Khalil Herbert or Brian Robinson Jr.
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS  Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI  Khalil Herbert RB - CHI |  | |
Expert |
55% Recommended by 43 of 78 experts |
45% Recommended by 35 of 78 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop RB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would draftUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 29 | # 30 | - |
| Best Rank | # 23 | # 23 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 39 | # 40 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 103.7 | 108.8 | - |
| Avg Game | 8.6 | 8.4 | - |
| Avg Projection | 136.5 | 119.4 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 18 | 2 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Brian Robinson Jr. | Khalil Herbert | Add Player |
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06/08 | #25 | #29 | - |
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06/08 | #26 | #27 | - |
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06/08 | #39 | #46 | - |
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06/07 | #24 | #32 | - |
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06/06 | #37 | #34 | - |
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06/06 | #32 | #35 | - |
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06/06 | #30 | #28 | - |
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06/06 | #34 | #28 | - |
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06/08 | #34 | #24 | - |
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06/05 | #26 | #31 | - |
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06/03 | #32 | #34 | - |
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06/07 | #29 | #25 | - |
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06/02 | #21 | #36 | - |
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05/24 | #34 | #29 | - |
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05/22 | #28 | #32 | - |
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05/23 | #30 | #29 | - |
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05/21 | #30 | #32 | - |
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05/19 | #28 | #32 | - |
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05/26 | #23 | #27 | - |
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05/18 | #34 | #25 | - |
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05/22 | #28 | #26 | - |
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05/16 | #30 | #23 | - |
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05/15 | #28 | #35 | - |
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05/12 | #30 | #28 | - |
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05/01 | #22 | #38 | - |
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04/30 | #29 | #23 | - |
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04/30 | #26 | #19 | - |
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04/28 | #21 | #30 | - |
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04/24 | #25 | #28 | - |
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04/23 | #24 | #32 | - |
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05/23 | #33 | #32 | - |
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04/21 | #18 | #25 | - |
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03/05 | #32 | #26 | - |
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03/02 | #22 | #37 | - |
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02/22 | #26 | #32 | - |
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02/09 | #29 | #34 | - |
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02/02 | #28 | #32 | - |
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01/30 | #34 | #38 | - |
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01/19 | #34 | #31 | - |
Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI Khalil Herbert RB - CHI | |
| 2023 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. ARI | vs. GB |
| Week 2 | at DEN | at TB |
| Week 3 | vs. BUF | at KC |
| Week 4 | at PHI | vs. DEN |
| Week 5 | vs. CHI | at WAS |
| Week 6 | at ATL | vs. MIN |
| Week 7 | at NYG | vs. LV |
| Week 8 | vs. PHI | at LAC |
| Week 9 | at NE | at NO |
| Week 10 | at SEA | vs. CAR |
| Week 11 | vs. NYG | at DET |
| Week 12 | at DAL | at MIN |
| Week 13 | vs. MIA | BYE WEEK |
| Week 14 | BYE WEEK | vs. DET |
| Week 15 | at LAR | at CLE |
| Week 16 | at NYJ | vs. ARI |
| Week 17 | vs. SF | vs. ATL |
| Week 18 | vs. DAL | at GB |
Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI Khalil Herbert RB - CHI | |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 218.1 | 158.8 |
| Rush Yards | 938.4 | 774.4 |
| Rush TDs | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 16.5 | 17.8 |
| Rec Yards | 109.4 | 121.2 |
| Rec TDs | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 136.5 | 119.4 |
Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI Khalil Herbert RB - CHI | |
| 2022 Points | ||
| Week 1 | ‐ | 10.3 |
| Week 2 | ‐ | 4.1 |
| Week 3 | ‐ | 28.9 |
| Week 4 | ‐ | 10.1 |
| Week 5 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Week 6 | 12.0 | 7.4 |
| Week 7 | 8.6 | 14.7 |
| Week 8 | 2.0 | 15.9 |
| Week 9 | 3.8 | 2.3 |
| Week 10 | 14.6 | 5.7 |
| Week 11 | 5.7 | ‐ |
| Week 12 | 18.5 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | 11.1 | ‐ |
| Week 14 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 15 | 10.7 | ‐ |
| Week 16 | 5.8 | 0.3 |
| Week 17 | 8.7 | 3.1 |
| Week 18 | ‐ | 4.9 |
| Total | 103.7 | 108.8 |
| Average | 8.6 | 8.4 |
Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI Khalil Herbert RB - CHI | |
| 2022 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | ‐ | 1 |
| Week 2 | ‐ | 1 |
| Week 3 | ‐ | 2 |
| Week 4 | ‐ | 1 |
| Week 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Week 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Week 7 | 2 | 2 |
| Week 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Week 9 | 2 | 0 |
| Week 10 | 0 | 0 |
| Week 11 | 0 | ‐ |
| Week 12 | 3 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | 2 | ‐ |
| Week 14 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 15 | 1 | ‐ |
| Week 16 | 1 | 3 |
| Week 17 | 1 | 0 |
| Week 18 | ‐ | 2 |
Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS Brian Robinson Jr. RB - WAS | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI Khalil Herbert RB - CHI | |
| Expert | ||
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Brian Robinson Jr. took little time getting adjusted to NFL bellcow duties after missing the first four games of his NFL career after suffering gunshot wounds in August. From Week 6 onward, B-Rob averaged 9.4 fantasy points per game (RB34). But the points per game hardly depict Robinson's rookie campaign because he was getting fed with volume. He ranked fourth in carries (17.8 per game) and averaged over 70 rushing yards per game as PFF's ninth-highest-graded running back (82.1). The Commanders running back's lack of receiving usage - just 9 catches for 60 yards on a 6% target share - and lack of TDs was the reason for his underwhelming fantasy box scores. And although his receiving usage likely won't change too dramatically with Antonio Gibson back under contract in 2023, I'd fully expect him to experience positive TD regression. Robinson finishes the fantasy regular season 13th in carries, but with just two rushing TDs. His 14 carries from inside the 10-yard line were the most of any player to score fewer than three rushing TDs. | Khalil Herbert was better than David Montgomery in nearly every single rushing metric in 2022. He averaged 5.7 yards per carry to Montgomery's flat 4.0 yards per carry average. Herbert rushed for just 70 fewer yards on 72 fewer carries. Monty's rushing EPA of -15.3 ranked 32nd while Herbert's 1.17 rushing EPA ranked 12th. Had Herbert not gotten hurt in Week 10 versus the Detroit Lions, there was a non-zero chance he would have completely usurped Montgomery as the team's lead back. In the two games that Herbert led the backfield due to a Montgomery injury, the Bears second-year rusher averaged 117 rushing yards and 19.5 carries. Herbert also has just had as many career games (4) as Montgomery with at least 90 rushing yards. With Monty leaving in free agency, the rebuilding Bears let him walk and added D'Onta Foreman to join the backfield. Foreman's flashes of high-end early-down starting potential for two straight seasons are going to earn him opportunities in Chicago. Even though Herbert has shown out on limited opportunities, it's hard to envision anything but another usage split between Herbert and Foreman similar to the split between Herbert and Montgomery last season. Foreman and Herbert earned nearly identical rushing EPA per attempt last year (inside the top 15). Fantasy managers might be best off taking the cheaper of the two in drafts because there may not be a true No. 1 rusher in the Windy City unless there's an injury. If the Bears are as run-heavy as they were last season, there's a chance that both can return value, but keep in mind that Justin Fields' own rushing will take away volume chances from both backs. Fantasy managers also have to consider 4th-round rookie draft selection, Roschon Johnson. Johnson's efficient rushing style, bell-cow size and pass-protection props figure to complicate the Bears backfield into a potential three-headed monster. |
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | 5/5: Team is SUPER excited about Chris Rodriguez, who parallels as a similar bowling ball. This backfield has a real messy feel -- Gibson feels the most defined of them all. | 5/5: Between Foreman & new rookie Roschon Johnson, Herbert didn't get the WORST competition, but he also wasn't hand-picked by this staff like the other two. He was the 2022 NFL leader in YPC & has always been hyper-efficient as a start, so Herbert still carries plenty of juice, but this could be a 3-headed nightmare where Herbert isn't even the lead 3/19: Foreman joins - which does cap his ceiling some, as he's a goalline maven. Still, Herbert flashed huge upside and if he's getting 60% of the work, he's gonna eat 3/17: For now, in the driver seat's of 2022's NFL best rushing attack. Herbert has always feasted when given the chance, so if the Bears wisely give him a real spin in 2023, he has unlimited upside |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Herbert should be the most productive Bears running back in 2023, but D'Onta Foreman was also signed as a free agent. Herbert had 138 to | |
