Kyler Murray or Lamar Jackson
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | ||
QB - BAL  | QB - ARI  | |
Expert |
98% Recommended by 125 of 128 experts |
2% Recommended by 3 of 128 experts |
| Most Accurate Experts | ||
| Top Experts | 100% | 0% |
| Top QB Experts | 100% | 0% |
| Top Player Experts | 95% | 5% |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 2 | # 5 |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 1 |
| Worst Rank | # 6 | # 9 |
| Fantasy Points | ||
| Season Total | 421.7 | 297.3 |
| Avg Game | 28.1 | 18.6 |
| Avg Projection | 355.2 | 294.9 |
| Schedule | ||
| SOS Rank | 16 | 25 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ |
| Expert Ranks | ||
|
|
Lamar Jackson | Kyler Murray |
1 h | #2 | #7 |
2 h | #1 | #6 |
2 h | #1 | #4 |
3 h | #2 | #7 |
3 h | #2 | #4 |
3 h | #3 | #4 |
5 h | #2 | #5 |
6 h | #1 | #6 |
9 h | #2 | #5 |
10 h | #2 | #6 |
11 h | #2 | #4 |
11 h | #1 | #3 |
12 h | #2 | #4 |
13 h | #4 | #5 |
15 h | #2 | #4 |
16 h | #6 | #4 |
19 h | #1 | #2 |
1 d | #2 | #5 |
1 d | #2 | #3 |
1 d | #2 | #3 |
1 d | #2 | #5 |
1 d | #1 | #5 |
1 d | #2 | #6 |
1 d | #2 | #5 |
1 d | #2 | #5 |
1 d | #2 | #5 |
1 d | #2 | #4 |
1 d | #2 | #6 |
2 d | #2 | #9 |
2 d | #2 | #5 |
2 d | #1 | #6 |
2 d | #2 | #3 |
2 d | #2 | #5 |
2 d | #2 | #7 |
2 d | #1 | #4 |
2 d | #2 | #5 |
2 d | #4 | #8 |
2 d | #2 | #7 |
2 d | #1 | #4 |
2 d | #1 | #4 |
2 d | #2 | #6 |
2 d | #2 | #5 |
2 d | #1 | #3 |
2 d | #1 | #4 |
3 d | #2 | #5 |
3 d | #2 | #7 |
3 d | #1 | #3 |
3 d | #2 | #5 |
3 d | #2 | #1 |
3 d | #1 | #4 |
3 d | #2 | #6 |
3 d | #2 | #6 |
3 d | #1 | #3 |
3 d | #2 | #4 |
3 d | #2 | #6 |
3 d | #2 | #5 |
4 d | #2 | #7 |
4 d | #1 | #4 |
4 d | #1 | #5 |
4 d | #1 | #6 |
4 d | #1 | #4 |
4 d | #1 | #6 |
4 d | #1 | #5 |
4 d | #2 | #3 |
5 d | #2 | #5 |
5 d | #2 | #6 |
5 d | #2 | #6 |
5 d | #1 | #4 |
5 d | #1 | #6 |
5 d | #2 | #4 |
5 d | #1 | #4 |
6 d | #1 | #4 |
6 d | #1 | #5 |
6 d | #2 | #5 |
6 d | #1 | #3 |
7 d | #2 | #6 |
1 w | #1 | #4 |
1 w | #1 | #6 |
1 w | #2 | #5 |
1 w | #2 | #4 |
1 w | #2 | #4 |
1 w | #2 | #5 |
1 w | #1 | #6 |
1 w | #1 | #5 |
1 w | #1 | #3 |
1 w | #1 | #6 |
1 w | #3 | #2 |
2 w | #2 | #7 |
2 w | #2 | #7 |
2 w | #2 | #6 |
2 w | #2 | #6 |
2 w | #2 | #7 |
2 w | #2 | #6 |
2 w | #2 | #6 |
2 w | #2 | #4 |
2 w | #2 | #4 |
2 w | #2 | #4 |
2 w | #2 | #6 |
2 w | #2 | #3 |
2 w | #1 | #5 |
3 w | #2 | #3 |
3 w | #1 | #6 |
3 w | #1 | #5 |
4 w | #3 | #4 |
4 w | #1 | #3 |
07/15 | #1 | #5 |
07/15 | #1 | #6 |
07/14 | #2 | #4 |
07/14 | #2 | #6 |
07/14 | #1 | #4 |
07/06 | #2 | #5 |
07/04 | #1 | #5 |
07/03 | #1 | #7 |
07/02 | #2 | #6 |
07/01 | #1 | #5 |
07/01 | #2 | #3 |
3 d | #4 | #7 |
06/24 | #1 | #4 |
06/23 | #1 | #6 |
06/29 | #1 | #8 |
07/09 | #1 | #5 |
06/07 | #1 | #6 |
2 w | #1 | #5 |
05/29 | #1 | #5 |
05/24 | #1 | #6 |
05/16 | #1 | #6 |
05/08 | #2 | #5 |
01/14 | #1 | #6 |
QB - BAL | QB - ARI | |
| 2020 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. CLE | at SF |
| Week 2 | at HOU | vs. WAS |
| Week 3 | vs. KC | vs. DET |
| Week 4 | at WAS | at CAR |
| Week 5 | vs. CIN | at NYJ |
| Week 6 | at PHI | at DAL |
| Week 7 | vs. PIT | vs. SEA |
| Week 8 | BYE WEEK | BYE WEEK |
| Week 9 | at IND | vs. MIA |
| Week 10 | at NE | vs. BUF |
| Week 11 | vs. TEN | at SEA |
| Week 12 | at PIT | at NE |
| Week 13 | vs. DAL | vs. LAR |
| Week 14 | at CLE | at NYG |
| Week 15 | vs. JAC | vs. PHI |
| Week 16 | vs. NYG | vs. SF |
| Week 17 | at CIN | at LAR |
QB - BAL | QB - ARI | |
| Passing | ||
| Pass Att | 468.4 | 559.3 |
| Pass Cmp | 300.8 | 361.1 |
| Pass Yards | 3,479.4 | 3,958.4 |
| Pass TDs | 28.8 | 24.9 |
| Ints | 11.6 | 12.7 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 159.5 | 87.3 |
| Rush Yards | 955.4 | 474.5 |
| Rush TDs | 5.9 | 3.3 |
| Misc | ||
| Fumbles | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 355.2 | 294.9 |
QB - BAL | QB - ARI | |
| 2019 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 33.6 | 22.6 |
| Week 2 | 30.9 | 16.4 |
| Week 3 | 21.3 | 19.8 |
| Week 4 | 26.5 | 17.3 |
| Week 5 | 14.4 | 25.4 |
| Week 6 | 30.6 | 28.8 |
| Week 7 | 23.3 | 7.0 |
| Week 8 | ‐ | 10.1 |
| Week 9 | 28.6 | 23.0 |
| Week 10 | 33.4 | 27.8 |
| Week 11 | 32.8 | 26.7 |
| Week 12 | 36.3 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | 22.3 | 14.3 |
| Week 14 | 20.8 | 13.0 |
| Week 15 | 37.1 | 17.4 |
| Week 16 | 29.8 | 12.7 |
| Week 17 | ‐ | 15.0 |
QB - BAL | QB - ARI | |
| Expert | ||
| Bart Wheeler Hail to Fantasy Football | I have him and Mahomes as my 1A and 1B QBs this year, but they're pretty low in my overall rankings...which means I probably won't get either in fantasy drafts this year. | |
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | What Jackson did in 2019 was remarkable on many levels, though many are expecting regression in 2020. Rightfully so, as he threw a touchdown on 9.0 percent of his pass attempts, which ranks 15th all-time, and ahead of Patrick Mahomes' 8.6 percent in 2018. If we dial that back to a managable 5.0 percent, Jackson would've thrown 20 touchdown passes instead of the 36 he did, which would result in 64 less fantasy points. That still would've been the No. 1 quarterback. And then you still have to factor in that he may have some positive regression with rushing touchdowns, as he rushed for 1,206 yards but scored just seven rushing touchdowns, which are worth more than passing touchdowns. By comparison, Josh Allen scored nine rushing touchdowns in 2019 while rushing for just 510 yards. Jackson will regress in passing touchdowns, but he might make up for it with a few more rushing touchdowns. If he stays healthy for all 16 games, he's a lock for top-two quarterback production. | The hype was there for Murray in 2019, though he went through his ups and downs as a rookie. Now heading into his second year, a leap should be expected, especially since the Cardinals added DeAndre Hopkins to his weaponry and Larry Fitzgerald chose to return for another season. The Cardinals defense is still in rebuild mode, so we should see more shootout potential in 2020, which gives Murray top-three upside. |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | The Ravens offense was hyper efficient last season, so regression is certainly expected, but that does not mean Lamar Jackson takes a big step back. I still think he ends as an overall top 3 QB, but am not currently drafting at ADP. | |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Jackson not only led the league in touchdown passes with 36, but he also ran for 1,206 yards. If he does not run as much this year, it may put him behind Mahomes, but these two are in an elite class by themselves. | Murray had 3,722 yards passing and 20 passing touchdowns as a rookie to go along with 544 yards rushing and 4 touchdowns. If he can take another stop forward in his second season, he has the chance to be among the elite fantasy quarterbacks in the NFL. He has an excellent chance to do that with the acquisition of DeAndre Hopkins. |
| Kyle Yates FantasyPros | Jackson's going to have an absurd price tag this draft season, but the crazy thing is...he actually might be worth it. Jackson's rushing ability is a cheat code at the QB position and he has the potential to single-handedly win you a week because of it. Jackson should be off the board as either the first or second QB drafted. | With the addition of DeAndre Hopkins, plus Murray's rushing ability, there's a very real possibility that Murray finishes as a top-5 fantasy QB in 2020. |
| Kevin Wheeler Draftwize | Finished his rookie season as a top eight quarterback, despite modest passing numbers (3722 yards and 20 touchdowns) thanks to elite rushing ability (544 yards, 4 TDs). Another year of growth as a passer and the addition of DeAndre Hopkins makes the second-year passer an every-week starter with an outside shot at leading the position in scoring. @mrhill9169 Being drafted as the QB3 in FFPC FBG ADP, way too rich for my blood. | |
| Brandon Funston The Athletic | Produced greatest FAN PPG season by a QB in NFL history - could have thrown 10 less TD passes, rushed for 500 fewer yards yet still finished No. 1 QB in FAN PPG | Finished middle of the QB1 class as rookie - with a year of seasoning under his belt and the addition WR D. Hopkins, nowhere to go in the rankings but up |
| Ben Rolfe The Touchdown | In 4-point per passing touchdown format, Jackson is the clear number one thanks to his increased usage of his legs to make plays over both Mahomes and Watson | |
| Elliot Berkovits Pack to the Future | Looking at Jackson's ability to run the ball and now his growing passing arsenal with weapons like Marquise Brown, Mark Andrews, and rookie Devin Duvernay. Barring injury, Lamar should finish QB1 once again and it shouldn't be close. | No QB in the league should be more excited right now than Kyler Murray. The Cardinals traded for arguably the best WR in the league in DeAndre Hopkins giving Murray a true number one option. Add Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk into the mix and the Cardinals are shaping up to be one of the scariest offenses in football. Murray couldn't be in a better spot to succeed. |
| Ben Wasley The Fantasy First Down | After his historic 2019, Jackson has a lot of regression coming, but that's not to say he won't be amazing again in the future. He still has a massive amount of upside and no matter how often the Ravens insist Lamar will rush less moving forward, that's not going to entirely disappear from his game. I also don't believe his passing efficiency will remain at the same extraordinary level, he just doesn't have the arm talent or the weapons. Hence he's a lower floor option compared to Mahomes and I'm slotting him in as my QB2. Please don't reach for him in drafts as there's exceptional depth at QB this year. | The 2020 Murray hype is totally out of control and not warranted. Kyler was good in 2019 but ultimately finished as QB12 in points per game. While development will certainly occur, there's a good chance his rushing will decrease in his second year while he still has a lot of work to do to suggest elite upside on par with his ADP. In dynasty, the story changes. The Cardinals are building a strong roster with the Hopkins trade making a massive difference to their passing attack. Sadly, Covid will make it hard for this offence to make immediate strides with Nuk, but the future is looking very bright for Kyler. It may just be a year early to really reach for him in drafts. Be patient. |
| Seth Miller Crossroads Fantasy Football | Went back to look at QB TD rates of QBs that rush for 700+ yards a season to see if maybe he'd be somewhat exempt from TD regression. Nope. An AVG TD rate of 4.67%. Lamar was at 9% in 2019. Regression is coming. It seems impossible to imagine it right now but we don't need our feet held to the fire for 2020 because of 2019. | Suffered from a ridiculously low TD rate in 2019 of 3.7%. Enter DeAndre Hopkins. He has the better passing ability and enough mobility to challenge for QB1 in 2020. Lamar and Kyler with the same 6% TD rate last year, with all other stats remaining the same: Lamar - 350 Points Kyler - 369 Lamar lost 12, Kyler gained 12 |
