Khalil Herbert or James Conner
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
James Conner RB - ARI  James Conner RB - ARI | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI  Khalil Herbert RB - CHI |  | |
Expert |
90% Recommended by 73 of 81 experts |
10% Recommended by 8 of 81 experts |
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| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop RB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would draftUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 23 | # 31 | - |
| Best Rank | # 17 | # 23 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 32 | # 40 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 154.2 | 108.8 | - |
| Avg Game | 11.9 | 8.4 | - |
| Avg Projection | 167.8 | 116.7 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 20 | 2 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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James Conner | Khalil Herbert | Add Player |
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06/07 | #24 | #25 | - |
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06/09 | #24 | #30 | - |
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06/09 | #32 | #35 | - |
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06/08 | #23 | #32 | - |
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06/08 | #24 | #39 | - |
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06/08 | #24 | #36 | - |
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06/08 | #23 | #35 | - |
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06/08 | #24 | #27 | - |
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06/08 | #18 | #29 | - |
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06/08 | #24 | #27 | - |
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06/08 | #26 | #32 | - |
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06/08 | #23 | #25 | - |
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06/09 | #27 | #40 | - |
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06/08 | #18 | #35 | - |
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06/08 | #25 | #46 | - |
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06/07 | #25 | #30 | - |
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06/08 | #25 | #33 | - |
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06/08 | #26 | #34 | - |
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06/06 | #21 | #34 | - |
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06/06 | #23 | #30 | - |
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06/06 | #23 | #35 | - |
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06/06 | #26 | #28 | - |
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06/06 | #20 | #28 | - |
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06/05 | #26 | #39 | - |
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06/08 | #23 | #24 | - |
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06/05 | #26 | #28 | - |
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06/05 | #25 | #33 | - |
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06/05 | #23 | #31 | - |
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06/02 | #26 | #36 | - |
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06/01 | #22 | #30 | - |
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06/01 | #23 | #30 | - |
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06/08 | #24 | #28 | - |
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05/31 | #25 | #23 | - |
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05/31 | #26 | #35 | - |
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05/31 | #24 | #29 | - |
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05/31 | #25 | #29 | - |
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06/07 | #22 | #37 | - |
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06/08 | #24 | #26 | - |
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05/31 | #27 | #24 | - |
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06/04 | #26 | #34 | - |
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05/30 | #33 | #27 | - |
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05/30 | #32 | #31 | - |
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05/29 | #27 | #29 | - |
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05/28 | #23 | #30 | - |
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06/01 | #17 | #36 | - |
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05/28 | #27 | #29 | - |
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05/26 | #28 | #39 | - |
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05/25 | #27 | #29 | - |
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05/24 | #21 | #29 | - |
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05/22 | #26 | #32 | - |
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05/23 | #16 | #29 | - |
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05/21 | #27 | #32 | - |
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05/19 | #23 | #32 | - |
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05/26 | #22 | #27 | - |
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05/18 | #24 | #25 | - |
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06/09 | #27 | #26 | - |
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05/30 | #22 | #30 | - |
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05/16 | #22 | #23 | - |
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05/15 | #24 | #35 | - |
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05/17 | #22 | #36 | - |
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05/12 | #22 | #28 | - |
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05/10 | #24 | #33 | - |
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05/09 | #22 | #26 | - |
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05/08 | #24 | #28 | - |
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05/10 | #24 | #26 | - |
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05/01 | #26 | #38 | - |
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05/01 | #28 | #29 | - |
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04/30 | #26 | #23 | - |
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04/30 | #17 | #19 | - |
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04/28 | #26 | #30 | - |
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04/24 | #27 | #28 | - |
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04/23 | #25 | #32 | - |
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05/23 | #26 | #32 | - |
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04/21 | #26 | #25 | - |
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03/05 | #27 | #26 | - |
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03/02 | #34 | #37 | - |
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02/22 | #27 | #32 | - |
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02/09 | #25 | #34 | - |
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02/02 | #25 | #32 | - |
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01/30 | #21 | #38 | - |
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01/19 | #23 | #31 | - |
James Conner RB - ARI James Conner RB - ARI | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI Khalil Herbert RB - CHI | |
| 2023 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | at WAS | vs. GB |
| Week 2 | vs. NYG | at TB |
| Week 3 | vs. DAL | at KC |
| Week 4 | at SF | vs. DEN |
| Week 5 | vs. CIN | at WAS |
| Week 6 | at LAR | vs. MIN |
| Week 7 | at SEA | vs. LV |
| Week 8 | vs. BAL | at LAC |
| Week 9 | at CLE | at NO |
| Week 10 | vs. ATL | vs. CAR |
| Week 11 | at HOU | at DET |
| Week 12 | vs. LAR | at MIN |
| Week 13 | at PIT | BYE WEEK |
| Week 14 | BYE WEEK | vs. DET |
| Week 15 | vs. SF | at CLE |
| Week 16 | at CHI | vs. ARI |
| Week 17 | at PHI | vs. ATL |
| Week 18 | vs. SEA | at GB |
James Conner RB - ARI James Conner RB - ARI | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI Khalil Herbert RB - CHI | |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 209.7 | 156.6 |
| Rush Yards | 906.6 | 762.9 |
| Rush TDs | 6.9 | 4.3 |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 41.1 | 17.6 |
| Rec Yards | 299.7 | 120.3 |
| Rec TDs | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 167.8 | 116.7 |
James Conner RB - ARI James Conner RB - ARI | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI Khalil Herbert RB - CHI | |
| 2022 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 11.5 | 10.3 |
| Week 2 | 5.1 | 4.1 |
| Week 3 | 5.7 | 28.9 |
| Week 4 | 7.7 | 10.1 |
| Week 5 | 6.3 | 1.1 |
| Week 6 | ‐ | 7.4 |
| Week 7 | ‐ | 14.7 |
| Week 8 | ‐ | 15.9 |
| Week 9 | 6.4 | 2.3 |
| Week 10 | 20.6 | 5.7 |
| Week 11 | 11.4 | ‐ |
| Week 12 | 18.0 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 14 | 17.4 | ‐ |
| Week 15 | 15.1 | ‐ |
| Week 16 | 18.0 | 0.3 |
| Week 17 | 11.0 | 3.1 |
| Week 18 | ‐ | 4.9 |
| Total | 154.2 | 108.8 |
| Average | 11.9 | 8.4 |
James Conner RB - ARI James Conner RB - ARI | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI Khalil Herbert RB - CHI | |
| 2022 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Week 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Week 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Week 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Week 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Week 6 | ‐ | 0 |
| Week 7 | ‐ | 2 |
| Week 8 | ‐ | 0 |
| Week 9 | 5 | 0 |
| Week 10 | 3 | 0 |
| Week 11 | 5 | ‐ |
| Week 12 | 3 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 14 | 7 | ‐ |
| Week 15 | 5 | ‐ |
| Week 16 | 8 | 3 |
| Week 17 | 3 | 0 |
| Week 18 | ‐ | 2 |
James Conner RB - ARI James Conner RB - ARI | Khalil Herbert RB - CHI Khalil Herbert RB - CHI | |
| Expert | ||
| Ellis Johnson True North Fantasy Football | From Week nine on, Conner was the WR-five for fantasy. Yes, you read that correctly. After returning from injury, Conner was the clear lead back for this Cardinals team. Over this span, he averaged 15 carries and four receptions, along with 0,9 touchdowns per game. Considering part of this was after Murray's injury, fantasy managers should have optimism for the 2023 season even if Murray misses some time. | |
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | 5/5: Remains unscathed post-draft and now behind an even more improved offensive line. Unsexy with a ton of upside One of the best values in Best Ball right now -- RB5 & RB10 in PPG since arriving in AZ & honestly benefits the longer Kyler is out | 5/5: Between Foreman & new rookie Roschon Johnson, Herbert didn't get the WORST competition, but he also wasn't hand-picked by this staff like the other two. He was the 2022 NFL leader in YPC & has always been hyper-efficient as a start, so Herbert still carries plenty of juice, but this could be a 3-headed nightmare where Herbert isn't even the lead 3/19: Foreman joins - which does cap his ceiling some, as he's a goalline maven. Still, Herbert flashed huge upside and if he's getting 60% of the work, he's gonna eat 3/17: For now, in the driver seat's of 2022's NFL best rushing attack. Herbert has always feasted when given the chance, so if the Bears wisely give him a real spin in 2023, he has unlimited upside |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | When James Conner was healthy in 2022, it was hard to argue with his elite production and role in the Arizona Cardinals offense. He was the RB4 overall in his last eight games, averaging 17 fantasy points per game (RB6, RB10 in expected points per game) while playing over 90% of his team's snaps in five contests. No other Cardinals running back was able to threaten Conner's volume, which led to him to an absurd workload. And Arizona did not invest anything into the No. 2 running back position this offseason so we could easily see Conner's high workload remain intact while he stays healthy. Keen fantasy managers need to be aware of his durability issues. He missed four games entirely and left three other games early because of injuries. Conner is entering his age-28 season. But the team has all the incentive in the world to ride him into the ground with a potential out in his contract at the end of the season. | Khalil Herbert was better than David Montgomery in nearly every single rushing metric in 2022. He averaged 5.7 yards per carry to Montgomery's flat 4.0 yards per carry average. Herbert rushed for just 70 fewer yards on 72 fewer carries. Monty's rushing EPA of -15.3 ranked 32nd while Herbert's 1.17 rushing EPA ranked 12th. Had Herbert not gotten hurt in Week 10 versus the Detroit Lions, there was a non-zero chance he would have completely usurped Montgomery as the team's lead back. In the two games that Herbert led the backfield due to a Montgomery injury, the Bears second-year rusher averaged 117 rushing yards and 19.5 carries. Herbert also has just had as many career games (4) as Montgomery with at least 90 rushing yards. With Monty leaving in free agency, the rebuilding Bears let him walk and added D'Onta Foreman to join the backfield. Foreman's flashes of high-end early-down starting potential for two straight seasons are going to earn him opportunities in Chicago. Even though Herbert has shown out on limited opportunities, it's hard to envision anything but another usage split between Herbert and Foreman similar to the split between Herbert and Montgomery last season. Foreman and Herbert earned nearly identical rushing EPA per attempt last year (inside the top 15). Fantasy managers might be best off taking the cheaper of the two in drafts because there may not be a true No. 1 rusher in the Windy City unless there's an injury. If the Bears are as run-heavy as they were last season, there's a chance that both can return value, but keep in mind that Justin Fields' own rushing will take away volume chances from both backs. Fantasy managers also have to consider 4th-round rookie draft selection, Roschon Johnson. Johnson's efficient rushing style, bell-cow size and pass-protection props figure to complicate the Bears backfield into a potential three-headed monster. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Conner had a solid fantasy season with 782 yards rushing, 300 yards receiving, and 8 TDs on an offense that really struggled to move the ball consistently in 2022. He should be a low-end RB2 to high-end RB3 on an offense that will have a ton of questions heading into the 2023 season with a new head coach and Kyler Murray recovering from a late season ACL and meniscus tear. | Herbert should be the most productive Bears running back in 2023, but D'Onta Foreman was also signed as a free agent. Herbert had 138 to |
