Alvin Kamara or Nick Chubb
Who Should I Draft?
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Experts' Pick | |||
Alvin Kamara RB - NO  Alvin Kamara RB - NO | Nick Chubb RB - CLE  Nick Chubb RB - CLE |  | |
Expert |
85% Recommended by 178 of 209 experts |
15% Recommended by 31 of 209 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
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| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 4 | # 6 | - |
| Best Rank | # 2 | # 3 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 13 | # 14 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 294.8 | 191.7 | - |
| Avg Game | 19.7 | 16.0 | - |
| Avg Projection | 251.2 | 226.5 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 25 | 3 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Alvin Kamara | Nick Chubb | Add Player |
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Alvin Kamara RB - NO Alvin Kamara RB - NO | Nick Chubb RB - CLE Nick Chubb RB - CLE | |
| 2021 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. GB | at KC |
| Week 2 | at CAR | vs. HOU |
| Week 3 | at NE | vs. CHI |
| Week 4 | vs. NYG | at MIN |
| Week 5 | at WAS | at LAC |
| Week 6 | BYE WEEK | vs. ARI |
| Week 7 | at SEA | vs. DEN |
| Week 8 | vs. TB | vs. PIT |
| Week 9 | vs. ATL | at CIN |
| Week 10 | at TEN | at NE |
| Week 11 | at PHI | vs. DET |
| Week 12 | vs. BUF | at BAL |
| Week 13 | vs. DAL | BYE WEEK |
| Week 14 | at NYJ | vs. BAL |
| Week 15 | at TB | vs. LV |
| Week 16 | vs. MIA | at GB |
| Week 17 | vs. CAR | at PIT |
| Week 18 | at ATL | vs. CIN |
Alvin Kamara RB - NO Alvin Kamara RB - NO | Nick Chubb RB - CLE Nick Chubb RB - CLE | |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 208.5 | 276.4 |
| Rush Yards | 1,008.5 | 1,350.1 |
| Rush TDs | 10.4 | 11.1 |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 82.0 | 27.5 |
| Rec Yards | 703.9 | 221.6 |
| Rec TDs | 3.4 | 1.1 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 251.2 | 226.5 |
Alvin Kamara RB - NO Alvin Kamara RB - NO | Nick Chubb RB - CLE Nick Chubb RB - CLE | |
| 2020 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 18.7 | 4.6 |
| Week 2 | 29.4 | 25.3 |
| Week 3 | 31.7 | 23.0 |
| Week 4 | 17.9 | 4.3 |
| Week 5 | 11.9 | ‐ |
| Week 6 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 7 | 14.8 | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 16.3 | ‐ |
| Week 9 | 10.9 | ‐ |
| Week 10 | 27.8 | 18.6 |
| Week 11 | 10.5 | 11.4 |
| Week 12 | 5.2 | 23.6 |
| Week 13 | 15.7 | 16.6 |
| Week 14 | 15.4 | 22.3 |
| Week 15 | 15.4 | 12.6 |
| Week 16 | 53.2 | 12.6 |
| Week 17 | ‐ | 16.8 |
| Week 18 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Total | 294.8 | 191.7 |
| Average | 19.7 | 16.0 |
Alvin Kamara RB - NO Alvin Kamara RB - NO | Nick Chubb RB - CLE Nick Chubb RB - CLE | |
| 2020 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 8 | 1 |
| Week 2 | 9 | 1 |
| Week 3 | 14 | 1 |
| Week 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Week 5 | 10 | ‐ |
| Week 6 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 7 | 8 | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 13 | ‐ |
| Week 9 | 6 | ‐ |
| Week 10 | 8 | 1 |
| Week 11 | 1 | 0 |
| Week 12 | 2 | 3 |
| Week 13 | 3 | 1 |
| Week 14 | 10 | 2 |
| Week 15 | 6 | 2 |
| Week 16 | 5 | 5 |
| Week 17 | ‐ | 1 |
| Week 18 | ‐ | ‐ |
Alvin Kamara RB - NO Alvin Kamara RB - NO | Nick Chubb RB - CLE Nick Chubb RB - CLE | |
| Expert | ||
| Kyle Yates FantasyPros | It's true that there's some ambiguity with this offense and how it could affect Kamara in 2021. With that being said, this is still Kamara that we're talking about here. He's in the conversation for the most talented RB in the entire NFL and there's very little reason that we should be scared off of drafting him this season. While he might not have the guarantee of targets the way that he did with Drew Brees at QB, there's very few other proven options on this depth chart that could take away work. Plus, with MT out for the start of the season, Kamara easily should become the target leader in this offense. He should still be a very safe option for 2021 and he's worth drafting with a top-5 pick. | Did you know that there are only two RBs in the entire NFL since 2018 that have more than 3,000 rushing yards, have averaged more than 5 YPC, and have more than 12 rushing touchdowns? Derrick Henry and Chubb are the entire list. Chubb has 3,557 rushing yards and 28 touchdowns during that time frame while averaging an absurd 5.23 YPC. As far as pure running ability, Chubb might be the best back in the entire NFL. His vision, contact balance, and power are on display with every single run and he's put up ridiculous efficiency metrics through his first few seasons in the league. He should see a significant workload again in 2021, but his lack of involvement in the receiving game prevents him from being vaulted into a top-3 option at the position. Just like Henry in Tennessee, he'll be one of the most reliable and consistent RB options out there, but his upside is capped due to his lack of targets. He'll still a worthy investment in the top-10 at the position, but just keep in mind that he's going to have to score an ungodly amount of touchdowns to vault over some of the other top candidates at the position. |
| Mark Ringo Sleepers and Busts | UPDATE- Hurricane Ida's damage is forcing the Saints to play the first month away from home. Losing Brees will hurt Kamara's receiving numbers. Brees was the king of check down passes. Kamara's receptions nosedived in three of the four games Brees missed last year due to injury. Make no mistake folks, that's where Kamara needs to shine to justify his first round price tag. My fear is QB Jameis Winston will eventually lose the job. He throws too many interceptions. And if Hill takes over that really hurts Kamara. Taysom will take off and run instead of throwing the check down pass. Also, the Saints need to keep Kamara fresh. If they overwork him he'll wear down. Like many NFL players, he was not in favor of the regular season increasing by one week. Despite Kamara's immense talent, I think there's a very real chance his numbers disappoint fantasy owners in 2021. | Chubb missed four games in 2020 and still had 1,067 yards and 12 TDS. He's one of the more underrated RBs in the NFL. Cleveland's investment in their offensive line has paid off. The Browns are a run oriented team, only Kareem Hunt's presence prevents him from being a top tier RB. Chubb is a solid pick if you want to go RB early. |
| Kevin Wheeler The Draft Zone | Kamara is averaging almost 30 fantasy points per game when he plays without Michael Thomas. My only concern is Hill coming in to vulture him at the goal-line. | |
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | 8/27: Jameis in at starting QB = big for Kamara. Hill killed his value last year, but now it's more likely the ideal narrative plays out: Kamara becomes the WR1 for however long MT is out, a role in which he averaged 30 PPR PPG last season | |
| Zachary Hanshew FantasyPros | Who will be the Saints' quarterback this season, and how will that impact Kamara's fantasy outlook? I'm here to say that whoever the starter is doesn't matter one bit. Michael Thomas will open the season on the PUP list, Tre'Quan Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and Deonte Harris could face suspension for a DUI arrest. Kamara should once again be the team's focal point in the passing game, having racked up 326 receptions through his first four seasons. That volume in the passing game provides the high floor and ceiling indicative of a top-3 fantasy pick. | Despite playing in only 12 games, Chubb still ran for 1,000 yards and 12 rushing TDs. He averaged 88.3 rush yards per game, which put him on pace for a second straight 1,400-yard season had he played all 16 games. He's been uber efficient in his career, averaging better than 5.0 yards per carry in every one of his three seasons. Cleveland has an elite offensive line and made it to the playoffs behind a sound run game last season. The case against Chubb is his lack of involvement as a receiver, but he was the RB9 in 2020 despite hauling in on 16 passes. |
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | You won't find a bigger Kamara fan than me, and that's going back to his college days. However, with the way Sean Payton rotates his running backs, it's going to be mighty hard for Kamara to live up to his draft cost now that Drew Brees is gone. Brees targeted his running backs at least 28 percent of the time in each of the last four years. Meanwhile, Jameis Winston hasn't targeted running backs more than 18 percent of the time in each of his last four seasons as a starter. The offense is also not nearly as likely to be scoring as many points without Brees. Upon finding out that Michael Thomas will miss time to start the season, it only makes Kamara more valuable, as he could be in line for eight-plus targets per game during that time. | Based on the actual opportunity Chubb got in 2020, he should've finished as the RB24 in half PPR formats. Instead, Chubb scored 54.5 more fantasy points than the average running back would've and finished as the RB9 despite playing in just 12 games. The new offense proved to be very beneficial to the run game, though Kareem Hunt's presence does limit Chubb's true ceiling, which should be top-five, but unless he starts to get more targets, he'll remain in the mid-to-low-end RB1 range. |
| Brandon Funston The Athletic | Sans Drew Brees, there's some questions about replacement QBs feeding him in pass game as heavily, but I'd be surprised if that's not a mandate of HC Payton | Like Henry, he's most valuable in STD scoring, but there's very few (if any) who can tote the rock with the kind of power/speed/agility that he brings to the table |
| John Hesterman Dynasty League Football | Nick Chubb was the only other RB to crack the top-ten RB's in .5 scoring (aside from Alvin Kamra) with less than 200 carries. And Chubb did so without the receptions. He is the only RB to finish with over 1,000 rushing yards on less than 200 carries, showing he is an elite ball carrier. In standard scoring and .5 formats, he should remain a top-tier option at a slight discount. | |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Kamara led running backs with 336.3 fantasy points in 2020, but there are questions about how this offense will look with Drew Brees retired. Kamara is a special talent and he should continue to be the focal point of their offense. | Chubb had 199.7 fantasy points in just 12 games last year and he should be an elite RB1 if he is able to stay healthy in 2021. |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | Entering his fourth season in the NFL, Nick Chubb is becoming a known commodity for fantasy football purposes. Arguably the best pure inside runner in the league, it's no secret that Cleveland's 2018 second-round pick will once again need to offset a lack of receiving production by maintaining elite efficiency on the ground. While this is typically a profile to bet against in fake football, Chubb has been an outlier as of late. Helping his case for being a Round 1 pick this summer is a combination of the Browns having an easy schedule in terms of opposing run defenses, as well as Pro Football Focus rankings their offensive line as the best in football. | |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | After suffering an injury Week 4, Nick Chubb returned in Week 10 and rattled off 8 TDs over his final 8 games. While Kareem Hunt should handle the bulk of the receiving workload out of the backfield, Chubb is about as solid of an RB1 as you will find. If he stays on the field for 17 games, he's a lock for well over 1K yards rushing and double digit TDs. | |
| Tim Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | A lot of question marks around him, but there is no question about Kamara's ability. Whether its Winston or Hill under center, Kamara should continue to be the featured player in a well-designed, proven offense. | Nick Chubb is the best pure running back in football. I've been saying that before it was cool. The only thing holding him back from being at the Derrick Henry level of fantasy backs is Kareem Hunt in the same backfield stealing work. Even with a former all-pro in the same backfield, it is clear that Chubb is the lead dog. |
