Justin Herbert or Joe Burrow
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
Justin Herbert QB - LAC  Justin Herbert QB - LAC | Joe Burrow QB - CIN  Joe Burrow QB - CIN |  | |
Expert |
100% Recommended by 106 of 106 experts |
0% Recommended by 0 of 106 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would draftUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 2 | # 7 | - |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 3 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 6 | # 12 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 395.6 | 395.4 | - |
| Avg Game | 23.3 | 19.8 | - |
| Avg Projection | 353.8 | 315.2 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 8 | 29 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
|
|
Justin Herbert | Joe Burrow | Add Player |
|
1 h | #2 | #9 | - |
|
6 h | #3 | #6 | - |
|
8 h | #4 | #6 | - |
|
9 h | #6 | #8 | - |
|
10 h | #5 | #7 | - |
|
11 h | #3 | #10 | - |
|
20 h | #6 | #8 | - |
|
21 h | #3 | #4 | - |
|
1 d | #3 | #5 | - |
|
1 d | #3 | #9 | - |
|
1 d | #2 | #5 | - |
|
1 d | #2 | #8 | - |
|
1 d | #4 | #8 | - |
|
2 d | #4 | #7 | - |
|
2 d | #2 | #5 | - |
|
2 d | #2 | #6 | - |
|
2 d | #4 | #10 | - |
|
2 d | #3 | #4 | - |
|
2 d | #3 | #8 | - |
|
2 d | #2 | #10 | - |
|
2 d | #5 | #8 | - |
|
2 d | #2 | #5 | - |
|
2 d | #2 | #10 | - |
|
2 d | #2 | #7 | - |
|
3 d | #3 | #6 | - |
|
3 d | #2 | #6 | - |
|
3 d | #3 | #5 | - |
|
3 d | #3 | #4 | - |
|
3 d | #2 | #3 | - |
|
3 d | #3 | #4 | - |
|
3 d | #2 | #6 | - |
|
3 d | #3 | #8 | - |
|
3 d | #2 | #8 | - |
|
3 d | #5 | #7 | - |
|
4 d | #4 | #8 | - |
|
4 d | #3 | #11 | - |
|
4 d | #3 | #7 | - |
|
4 d | #3 | #5 | - |
|
4 d | #2 | #6 | - |
|
5 d | #2 | #8 | - |
|
5 d | #3 | #9 | - |
|
5 d | #2 | #3 | - |
|
6 d | #2 | #12 | - |
|
6 d | #3 | #5 | - |
|
6 d | #4 | #8 | - |
|
6 d | #2 | #10 | - |
|
1 w | #2 | #7 | - |
|
1 w | #3 | #6 | - |
|
1 w | #1 | #3 | - |
|
1 w | #2 | #7 | - |
|
1 w | #3 | #5 | - |
|
1 w | #2 | #6 | - |
|
1 w | #2 | #10 | - |
|
1 w | #2 | #6 | - |
|
1 w | #4 | #11 | - |
|
1 w | #3 | #8 | - |
|
1 w | #2 | #9 | - |
|
1 w | #3 | #9 | - |
|
1 w | #4 | #9 | - |
|
1 w | #2 | #8 | - |
|
1 w | #3 | #8 | - |
|
1 w | #2 | #8 | - |
|
1 w | #2 | #8 | - |
|
1 w | #2 | #8 | - |
|
2 w | #3 | #6 | - |
|
2 w | #2 | #6 | - |
|
2 w | #3 | #6 | - |
|
2 w | #6 | #7 | - |
|
2 w | #3 | #4 | - |
|
2 w | #3 | #6 | - |
|
2 w | #2 | #12 | - |
|
2 w | #2 | #10 | - |
|
3 w | #2 | #5 | - |
|
3 w | #2 | #4 | - |
|
3 w | #2 | #10 | - |
|
3 w | #1 | #7 | - |
|
3 w | #4 | #6 | - |
|
3 w | #2 | #13 | - |
|
3 w | #3 | #8 | - |
|
3 w | #3 | #6 | - |
|
3 w | #2 | #5 | - |
|
3 w | #4 | #6 | - |
|
3 w | #2 | #6 | - |
|
4 w | #3 | #9 | - |
|
4 w | #2 | #6 | - |
|
4 w | #2 | #8 | - |
|
4 w | #4 | #6 | - |
|
4 w | #2 | #7 | - |
|
05/25 | #2 | #6 | - |
|
3 w | #3 | #8 | - |
|
05/24 | #4 | #5 | - |
|
1 w | #4 | #6 | - |
|
05/25 | #2 | #10 | - |
|
05/17 | #2 | #6 | - |
|
05/16 | #2 | #6 | - |
|
05/14 | #2 | #5 | - |
|
05/24 | #2 | #3 | - |
|
05/11 | #3 | #6 | - |
|
05/10 | #3 | #5 | - |
|
3 w | #2 | #8 | - |
|
05/06 | #2 | #6 | - |
|
05/03 | #3 | #6 | - |
|
05/02 | #3 | #8 | - |
|
05/01 | #2 | #5 | - |
|
1 d | #4 | #6 | - |
|
7 d | #1 | #10 | - |
Justin Herbert QB - LAC Justin Herbert QB - LAC | Joe Burrow QB - CIN Joe Burrow QB - CIN | |
| 2022 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. LV | vs. PIT |
| Week 2 | at KC | at DAL |
| Week 3 | vs. JAC | at NYJ |
| Week 4 | at HOU | vs. MIA |
| Week 5 | at CLE | at BAL |
| Week 6 | vs. DEN | at NO |
| Week 7 | vs. SEA | vs. ATL |
| Week 8 | BYE WEEK | at CLE |
| Week 9 | at ATL | vs. CAR |
| Week 10 | at SF | BYE WEEK |
| Week 11 | vs. KC | at PIT |
| Week 12 | at ARI | at TEN |
| Week 13 | at LV | vs. KC |
| Week 14 | vs. MIA | vs. CLE |
| Week 15 | vs. TEN | at TB |
| Week 16 | at IND | at NE |
| Week 17 | vs. LAR | vs. BUF |
| Week 18 | at DEN | vs. BAL |
Justin Herbert QB - LAC Justin Herbert QB - LAC | Joe Burrow QB - CIN Joe Burrow QB - CIN | |
| Passing | ||
| Pass Att | 628.8 | 567.7 |
| Pass Cmp | 417.5 | 383.4 |
| Pass Yards | 4,650.2 | 4,482.9 |
| Pass TDs | 34.0 | 30.2 |
| Ints | 13.1 | 12.5 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 64.8 | 45.9 |
| Rush Yards | 294.6 | 182.0 |
| Rush TDs | 3.2 | 2.3 |
| Misc | ||
| Fumbles | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 353.8 | 315.2 |
Justin Herbert QB - LAC Justin Herbert QB - LAC | Joe Burrow QB - CIN Joe Burrow QB - CIN | |
| 2021 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 14.4 | 18.6 |
| Week 2 | 16.7 | 13.3 |
| Week 3 | 30.8 | 18.6 |
| Week 4 | 21.3 | 22.3 |
| Week 5 | 42.8 | 20.3 |
| Week 6 | 12.0 | 23.8 |
| Week 7 | ‐ | 27.6 |
| Week 8 | 15.8 | 21.3 |
| Week 9 | 31.6 | 9.4 |
| Week 10 | 13.0 | ‐ |
| Week 11 | 35.3 | 9.0 |
| Week 12 | 21.7 | 17.4 |
| Week 13 | 26.3 | 18.6 |
| Week 14 | 24.9 | 22.2 |
| Week 15 | 24.0 | 12.8 |
| Week 16 | 18.9 | 38.1 |
| Week 17 | 17.7 | 34.8 |
| Week 18 | 28.4 | ‐ |
| Total | 395.6 | 395.4 |
| Average | 23.3 | 19.8 |
Justin Herbert QB - LAC Justin Herbert QB - LAC | Joe Burrow QB - CIN Joe Burrow QB - CIN | |
| Expert | ||
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Justin Herbert finished third in touchdowns and fifth in PFF passing grade (91.8) from a clean pocket in 2021. The Bolts quarterback also wrapped up the season as PFF's third-highest-graded quarterback overall, third in fantasy points per game (22.7) and fifth in expected fantasy points per game (21.7) The Los Angeles Chargers signal-caller is a certified stud - a top-five, elite-tier fantasy quarterback in 2022. Only Tom Brady and Josh Allen posted as many top-5 weeks as Herbert did last season. He and Brady led the NFL with nine 300-yard passing games. Since entering the NFL in 2020, Herbert has thrown for 300-plus yards in 53% of his games played. Even if his rushing doesn't stack up with the league's elite, Herbert's cannon provides almost everything he needs to close the gap. | Joe Burrow finished the regular season as PFF's highest-graded passer (91.2) while also ranking first in super sticky stats like passing grade from a clean pocket (94.6) and passing grade throwing at the intermediate level (95.6). He finished the season as the QB8 averaging just north of 20.5 fantasy points per game. The Bengals quarterback has undoubtedly entered the conversation as one of the league's best real-life NFL passers, but might be slightly overvalued based on early best ball ADP with impending regression. He's the QB6 despite finishing as a top-6 fantasy quarterback just thrice in 2021. No quarterback scored more fantasy points over expectation, which hints that regression will hit Burrow in 2022. The LSU product also rushed for just 118 yards and two TDs. He rushed for fewer yards than Mac Jones, who is notorious for being ranked low across consensus due to his lack of upside as a rusher. However, there is a legitimate path for Burrow's upside to be further unlocked if the Bengals increase their pass rate as they did during his rookie season and down the playoff stretch. Burrow led the NFL in passing attempts per game (40.4) during his rookie season and averaged 38 passing attempts/23.0 fantasy points per game in his final six weeks An uptick in passing volume won't help Burrow's efficiency per se, but his fantasy numbers will be much more stable from week to week. Also can't forget to mention the Bengals revamped their offensive line as they look to not let their franchise quarterback get sacked 70 times - 22 more than the next closest quarterback. |
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | His line has improved from a Bottom-10 Unit to a potential Top-5 unit with an entirely new right side featuring La'El Collins, Alex Cappa, and Ted Karras. This improvement cannot be understated - it's so huge. | |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Herbert finished the 2021 season with 7 straight games of finishing as a Top-12 fantasy quarterback and the sky is the limit as he enters his third year in the NFL. He is a elite QB1 in 2022. | Burrow had 4,611 passing yards and 34 passing TDs in the 2021 fantasy season and he should be poised for another monster year on one of the most exciting offenses in the NFL that helped lead the Bengals to a Super Bowl appearance. He should benefit from the Bengals signing three veteran offensive lineman in free agency, which was their biggest weakness on offense. |
| Pat Fitzmaurice FantasyPros | There was no sophomore slump for Herbert, who was QB9 in fantasy scoring as a rookie and finished QB2 in 2021 despite getting a new offensive coordinator and new system. Consistently productive, Herbert either threw multiple TD passes or had 300+ passing yards in 15 of 17 starts last season. He has a howitzer for an arm and adds value with his legs. Expect the ascent to continue. | In his second NFL season, Burrow averaged 8.9 yards per pass attempt. Tom Brady never had a season with a YPA that high, and Aaron Rodgers has reached that number only once. And consider that when Burrow's marvelous season began, he was less than a year removed from surgery to repair a torn ACL and MCL. Burrow also has the superb young WR duo of Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins to make his job easier. |
