Dameon Pierce or D'Andre Swift
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
Dameon Pierce RB - HOU  Dameon Pierce RB - HOU | D'Andre Swift RB - PHI  D'Andre Swift RB - PHI |  | |
Expert |
74% Recommended by 58 of 78 experts |
26% Recommended by 20 of 78 experts |
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| Most Accurate Experts | |||
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| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 22 | # 26 | - |
| Best Rank | # 15 | # 17 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 28 | # 40 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 136.4 | 143.1 | - |
| Avg Game | 10.5 | 10.2 | - |
| Avg Projection | 164.5 | 138.5 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 23 | 32 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Dameon Pierce | D'Andre Swift | Add Player |
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06/08 | #24 | #26 | - |
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05/26 | #28 | #25 | - |
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03/05 | #22 | #18 | - |
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03/02 | #25 | #19 | - |
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02/22 | #18 | #15 | - |
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02/09 | #21 | #14 | - |
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02/02 | #19 | #15 | - |
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01/30 | #22 | #16 | - |
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01/19 | #24 | #13 | - |
Dameon Pierce RB - HOU Dameon Pierce RB - HOU | D'Andre Swift RB - PHI D'Andre Swift RB - PHI | |
| 2023 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | at BAL | at NE |
| Week 2 | vs. IND | vs. MIN |
| Week 3 | at JAC | at TB |
| Week 4 | vs. PIT | vs. WAS |
| Week 5 | at ATL | at LAR |
| Week 6 | vs. NO | at NYJ |
| Week 7 | BYE WEEK | vs. MIA |
| Week 8 | at CAR | at WAS |
| Week 9 | vs. TB | vs. DAL |
| Week 10 | at CIN | BYE WEEK |
| Week 11 | vs. ARI | at KC |
| Week 12 | vs. JAC | vs. BUF |
| Week 13 | vs. DEN | vs. SF |
| Week 14 | at NYJ | at DAL |
| Week 15 | at TEN | at SEA |
| Week 16 | vs. CLE | vs. NYG |
| Week 17 | vs. TEN | vs. ARI |
| Week 18 | at IND | at NYG |
Dameon Pierce RB - HOU Dameon Pierce RB - HOU | D'Andre Swift RB - PHI D'Andre Swift RB - PHI | |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 254.7 | 127.7 |
| Rush Yards | 1,046.4 | 585.0 |
| Rush TDs | 5.9 | 5.2 |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 33.3 | 42.0 |
| Rec Yards | 223.2 | 375.8 |
| Rec TDs | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 164.5 | 138.5 |
Dameon Pierce RB - HOU Dameon Pierce RB - HOU | D'Andre Swift RB - PHI D'Andre Swift RB - PHI | |
| 2022 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 3.9 | 23.5 |
| Week 2 | 7.7 | 14.7 |
| Week 3 | 16.1 | 4.6 |
| Week 4 | 19.9 | ‐ |
| Week 5 | 17.3 | ‐ |
| Week 6 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 7 | 11.7 | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 11.1 | 9.3 |
| Week 9 | 13.9 | 5.0 |
| Week 10 | 10.2 | 7.2 |
| Week 11 | 1.7 | 9.2 |
| Week 12 | 1.6 | 6.3 |
| Week 13 | 9.5 | 17.1 |
| Week 14 | 11.8 | 3.9 |
| Week 15 | ‐ | 7.5 |
| Week 16 | ‐ | 2.5 |
| Week 17 | ‐ | 23.7 |
| Week 18 | ‐ | 8.6 |
| Total | 136.4 | 143.1 |
| Average | 10.5 | 10.2 |
Dameon Pierce RB - HOU Dameon Pierce RB - HOU | D'Andre Swift RB - PHI D'Andre Swift RB - PHI | |
| 2022 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Week 2 | 1 | 5 |
| Week 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Week 4 | 6 | ‐ |
| Week 5 | 5 | ‐ |
| Week 6 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 7 | 4 | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 5 | 5 |
| Week 9 | 0 | 4 |
| Week 10 | 3 | 3 |
| Week 11 | 3 | 3 |
| Week 12 | 6 | 8 |
| Week 13 | 3 | 6 |
| Week 14 | 0 | 4 |
| Week 15 | ‐ | 9 |
| Week 16 | ‐ | 5 |
| Week 17 | ‐ | 4 |
| Week 18 | ‐ | 7 |
Dameon Pierce RB - HOU Dameon Pierce RB - HOU | D'Andre Swift RB - PHI D'Andre Swift RB - PHI | |
| Expert | ||
| Mark Ringo Sleepers and Busts | (5/29) UPDATE- After hearing new head coach DeMeco Ryans talk about how he is planning to handle the Houston RBs I am lowering my expectations for Pierce. Ryans said he believes in going with a RBBC approach. Oh good. Another RBBC mess- ugh!! That's extremely disappointing to hear. Even though I think Pierce is clearly a superb RB to Singletary and should be a bell cow, it doesn't matter what I, Mark Ringo, think. It only matters what DeMeco Ryans thinks. If the world would do what Mark Ringo thinks, it would be a thousand times better haha! Of course, I might be slightly biased on that take haha! | In a surprising move on draft day, the Lions traded Swift to the Eagles. That was not a good landing spot as far as his fantasy outlook is concerned. Swift is primarily known for his receiving chops. Unfortunately, mobile QBs like Jalen Hurts don't throw it to their RBs much. They don't have to. If they're under pressure, it's easier for them to just take off and run. In addition, Swift isn't a power RB. He'll wear down. Rashad Penny seems more suited for that role, although he's had issues staying on the field as well. Swift's current ADP at RB 26 seems very expensive for what looks like a bad fit in the City of Brotherly Love. Side note- The city of Philadelphia should have gotten insurance for the Liberty Bell like Kramer advised Jerry to do with his stereo. "It came that way in the mail. It's a write-off for them. They just write it off haha! " -Ringo Kramer |
| Ellis Johnson True North Fantasy Football | Despite having 66% of the RB rushing attempts from the Texans, Pierce only finished as the RB-27 last season. This year the team brought in veteran RB Devin Singletary to take over the change of pace role and potentially take some work away from the fourth-round 2021 draft pick. As a result, his lack of pass-catching paired with a rookie QB under center and I am skeptical that he can finish higher than last season's finish. | I'm higher than most on Swift and I'll accept that. Although the Eagles are not a team that likes to pass to their runningbacks, Swift goes from one top-tier O-line to another this offseason. He is also only competing with change of pace back Kenneth Gainwell and Rashaad Penny who they signed to a minimum deal. He may not have the top-five upside some hoped for last season, however, we just saw Miles Sanders (a less talented back) split touches and finish as the RB13 in 2022. With Swift's talent and ability, he could be an RB-one on this offense, however, the risk of his usage and injury pushes him down to low-end RB-two territory. |
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | 5/5: With only Devin Singletary added this offseason, Pierce has a clear path to remaining the lead back in what promises to be a more explosive Texans' attack. Stir in a 49ers-inspired zone-scheme, and Pierce's upside & value boost is going largely overlooked | 5/5: Perhaps no RB gained more value than D'Andre Swift on Draft Day, getting moved to the explosive Eagles attack. Sure, Jalen Hurts will always cap TD upside, but Swift could roam wild with defenses focused all over the place. I'm buying a rebound, big time. 3/17: David Montgomery is an even better version of Jamaal Williams. Perhaps a true 35-40% role would let Swift stay healthy and spry all year, and his most dangerous self. Still not buying at his price tag. 3/7: Combine talk emphasized an RBBC even if Jamaal leaves, but they really want JW back too. Despite insane explosiveness, Swift prob won't be unleashed while in DET (who knows if he could even handle it if he was). Jamaal Williams 2023 UFA... always will be committee bound but could unlock some ceiling |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | The Houston Texans looked like they struck gold with Dameon Pierce early on during the season, as the rookie running back looked like the early favorite to take home offensive rookie of the year honors with a hot start. Pierce stepped in and immediately became the team's bellcow in Week 2. From that time until Week 10, Pierce ranked 5th in the NFL in rushing yards (739) averaging north of 19 carries and 92 rushing yards per game. He was the fantasy RB12 overall and in points per game. Other Texans RBs combined for just 11 carries versus Pierce's 154 over this stretch. However, the Florida product seemed to have hit a wall in the middle of the year totaling just 16 rushing yards against Washington and Miami through Weeks 11-12. However, these two defenses would turn out to be some of the tougher matchups for all RBs, so that's likely the cause of Pierce's fall-off in production. The tackle-breaking machine more than proved that he still had juice left in the tank with two strong outings to conclude his season versus Dallas and Cleveland. However, he suffered a season-ending ankle injury that would knock him out for the rest of the season - just 61 yards away from 1,000 rushing yards on the year. Despite the missed games, he still finished 4th in missed tackles forced and 1st in missed tackles forced per attempt (28%) among RBs with at least 100 carries. Pierce should lead the Texans backfield in 2023, but an entirely new coaching staff and Pierce's 4th-round draft capital suggest that his undisputed workhorse role could change. Devin Singletary signed a one-year deal worth $3.75 million with the Texans, presumably to fill the role of Pierce's primary backup. Singletary totaled just nine more carries than James Cook from Weeks 13-Week 20 but ended the year 10th in PFF rushing grade (two spots ahead of Pierce). Overall, Singletary probably won't unseat Pierce as the team's No. 1 rusher, but he poses a much bigger threat to Pierce's workload than JAGs like Rex Burkhead, Mike Boone, and Dare Ogunbowale. His PFF pass-blocking grade (73.2, 8th) might get him usage on passing downs as Pierce struggled in this capacity as a rookie (32.3, 52nd). Although it does work in Pierce's favor that Singletary has never flourished as an actual receiver, giving Pierce the slight edge on attaining a full three-down workload if he can shore up his pass protection in Year 2. Singletary's addition shouldn't completely change the way you view Pierce as it was highly unlikely the team would add zero running backs between now and the start of the season. He's not the worst running back they could have added, but he's hardly a reason to fully fade Pierce for fear that Singletary will carve out a massive role on offense. | 2022 was another year of ultimate teasing by D'Andre Swift. The Lions running back came out of the gates red hot, but got hurt. And when he returned, the Lions refused to give him the featured role in the backfield, opting to use Jamaal Williams as their goal-line battering ram instead. Swift was still uber-efficient on a per-touch basis - fourth in fantasy points per touch, third in yards per carry, 23rd in points per game and 19th in yards after contact per attempt - but the lack of touchdowns and overall touches was soul-crushing. Swift seemed to never be 100% healthy at any point during the year, which likely influenced his reduced role. And Detroit's lack of willingness to get Swift involved was a sign of things to come as they would eventually trade him to the Philadelphia Eagles for a future Day 3 pick. With a full bill of health heading into 2023, Swift will again be productive on a per-touch basis in his new offense. But be warned that his injury history and draft capital spent on Swift guarantees him nothing under a new coaching staff in Philadelphia. Fantasy managers should also be aware that Swift and fellow newcomer Rashaad Penny are both solid rushers, posting identical success rates last season. Swift also won't be used as often in the passing game, after the Eagles finished dead last in RB target share last season (12.1%) and total RB targets. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Pierce had his rookie season cut short by an ankle injury, but he was very good in the fantasy season with 939 yards rushing, 165 yards receiving, and 5 TDs. Devin Singletary hurts his upside a little bit, but his contract does not indicate they view him as their new lead back. Pierce should still see more than enough touches to be a RB2. | Swift is one of the most versatile backs in the NFL and finished 2022 with 517 yards rushing, 328 yards receiving, and 8 TDS. He needs to stay healthy and he needs Jamaal Williams to not take so many TDs, but Swift has a ton of upside and he should be at least a RB2 in 2023. |
