Goodell suspends Kamara for the entire season. And you have to figure they've been told what to expect. The evidence against Kamara is pretty damning- a video that seems to corroborate the accuser's claim. Kamara is charged with a violent crime, not a drug addiction like Josh Gordon dealt with in the past. I would expect the NFL to set an example and come down hard on Kamara. They don't want players tarnishing the NFL brand- especially in a party town like Las Vegas where this incident allegedly happened. And that doesn't even take into account the possibility of jail time if he's found guilty. Kamara's current ADP at RB 29 still seems very expensive. Jamaal Williams is cheaper with a current ADP of RB 35. In addition, even if Kamara somehow plays a few games, both Jamaal and all-purpose weapon Taysom Hill could still vulture TDs in the red zone. Let someone else deal with this headache and burn a bench spot on Kamara. There's way too much risk here for Mark Ringo. Bust | |
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | 5/5: Even bigger downgrade now with Kendre Miller now added & the team reportedly SKY HIGH on him. I want very little to do w/ Kamara in 2023 3/17: I won't touch Kamara with a 10 foot pole. Jamaal Williams will eat TDs as a souped-up Ingram. Potential suspension looming + huge concerns after 2022's massive disappointment. Easier to look past if Kamara looked like Kamara last year. He didn't/ | |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Kamara had 790 yards rushing, 487 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on a Saints team that struggled without a good quarterback and with a ton of injuries at wide receiver. The big question marks with him are a potential suspension and Jamaal Williams taking away touches. Kamara is a low-end RB2 at this point. | |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Alvin Kamara had a year to forget in 2022 with QB/TE Taysom Hill seeing an increased role as a backfield rusher in the Saints offense. Hill earned more touches inside the 10-yard line (8 vs. 12) which limited Kamara to just two rushing TDs. AK41's receiving usage also fell off a cliff toward the end of the year. From Weeks 13-18, Kamara never caught more than two passes. His target share fell from 22% to 11%. The days of him being a game-breaker as a receiver seem to be long gone as he has seen his pass-catching numbers fall off drastically compared to his first four years in the NFL when he was averaging nearly 90 receptions per year. The overall lack of TDs and receiving was heightened more so when Kamara's poor rushing efficiency failed to make up for his loss in other production. The Saints running back ended the year second-worst in the rushing EPA (-41). Before the schedule eased up over the last four games, Kamara had just two games with 65 rushing yards. He still managed to finish as the RB15 in points per game (12.8), which might need to be his new fantasy expectation when he plays in 2023. Because there are serious question marks about Kamara's availability in regards to a potential suspension on events from last year's Pro Bowl. The general ambiguity will make him very risky to draft in the early rounds. | Drafters were expecting A.J. Dillon to carve out a formidable role in the Packers backfield in 2022, but he was a complete afterthough for the majority of the season. His highly-touted "red-zone role" resulted in one touchdown (Week 1) in the first 11 weeks in a struggling Green Bay offense. Dillon eventually got more involved in the second half of the season, especially as a red-zone threat. From Week 9 onward, Dillon out-carried teammate Aaron Jones inside the 10-yard line 14 to 5 while splitting snaps exactly 50/50. And they scored the same amount of points total from Week 11 through Week 17, with Dillion scoring six rushing TDs. If Dillon's goal-line usage carries over from the tail-end of the 2022 season, that would significantly hinder Jones' fantasy upside while stabilizing Dillon's fantasy value. The bruising running back finished fifth in PFF rushing grade last season and will hit free agency at the end of the 2023 season. He also flashed top-tier handcuff upside when Jones got banged up versus the Bears in Week 13. Dillon tied a season-high with 18 carries for 93 yards and one touchdown to go along with three catches for 26 yards. |
