Khalil Herbert or Isiah Pacheco
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
Isiah Pacheco RB - KC  Isiah Pacheco RB - KC | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI  Khalil Herbert RB - CHI |  | |
Expert |
86% Recommended by 70 of 81 experts |
14% Recommended by 11 of 81 experts |
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| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop RB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would draftUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 24 | # 31 | - |
| Best Rank | # 20 | # 23 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 38 | # 40 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 122.0 | 108.8 | - |
| Avg Game | 7.2 | 8.4 | - |
| Avg Projection | 149.0 | 116.7 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 8 | 2 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Isiah Pacheco | Khalil Herbert | Add Player |
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06/10 | #21 | #35 | - |
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06/10 | #21 | #29 | - |
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06/09 | #23 | #34 | - |
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06/09 | #25 | #26 | - |
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06/09 | #27 | #35 | - |
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06/09 | #28 | #25 | - |
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06/09 | #21 | #30 | - |
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06/09 | #25 | #30 | - |
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06/09 | #21 | #35 | - |
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06/08 | #24 | #32 | - |
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06/08 | #25 | #39 | - |
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06/08 | #22 | #36 | - |
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06/08 | #28 | #35 | - |
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06/08 | #22 | #27 | - |
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06/08 | #26 | #29 | - |
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06/08 | #22 | #27 | - |
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06/08 | #24 | #32 | - |
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06/08 | #22 | #25 | - |
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06/09 | #25 | #40 | - |
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06/08 | #26 | #46 | - |
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06/07 | #26 | #30 | - |
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06/08 | #24 | #33 | - |
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06/08 | #23 | #34 | - |
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06/06 | #30 | #34 | - |
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06/06 | #24 | #30 | - |
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06/06 | #24 | #35 | - |
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06/06 | #27 | #28 | - |
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06/06 | #25 | #28 | - |
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06/05 | #25 | #39 | - |
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06/08 | #22 | #24 | - |
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06/10 | #28 | #30 | - |
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06/05 | #20 | #33 | - |
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06/05 | #24 | #31 | - |
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06/02 | #29 | #36 | - |
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06/01 | #23 | #30 | - |
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06/01 | #24 | #30 | - |
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06/10 | #23 | #28 | - |
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06/09 | #30 | #21 | - |
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05/31 | #23 | #35 | - |
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05/31 | #23 | #29 | - |
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05/31 | #21 | #29 | - |
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06/07 | #21 | #37 | - |
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05/31 | #30 | #24 | - |
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05/30 | #30 | #27 | - |
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05/30 | #25 | #31 | - |
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05/28 | #24 | #30 | - |
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06/01 | #40 | #36 | - |
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05/28 | #38 | #29 | - |
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05/26 | #13 | #39 | - |
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05/25 | #26 | #29 | - |
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05/24 | #25 | #29 | - |
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05/22 | #22 | #32 | - |
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05/23 | #25 | #29 | - |
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05/21 | #23 | #32 | - |
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05/19 | #24 | #32 | - |
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05/26 | #29 | #27 | - |
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05/18 | #22 | #25 | - |
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06/09 | #25 | #26 | - |
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05/16 | #20 | #23 | - |
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05/15 | #31 | #35 | - |
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05/12 | #24 | #28 | - |
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05/10 | #16 | #33 | - |
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05/09 | #25 | #26 | - |
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05/08 | #23 | #28 | - |
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05/10 | #23 | #26 | - |
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05/01 | #20 | #38 | - |
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05/01 | #26 | #29 | - |
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04/30 | #21 | #23 | - |
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04/30 | #25 | #19 | - |
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04/28 | #23 | #30 | - |
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04/24 | #21 | #28 | - |
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04/23 | #29 | #32 | - |
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05/23 | #30 | #32 | - |
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04/21 | #20 | #25 | - |
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03/05 | #30 | #26 | - |
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03/02 | #33 | #37 | - |
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02/22 | #21 | #32 | - |
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02/09 | #35 | #34 | - |
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02/02 | #31 | #32 | - |
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01/30 | #37 | #38 | - |
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01/19 | #32 | #31 | - |
Isiah Pacheco RB - KC Isiah Pacheco RB - KC | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI Khalil Herbert RB - CHI | |
| 2023 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. DET | vs. GB |
| Week 2 | at JAC | at TB |
| Week 3 | vs. CHI | at KC |
| Week 4 | at NYJ | vs. DEN |
| Week 5 | at MIN | at WAS |
| Week 6 | vs. DEN | vs. MIN |
| Week 7 | vs. LAC | vs. LV |
| Week 8 | at DEN | at LAC |
| Week 9 | vs. MIA | at NO |
| Week 10 | BYE WEEK | vs. CAR |
| Week 11 | vs. PHI | at DET |
| Week 12 | at LV | at MIN |
| Week 13 | at GB | BYE WEEK |
| Week 14 | vs. BUF | vs. DET |
| Week 15 | at NE | at CLE |
| Week 16 | vs. LV | vs. ARI |
| Week 17 | vs. CIN | vs. ATL |
| Week 18 | at LAC | at GB |
Isiah Pacheco RB - KC Isiah Pacheco RB - KC | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI Khalil Herbert RB - CHI | |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 197.3 | 156.6 |
| Rush Yards | 886.4 | 762.9 |
| Rush TDs | 6.7 | 4.3 |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 23.2 | 17.6 |
| Rec Yards | 193.3 | 120.3 |
| Rec TDs | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 149.0 | 116.7 |
Isiah Pacheco RB - KC Isiah Pacheco RB - KC | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI Khalil Herbert RB - CHI | |
| 2022 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 12.2 | 10.3 |
| Week 2 | 0.6 | 4.1 |
| Week 3 | 0.9 | 28.9 |
| Week 4 | 6.3 | 10.1 |
| Week 5 | 0.0 | 1.1 |
| Week 6 | 1.8 | 7.4 |
| Week 7 | 4.3 | 14.7 |
| Week 8 | ‐ | 15.9 |
| Week 9 | 0.9 | 2.3 |
| Week 10 | 6.2 | 5.7 |
| Week 11 | 10.7 | ‐ |
| Week 12 | 14.6 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | 14.2 | ‐ |
| Week 14 | 9.3 | ‐ |
| Week 15 | 7.7 | ‐ |
| Week 16 | 9.0 | 0.3 |
| Week 17 | 10.9 | 3.1 |
| Week 18 | 12.4 | 4.9 |
| Total | 122.0 | 108.8 |
| Average | 7.2 | 8.4 |
Isiah Pacheco RB - KC Isiah Pacheco RB - KC | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI Khalil Herbert RB - CHI | |
| 2022 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Week 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Week 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Week 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Week 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Week 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Week 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Week 8 | ‐ | 0 |
| Week 9 | 1 | 0 |
| Week 10 | 0 | 0 |
| Week 11 | 0 | ‐ |
| Week 12 | 1 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | 2 | ‐ |
| Week 14 | 3 | ‐ |
| Week 15 | 1 | ‐ |
| Week 16 | 2 | 3 |
| Week 17 | 2 | 0 |
| Week 18 | 0 | 2 |
Isiah Pacheco RB - KC Isiah Pacheco RB - KC | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI Khalil Herbert RB - CHI | |
| Expert | ||
| Ellis Johnson True North Fantasy Football | Pacheco is a tricky back to rank this season. After exceeding all expectations of his seventh-round draft capital, he heads into this season projected to be this team's lead rusher. Despite this projection, the team still has former first-round pick Clyde Edwards-Helaire and brought back Jerrick McKinnon. Although he was able to produce last season with the two of them, he only had more than 15 rushing attempts once and surpassed 50% of snaps twice. Since the offense is so potent, he can do this with limited passing work and still produce for fantasy, but that's a lot of risks I'd look to avoid. It's not often that I want to avoid the RBs on one of the league's best offenses, but this might be one of those times. | |
| Mark Ringo Sleepers and Busts | About ten months ago I listed Isiah Pacheco in Ringo's 2022 Sleepers and Busts article. Many, scoffed. What are you nuts? When they look up stupid in the dictionary they should put a pic of you next to it. (*Note- they still should do that, just not for that call haha!) He's a seventh-round pick. He might not even make the team you clod. Pacheco ended up being a good sleeper pick. He would have been a great one if not for Jerick McKinnon- sigh! McKinnon played a bigger role than I ever envisioned, stealing away key touches in the red zone. Fast forward to May 2023. How the times have changed. As 2023 approaches, it's Pacheco who's the starting RB for K.C. He should be more comfortable with the playbook. While the Chiefs are still a passing team, they still score an awful lot of TDs. In fact, in the last eight games in the regular season and three playoff games, Pacheco averaged about 11 fantasy pts a game (11.6). Over the course of the season, he would have finished as RB 22. And if Andy Reid wants to reduce Jerick McKinnon's role and give Pacheco more of the touches. Pacheco could easily become a top-five RB. Note- McKinnon averaged 14.5 pts a game in the regular season but dropped off in the playoffs. In the most important games of the season, which culminated in a championship. it was Pacheco who got more touches, not the veteran! Even if Pacheco only siphons off some of McKinnon's touches like three or four fantasy points a game, that would shoot Pacheco up in the rankings. Obviously, he's not as cheap as last July when I wrote my article RB 113- man that was nice. But he's still cheap on a relative basis. I think there's still upside profit with Pacheco at his current ADP of RB 25. Side note- after last year's call, you may now refer to me by my fantasy football stage name....Ringcheco haha!! | |
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | 5/5: Surprisingly, the Chiefs made minimal moves this offseason at RB, just bringing back McKinnon. While this does cap Pacheco's receiving role, he remains a clear-winner as the lead back in one of the highest TD-upside spots. A phenomenal investment. Big boost incoming if he exits offseason as lead Chiefs guy. Pacheco has looked solid down stretch - topping 60+ total yards in 9 of last 10 games. Huge upside if everything bounces right. | 5/5: Between Foreman & new rookie Roschon Johnson, Herbert didn't get the WORST competition, but he also wasn't hand-picked by this staff like the other two. He was the 2022 NFL leader in YPC & has always been hyper-efficient as a start, so Herbert still carries plenty of juice, but this could be a 3-headed nightmare where Herbert isn't even the lead 3/19: Foreman joins - which does cap his ceiling some, as he's a goalline maven. Still, Herbert flashed huge upside and if he's getting 60% of the work, he's gonna eat 3/17: For now, in the driver seat's of 2022's NFL best rushing attack. Herbert has always feasted when given the chance, so if the Bears wisely give him a real spin in 2023, he has unlimited upside |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Isiah Pacheco's outstanding season as a 2022 7th-round pick should not be understated. From Week 10 through Week 17 (when Pacheco cemented himself as the team's starter), the former Rutgers running back was the RB21 in points per game and ranked sixth in total rushing yards. Both he and Jerick McKinnon were top-21 scoring RBs over this stretch, but Pacheco kicked his performance into high gear as the Chiefs made their postseason run. He averaged 13 touches for 65 rushing yards to McKinnon's seven touches per game. The aggressive runner capped off his rookie campaign with an impressive Super Bowl outing (15-76-1) that helped clinch victory for Kansas City. Even as a 7th-round pick, Pacheco should be viewed as the early-down starter for KC as he heads into Year 2, with room for his role to grow should he see his pass-game usage expanded. His six-catch game versus the Bengals in the conference championship suggests a boosted receiving role is firmly in his range of outcomes. | Khalil Herbert was better than David Montgomery in nearly every single rushing metric in 2022. He averaged 5.7 yards per carry to Montgomery's flat 4.0 yards per carry average. Herbert rushed for just 70 fewer yards on 72 fewer carries. Monty's rushing EPA of -15.3 ranked 32nd while Herbert's 1.17 rushing EPA ranked 12th. Had Herbert not gotten hurt in Week 10 versus the Detroit Lions, there was a non-zero chance he would have completely usurped Montgomery as the team's lead back. In the two games that Herbert led the backfield due to a Montgomery injury, the Bears second-year rusher averaged 117 rushing yards and 19.5 carries. Herbert also has just had as many career games (4) as Montgomery with at least 90 rushing yards. With Monty leaving in free agency, the rebuilding Bears let him walk and added D'Onta Foreman to join the backfield. Foreman's flashes of high-end early-down starting potential for two straight seasons are going to earn him opportunities in Chicago. Even though Herbert has shown out on limited opportunities, it's hard to envision anything but another usage split between Herbert and Foreman similar to the split between Herbert and Montgomery last season. Foreman and Herbert earned nearly identical rushing EPA per attempt last year (inside the top 15). Fantasy managers might be best off taking the cheaper of the two in drafts because there may not be a true No. 1 rusher in the Windy City unless there's an injury. If the Bears are as run-heavy as they were last season, there's a chance that both can return value, but keep in mind that Justin Fields' own rushing will take away volume chances from both backs. Fantasy managers also have to consider 4th-round rookie draft selection, Roschon Johnson. Johnson's efficient rushing style, bell-cow size and pass-protection props figure to complicate the Bears backfield into a potential three-headed monster. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Pacheco had 766 yards rushing, 130 yards receiving, and 6 touchdowns in his rookie fantasy campaign. If the Chiefs use him like they did in the second half of the season, Pacheco should have RB2 value with upside. | Herbert should be the most productive Bears running back in 2023, but D'Onta Foreman was also signed as a free agent. Herbert had 138 to |
| Tera Roberts Dynasty Vipers | Showed receiving capabilities in the post-season. Seems to have earned a more trusted role and could have increased usage in 2023. | |
