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Justin Herbert or Patrick Mahomes II

Who Should I Draft?


Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
   
 
Default player image

Expert
Percent


68%
Recommended by
108 of 160 experts
33%
Recommended by
52 of 160 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 2# 3-
Best Rank# 1# 2-
Worst Rank# 6# 8-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total395.6475.2-
Avg Game23.323.8-
Avg Projection355.9372.3-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank2027-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Justin HerbertPatrick Mahomes IIAdd Player
    
Nick Bretwisch N. Bretwisch
Win Daily Sports Win Daily Sports
5 m
#1#3-
    
Joe Metz J. Metz
4for4.com 4for4.com
25 m
#2#4-
    
Francisco (Chato) Romero F. (Chato) ...
Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy
39 m
#4#3-
    
Andy Behrens A. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
3 h
#3#5-
    
Raju Byfield R. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League Win My Fantasy League
3 h
#6#7-
    
Scott Smith S. Smith
RotoViz RotoViz
3 h
#2#3-
    
Jeremy Popielarz J. Popielarz
FTN FTN
4 h
#3#2-
    
Schuyler Malak S. Malak
JWB Fantasy Football JWB Fantasy Football
4 h
#4#3-
    
Austin Lee A. Lee
365 Fantasy Football 365 Fantasy Football
5 h
#2#7-
    
Dalton Del Don D. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
5 h
#6#4-
    
Tim Brosnan T. Brosnan
Tim's Fantasy Tips Tim's Fantasy Tips
6 h
#2#4-
    
Derek Lofland D. Lofland
FantasyPros FantasyPros
6 h
#2#3-
    
Chet Gresham C. Gresham
DK Nation DK Nation
6 h
#2#3-
    
Michelle Magdziuk M. Magdziuk
BallBlast BallBlast
6 h
#4#5-
    
Jaime Eisner J. Eisner
The Draft Network The Draft Network
7 h
#3#6-
    
Nick Zylak N. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice Fantasy Football A...
8 h
#2#3-
    
Staff Rankings S. Rankings
QB List QB List
8 h
#3#2-
    
Jeff Boggis J. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire Fantasy Football E...
9 h
#4#3-
    
Des Bieler D. Bieler
The Washington Post The Washington Post
10 h
#4#3-
    
Matthew Hill M. Hill
Fantasy Life Fantasy Life
10 h
#2#3-
    
Joey Wright J. Wright
Front Yard Fantasy Front Yard Fantasy
10 h
#2#3-
    
Wyatt Bertolone W. Bertolone
JWB Fantasy Football JWB Fantasy Football
12 h
#2#4-
    
Herms H.
The Lateral The Lateral
16 h
#2#9-
    
Tom Strachan T. Strachan
NFL Best Ball NFL Best Ball
18 h
#5#3-
    
Mark Ringo M. Ringo
Sleepers and Busts Sleepers and Busts
21 h
#3#4-
    
Dave Richard D. Richard
CBS Sports CBS Sports
21 h
#2#3-
    
Ellis Johnson E. Johnson
True North Fantasy Football True North Fantasy...
22 h
#1#6-
    
Jacob W. Dunne J. W. Dunne
Triple Play Fantasy Triple Play Fantasy
23 h
#3#4-
    
Austin Amandolia A. Amandolia
Club Fantasy FFL Club Fantasy FFL
1 d
#4#2-
    
Christopher Dell C. Dell
Betting Predators Betting Predators
1 d
#7#6-
    
Tommy Garrett T. Garrett
Pro Football Network Pro Football Network
1 d
#2#4-
    
Richard Savill R. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
1 d
#3#2-
    
Matt Olson M. Olson
The Pigskin Pow Wow The Pigskin Pow Wow
1 d
#2#4-
    
Site Rankings S. Rankings
Gridiron Experts Gridiron Experts
1 d
#3#2-
    
Alex Godshall A. Godshall
Beaver Dam Beaver Dam
1 d
#3#2-
    
Adam Pelletier A. Pelletier
Sports Gambling Podcast Network Sports Gambling Po...
1 d
#2#3-
    
Seth Miller S. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football Crossroads Fantasy...
1 d
#2#6-
    
Ben Wasley B. Wasley
The Fantasy First Down The Fantasy First ...
2 d
#3#2-
    
David Heilman D. Heilman
Sports Gambling Podcast Sports Gambling Po...
2 d
#2#3-
    
Brandon Murchison B. Murchison
RotoBaller RotoBaller
2 d
#2#3-
    
Nate Marcum N. Marcum
Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames
2 d
#2#3-
    
Wolf of Roto Street W. of Roto ...
Roto Street Journal Roto Street Journal
2 d
#2#5-
    
Scott Pianowski S. Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#2#3-
    
Connor Rigg C. Rigg
Dynasty Nerds Dynasty Nerds
2 d
#3#7-
    
Fantasy BR F. BR
Fantasy BR Fantasy BR
2 d
#2#4-
    
Kyle Krajewski K. Krajewski
First Seed Sports First Seed Sports
2 d
#2#3-
    
Jamey Eisenberg J. Eisenberg
CBS Sports CBS Sports
2 d
#2#3-
    
Jamie Calandro J. Calandro
Football Diehards Football Diehards
2 d
#2#3-
    
Matt Donnelly M. Donnelly
Dynasty Vipers Dynasty Vipers
2 d
#2#3-
    
Corey Buschlen C. Buschlen
The Fantasy Stock Exchange The Fantasy Stock ...
2 d
#5#8-
    
Michael Tomlin M. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
2 d
#4#1-
    
Brandon Funston B. Funston
The Athletic The Athletic
3 d
#3#2-
    
Joe Serpico J. Serpico
Pressbox Pressbox
3 d
#1#3-
    
Darrell Winstead D. Winstead
Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames
3 d
#2#3-
    
Justin Lampkin J. Lampkin
Clock Management Fantasy Football Clock Management F...
3 d
#2#7-
    
Michael Hauff M. Hauff
FF Faceoff FF Faceoff
3 d
#2#3-
    
Andrew Erickson A. Erickson
FantasyPros FantasyPros
3 d
#2#6-
    
Derek Brown D. Brown
FantasyPros FantasyPros
3 d
#5#6-
    
Blake Fincher B. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe Fantasy Football Cafe
3 d
#3#2-
    
John Paulsen J. Paulsen
4for4.com 4for4.com
3 d
#2#3-
    
Anthony Cervino A. Cervino
FF Faceoff FF Faceoff
3 d
#2#3-
    
Michael Petropoulos M. Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy BRoto Fantasy
4 d
#2#3-
    
Tim Petropoulos T. Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy BRoto Fantasy
4 d
#3#5-
    
Mike MacGregor M. MacGregor
Draft Buddy Draft Buddy
4 d
#2#3-
    
Aaron Larson A. Larson
FantasyPros FantasyPros
4 d
#6#4-
    
Rich Piazza R. Piazza
Fantasy Shed Fantasy Shed
4 d
#2#5-
    
Pat Fitzmaurice P. Fitzmaurice
FantasyPros FantasyPros
4 d
#5#2-
    
Wilmar Chaves W. Chaves
Hablemos de Football Hablemos de Football
4 d
#4#6-
    
Neema Hodjat N. Hodjat
Real GM Real GM
4 d
#4#3-
    
Site Rankings S. Rankings
FFToday FFToday
4 d
#3#2-
    
Dylan Licciardo D. Licciardo
FF Gamers FF Gamers
4 d
#3#2-
    
Matt Harmon M. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
4 d
#5#3-
    
Kevin English K. English
Draft Sharks Draft Sharks
4 d
#2#6-
    
Joe Pisapia J. Pisapia
FantasyPros FantasyPros
4 d
#2#3-
    
Bill Enright B. Enright
Sports Illustrated Sports Illustrated
4 d
#2#5-
    
Mauricio Gutierrez M. Gutierrez
Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy
4 d
#2#5-
    
Jacob Gibbs J. Gibbs
SportsLine SportsLine
4 d
#5#2-
    
Luke Sawhook L. Sawhook
Dynasty Nerds Dynasty Nerds
4 d
#2#4-
    
Chris Raybon C. Raybon
The Action Network The Action Network
4 d
#3#2-
    
Clayton Cadieux C. Cadieux
Fantasy Football From Up North Fantasy Football F...
5 d
#5#2-
    
Matthew Freedman M. Freedman
FantasyPros FantasyPros
5 d
#4#2-
    
Huseyin Aksu H. Aksu
Fantasy Couch Fantasy Couch
5 d
#2#3-
    
Joe Bond J. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
5 d
#3#2-
    
Jorge B. Edwards J. B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames
5 d
#1#4-
    
Nick Spencer N. Spencer
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
5 d
#4#6-
    
Brad Evans B. Evans
Bally Sports Bally Sports
5 d
#4#3-
    
Tyler Orginski T. Orginski
JWB Fantasy Football JWB Fantasy Football
5 d
#4#3-
    
Ryan Noonan R. Noonan
4for4.com 4for4.com
5 d
#3#4-
    
Scott Engel S. Engel
The Game Day The Game Day
5 d
#2#3-
    
Craig Phillips C. Phillips
FF Prophet FF Prophet
5 d
#3#2-
    
Bo McBrayer B. McBrayer
Going For 2 Going For 2
5 d
#2#3-
    
Lee Wehry L. Wehry
FantasyPros FantasyPros
5 d
#1#3-
    
Frank Ammirante F. Ammirante
The Game Day The Game Day
6 d
#2#7-
    
Jon Jeune J. Jeune
Fantasy Football Diagnostics Fantasy Football D...
6 d
#4#6-
    
John Hesterman J. Hesterman
Dynasty League Football Dynasty League Foo...
6 d
#2#4-
    
Kyle Senra K. Senra
Going For 2 Going For 2
1 w
#3#2-
    
Kevin Wheeler K. Wheeler
The Draft Zone The Draft Zone
1 w
#2#3-
    
Site Rankings S. Rankings
FullTime Fantasy FullTime Fantasy
1 w
#2#3-
    
Pierre Camus P. Camus
RotoBaller RotoBaller
1 w
#3#2-
    
Jason Petropoulos J. Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy BRoto Fantasy
1 w
#4#5-
    
Kyle Richardson K. Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners The Fantasy Headli...
1 w
#4#2-
    
Peter Rogers P. Rogers
NerdBall Fantay Football NerdBall Fantay Fo...
1 w
#2#8-
    
Dave Kluge D. Kluge
Footballguys Footballguys
1 w
#5#6-
    
Jacob Hubman J. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners The Fantasy Headli...
1 w
#2#3-
    
Steven Pintado S. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches The Fantasy Coaches
1 w
#2#3-
    
David Zach D. Zach
FantasyPros FantasyPros
1 w
#5#3-
    
Andy Singleton A. Singleton
Expand The Boxscore Expand The Boxscore
2 w
#2#3-
    
Mark Ross M. Ross
Athlon Sports Athlon Sports
2 w
#2#4-
    
Mick Ciallela M. Ciallela
Fantrax Fantrax
2 w
#2#3-
    
Chalk C.
The Undroppables The Undroppables
2 w
#2#3-
    
Dennis Sosic D. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
2 w
#2#3-
    
Jordan Rains J. Rains
The IDP Army The IDP Army
2 w
#3#2-
    
Bart Wheeler B. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football Hail to Fantasy Fo...
2 w
#3#2-
    
Nathan Groot Nibbelink N. Groot Ni...
JWB Fantasy Football JWB Fantasy Football
2 w
#2#5-
    
Daniel Mader D. Mader
Belly Up Sports Belly Up Sports
2 w
#4#5-
    
Andersen Pickard A. Pickard
Prime Time Sports Talk Prime Time Sports ...
2 w
#2#4-
    
Rudy Gamble R. Gamble
Razzball Razzball
2 w
#3#2-
    
Kevin Hanson K. Hanson
EDSFootball EDSFootball
2 w
#2#3-
    
Michael Fabiano M. Fabiano
Sports Illustrated Sports Illustrated
2 w
#2#3-
    
Tommy Molioo T. Molioo
The Undroppables The Undroppables
2 w
#4#3-
    
Richard Cooling R. Cooling
5 Yard Rush 5 Yard Rush
3 w
#2#3-
    
James Bryer J. Bryer
Gridiron Experts Gridiron Experts
3 w
#2#3-
    
Michael Beller M. Beller
The Athletic The Athletic
3 w
#2#4-
    
Guilherme Gianni G. Gianni
Fantasy Futebolista Fantasy Futebolista
3 w
#2#3-
    
Robby Jeffries R. Jeffries
The Fantasy Authority The Fantasy Authority
3 w
#2#4-
    
Adrian Alpanseque A. Alpanseque
Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy
3 w
#2#3-
    
Jose Ramon Llaca J. Ramon Llaca
Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy
3 w
#2#5-
    
Liz Loza L. Loza
LizLoza_FF LizLoza_FF
3 w
#2#4-
    
Corbin Young C. Young
FantasyData FantasyData
3 w
#4#5-
    
Josh Hall J. Hall
IDP Army IDP Army
3 w
#3#2-
    
Drew DeLuca D. DeLuca
QB List QB List
3 w
#3#5-
    
Chris Kennedy C. Kennedy
CK Sports CK Sports
3 w
#4#2-
    
Scott Bogman S. Bogman
FantasyPros FantasyPros
3 w
#4#3-
    
Adam Stark A. Stark
Everyday Fantasy Football Everyday Fantasy F...
3 w
#4#2-
    
Matt De Lima M. De Lima
Sports Illustrated Sports Illustrated
4 w
#2#3-
    
Justin Dodds J. Dodds
SleeperWire SleeperWire
4 w
#2#3-
    
Allie Fontana A. Fontana
Fighting Chance Fantasy Fighting Chance Fa...
4 w
#2#3-
    
Ryan Weisse R. Weisse
Footballguys Footballguys
07/08
#2#5-
    
Alex Caruso A. Caruso
Footballguys Footballguys
07/07
#4#6-
    
Tozzi Brothers T. Brothers
Legion Report Legion Report
07/07
#2#3-
    
Justin Sablich J. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy 5th Down Fantasy
07/02
#3#2-
    
Ben Rolfe B. Rolfe
Pro Football Network Pro Football Network
07/01
#3#2-
    
Ricky Lemon R. Lemon
The Fantasy Champions The Fantasy Champions
07/01
#3#2-
    
Andrew Seifter A. Seifter
FantasyPros FantasyPros
06/30
#2#3-
    
Bradlee Kilgore B. Kilgore
Fantrax Fantrax
06/30
#6#5-
    
Morgan Colby M. Colby
The Fantasy Champions The Fantasy Champions
06/28
#4#1-
    
Tim Metzler T. Metzler
FantasyPros FantasyPros
06/27
#3#2-
    
Benjamin Klotz B. Klotz
Touchdown Squad Touchdown Squad
06/25
#4#2-
    
Billy Mansell B. Mansell
IDP Army IDP Army
06/22
#2#3-
    
Tim Jablonski T. Jablonski
The Hateful 8 The Hateful 8
06/20
#2#3-
    
Adam Murfet A. Murfet
5 Yard Rush 5 Yard Rush
06/18
#2#4-
    
Smitty S.
SleeperU SleeperU
06/17
#1#4-
    
Jeff Bell J. Bell
Footballguys Footballguys
06/16
#3#5-
    
Mike Maher M. Maher
FantasyPros FantasyPros
06/08
#3#2-
    
David Mendelson D. Mendelson
Triple Play Fantasy Triple Play Fantasy
07/05
#2#3-
    
Zach Greubel Z. Greubel
Gridiron Experts Gridiron Experts
06/01
#2#3-
    
Jody Smith J. Smith
FullTime Fantasy FullTime Fantasy
05/28
#2#3-
    
Dominick Petrillo D. Petrillo
The Athletic The Athletic
05/25
#2#3-
    
Richard King R. King
King Fantasy Sports King Fantasy Sports
06/02
#2#3-
    
Dan Harris D. Harris
FantasyPros FantasyPros
01/04
#4#2-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
 
2022 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. LV at ARI
Week 2 at KC vs. LAC
Week 3 vs. JAC at IND
Week 4 at HOU at TB
Week 5 at CLE vs. LV
Week 6 vs. DEN vs. BUF
Week 7 vs. SEA at SF
Week 8BYE WEEKBYE WEEK
Week 9 at ATL vs. TEN
Week 10 at SF vs. JAC
Week 11 vs. KC at LAC
Week 12 at ARI vs. LAR
Week 13 at LV at CIN
Week 14 vs. MIA at DEN
Week 15 vs. TEN at HOU
Week 16 at IND vs. SEA
Week 17 vs. LAR vs. DEN
Week 18 at DEN at LV
Player Projections Comparison
 
Passing
   
Pass Att625.3634.2
Pass Cmp415.3417.9
Pass Yards4,680.84,843.1
Pass TDs33.935.8
Ints13.311.6
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts65.165.9
Rush Yards299.4359.9
Rush TDs3.22.8
   
Misc
   
Fumbles1.42.8
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points355.9372.3
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
2021 Points 
Week 114.433.3
Week 216.725.0
Week 330.824.9
Week 421.332.3
Week 542.821.0
Week 612.025.0
Week 78.7
Week 815.815.0
Week 931.610.4
Week 1013.036.2
Week 1135.38.5
Week 1221.7
Week 1326.313.6
Week 1424.920.3
Week 1524.030.6
Week 1618.922.3
Week 1717.720.9
Week 1828.426.2
Total395.6475.2
Average23.323.8
Notes for Player Combination
 
Expert 
Andrew Erickson
FantasyPros
Justin Herbert finished third in touchdowns and fifth in PFF passing grade (91.8) from a clean pocket in 2021. The Bolts quarterback also wrapped up the season as PFF's third-highest-graded quarterback overall, third in fantasy points per game (22.7) and fifth in expected fantasy points per game (21.7) The Los Angeles Chargers signal-caller is a certified stud - a top-five, elite-tier fantasy quarterback in 2022. Only Tom Brady and Josh Allen posted as many top-5 weeks as Herbert did last season. He and Brady led the NFL with nine 300-yard passing games. Since entering the NFL in 2020, Herbert has thrown for 300-plus yards in 53% of his games played. Even if his rushing doesn't stack up with the league's elite, Herbert's cannon provides almost everything he needs to close the gap.Despite the ups-and-downs of the KC Chiefs offense as a response to the Cover 2 defense, Patrick Mahomes was as a stellar as ever from a fantasy perspective. The former MVP ranked fourth in fantasy points per game (22.0) tying Justin Herbert with 12 weekly top-12 QB finishes. Still, Mahomes averaged fewer fantasy points per game than in 2020 (25.2). Additionally, the loss of Tyreek Hill cannot be ignored heading into 2022. The duo ranks second in combined passing touchdowns (41) since 2016 - despite Mahomes not becoming the starter until the 2018. Mahomes can't totally be written off as a top-five fantasy option - .QB4 without Hill through the first five weeks of 2019 averaging 25 fantasy points per game - but there's real concern about his top-tier weekly ceiling without Hill. Especially coming off a season where he posted a career-low PFF passing grade (77.5) and career-high in interceptions (16). He's likely being overvalued as the QB2 in early best ball drafts on name recognition alone.
Nick Bretwisch
Win Daily Sports
Love everything about him and his receiving core. Same coaching staff (I obviously love OC, Joe Lomardi), and the offensive line is solid. Herbert will be in store for another strong fantasy output as they drop back to pass around 40+ times a game.Not concerned with anything here for Mahomes. I'd assume he spent a lot of time this offseason dissecting ways to beat the two-high safety look most defenses deployed on him towards the middle/end of the season. No Tyreek, no problem (in my opinion).
Wolf of Roto Street
Roto Street Journal
 Big weapon downgrade with No Tyreek -- is Mahomes weapons-proof? 7/4: Came out AWFUL in projections. EEK!!!
Justin Lampkin
Clock Management Fantasy Football
 I worry how well Mahomes will be able to preform without Hill and an aging Kelce. This will not be the same offense we have become accustomed to seeing on the field. I will be avoiding Mahomes in any casual leagues as he will be drafted based off of his name.
Adam Stark
Everyday Fantasy Football
 Lost Tyreek this year, gained Juju, Sky Moore, and MVS. Added Rojo, and let Williams and McKinnon walk.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Herbert finished the 2021 season with 7 straight games of finishing as a Top-12 fantasy quarterback and the sky is the limit as he enters his third year in the NFL. He is a elite QB1 in 2022.Patrick Mahomes II is one of the safest players in the NFL, in a "down" season he still had 4,569 yards passing and 35 passing TDs in the fantasy regular season. He is an elite fantasy quarterback on one of the best offenses in the NFL, although he will miss Tyreek Hill's ability to make monster plays in the passing game.
Pat Fitzmaurice
FantasyPros
There was no sophomore slump for Herbert, who was QB9 in fantasy scoring as a rookie and finished QB2 in 2021 despite getting a new offensive coordinator and new system. Consistently productive, Herbert either threw multiple TD passes or had 300+ passing yards in 15 of 17 starts last season. He has a howitzer for an arm and adds value with his legs. Expect the ascent to continue.Mahomes threw an inordinate number of interceptions early in the 2021 season and endured an uncharacteristic midseason TD drought, but late in the regular season and in the playoffs, he looked more like the transcendent QB we've come to know so well. Coming off what for him qualifies as a "down" season, Mahomes might be available at a slight discount in 2022 drafts.