Josh Allen or Patrick Mahomes II
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
Josh Allen QB - BUF  Josh Allen QB - BUF | Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC  Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC |  | |
Expert |
98% Recommended by 179 of 182 experts |
2% Recommended by 3 of 182 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would draftUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 1 | # 3 | - |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 1 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 2 | # 7 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 494.6 | 475.2 | - |
| Avg Game | 26.0 | 23.8 | - |
| Avg Projection | 401.4 | 372.8 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 16 | 27 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Josh Allen | Patrick Mahomes II | Add Player |
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Josh Allen QB - BUF Josh Allen QB - BUF | Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | |
| 2022 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | at LAR | at ARI |
| Week 2 | vs. TEN | vs. LAC |
| Week 3 | at MIA | at IND |
| Week 4 | at BAL | at TB |
| Week 5 | vs. PIT | vs. LV |
| Week 6 | at KC | vs. BUF |
| Week 7 | BYE WEEK | at SF |
| Week 8 | vs. GB | BYE WEEK |
| Week 9 | at NYJ | vs. TEN |
| Week 10 | vs. MIN | vs. JAC |
| Week 11 | vs. CLE | at LAC |
| Week 12 | at DET | vs. LAR |
| Week 13 | at NE | at CIN |
| Week 14 | vs. NYJ | at DEN |
| Week 15 | vs. MIA | at HOU |
| Week 16 | at CHI | vs. SEA |
| Week 17 | at CIN | vs. DEN |
| Week 18 | vs. NE | at LV |
Josh Allen QB - BUF Josh Allen QB - BUF | Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | |
| Passing | ||
| Pass Att | 607.8 | 634.4 |
| Pass Cmp | 390.3 | 418.2 |
| Pass Yards | 4,408.2 | 4,844.0 |
| Pass TDs | 34.6 | 35.9 |
| Ints | 13.9 | 11.6 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 116.4 | 66.5 |
| Rush Yards | 662.2 | 360.0 |
| Rush TDs | 6.9 | 2.8 |
| Misc | ||
| Fumbles | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 401.4 | 372.8 |
Josh Allen QB - BUF Josh Allen QB - BUF | Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | |
| 2021 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 17.2 | 33.3 |
| Week 2 | 17.7 | 25.0 |
| Week 3 | 37.2 | 24.9 |
| Week 4 | 21.0 | 32.3 |
| Week 5 | 36.5 | 21.0 |
| Week 6 | 29.7 | 25.0 |
| Week 7 | ‐ | 8.7 |
| Week 8 | 29.5 | 15.0 |
| Week 9 | 11.6 | 10.4 |
| Week 10 | 21.9 | 36.2 |
| Week 11 | 18.2 | 8.5 |
| Week 12 | 28.7 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | 11.7 | 13.6 |
| Week 14 | 36.2 | 20.3 |
| Week 15 | 21.8 | 30.6 |
| Week 16 | 31.0 | 22.3 |
| Week 17 | 23.9 | 20.9 |
| Week 18 | 23.9 | 26.2 |
| Total | 494.6 | 475.2 |
| Average | 26.0 | 23.8 |
Josh Allen QB - BUF Josh Allen QB - BUF | Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | |
| Expert | ||
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | The back-to-back reigning fantasy QB1 showed no signs of slowing down in 2021. Allen led the quarterback position averaging 24.6 fantasy points per game and a whopping 26.7 expected fantasy points - nearly three points more than the next closest signal-caller. The Bills quarterback's dual-threat ability - third in rushing yards (763) and rushing attempts (122) - provides him a fantasy ceiling that only a few other quarterbacks can match. No quarterback had more top-3 finishes or top-8 weekly finishes than Allen did a season ago That's why he's deserving of being the first quarterback drafted across all formats. Because even after taking a slight step back as a passer in 2021 - 104.9 passer rating vs. 97.9 passer rating - a higher passing touchdown ceiling exists for Allen in 2022. His 5.6% TD rate was worse than in 2020 and ranked just ninth in 2021. Case in point: despite finishing No. 1 overall, Allen ended with the 5th-most fantasy points under expectation. | Despite the ups-and-downs of the KC Chiefs offense as a response to the Cover 2 defense, Patrick Mahomes was as a stellar as ever from a fantasy perspective. The former MVP ranked fourth in fantasy points per game (22.0) tying Justin Herbert with 12 weekly top-12 QB finishes. Still, Mahomes averaged fewer fantasy points per game than in 2020 (25.2). Additionally, the loss of Tyreek Hill cannot be ignored heading into 2022. The duo ranks second in combined passing touchdowns (41) since 2016 - despite Mahomes not becoming the starter until the 2018. Mahomes can't totally be written off as a top-five fantasy option - .QB4 without Hill through the first five weeks of 2019 averaging 25 fantasy points per game - but there's real concern about his top-tier weekly ceiling without Hill. Especially coming off a season where he posted a career-low PFF passing grade (77.5) and career-high in interceptions (16). He's likely being overvalued as the QB2 in early best ball drafts on name recognition alone. |
| Kevin Wheeler The Draft Zone | 63.3% completion rate for 4,407 yards, 36 TDs and 15 INTs last season. He also concluded the year with a 92.2 QB rating. He's been spectacular for two seasons in a row, and we would expect nothing less this year. | Mahomes has averaged over 20 fantasy points per game in each of the past four seasons, finishing as the QB1, QB6, QB2, and QB5 in points per game over that time. Has seen his yards per pass attempt drop from the previous year in each of the past three seasons, as defenses have learned to implement the cover-2 shell to take away the deep-ball. On top of that, he now has to do without Tyreek Hill. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Allen took a step back in 2021 as a passer, but had a better year running the football and finished with 4,168 yards passing, 34 passing TDs, 700 yards rushing, and 6 rushing TDs in the fantasy season. He is as good as it gets in fantasy football at quarterback. | Patrick Mahomes II is one of the safest players in the NFL, in a "down" season he still had 4,569 yards passing and 35 passing TDs in the fantasy regular season. He is an elite fantasy quarterback on one of the best offenses in the NFL, although he will miss Tyreek Hill's ability to make monster plays in the passing game. |
| Nick Bretwisch Win Daily Sports | Everything we've seen from Allen and his significant improvements year after year should lead us to believe there's another fantastic fantasy season in the making. I'm not too worried about Daboll's departure as new OC, Ken Dorsey spent 3 seasons working under Daboll. Only Negative: The O-line leaves a lot to be desired, but it kind of always has throughout Allen's young career. | Not concerned with anything here for Mahomes. I'd assume he spent a lot of time this offseason dissecting ways to beat the two-high safety look most defenses deployed on him towards the middle/end of the season. No Tyreek, no problem (in my opinion). |
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | Big weapon downgrade with No Tyreek -- is Mahomes weapons-proof? 7/4: Came out AWFUL in projections. EEK!!! | |
| Justin Lampkin Clock Management Fantasy Football | I worry how well Mahomes will be able to preform without Hill and an aging Kelce. This will not be the same offense we have become accustomed to seeing on the field. I will be avoiding Mahomes in any casual leagues as he will be drafted based off of his name. | |
| Brandon Funston The Athletic | No. 1 fantasy QB in each of the past 2 seasons - QB whisperer Brian Daboll is with the Giants now, but Allen is well past the point of being able to take care of himself | |
| Adam Stark Everyday Fantasy Football | Let Sanders and Cole Beasley walk. Gabe davis due for a big year, and added james Cook | Lost Tyreek this year, gained Juju, Sky Moore, and MVS. Added Rojo, and let Williams and McKinnon walk. |
| Pat Fitzmaurice FantasyPros | Once ridiculed for being scatter-armed and unpolished, Allen has become one of the premier quarterbacks in the game. He's led all QBs in fantasy scoring in each of the last two seasons. Allen's completions percentage and YPA slipped a bit from 2020 to 2021, and his interception rate ticked up, but he more than made up for it with a career-high 763 rushing yards. Allen has always been an aggressive and effective runner, and that isn't likely to change in 2022. | Mahomes threw an inordinate number of interceptions early in the 2021 season and endured an uncharacteristic midseason TD drought, but late in the regular season and in the playoffs, he looked more like the transcendent QB we've come to know so well. Coming off what for him qualifies as a "down" season, Mahomes might be available at a slight discount in 2022 drafts. |
