Dameon Pierce or Joe Mixon
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
Joe Mixon RB - CIN  Joe Mixon RB - CIN | Dameon Pierce RB - HOU  Dameon Pierce RB - HOU |  | |
Expert |
67% Recommended by 54 of 81 experts |
33% Recommended by 27 of 81 experts |
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| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop RB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would draftUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 17 | # 22 | - |
| Best Rank | # 10 | # 15 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 34 | # 28 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 180.7 | 136.4 | - |
| Avg Game | 12.0 | 10.5 | - |
| Avg Projection | 188.1 | 165.1 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 21 | 23 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Joe Mixon | Dameon Pierce | Add Player |
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06/10 | #22 | #18 | - |
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06/09 | #17 | #20 | - |
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06/09 | #11 | #21 | - |
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06/07 | #19 | #24 | - |
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06/06 | #17 | #18 | - |
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05/28 | #21 | #22 | - |
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06/01 | #31 | #21 | - |
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05/26 | #33 | #21 | - |
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05/25 | #16 | #20 | - |
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05/24 | #19 | #22 | - |
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05/22 | #23 | #20 | - |
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05/21 | #19 | #22 | - |
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05/26 | #16 | #28 | - |
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05/18 | #23 | #17 | - |
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06/09 | #19 | #21 | - |
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04/28 | #16 | #19 | - |
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04/24 | #18 | #17 | - |
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05/23 | #22 | #20 | - |
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04/21 | #15 | #22 | - |
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03/05 | #23 | #22 | - |
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03/02 | #27 | #25 | - |
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02/22 | #14 | #18 | - |
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02/09 | #10 | #21 | - |
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02/02 | #12 | #19 | - |
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01/30 | #13 | #22 | - |
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01/19 | #8 | #24 | - |
Joe Mixon RB - CIN Joe Mixon RB - CIN | Dameon Pierce RB - HOU Dameon Pierce RB - HOU | |
| 2023 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | at CLE | at BAL |
| Week 2 | vs. BAL | vs. IND |
| Week 3 | vs. LAR | at JAC |
| Week 4 | at TEN | vs. PIT |
| Week 5 | at ARI | at ATL |
| Week 6 | vs. SEA | vs. NO |
| Week 7 | BYE WEEK | BYE WEEK |
| Week 8 | at SF | at CAR |
| Week 9 | vs. BUF | vs. TB |
| Week 10 | vs. HOU | at CIN |
| Week 11 | at BAL | vs. ARI |
| Week 12 | vs. PIT | vs. JAC |
| Week 13 | at JAC | vs. DEN |
| Week 14 | vs. IND | at NYJ |
| Week 15 | vs. MIN | at TEN |
| Week 16 | at PIT | vs. CLE |
| Week 17 | at KC | vs. TEN |
| Week 18 | vs. CLE | at IND |
Joe Mixon RB - CIN Joe Mixon RB - CIN | Dameon Pierce RB - HOU Dameon Pierce RB - HOU | |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 229.2 | 254.5 |
| Rush Yards | 956.6 | 1,067.1 |
| Rush TDs | 7.4 | 5.8 |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 50.6 | 32.8 |
| Rec Yards | 367.2 | 217.1 |
| Rec TDs | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 188.1 | 165.1 |
Joe Mixon RB - CIN Joe Mixon RB - CIN | Dameon Pierce RB - HOU Dameon Pierce RB - HOU | |
| 2022 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 14.5 | 3.9 |
| Week 2 | 8.3 | 7.7 |
| Week 3 | 3.8 | 16.1 |
| Week 4 | 13.4 | 19.9 |
| Week 5 | 8.8 | 17.3 |
| Week 6 | 12.8 | ‐ |
| Week 7 | 15.1 | 11.7 |
| Week 8 | 5.9 | 11.1 |
| Week 9 | 51.1 | 13.9 |
| Week 10 | ‐ | 10.2 |
| Week 11 | 6.2 | 1.7 |
| Week 12 | ‐ | 1.6 |
| Week 13 | ‐ | 9.5 |
| Week 14 | 10.6 | 11.8 |
| Week 15 | 5.4 | ‐ |
| Week 16 | 10.8 | ‐ |
| Week 17 | 1.2 | ‐ |
| Week 18 | 12.8 | ‐ |
| Total | 180.7 | 136.4 |
| Average | 12.0 | 10.5 |
Joe Mixon RB - CIN Joe Mixon RB - CIN | Dameon Pierce RB - HOU Dameon Pierce RB - HOU | |
| 2022 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Week 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Week 3 | 7 | 2 |
| Week 4 | 4 | 6 |
| Week 5 | 3 | 5 |
| Week 6 | 6 | ‐ |
| Week 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Week 8 | 9 | 5 |
| Week 9 | 5 | 0 |
| Week 10 | ‐ | 3 |
| Week 11 | 3 | 3 |
| Week 12 | ‐ | 6 |
| Week 13 | ‐ | 3 |
| Week 14 | 2 | 0 |
| Week 15 | 6 | ‐ |
| Week 16 | 9 | ‐ |
| Week 17 | 0 | ‐ |
| Week 18 | 5 | ‐ |
Joe Mixon RB - CIN Joe Mixon RB - CIN | Dameon Pierce RB - HOU Dameon Pierce RB - HOU | |
| Expert | ||
| Mark Ringo Sleepers and Busts | Several Bengals' beat writers think that there's a good chance Cincinnati cuts Mixon after June 1st to save $10 million against the salary cap unless he takes a pay cut. Even if they keep him, Mixon is facing a misdemeanor aggravated menacing charge. That could result in a suspension by Roger Goodell once the case ends. There's a lot of risk here. Cincinnati has one of the best offenses in the league. If Mixon stays I think he's in store for a good year, but that's no longer a given. Interesting side note, Burrow, Chase, Higgins, and Mixon showed up for voluntary OTA's in early May. You wouldn't think Mixon would show up if he was upset about a potential pay cut. If the Bengals keep him, he could be a value if you can get a good price on draft day. Mixon's current ADP is RB 20 which seems like fair value given his talent and the risk. Fantasy owners who take a chance will have to hope the only stripes he wears in 2023 are the Bengals uniforms. | (5/29) UPDATE- After hearing new head coach DeMeco Ryans talk about how he is planning to handle the Houston RBs I am lowering my expectations for Pierce. Ryans said he believes in going with a RBBC approach. Oh good. Another RBBC mess- ugh!! That's extremely disappointing to hear. Even though I think Pierce is clearly a superb RB to Singletary and should be a bell cow, it doesn't matter what I, Mark Ringo, think. It only matters what DeMeco Ryans thinks. If the world would do what Mark Ringo thinks, it would be a thousand times better haha! Of course, I might be slightly biased on that take haha! |
| Ellis Johnson True North Fantasy Football | It looks like we have one more year of Mixon being a Bengal. For fantasy purposes, this is the best situation for him as he is the clear lead back on one of the league's best offenses. This is an even better situation with an improved line than it was in 2021 when he was the RB3 and last year when he was the RB12. Mixon should be a solid RB-one with his only competition being Chase Brown, who was in the fifth round, and Trayveon Williams potentially replacing Samaje Perine's role. | Despite having 66% of the RB rushing attempts from the Texans, Pierce only finished as the RB-27 last season. This year the team brought in veteran RB Devin Singletary to take over the change of pace role and potentially take some work away from the fourth-round 2021 draft pick. As a result, his lack of pass-catching paired with a rookie QB under center and I am skeptical that he can finish higher than last season's finish. |
| Brandon Funston The Athletic | Future with team has come into question, but looks likely to be back for 2023 - back-to-back RB1 campaigns, and 4th-most catches per game at RB in 2022 | |
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | 5/5: Mixon leaves the draft unscathed, with Samaje Perine gone, and with a newly-firm endorsement from his head coach. We might get true three-down horse upside as they ride him out into the sun! Among the biggest winners of the last couple months after a disastrous start to the 2023 offseason 3/17: Samaje is gone. If Mixon remains with the team without fresh, danerous competition his 70+ ADP on Underdog is going to seem SILLY. Esp. with the line beefed up! Potential cut candidate - would lose a lot of value outside the explosive Bengals offense | 5/5: With only Devin Singletary added this offseason, Pierce has a clear path to remaining the lead back in what promises to be a more explosive Texans' attack. Stir in a 49ers-inspired zone-scheme, and Pierce's upside & value boost is going largely overlooked |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | It truly was a tale of two seasons for Joe Mixon. In Weeks 1-8, Mixon struggled immensely averaging 3.3 yards per carry as the RB19 in points per game. No running back scored fewer fantasy points versus expected because he just couldn't seem to find the end zone. But as the newer pieces of the offensive line started to gel, Mixon's production took off in the form of positive touchdown regression. He finished the season (including the postseason) as PFF's second-highest-graded running back headlined by an elite 5-touchdown game versus the Panthers in Week 9. In his eight healthy games from Weeks 9 to the conference championship, he averaged 16.7 fantasy points per game (equivalent to RB5 on the season). All in all, Mixon finished 6th in touches per game (19.5) and second in carries inside the 10-yard line (28) from Weeks 1-17, but only scored five touchdowns. The career-high receiving usage (60 catches for 441 yards on 70 targets) paved the way for Mixon's RB8 finish in points per game. However, it should be noted that the team did involve Samaje Perine more down the stretch after he filled in admirably during Mixon's injury (Weeks 11-13). Perine out-snapped Mixon in two of the Bengals' three playoff games and routinely ran more routes. But Mixon still averaged nearly four catches per game. I wouldn't envision his receiving role on early downs changing even if he loses snaps to another RB on third downs. Former Michigan running back Chris Evans projects to take a larger role on third downs after Samaje Perine signed with the Denver Broncos. | The Houston Texans looked like they struck gold with Dameon Pierce early on during the season, as the rookie running back looked like the early favorite to take home offensive rookie of the year honors with a hot start. Pierce stepped in and immediately became the team's bellcow in Week 2. From that time until Week 10, Pierce ranked 5th in the NFL in rushing yards (739) averaging north of 19 carries and 92 rushing yards per game. He was the fantasy RB12 overall and in points per game. Other Texans RBs combined for just 11 carries versus Pierce's 154 over this stretch. However, the Florida product seemed to have hit a wall in the middle of the year totaling just 16 rushing yards against Washington and Miami through Weeks 11-12. However, these two defenses would turn out to be some of the tougher matchups for all RBs, so that's likely the cause of Pierce's fall-off in production. The tackle-breaking machine more than proved that he still had juice left in the tank with two strong outings to conclude his season versus Dallas and Cleveland. However, he suffered a season-ending ankle injury that would knock him out for the rest of the season - just 61 yards away from 1,000 rushing yards on the year. Despite the missed games, he still finished 4th in missed tackles forced and 1st in missed tackles forced per attempt (28%) among RBs with at least 100 carries. Pierce should lead the Texans backfield in 2023, but an entirely new coaching staff and Pierce's 4th-round draft capital suggest that his undisputed workhorse role could change. Devin Singletary signed a one-year deal worth $3.75 million with the Texans, presumably to fill the role of Pierce's primary backup. Singletary totaled just nine more carries than James Cook from Weeks 13-Week 20 but ended the year 10th in PFF rushing grade (two spots ahead of Pierce). Overall, Singletary probably won't unseat Pierce as the team's No. 1 rusher, but he poses a much bigger threat to Pierce's workload than JAGs like Rex Burkhead, Mike Boone, and Dare Ogunbowale. His PFF pass-blocking grade (73.2, 8th) might get him usage on passing downs as Pierce struggled in this capacity as a rookie (32.3, 52nd). Although it does work in Pierce's favor that Singletary has never flourished as an actual receiver, giving Pierce the slight edge on attaining a full three-down workload if he can shore up his pass protection in Year 2. Singletary's addition shouldn't completely change the way you view Pierce as it was highly unlikely the team would add zero running backs between now and the start of the season. He's not the worst running back they could have added, but he's hardly a reason to fully fade Pierce for fear that Singletary will carve out a massive role on offense. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Mixon had 799 yards rushing, 300 yards receiving, and 9 TDs in 14 fantasy games. The problem is that 5 of the TDs came in one game and that was also the only game he rushed for 100 yards. Mixon is more of a RB2 that is likely going to be on a new team in 2023. | Pierce had his rookie season cut short by an ankle injury, but he was very good in the fantasy season with 939 yards rushing, 165 yards receiving, and 5 TDs. Devin Singletary hurts his upside a little bit, but his contract does not indicate they view him as their new lead back. Pierce should still see more than enough touches to be a RB2. |
