Justin Jefferson or Ja'Marr Chase
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN  Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Ja'Marr Chase WR - CIN  Ja'Marr Chase WR - CIN |  | |
Expert |
86% Recommended by 70 of 81 experts |
14% Recommended by 11 of 81 experts |
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| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop WR ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would draftUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 1 | # 2 | - |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 1 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 3 | # 3 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 240.6 | 155.4 | - |
| Avg Game | 14.2 | 12.0 | - |
| Avg Projection | 207.8 | 202.0 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 23 | 4 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Justin Jefferson | Ja'Marr Chase | Add Player |
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Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Ja'Marr Chase WR - CIN Ja'Marr Chase WR - CIN | |
| 2023 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. TB | at CLE |
| Week 2 | at PHI | vs. BAL |
| Week 3 | vs. LAC | vs. LAR |
| Week 4 | at CAR | at TEN |
| Week 5 | vs. KC | at ARI |
| Week 6 | at CHI | vs. SEA |
| Week 7 | vs. SF | BYE WEEK |
| Week 8 | at GB | at SF |
| Week 9 | at ATL | vs. BUF |
| Week 10 | vs. NO | vs. HOU |
| Week 11 | at DEN | at BAL |
| Week 12 | vs. CHI | vs. PIT |
| Week 13 | BYE WEEK | at JAC |
| Week 14 | at LV | vs. IND |
| Week 15 | at CIN | vs. MIN |
| Week 16 | vs. DET | at PIT |
| Week 17 | vs. GB | at KC |
| Week 18 | at DET | vs. CLE |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Ja'Marr Chase WR - CIN Ja'Marr Chase WR - CIN | |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 112.1 | 106.2 |
| Rec Yards | 1,532.8 | 1,390.8 |
| Rec TDs | 8.6 | 10.4 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 3.8 | 4.9 |
| Rush Yards | 19.2 | 21.2 |
| Rush TDs | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 207.8 | 202.0 |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Ja'Marr Chase WR - CIN Ja'Marr Chase WR - CIN | |
| 2022 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 30.4 | 18.9 |
| Week 2 | 4.8 | 5.8 |
| Week 3 | 1.4 | 6.7 |
| Week 4 | 21.0 | 8.1 |
| Week 5 | 18.3 | 5.0 |
| Week 6 | 10.7 | 25.2 |
| Week 7 | ‐ | 25.0 |
| Week 8 | 9.8 | ‐ |
| Week 9 | 18.5 | ‐ |
| Week 10 | 25.3 | ‐ |
| Week 11 | 3.3 | ‐ |
| Week 12 | 20.3 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | 11.6 | 9.7 |
| Week 14 | 22.3 | 18.5 |
| Week 15 | 18.3 | 12.0 |
| Week 16 | 19.3 | 5.9 |
| Week 17 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Week 18 | 3.8 | 14.6 |
| Total | 240.6 | 155.4 |
| Average | 14.2 | 12.0 |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Ja'Marr Chase WR - CIN Ja'Marr Chase WR - CIN | |
| 2022 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 11 | 16 |
| Week 2 | 12 | 9 |
| Week 3 | 6 | 10 |
| Week 4 | 13 | 6 |
| Week 5 | 13 | 12 |
| Week 6 | 8 | 10 |
| Week 7 | ‐ | 11 |
| Week 8 | 8 | ‐ |
| Week 9 | 13 | ‐ |
| Week 10 | 16 | ‐ |
| Week 11 | 5 | ‐ |
| Week 12 | 11 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | 11 | 8 |
| Week 14 | 15 | 15 |
| Week 15 | 16 | 13 |
| Week 16 | 16 | 11 |
| Week 17 | 5 | 0 |
| Week 18 | 5 | 13 |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Ja'Marr Chase WR - CIN Ja'Marr Chase WR - CIN | |
| Expert | ||
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Jefferson was a target monster in 2022, tallying 179 targets, 124 receptions, 1,771 receiving yards, and 8 TDs. Jefferson is the best receiver in the NFL at this point and he should be an elite WR1 for years to come. | Chase had 79 receptions for 960 yards and 8 TDs in the 2022 fantasy season, despite missing 4 fantasy games. He is still a young player that should stay health in 2023. If he plays 16 fantasy games, he should be an elite fantasy option that could challenge Justin Jefferson for the best fantasy receiver in the NFL. |
| Ellis Johnson True North Fantasy Football | Believe it or not, just because I have Jefferson at number two, doesn't mean I hate him. Jefferson is fanatstic. If you are looking for weekly consistency and elite target totals, he's your guy. Although I prefer the upside of Ja'Marr Chase, Jefferson has a more solidified role on the offense and doesn't have to compete with Tee Higgins. It's a coin flip for which WR you want to take at the start of the draft. | Considering everyone believes Chase and Jefferson are a tier of their own, I am surprised how few people have Chase at one. Due to his injury last season, it is often overlooked that he averaged more targets and touchdowns per game and 0.2 fewer receptions per game than Jefferson. If one of these two is going to score 12+ touchdowns, I'm betting it's Chase, making him my WR-one this season. |
| Justin Herrera TSS Fantasy | There's no doubt that he's the best wide receiver across all formats. | Chase's ADOT dropped by almost three yards from his freshman to sophomore years in the NFL. I wonder if this will continue to be the case in 2023. Chase is a dominant force downfield but a lot like Tyreek Hill his offense might need him to use his speed while running shorter routes. Leading to more catches and added PPR value. |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | The Vikings WR finished first in fantasy points scored, 10th in target share (28%), third in yards per route run (2.70) and second in expected fantasy points per game (15.9) in 2022. His 11.1 expected TDs and 26 red-zone targets tied for first among all WRs. With Adam Thielen's TD presence gone - and Jefferson coming off a curiously low 8-TD year (two fewer than in 2021) - I expect him to score inside the double-digits in 2023. | I fully expect Justin Jefferson to be the consensus No. 1 wide receiver, but Ja'Marr Chase will be right on his heels as the No. 2. Chase led all WRs in red-zone targets per game (28 in 14 games played) and expected fantasy half-PPR points per game (16.4). Therefore, he's an extremely strong bet to finish No. 1 in red-zone targets and receiving touchdowns in 2023. His 22 receiving touchdowns through his first two seasons are the most by any WR since Odell Beckham Jr. In the games that Chase was healthy this year, he also posted a superior target share (30% vs. 28%) and identical air yards share (39%) to Jefferson. All things being considered, Chase also has a quarterback that could easily throw for 50 TDs. Kirk Cousins won't toss 40-plus touchdowns in this lifetime. |
| Derek Brown FantasyPros | Justin Jefferson was a fantasy monster last season. He was the WR2 in fantasy points per game, ranking first in targets, first in red zone targets, and ninth in deep targets. Jefferson was a top-five-scoring fantasy wideout in 52.9% of his games. He was also eighth in open rate (per FiveThirtyEight). Jefferson is a top-three fantasy pick in 2023 that will see more single coverage with the arrival of Jordan Addison. He looks primed for a career year. | Chase followed up a stellar rookie campaign with a banner sophomore season. He was sixth in target share (29.3%), ninth in air yard share (36.6%), and the WR4 in fantasy points per game. Despite only playing 12 regular season games, he finished third in red zone targets and fourth in total touchdowns. Chase is a top-three fantasy receiver in 2023 and a locked-in top-five pick. |
| Brandon Funston The Athletic | Has averaged 108 catches, 1600+ recYds, 8.7 TDs and 0 DNPs in 3 NFL seasons | In PPR scoring, only OBJ had more fantasy points at WR than Chase through the first 29 games of an NFL career |
