Josh Allen or Patrick Mahomes II
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Experts' Pick | |||
Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC  Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Josh Allen QB - BUF  Josh Allen QB - BUF |  | |
Expert |
84% Recommended by 182 of 217 experts |
16% Recommended by 35 of 217 experts |
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| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would draftUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 1 | # 2 | - |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 1 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 4 | # 6 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 417.9 | 432.5 | - |
| Avg Game | 24.6 | 25.4 | - |
| Avg Projection | 386.0 | 389.3 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 17 | 18 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Patrick Mahomes II | Josh Allen | Add Player |
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Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Josh Allen QB - BUF Josh Allen QB - BUF | |
| 2021 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. CLE | vs. PIT |
| Week 2 | at BAL | at MIA |
| Week 3 | vs. LAC | vs. WAS |
| Week 4 | at PHI | vs. HOU |
| Week 5 | vs. BUF | at KC |
| Week 6 | at WAS | at TEN |
| Week 7 | at TEN | BYE WEEK |
| Week 8 | vs. NYG | vs. MIA |
| Week 9 | vs. GB | at JAC |
| Week 10 | at LV | at NYJ |
| Week 11 | vs. DAL | vs. IND |
| Week 12 | BYE WEEK | at NO |
| Week 13 | vs. DEN | vs. NE |
| Week 14 | vs. LV | at TB |
| Week 15 | at LAC | vs. CAR |
| Week 16 | vs. PIT | at NE |
| Week 17 | at CIN | vs. ATL |
| Week 18 | at DEN | vs. NYJ |
Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Josh Allen QB - BUF Josh Allen QB - BUF | |
| Passing | ||
| Pass Att | 620.8 | 595.4 |
| Pass Cmp | 413.1 | 394.6 |
| Pass Yards | 5,027.6 | 4,574.9 |
| Pass TDs | 38.0 | 33.3 |
| Ints | 9.5 | 12.9 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 55.5 | 109.3 |
| Rush Yards | 289.8 | 517.3 |
| Rush TDs | 2.8 | 7.2 |
| Misc | ||
| Fumbles | 1.8 | 4.3 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 386.0 | 389.3 |
Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Josh Allen QB - BUF Josh Allen QB - BUF | |
| 2020 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 20.4 | 28.2 |
| Week 2 | 27.5 | 34.5 |
| Week 3 | 40.0 | 32.2 |
| Week 4 | 20.2 | 25.4 |
| Week 5 | 30.7 | 18.3 |
| Week 6 | 20.6 | 16.1 |
| Week 7 | 12.0 | 16.4 |
| Week 8 | 36.6 | 13.5 |
| Week 9 | 31.5 | 36.0 |
| Week 10 | ‐ | 28.4 |
| Week 11 | 22.5 | ‐ |
| Week 12 | 31.3 | 16.5 |
| Week 13 | 19.3 | 30.1 |
| Week 14 | 21.6 | 19.3 |
| Week 15 | 25.9 | 37.7 |
| Week 16 | 20.2 | 32.3 |
| Week 17 | ‐ | 20.3 |
| Week 18 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Total | 417.9 | 432.5 |
| Average | 24.6 | 25.4 |
Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Josh Allen QB - BUF Josh Allen QB - BUF | |
| Expert | ||
| Kyle Yates FantasyPros | From 2018-2020, only two QBs have thrown for more than 100 passing touchdowns. One of those QBs is Mahomes with 114 touchdowns to only 23 interceptions. He's an absolute cheat code at the position for fantasy football and he's the captain of the league's best offense. You're obviously going to have to pay a premium for him, but selecting Mahomes in the 3rd round of your draft this year isn't a bad strategy. | It was near impossible to try and forecast the type of transformation the Buffalo offense went through in 2020, but we're all glad it did! Allen came out and set the fantasy football landscape on fire with his increased passing volume and efficiency. He took major strides forward as a passer last season and he still maintained his presence as a runner around the goal line. Allen has now finished with 25 rushing touchdowns over the past three seasons, which puts him at the 9th highest mark in the entire NFL over that time span. For comparison, Christian McCaffrey has 27. The advantage he brings because of his mobility cannot be overstated and he's in the running - pun intended - for QB1 in all of fantasy football again this year. |
| Mark Ringo Sleepers and Busts | Mahomes is one of the best QBs I've ever seen. The only concern is can the line protect him? It may take some time for the new guys up front to gel, but Mahomes is mobile enough to buy time even if there are growing pains. Drafting Chiefs players is a good thing these days. | Josh Allen took a huge leap last year. He had a career year in 2020. Those are hard to duplicate in back to back seasons. For where he's being drafted, the cost is too rich for my blood. |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | It isn't hard to make the case for Mahomes as QB1. While he doesn't offer quite the same ceiling on the ground as the rest of Tier 1, it's clear that he has become the league's most dominant passer. Mahomes parlayed career-highs in completion percentage (66.3%) and QBR (82.9) into 316 passing yards per game in 2020, which led the NFL. The Chiefs made it a point to upgrade their offensive line this offseason. There's a chance we've yet to see the best from Mahomes. | Considered a developmental project coming out of college, Allen has gotten better every year he's been in the NFL. Thanks to Bills OC Brian Daboll's progressive, pass-oriented approach, Allen's improvements culminated in a second place MVP finish in 2020. Allen's skill set was built for fantasy production, and he finished as the overall QB1 last year. Buffalo retained an overwhelming majority of their key offensive pieces this offseason, including Daboll, so we should expect a similar performance from Allen in '21. I wouldn't argue with anyone taking him over Mahomes. |
| Kevin Tompkins BallBlast | Mahomes is fantastic and will put up huge stats, but that's the rub. There are six to seven other quarterbacks that can put up an overall QB1 season, so why do we need to draft Mahomes in the third or fourth round when you can get those other options rounds later? In a stacking context, Mahomes makes sense there to capture the Chiefs offense if you're into that. At that range of a fantasy draft, I'd much rather draft skill position players than a "onesie" position player like Mahomes. | |
| Brandon Funston The Athletic | 2+ FAN PPG better than any other QB over the past three seasons (min. 30 games) - arguably no QB has higher floor and higher ceiling | 2020 was a massive breakout - if you want to argue that Mahomes doesn't have the highest ceiling among QBs, Allen is your argument |
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | We're now 46 games into Mahomes' career as a starter, and in those games he's totaled QB1-type numbers in 69.6 percent of them. There are just two other quarterbacks who've posted those over 59.5 percent of their career since 2000, and one was Justin Herbert who has just a 15-game sample size. When Mahomes is on the field, he's producing. The question is this: By drafting him in the early rounds, which running back or wide receiver are you passing on to get him, and is the dropoff more from the quarterback you'd get in the later rounds? If you wanted to draft Mahomes in the third round, you can, but know you're going to need to hit on a player or two later in your draft to make up the ground. | All you can ask for out of an NFL quarterback is improvement. Allen has done that every single year, and it's translated to fantasy football as well. His percentage of QB1-type games by year: 41.7 - 43.8 - 56.3. He tallied 26-plus fantasy points in eight games last year, which tied for the most in the league. Even better is that he had just one game that was labeled a bust, which lets you know he's a set-it-and-forget-it quarterback who can be played, regardless of opponent. When spending a high-round pick on a quarterback, that's what you need. Allen can start to be considered around the fourth round. |
| Elliot Berkovits Packer Report | Patrick Mahomes remains on one of the league's most dangerous offenses surrounded by elite talents like Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce. He threw for 4,740 yards and 38 TDs in only 15 games. Mahomes should be the first QB taken in just about every format. | |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | It is hard to believe that Mahomes II is still only 25-years old and already has 114 TD passes in just 46 games. He is a slam-dunk elite QB1 that had 380.3 fantasy points in 15 games last year. | It is hard to believe that Josh Allen had 405.3 fantasy points in 2020, which is similar to the 409.98 fantasy points that Peyton Manning had in 2013. Allen is a fantasy star and he should put up great numbers again in 2021 for one of the best offenses in the NFL. |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | There may be some annual contenders for the overall QB point leader. However, Patrick Mahomes will annually be in the top tier, which keeps him the #1 overall QB. In 2020, Mahomes threw for 4.7K yards and 38 TD in 15 games. In a 12-team single QB league, you can make a case for as early as the turn in a snake draft rounds 2-3. The WR pool is bottomless, and you can make up ground there. You can fade Mahomes with a powerful QB1 class this year if you like, but there may not be a better one than Mahomes in terms of quality investment. In Superflex leagues, he's easily a top 5 overall selection. | Josh Allen had a MVP caliber season and ended up as QB1 overall in fantasy. He finished '20 with 4.5K passing yards, a 69% completion rate, 37 TD, and 10 INT. His rushing attempts year over year stayed flat, but his yardage fell from 510 to 421 yards. That's probably a good thing because it meant he wasn't running with abandon as much. However, he still managed eight rush TDs. Outside of one dreadful game in Week 7 vs. SEA, the O-Line played well, but the run game made the Bills one-dimensional offensively, and Allen to Stefon Diggs was pretty much that dimension. In the playoffs, "reckless" Josh Allen started to creep back in as he tried to do too much under pressure, twisting and turning, trying to make plays instead of eating a sack or throwing a ball away. More balance from the run game in 2021 will help the Bills and Allen thrive this season. However, that's not a given. Six times, Josh Allen scored 30+ fantasy points. A fantasy regular season is usually 13-14 weeks long. He's good for six wins, and that puts you in the playoff hunt. |
| Tim Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | Patrick Mahomes is the best QB in football and if I were ranking best QB's, I would have him ranked no. 1, but we aren't. Mahomes isn't immobile by any stretch but with the combination of injuries last season and a brand new offensive line, the Chiefs would be smart keeping their $503 million investment in the pocket, a place where he is so prolific anyway. It would take another record-setting season for Mahomes to finish at QB1 overall in 2021. | The sky is the limit for Josh Allen after he turned up the dial to 11 on his passing game, already adding to his great rushing floor. With not much changing with the offensive personnel, the Bills will continue to lean on Allen in the passing game, running game and on the goal line. |
