Alvin Kamara or Brian Robinson Jr.
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS ![]() Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS | Alvin Kamara RB - NO ![]() Alvin Kamara RB - NO |   | |
Expert |
64% Recommended by 50 of 78 experts |
36% Recommended by 28 of 78 experts |
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Most Accurate Experts | |||
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Rankings | |||
ECR | # 29 | # 31 | - |
Best Rank | # 23 | # 21 | - |
Worst Rank | # 39 | # 42 | - |
Fantasy Points | |||
Season Total | 103.7 | 154.7 | - |
Avg Game | 8.6 | 10.3 | - |
Avg Projection | 136.5 | 147.2 | - |
Schedule | |||
SOS Rank | 18 | 9 | - |
Misc | |||
Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
Expert Ranks | |||
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Brian Robinson Jr. | Alvin Kamara | Add Player |
06/08 | #25 | #32 | - |
06/08 | #26 | #31 | - |
06/08 | #28 | #29 | - |
06/08 | #36 | #29 | - |
06/08 | #27 | #32 | - |
06/08 | #37 | #31 | - |
06/08 | #33 | #29 | - |
06/08 | #39 | #32 | - |
06/07 | #27 | #31 | - |
06/07 | #23 | #42 | - |
06/08 | #30 | #28 | - |
06/07 | #24 | #33 | - |
06/06 | #37 | #32 | - |
06/06 | #28 | #31 | - |
06/06 | #32 | #34 | - |
06/06 | #30 | #29 | - |
06/06 | #34 | #51 | - |
06/05 | #28 | #29 | - |
06/08 | #34 | #35 | - |
06/05 | #32 | #29 | - |
06/05 | #30 | #31 | - |
06/05 | #26 | #30 | - |
06/03 | #32 | #33 | - |
06/07 | #29 | #35 | - |
06/02 | #21 | #32 | - |
06/01 | #32 | #31 | - |
06/01 | #26 | #31 | - |
06/08 | #27 | #30 | - |
05/31 | #32 | #33 | - |
05/31 | #30 | #31 | - |
05/31 | #30 | #31 | - |
05/31 | #30 | #35 | - |
06/07 | #35 | #33 | - |
06/08 | #33 | #34 | - |
05/31 | #31 | #36 | - |
06/04 | #37 | #30 | - |
05/30 | #31 | #28 | - |
05/30 | #35 | #29 | - |
05/29 | #24 | #34 | - |
05/28 | #29 | #31 | - |
06/01 | #24 | #28 | - |
05/28 | #36 | #32 | - |
05/26 | #46 | #19 | - |
05/25 | #34 | #21 | - |
05/24 | #34 | #24 | - |
05/22 | #28 | #29 | - |
05/23 | #30 | #34 | - |
05/21 | #30 | #41 | - |
05/19 | #28 | #29 | - |
05/26 | #23 | #41 | - |
05/18 | #34 | #28 | - |
05/22 | #28 | #29 | - |
05/30 | #26 | #29 | - |
05/16 | #30 | #29 | - |
05/15 | #28 | #22 | - |
05/17 | #23 | #28 | - |
05/14 | #33 | #36 | - |
05/12 | #30 | #33 | - |
05/10 | #29 | #32 | - |
05/09 | #28 | #30 | - |
05/08 | #26 | #27 | - |
05/10 | #27 | #31 | - |
05/01 | #22 | #41 | - |
05/01 | #31 | #30 | - |
04/30 | #29 | #27 | - |
04/30 | #26 | #40 | - |
04/28 | #21 | #28 | - |
04/24 | #25 | #35 | - |
04/23 | #24 | #26 | - |
05/23 | #33 | #23 | - |
04/21 | #18 | #27 | - |
03/05 | #32 | #41 | - |
03/02 | #22 | #38 | - |
02/22 | #26 | #25 | - |
02/09 | #29 | #22 | - |
02/02 | #28 | #23 | - |
01/30 | #34 | #23 | - |
01/19 | #34 | #19 | - |
Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS ![]() Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS | Alvin Kamara RB - NO ![]() Alvin Kamara RB - NO | |
2023 Schedule | ||
Week 1 | vs. ARI | vs. TEN |
Week 2 | at DEN | at CAR |
Week 3 | vs. BUF | at GB |
Week 4 | at PHI | vs. TB |
Week 5 | vs. CHI | at NE |
Week 6 | at ATL | at HOU |
Week 7 | at NYG | vs. JAC |
Week 8 | vs. PHI | at IND |
Week 9 | at NE | vs. CHI |
Week 10 | at SEA | at MIN |
Week 11 | vs. NYG | BYE WEEK |
Week 12 | at DAL | at ATL |
Week 13 | vs. MIA | vs. DET |
Week 14 | BYE WEEK | vs. CAR |
Week 15 | at LAR | vs. NYG |
Week 16 | at NYJ | at LAR |
Week 17 | vs. SF | at TB |
Week 18 | vs. DAL | vs. ATL |
Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS ![]() Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS | Alvin Kamara RB - NO ![]() Alvin Kamara RB - NO | |
Rushing | ||
Rush Attempts | 218.1 | 171.2 |
Rush Yards | 938.4 | 737.8 |
Rush TDs | 4.7 | 3.9 |
Receiving | ||
Receptions | 16.5 | 48.0 |
Rec Yards | 109.4 | 400.0 |
Rec TDs | 0.8 | 2.0 |
Points | ||
Fantasy Points | 136.5 | 147.2 |
Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS ![]() Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS | Alvin Kamara RB - NO ![]() Alvin Kamara RB - NO | |
2022 Points | ||
Week 1 | ‐ | 4.6 |
Week 2 | ‐ | ‐ |
Week 3 | ‐ | 5.3 |
Week 4 | ‐ | ‐ |
Week 5 | 2.2 | 17.4 |
Week 6 | 12.0 | 12.4 |
Week 7 | 8.6 | 10.5 |
Week 8 | 2.0 | 33.8 |
Week 9 | 3.8 | 6.2 |
Week 10 | 14.6 | 4.5 |
Week 11 | 5.7 | 8.9 |
Week 12 | 18.5 | 1.0 |
Week 13 | 11.1 | 3.7 |
Week 14 | ‐ | ‐ |
Week 15 | 10.7 | 10.4 |
Week 16 | 5.8 | 17.0 |
Week 17 | 8.7 | 8.0 |
Week 18 | ‐ | 11.0 |
Total | 103.7 | 154.7 |
Average | 8.6 | 10.3 |
Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS ![]() Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS | Alvin Kamara RB - NO ![]() Alvin Kamara RB - NO | |
2022 Targets | ||
Week 1 | ‐ | 4 |
Week 2 | ‐ | ‐ |
Week 3 | ‐ | 7 |
Week 4 | ‐ | ‐ |
Week 5 | 0 | 6 |
Week 6 | 0 | 9 |
Week 7 | 2 | 9 |
Week 8 | 0 | 10 |
Week 9 | 2 | 4 |
Week 10 | 0 | 4 |
Week 11 | 0 | 5 |
Week 12 | 3 | 7 |
Week 13 | 2 | 3 |
Week 14 | ‐ | ‐ |
Week 15 | 1 | 2 |
Week 16 | 1 | 4 |
Week 17 | 1 | 1 |
Week 18 | ‐ | 2 |
Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS ![]() Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS | Alvin Kamara RB - NO ![]() Alvin Kamara RB - NO | |
Expert | ||
Mark Ringo Sleepers and Busts | Last season Alvin Kamara escaped suspension because his trial was delayed. This year there is no escape. Once the trial concludes he is most likely facing a minimum six-game suspension and possibly an entire year. The Saints didn't sign Jamaal Williams in free agency for his good looks folks. The word on the street is that they signed Jamaal in case Roger Goodell suspends Kamara for the entire season. And you have to figure they've been told what to expect. The evidence against Kamara is pretty damning- a video that seems to corroborate the accuser's claim. Kamara is charged with a violent crime, not a drug addiction like Josh Gordon dealt with in the past. I would expect the NFL to set an example and come down hard on Kamara. They don't want players tarnishing the NFL brand- especially in a party town like Las Vegas where this incident allegedly happened. And that doesn't even take into account the possibility of jail time if he's found guilty. Kamara's current ADP at RB 29 still seems very expensive. Jamaal Williams is cheaper with a current ADP of RB 35. In addition, even if Kamara somehow plays a few games, both Jamaal and all-purpose weapon Taysom Hill could still vulture TDs in the red zone. Let someone else deal with this headache and burn a bench spot on Kamara. There's way too much risk here for Mark Ringo. Bust | |
Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Brian Robinson Jr. took little time getting adjusted to NFL bellcow duties after missing the first four games of his NFL career after suffering gunshot wounds in August. From Week 6 onward, B-Rob averaged 9.4 fantasy points per game (RB34). But the points per game hardly depict Robinson's rookie campaign because he was getting fed with volume. He ranked fourth in carries (17.8 per game) and averaged over 70 rushing yards per game as PFF's ninth-highest-graded running back (82.1). The Commanders running back's lack of receiving usage - just 9 catches for 60 yards on a 6% target share - and lack of TDs was the reason for his underwhelming fantasy box scores. And although his receiving usage likely won't change too dramatically with Antonio Gibson back under contract in 2023, I'd fully expect him to experience positive TD regression. Robinson finishes the fantasy regular season 13th in carries, but with just two rushing TDs. His 14 carries from inside the 10-yard line were the most of any player to score fewer than three rushing TDs. | Alvin Kamara had a year to forget in 2022 with QB/TE Taysom Hill seeing an increased role as a backfield rusher in the Saints offense. Hill earned more touches inside the 10-yard line (8 vs. 12) which limited Kamara to just two rushing TDs. AK41's receiving usage also fell off a cliff toward the end of the year. From Weeks 13-18, Kamara never caught more than two passes. His target share fell from 22% to 11%. The days of him being a game-breaker as a receiver seem to be long gone as he has seen his pass-catching numbers fall off drastically compared to his first four years in the NFL when he was averaging nearly 90 receptions per year. The overall lack of TDs and receiving was heightened more so when Kamara's poor rushing efficiency failed to make up for his loss in other production. The Saints running back ended the year second-worst in the rushing EPA (-41). Before the schedule eased up over the last four games, Kamara had just two games with 65 rushing yards. He still managed to finish as the RB15 in points per game (12.8), which might need to be his new fantasy expectation when he plays in 2023. Because there are serious question marks about Kamara's availability in regards to a potential suspension on events from last year's Pro Bowl. The general ambiguity will make him very risky to draft in the early rounds. |
Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | 5/5: Team is SUPER excited about Chris Rodriguez, who parallels as a similar bowling ball. This backfield has a real messy feel -- Gibson feels the most defined of them all. | 5/5: Even bigger downgrade now with Kendre Miller now added & the team reportedly SKY HIGH on him. I want very little to do w/ Kamara in 2023 3/17: I won't touch Kamara with a 10 foot pole. Jamaal Williams will eat TDs as a souped-up Ingram. Potential suspension looming + huge concerns after 2022's massive disappointment. Easier to look past if Kamara looked like Kamara last year. He didn't/ |
Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Kamara had 790 yards rushing, 487 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on a Saints team that struggled without a good quarterback and with a ton of injuries at wide receiver. The big question marks with him are a potential suspension and Jamaal Williams taking away touches. Kamara is a low-end RB2 at this point. |