Derrick Henry or Nick Chubb
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
Nick Chubb RB - CLE  Nick Chubb RB - CLE | Derrick Henry RB - TEN  Derrick Henry RB - TEN |  | |
Expert |
68% Recommended by 51 of 75 experts |
32% Recommended by 24 of 75 experts |
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| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop RB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would draftUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 5 | # 7 | - |
| Best Rank | # 3 | # 2 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 11 | # 12 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 254.4 | 269.8 | - |
| Avg Game | 15.0 | 16.9 | - |
| Avg Projection | 212.1 | 226.7 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 24 | 4 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Nick Chubb | Derrick Henry | Add Player |
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06/05 | #4 | #6 | - |
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06/05 | #5 | #7 | - |
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06/05 | #4 | #7 | - |
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06/04 | #5 | #8 | - |
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06/04 | #3 | #12 | - |
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06/04 | #7 | #4 | - |
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06/04 | #6 | #2 | - |
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06/03 | #4 | #8 | - |
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05/31 | #5 | #8 | - |
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06/02 | #11 | #5 | - |
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06/01 | #5 | #6 | - |
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06/01 | #5 | #7 | - |
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06/01 | #5 | #12 | - |
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06/01 | #5 | #6 | - |
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06/01 | #7 | #9 | - |
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06/01 | #2 | #3 | - |
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05/31 | #5 | #7 | - |
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06/03 | #4 | #14 | - |
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05/31 | #3 | #5 | - |
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05/31 | #8 | #9 | - |
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06/01 | #5 | #6 | - |
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05/31 | #3 | #6 | - |
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05/31 | #8 | #1 | - |
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05/31 | #6 | #4 | - |
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05/30 | #5 | #6 | - |
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06/04 | #4 | #7 | - |
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05/30 | #9 | #7 | - |
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05/30 | #5 | #10 | - |
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05/29 | #4 | #5 | - |
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05/28 | #4 | #8 | - |
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05/28 | #8 | #5 | - |
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06/01 | #6 | #2 | - |
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05/28 | #10 | #4 | - |
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05/26 | #10 | #12 | - |
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05/25 | #3 | #7 | - |
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05/24 | #4 | #9 | - |
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05/24 | #6 | #5 | - |
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05/22 | #4 | #5 | - |
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05/23 | #4 | #5 | - |
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05/21 | #5 | #7 | - |
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05/19 | #4 | #5 | - |
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05/26 | #4 | #8 | - |
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05/18 | #4 | #8 | - |
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05/22 | #8 | #9 | - |
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05/30 | #4 | #5 | - |
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05/16 | #4 | #5 | - |
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05/15 | #7 | #6 | - |
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05/17 | #5 | #6 | - |
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05/14 | #10 | #9 | - |
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05/12 | #10 | #9 | - |
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05/30 | #4 | #5 | - |
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05/10 | #9 | #11 | - |
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05/09 | #5 | #9 | - |
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05/09 | #10 | #9 | - |
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05/08 | #7 | #6 | - |
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05/10 | #8 | #9 | - |
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05/03 | #8 | #9 | - |
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05/01 | #8 | #9 | - |
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05/01 | #5 | #9 | - |
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05/01 | #6 | #10 | - |
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04/30 | #4 | #8 | - |
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04/30 | #14 | #8 | - |
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04/28 | #8 | #10 | - |
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04/24 | #9 | #8 | - |
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04/23 | #8 | #7 | - |
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05/23 | #11 | #12 | - |
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04/21 | #9 | #10 | - |
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03/05 | #7 | #5 | - |
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03/02 | #8 | #4 | - |
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02/22 | #6 | #7 | - |
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02/09 | #6 | #5 | - |
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02/02 | #7 | #4 | - |
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01/30 | #8 | #5 | - |
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01/19 | #7 | #6 | - |
Nick Chubb RB - CLE Nick Chubb RB - CLE | Derrick Henry RB - TEN Derrick Henry RB - TEN | |
| 2023 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. CIN | at NO |
| Week 2 | at PIT | vs. LAC |
| Week 3 | vs. TEN | at CLE |
| Week 4 | vs. BAL | vs. CIN |
| Week 5 | BYE WEEK | at IND |
| Week 6 | vs. SF | vs. BAL |
| Week 7 | at IND | BYE WEEK |
| Week 8 | at SEA | vs. ATL |
| Week 9 | vs. ARI | at PIT |
| Week 10 | at BAL | at TB |
| Week 11 | vs. PIT | at JAC |
| Week 12 | at DEN | vs. CAR |
| Week 13 | at LAR | vs. IND |
| Week 14 | vs. JAC | at MIA |
| Week 15 | vs. CHI | vs. HOU |
| Week 16 | at HOU | vs. SEA |
| Week 17 | vs. NYJ | at HOU |
| Week 18 | at CIN | vs. JAC |
Nick Chubb RB - CLE Nick Chubb RB - CLE | Derrick Henry RB - TEN Derrick Henry RB - TEN | |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 257.2 | 314.4 |
| Rush Yards | 1,297.5 | 1,381.0 |
| Rush TDs | 8.6 | 9.0 |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 29.6 | 32.9 |
| Rec Yards | 267.1 | 323.3 |
| Rec TDs | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 212.1 | 226.7 |
Nick Chubb RB - CLE Nick Chubb RB - CLE | Derrick Henry RB - TEN Derrick Henry RB - TEN | |
| 2022 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 14.3 | 8.2 |
| Week 2 | 29.3 | 8.5 |
| Week 3 | 17.3 | 20.3 |
| Week 4 | 18.7 | 20.7 |
| Week 5 | 25.4 | 25.2 |
| Week 6 | 7.0 | ‐ |
| Week 7 | 16.7 | 13.8 |
| Week 8 | 24.4 | 34.8 |
| Week 9 | ‐ | 23.5 |
| Week 10 | 12.1 | 6.7 |
| Week 11 | 6.7 | 23.4 |
| Week 12 | 19.2 | 11.7 |
| Week 13 | 8.0 | 3.8 |
| Week 14 | 5.4 | 17.5 |
| Week 15 | 9.9 | 22.3 |
| Week 16 | 10.2 | 16.6 |
| Week 17 | 11.6 | ‐ |
| Week 18 | 18.2 | 12.8 |
| Total | 254.4 | 269.8 |
| Average | 15.0 | 16.9 |
Nick Chubb RB - CLE Nick Chubb RB - CLE | Derrick Henry RB - TEN Derrick Henry RB - TEN | |
| 2022 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Week 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Week 3 | 1 | 6 |
| Week 4 | 3 | 5 |
| Week 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Week 6 | 2 | ‐ |
| Week 7 | 3 | 3 |
| Week 8 | 1 | 1 |
| Week 9 | ‐ | 0 |
| Week 10 | 4 | 3 |
| Week 11 | 3 | 2 |
| Week 12 | 1 | 3 |
| Week 13 | 1 | 3 |
| Week 14 | 3 | 5 |
| Week 15 | 2 | 4 |
| Week 16 | 1 | 2 |
| Week 17 | 1 | ‐ |
| Week 18 | 6 | 1 |
Nick Chubb RB - CLE Nick Chubb RB - CLE | Derrick Henry RB - TEN Derrick Henry RB - TEN | |
| Expert | ||
| Ellis Johnson True North Fantasy Football | It's time for Nick Chubb to take over the position. After years of being debated as the best pure runner in the game, he finally gets shot to command the backfield alone. Everything about his game says he should be a top-five guy this year, however, my only concerns are the Cleveland QB taking rushing touchdowns, and his lack of involvement in the passing game. | There's something about Derrick Henry that is terrifying this season. Although he has fallen in a lot of rankings, he still has an ADP of RB8. I don't believe the cliff will hit Henry this season, however, a limited pass-catching back on what could be the worst offense in the league is a tough pill to swallow at RB8. As a result, I am out on him this season and view him more as a low-end RB-one than his former elite caliber. |
| Mark Ringo Sleepers and Busts | With Kareem Hunt gone, some folks are assuming that Chubb will become a bell cow RB. Not so fast. The Browns want to keep Chubb on a snap count. He hurt his knee in college, and they want to keep him fresh throughout the year. He'll still be the lead RB, but don't expect him to inherit Kareem Hunt's workload. Instead, look for the Browns to possibly make a move in free agency or via a trade. Dalvin Cook and Zeke make sense if they're willing to take less $ and be the back half of the RBBC. Otherwise, Jerome Ford could take over. The Browns intend to pass it more in 2023- featuring DeShaun Watson. While that could mean fewer rushes for Chubb, Watson should upgrade the entire offense. That should lead to more TDs for Chubb. Finally, the passing of NFL legend Jim Brown has hit Browns' Nation hard. Jim Brown was an integral part of the Browns as an advisor and mentor. The entire team, including Chubb, will dedicate 2023 in his honor. With a current ADP of RB 7, Chubb is fairly valued and looks like a solid option at RB early in drafts. | King Henry is a tough one to rank in 2023. The Titans are in rebuilding mode. Their offensive line is a major work in progress. Henry has been talked about in trade rumors. One anonymous NFL exec said the best time to deal him would be right before the trade deadline. Another rumor mentions the Bengals as a team to keep an eye on. If Cincy moves on from Joe Mixon, Henry could light up the scoreboard! But if Henry stays put, he'll still get plenty of volume. However, if anything happens to Tannehill or they want to take a look at rookie QB Will Levis, the Titans' offense could struggle. Derrick Henry's current ADP is RB 9, which despite the concerns, seems like a good price for a bell cow RB. Bottom line- there's more risk than usual for one of the most consistent bell cow RBs in the league, but bell cow RBs like Henry who can singlehandedly win you a week on their own are a rare find in fantasy football. Side note- I should be king. That's a good gig if you can get it. All Hail King Ringo haha! |
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | 5/5: The draft & Free Agency have passed, and Chubb sits atop his throne with no new competition added. Jerome Ford has some ability & will likely slide in for 25-30% of the work, but we could see Chubb deployed in a workhorse manner we have never witnessed yet. THE RB1 upside | 5/11: Line should only be better (1st round injection), and Will Levis could potentially take the offense to new heights. Cliff could be near, but I have a hard time abandoning this horse, even if I end up being a year-too-late |
| Brandon Funston The Athletic | The next time he finishes under 5.0 YPC for the season will be his first, and another 300+ carries looks likely with Kareem Hunt not re-signed | Still the center of the TEN offensive universe, but there's at least a little concern team could look to deal him in-season if things are going south |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Nick Chubb just put together the quietest 1,525 rushing-yard season in recent memory. The Browns running back averaged 5 yards per carry (again) and posted a career-high 13 touchdowns. He finished the year as the RB6 overall with a top 10 backfield opportunity share (64%), but most of his fantasy production came prior to Deshaun Watson returning to the lineup. During Weeks 1-12, Chubb was the RB4 overall and in points per game. From Weeks 13-17 with Watson at quarterback, he was the RB23 overall and RB33 in points per game. These splits likely won't carry over into 2023 based on Watson likely boosting the offense's overall efficiency making Chubb a near-bust-proof draft pick based on his track record of consistency. Chubb also can capture a more prominent role as a receiver with Kareem Hunt and D'Ernest Johnson no longer on the roster. 2022 5th-rounder Jerome Ford is pegged as the No. 2 RB. In Week 18, Chubb played a season-high 75% snap share, ran a route on 71% of dropbacks and caught 5-of-6 targets (22% target share) for 45 yards. | Derrick Henry made fantasy drafters that overlooked him look silly in 2022, finishing the season as the RB4 overall and in points per game (18.3). He finished second in carries and third in rushing yards (23.4 touches per game) while also posting career highs in targets, receptions and yards per route run. The bad offensive situation hardly influenced Henry's fantasy numbers and he did not seem hampered by the foot injury that knocked him out of the second half of the 2021 season. Fading Henry in 2022 was betting on him to hit the wall playing behind a shaky offensive line finally. And that bet did not go well. But another year of a heavy workload combined with the Titans' grim 2023 outlook with major questions on offense, will bring concerns about drafting Henry early in 2023. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Chubb had another stellar fantasy season with 1,448 rushing yards, 194 receiving yards, and 12 TDs. The Browns offense should be on the rise with Deshaun Watson there for a full offseason and his suspension issues behind him. Chubb should be an elite RB1 in 2023. | Henry had another stellar fantasy season with 1,429 yards rushing, 379 yards receiving, and 13 TDs. The big concern is usage, he has 1,750 career carries, he has led the league in carries 3 of the last 4 years, and he turned 29-years old in January. If age does not catch up with him, he should be an elite RB1. |
