Austin Ekeler or Nick Chubb
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
RB - CLE  | RB - LAC  |  | |
Expert |
90% Recommended by 160 of 177 experts |
10% Recommended by 17 of 177 experts |
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| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 9 | # 14 | - |
| Best Rank | # 3 | # 4 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 17 | # 23 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 219.2 | 217.0 | - |
| Avg Game | 13.7 | 13.6 | - |
| Avg Projection | 203.4 | 184.2 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 15 | 14 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Nick Chubb | Austin Ekeler | Add Player |
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RB - CLE | RB - LAC | |
| 2020 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | at BAL | at CIN |
| Week 2 | vs. CIN | vs. KC |
| Week 3 | vs. WAS | vs. CAR |
| Week 4 | at DAL | at TB |
| Week 5 | vs. IND | at NO |
| Week 6 | at PIT | vs. NYJ |
| Week 7 | at CIN | at MIA |
| Week 8 | vs. LV | vs. JAC |
| Week 9 | BYE WEEK | vs. LV |
| Week 10 | vs. HOU | BYE WEEK |
| Week 11 | vs. PHI | at DEN |
| Week 12 | at JAC | at BUF |
| Week 13 | at TEN | vs. NE |
| Week 14 | vs. BAL | vs. ATL |
| Week 15 | at NYG | at LV |
| Week 16 | at NYJ | vs. DEN |
| Week 17 | vs. PIT | at KC |
RB - CLE | RB - LAC | |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 276.6 | 164.0 |
| Rush Yards | 1,264.7 | 709.7 |
| Rush TDs | 9.1 | 4.5 |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 25.2 | 66.0 |
| Rec Yards | 195.4 | 654.6 |
| Rec TDs | 1.1 | 3.9 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 203.4 | 184.2 |
RB - CLE | RB - LAC | |
| 2019 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 8.5 | 33.4 |
| Week 2 | 15.8 | 17.3 |
| Week 3 | 13.1 | 8.1 |
| Week 4 | 36.3 | 24.2 |
| Week 5 | 9.9 | 7.3 |
| Week 6 | 23.9 | 2.8 |
| Week 7 | ‐ | 18.5 |
| Week 8 | 9.8 | 8.2 |
| Week 9 | 9.1 | 9.3 |
| Week 10 | 12.1 | 10.8 |
| Week 11 | 9.2 | 13.2 |
| Week 12 | 22.4 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | 7.9 | 12.7 |
| Week 14 | 11.7 | 27.3 |
| Week 15 | 20.8 | 8.1 |
| Week 16 | 4.5 | 6.9 |
| Week 17 | 4.2 | 8.9 |
| Total | 219.2 | 217.0 |
| Average | 13.7 | 13.6 |
RB - CLE | RB - LAC | |
| 2019 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 4 | 7 |
| Week 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Week 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Week 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Week 5 | 1 | 16 |
| Week 6 | 6 | 4 |
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| Week 10 | 4 | 2 |
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| Week 12 | 3 | ‐ |
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| Week 14 | 1 | 5 |
| Week 15 | 3 | 7 |
| Week 16 | 1 | 6 |
| Week 17 | 2 | 11 |
RB - CLE | RB - LAC | |
| Expert | ||
| Jacob Wayne Lineups | Kevin Stefanski's arrival in Cleveland should make the Browns much more of a run-heavy team this season. Nick Chubb, one of the most talented running backs in the NFL, will be heavily utilized on the ground. My biggest concern with Chubb is an expected low passing volume overall combined with the presence of Kareem Hunt. Chubb is still a great redraft target and I see a scenario where he approaches 300 carries, but the lack of passing work will be an issue for his fantasy value. | Ekeler finished as the RB4 in PPR leagues last season despite sharing backfield work with Melvin Gordon who's now on the Broncos. However, I'm a little hesitant to jump to conclusions with his projection for this season as Philip Rivers is also gone from the team. Rivers has always been a QB who peppers his running backs with targets and last season was no different as Ekeler hauled in 92 catches. Replacing Rivers is Tyrod Taylor, a scrambling QB who has historically not thrown to his running backs. Ekeler will get a significant increase in his carry count with Gordon out, but I don't see him getting enough targets to make him a top-5 guy again. |
| Draft Engine Draft Engine | Chubb gained positive yards on only one-third of the 15 carries he received inside the 5-yard line in 2019. He also caught only 11 passes while scoring just twice over the second half of last season after Kareem Hunt returned from suspension. | Melvin Gordon's 2019 holdout resulted in Ekeler racking up 490 scrimmage yards, 24 receptions and six touchdowns over four September games prior to Gordon's return. With Gordon having left for Denver, Ekeler will be the Chargers' main man in 2020. |
| Elisha Twerski numberFire | While Chubb's value could take a hit due to the presence of Kareem Hunt, his scoring upside could mitigate that risk. Minnesota's pass-to-run ratio went from 2.06 before Kevin Stefanski (currently Cleveland's head coach) took the reigns to 1.08 when he took over. In the 13 games prior to Stefanski taking over in 2018, Dalvin Cook was given 10 carries inside the 20 out of Minnesota 98 red zone plays (10.2%). He totaled zero scores on those carries. In the 19 games following Stefanski's promotion, Cook got the rock on 52 of their 184 red zone plays (28.3%), and scored 13 touchdowns on those carries. | |
| Bart Wheeler Hail to Fantasy Football | I'm fading him a bit with the unknowns of a new coaching staff and a full season from Kareem Hunt. | |
| David Zach FantasyPros | Gordon vacated touches, improved Offensive Line, projection model darling, finally "THE" guy | |
| Ben Wasley The Fantasy First Down | Nick Chubb has a sensational 2019, extraordinarily topping 1000 rush yards AFTER CONTACT. He remains the focal point of a Browns attack which should be significantly better but still run heavy with the removal of the awful Freddie Kitchens. There is a major cause for concern in Kareem Hunt though. Hunt was very good last year and while Chubb is highly unlikely to lose his role given his immense talent, Hunt could certainly chip into his opportunities and will continue to push Chubb off the field when the Browns fall behind or in 2-minute drills. Chubb remains a great non-PPR option but takes a big hit in PPR is is more of a second round guy in that format. Be very wary. | I'm very torn on Austin Ekeler in 2019 and could see myself slotting him in anywhere from RB8 to RB 14 in half-ppr before the pre-season concludes. He remains a pass-catching monster but I'm not yet convinced he'll provide enough volume in the running game to justify a first-round pick. I expect a slight reduction in the quality of this attack overall with Philip Rivers gone and I could also see Joshua Kelley or Justin Jackson chipping into his goal line and between-the-tackles work. Ultimately, this really comes down to your risk-aversion. In PPR he'll be a monster but otherwise, he's a risk you may choose to avoid. If he's sitting there in the second round though, he's going to be very hard for me to pass up on. |
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | Through 10 games last year, Chubb was doing very well and was the No. 4 running back (PPG) in half-PPR formats. Keep in mind that was despite the offense not being very good. From that point forward (when Kareem Hunt joined the offense), Chubb was the No. 18 running back while Hunt was the No. 26 running back. This is clearly more of a timeshare than Chubb owners would like, leaving him best-suited as a high-end RB2 rather than the RB1 he appeared destined to be. | After seeing Ekeler's contract extension this offseason, it seemed a little light for a workhorse, leading many to believe they'd draft a running back early on. They waited until the fourth round to select UCLA's Joshua Kelley, who's a bigger complementary back. The Chargers offense isn't likely going to be as high scoring as it was with Philip Rivers under center, but Ekeler remains the top dog in the backfield. Still, don't just anticipate this offense is going to be as potent, or that he'll have as many scoring opportunities, which is why he's best-suited as a high-end RB2 than an RB1. |
| Rob Wilson The Fantasy Footballers | Kareem Hunt eats into his ceiling, but Chubb should see enough work to compete for the rushing total. Touchdown totals should increase with a more steady Browns offense under Stefanski. | Melvin Gordon left and Ekeler remains. Some of the vacated carries and targets should funnel his way, while touchdown totals project to decline |
| Frank Bonincontri Fantasy Wire HQ | Not enough people are talking about the addition of RT Jack Conklin on the offensive line. Sure Kareem Hunt will bite into his share, but with a run-heavy minded coach calling the plays, I expect Nick Chubb to really deliver this season. | Hoping he can hold up between the tackles for an entire season. If not, expect Jackson to bite into those goal line TDs, but its not enough to scare me off, the guy is a playmaker for real.. |
| Justin Dodds Locked In Football | When Kareem Hunt joined the Browns last season in week 10, Chubb averaged just 12.3 half-ppr FP/g, good for RB21 among qualified RBs. Chubb was RB15 in total fpts over that period of time. Given that Hunt is still on the team, it is reasonable to expect similar usage between both Hunt and Chubb. His current ECR of RB8 is just a few spots higher than I have him at RB11 currently largely because of the concern of Hunt eating into Chubb's volume. I'd rather have guys like Drake, Mixon, Jones, and maybe Jacobs depending on the | |
| Dalton Kates APEX Fantasy Leagues | Great rusher who saw his receiving workload almost get cut in half once Hunt was active. Overall ceiling is likely limited with Hunt there, but should be a solid high end RB2 with RB1 upside in the scenario this offense pops. | Top 5 finish last year. Unlikely to be true workhorse, but will be the lead back in what should be an underrated offense. Tyrod at QB may hinder Ekeler's receiving production, but overall Ekeler is a special player and we want to be chasing this type of profile. |
| Brandon Funston The Athletic | Was not an RB1 with K. Hunt in the backfield mix in 2019, but new HC Stefanski is as run-heavy as they come and that should help him get back in the RB1 mix | Averaged better than 1.0 FAN PTS/TOUCH in Half PPR formats each of his 3 seasons, and if he can maintain that with a QB change in 2020, another RB Top 10 finish likely |
| Elliot Berkovits Packer Report | I'm a bit low on Chubb this year and that is solely due to the presence of Kareem Hunt. In the eight games prior to Hunt's return, Chubb averaged over 100 rushing yards a game and scored six TDs. In the eight games with Hunt on the field, Chubb's rushing yards dropped to 93 per game and scored only one TD. He's in a committee, can't trust him as a bell cow back anymore. | Ekeler finally gets the starting role in LA but he also loses his dump off heavy QB - Philip Rivers. Now he'll have the combination of Justin Herbert and Tyrod Taylor to get him the football. With Herbert likely to be the starter sooner rather than later, I like Ekeler's chances of finishing inside the 10 at RB. |
| Jason Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | Fun fact: Nick Chubb out-yarded Derrick Henry last season. This guy simply knows how to carry the rock, averaging 5 or more ypc each of the last two seasons behind an offensive line that didn't make things too easy on him. While he lacks overall RB1 upside, he's as safe a bet as anyone to finish as a low-end RB1. | In .5 PPR leagues last season, Austin Ekeler (14.71 PPG) actually performed better than Miles Sanders (14.36 PPG) in the second half of the season. Sanders is getting loads of love while Ekeler has been more of a forgotten stud. Ekeler did not have a game with double-digit rushes after Week 4 last season and was still an RB1. He'll get it done, no matter what. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Chubb was one of the lone bright spots on the Browns in 2020, finishing with 1772 yards from scrimmage and 8 touchdowns. Chubb should continue to see a large role in this offense and he should have RB1 value in 2020. The question is how much does Kareem Hunt cut into his touches. | Ekeler had 1,550 yards from scrimmage and 11 touchdowns while splitting touches with RB Melvin Gordon for 12 games. Gordon leaving for Denver should give him an increased workload, but Ekeler's quarterback situation is less than ideal and they added Joshua Kelley in the NFL Draft, which could create another RBBC. |
| Kevin Wheeler Draftwize | With Hunt in the line-up Chubb becomes a solid RB2. | |
| Kyle Yates FantasyPros | With Kevin Stefanski now in town, there's a legitimate chance that Nick Chubb may reach 300 carries on the season behind a vastly improved offensive line. With that being said, Chubb does have Kareem Hunt to worry about behind him on this depth chart. Chubb's unlikely to see much work in the passing game this season, but he's still going to be heavily utilized on the ground. If there's anything worth betting on at the RB position for fantasy football, it's volume. Chubb certainly has the talent to make those carries count... | Ekeler should see a drop-off in overall targets with Tyrod Taylor now at QB, but it won't be as much as some people are projecting. Ekeler's chances of repeating as the RB6 simply aren't there again this season, but he's going to be a fantastic RB2 option for your roster. |
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | Under Stefanski, Nick Chubb will be deployed in the same ZBS that Dalvin Cook thrived in. Sucks that Hunt remains, BUT the line has been beefed up immensely, and in the run-heavy scheme Chubb could lead the league in rushing. | Back on a huge deal, suggesting he'll remain a focal point -- even moreso than when he was the RB4 in PPR. Avoided any major Draft Day additions as well (only 4th rounder Josh Kelley added)... Ekeler has top-3 upside. |
| Seth Miller Crossroads Fantasy Football | Go away Kareem, don't make me lower Mr. Chubb. Pre Hunt, Chubb had 22.3 touches a game, 4 targets a game. Enter Hunt, Chubb had 19.3 touches a game, 2 targets a game. So he still had clear control of the run game but ceded work to Hunt in the pass game, which Chubb hasn't graded out well on his first 2 years, despite the 1 sweet catch last year. Hunt is an excellent route runner so it makes sense. I think they both can maintain high value as long as Hunt isn't eating into Chubb's carries. Unless Chubb improves as a route runner and receiver it seems like he's in more danger to lose touches versus the other way around. Hunt can only gain carries while continuing to be a great pass catcher. A small knock for Chubb IMO. | I'm bad at ranking outliers. Had a career high 132 carries last year, yet to go over 560 rushing yards. Makes his money in the passing game, which now unknown. Can't be more efficient than last year: 108 targets, 92 receptions. I think it would be safe(?) to pencil him in for 1000 total yards and 5 TDs. Which would put him in the RB20s range. 20 touches a game without Gordon(4 games)23.75ppg 12 touches a game with Gordon(12 games)14ppg. 6 rushes a game with Gordon The Chargers were 28th in att last year and that still leaves almost 17 rushing attempts per year Gordon also got a healthy 55 targets in his 12 games, albeit with Rivers, Melvin also paced as RB11 after his return |
