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Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes II

Who Should I Draft?


Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
 
Lamar Jackson
QB - BAL
 
 
Default player image

Expert
Percent


74%
Recommended by
81 of 109 experts
26%
Recommended by
28 of 109 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 3# 4-
Best Rank# 2# 2-
Worst Rank# 7# 9-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total475.2253.0-
Avg Game23.821.1-
Avg Projection363.6340.2-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank2830-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Patrick Mahomes IILamar JacksonAdd Player
    
Michael Beller M. Beller
The Athletic The Athletic
12 m
#4#5-
    
Austin Lee A. Lee
365 Fantasy Football 365 Fantasy Football
1 h
#7#3-
    
Wolf of Roto Street W. of Roto ...
Roto Street Journal Roto Street Journal
3 h
#3#8-
    
Andy Behrens A. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
6 h
#5#2-
    
Daniel Mader D. Mader
Belly Up Sports Belly Up Sports
11 h
#6#2-
    
Pat Fitzmaurice P. Fitzmaurice
FantasyPros FantasyPros
12 h
#2#5-
    
Brandon Murchison B. Murchison
RotoBaller RotoBaller
13 h
#3#7-
    
Bo McBrayer B. McBrayer
Going For 2 Going For 2
14 h
#3#4-
    
Jeff Boggis J. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire Fantasy Football E...
15 h
#3#7-
    
Scott Engel S. Engel
The Game Day The Game Day
16 h
#3#6-
    
Matthew Hill M. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football DataForce Fantasy ...
20 h
#4#3-
    
Craig Phillips C. Phillips
FF Prophet FF Prophet
21 h
#2#4-
    
Dalton Del Don D. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
23 h
#5#3-
    
Luke Sawhook L. Sawhook
Dynasty Nerds Dynasty Nerds
24 h
#4#3-
    
Matthew Freedman M. Freedman
FantasyPros FantasyPros
1 d
#2#3-
    
Dave Richard D. Richard
CBS Sports CBS Sports
2 d
#3#4-
    
Kyle Richardson K. Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners The Fantasy Headli...
2 d
#3#4-
    
Tyler Orginski T. Orginski
JWB Fantasy Football JWB Fantasy Football
2 d
#4#3-
    
Jacob Hubman J. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners The Fantasy Headli...
2 d
#3#4-
    
Tim Metzler T. Metzler
FantasyPros FantasyPros
2 d
#2#6-
    
Huseyin Aksu H. Aksu
Fantasy Couch Fantasy Couch
2 d
#2#4-
    
Tommy Garrett T. Garrett
Pro Football Network Pro Football Network
2 d
#3#4-
    
Nick Spencer N. Spencer
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
2 d
#2#5-
    
Mauricio Gutierrez M. Gutierrez
Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy
2 d
#5#3-
    
Alex Caruso A. Caruso
Footballguys Footballguys
2 d
#6#3-
    
Joe Bond J. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
3 d
#2#3-
    
Joey Wright J. Wright
Front Yard Fantasy Front Yard Fantasy
3 d
#4#3-
    
Jon Jeune J. Jeune
Fantasy Football Diagnostics Fantasy Football D...
3 d
#5#2-
    
Scott Pianowski S. Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
4 d
#2#5-
    
Benjamin Klotz B. Klotz
Touchdown Squad Touchdown Squad
4 d
#2#5-
    
Robby Jeffries R. Jeffries
The Fantasy Authority The Fantasy Authority
4 d
#4#6-
    
Joe Pisapia J. Pisapia
FantasyPros FantasyPros
4 d
#2#4-
    
Michael Tomlin M. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
4 d
#1#3-
    
Aaron Larson A. Larson
FantasyPros FantasyPros
4 d
#4#5-
    
Clayton Cadieux C. Cadieux
Fantasy Football From Up North Fantasy Football F...
4 d
#2#3-
    
Jaime Eisner J. Eisner
The Draft Network The Draft Network
4 d
#6#7-
    
Site Rankings S. Rankings
Gridiron Experts Gridiron Experts
5 d
#2#5-
    
Blake Fincher B. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe Fantasy Football Cafe
5 d
#2#4-
    
Connor Rigg C. Rigg
Dynasty Nerds Dynasty Nerds
5 d
#7#2-
    
Guilherme Gianni G. Gianni
Fantasy Futebolista Fantasy Futebolista
5 d
#3#4-
    
Austin Amandolia A. Amandolia
Club Fantasy FFL Club Fantasy FFL
5 d
#2#5-
    
Jamey Eisenberg J. Eisenberg
CBS Sports CBS Sports
5 d
#3#5-
    
Derek Brown D. Brown
FantasyPros FantasyPros
6 d
#4#3-
    
Adam Stark A. Stark
Everyday Fantasy Football Everyday Fantasy F...
6 d
#2#6-
    
Richard Savill R. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
6 d
#2#7-
    
Dave Kluge D. Kluge
Footballguys Footballguys
6 d
#6#2-
    
Liz Loza L. Loza
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
6 d
#4#3-
    
Wyatt Bertolone W. Bertolone
JWB Fantasy Football JWB Fantasy Football
6 d
#4#3-
    
Nick Zylak N. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice Fantasy Football A...
6 d
#2#9-
    
Billy Mansell B. Mansell
IDP Army IDP Army
7 d
#3#4-
    
Justin Lampkin J. Lampkin
Clock Management Fantasy Football Clock Management F...
7 d
#7#4-
    
Des Bieler D. Bieler
The Washington Post The Washington Post
7 d
#2#5-
    
Drew DeLuca D. DeLuca
QB List QB List
7 d
#5#6-
    
Tom Strachan T. Strachan
NFL Best Ball NFL Best Ball
7 d
#4#2-
    
Mark Ringo M. Ringo
Sleepers and Busts Sleepers and Busts
1 w
#4#2-
    
David Heilman D. Heilman
Gridiron Ratings Gridiron Ratings
1 w
#2#4-
    
Pierre Camus P. Camus
RotoBaller RotoBaller
1 w
#2#4-
    
Tommy Molioo T. Molioo
The Undroppables The Undroppables
1 w
#3#4-
    
Tim Jablonski T. Jablonski
The Hateful 8 The Hateful 8
1 w
#3#4-
    
Jacob W. Dunne J. W. Dunne
Triple Play Fantasy Triple Play Fantasy
1 w
#4#2-
    
Steven Pintado S. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches The Fantasy Coaches
1 w
#4#5-
    
Adam Murfet A. Murfet
5 Yard Rush 5 Yard Rush
1 w
#4#5-
    
Kyle Williams K. Williams
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
1 w
#4#5-
    
Brandon Funston B. Funston
The Athletic The Athletic
2 w
#2#4-
    
Smitty S.
SleeperU SleeperU
2 w
#4#7-
    
Michael Fabiano M. Fabiano
Sports Illustrated Sports Illustrated
2 w
#3#4-
    
Anthony Cervino A. Cervino
FF Faceoff FF Faceoff
2 w
#2#7-
    
Nate Marcum N. Marcum
Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames
2 w
#3#7-
    
Nathan Groot Nibbelink N. Groot Ni...
JWB Fantasy Football JWB Fantasy Football
2 w
#5#4-
    
Jeff Bell J. Bell
Footballguys Footballguys
2 w
#5#2-
    
John Paulsen J. Paulsen
4for4.com 4for4.com
2 w
#2#4-
    
Adrian Alpanseque A. Alpanseque
Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy
2 w
#3#4-
    
Site Rankings S. Rankings
FFToday FFToday
2 w
#2#9-
    
John Hesterman J. Hesterman
Dynasty League Football Dynasty League Foo...
2 w
#4#3-
    
Andrew Erickson A. Erickson
FantasyPros FantasyPros
2 w
#6#5-
    
Tim Brosnan T. Brosnan
Tim's Fantasy Tips Tim's Fantasy Tips
2 w
#2#5-
    
Michael Hauff M. Hauff
FF Faceoff FF Faceoff
2 w
#3#13-
    
Francisco (Chato) Romero F. (Chato) ...
Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy
2 w
#2#4-
    
Jacob Gibbs J. Gibbs
SportsLine SportsLine
2 w
#2#3-
    
Mike Maher M. Maher
FantasyPros FantasyPros
3 w
#2#4-
    
David Mendelson D. Mendelson
Triple Play Fantasy Triple Play Fantasy
3 w
#3#4-
    
Andrew Seifter A. Seifter
FantasyPros FantasyPros
3 w
#3#4-
    
Matt Donnelly M. Donnelly
Dynasty Vipers Dynasty Vipers
3 w
#3#5-
    
Seth Miller S. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football Crossroads Fantasy...
3 w
#3#6-
    
Ellis Johnson E. Johnson
True North Fantasy Football True North Fantasy...
3 w
#6#3-
    
Bart Wheeler B. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football Hail to Fantasy Fo...
4 w
#2#5-
    
Kyle Krajewski K. Krajewski
First Seed Sports First Seed Sports
4 w
#4#5-
    
Kevin Wheeler K. Wheeler
The Draft Zone The Draft Zone
4 w
#2#4-
    
Zach Greubel Z. Greubel
Gridiron Experts Gridiron Experts
4 w
#3#4-
    
Dennis Sosic D. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
4 w
#3#4-
    
Richard Cooling R. Cooling
5 Yard Rush 5 Yard Rush
4 w
#2#4-
    
Jody Smith J. Smith
FullTime Fantasy FullTime Fantasy
05/28
#3#6-
    
Raju Byfield R. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League Win My Fantasy League
05/27
#5#2-
    
Dominick Petrillo D. Petrillo
The Athletic The Athletic
05/25
#3#4-
    
Andersen Pickard A. Pickard
Prime Time Sports Talk Prime Time Sports ...
3 w
#2#4-
    
Brad Evans B. Evans
Bally Sports Bally Sports
05/24
#2#3-
    
Walter Cherepinsky W. Cherepinsky
WalterFootball WalterFootball
2 w
#2#3-
    
Ryan Weisse R. Weisse
Footballguys Footballguys
05/17
#4#7-
    
Fantasy BR F. BR
Fantasy BR Fantasy BR
05/16
#3#4-
    
Matt Olson M. Olson
The Pigskin Pow Wow The Pigskin Pow Wow
05/14
#4#6-
    
Derek Lofland D. Lofland
FantasyPros FantasyPros
05/24
#4#7-
    
Kevin Hanson K. Hanson
EDSFootball EDSFootball
05/11
#2#4-
    
Justin Sablich J. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy 5th Down Fantasy
05/10
#2#4-
    
Richard King R. King
King Fantasy Sports King Fantasy Sports
4 w
#3#6-
    
Mick Ciallela M. Ciallela
Fantrax Fantrax
05/06
#3#4-
    
Matt Harmon M. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
05/02
#4#2-
    
Rich Piazza R. Piazza
Fantasy Shed Fantasy Shed
05/01
#4#3-
    
Jordan Rains J. Rains
The IDP Army The IDP Army
5 d
#2#5-
    
Jorge B. Edwards J. B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames
2 w
#3#4-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
 
Lamar Jackson
QB - BAL
2022 Schedule 
Week 1 at ARI at NYJ
Week 2 vs. LAC vs. MIA
Week 3 at IND at NE
Week 4 at TB vs. BUF
Week 5 vs. LV vs. CIN
Week 6 vs. BUF at NYG
Week 7 at SF vs. CLE
Week 8BYE WEEK at TB
Week 9 vs. TEN at NO
Week 10 vs. JACBYE WEEK
Week 11 at LAC vs. CAR
Week 12 vs. LAR at JAC
Week 13 at CIN vs. DEN
Week 14 at DEN at PIT
Week 15 at HOU at CLE
Week 16 vs. SEA vs. ATL
Week 17 vs. DEN vs. PIT
Week 18 at LV at CIN
Player Projections Comparison
 
Lamar Jackson
QB - BAL
Passing
   
Pass Att632.3514.8
Pass Cmp416.6334.7
Pass Yards4,684.93,715.0
Pass TDs35.824.7
Ints11.613.1
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts66.7156.8
Rush Yards350.7892.5
Rush TDs2.84.2
   
Misc
   
Fumbles3.64.4
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points363.6340.2
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
Lamar Jackson
QB - BAL
2021 Points 
Week 133.318.0
Week 225.034.3
Week 324.920.3
Week 432.319.4
Week 521.041.9
Week 625.013.8
Week 78.723.1
Week 815.0
Week 910.432.6
Week 1036.216.4
Week 118.5
Week 1213.4
Week 1313.618.6
Week 1420.31.2
Week 1530.6
Week 1622.3
Week 1720.9
Week 1826.2
Total475.2253.0
Average23.821.1
Notes for Player Combination
 
Lamar Jackson
QB - BAL
Expert 
Justin Lampkin
Clock Management Fantasy Football
I worry how well Mahomes will be able to preform without Hill and an aging Kelce. This will not be the same offense we have become accustomed to seeing on the field. I will be avoiding Mahomes in any casual leagues as he will be drafted based off of his name. 
Andrew Erickson
FantasyPros
Despite the ups-and-downs of the KC Chiefs offense as a response to the Cover 2 defense, Patrick Mahomes was as a stellar as ever from a fantasy perspective. The former MVP ranked fourth in fantasy points per game (22.0) tying Justin Herbert with 12 weekly top-12 QB finishes. Still, Mahomes averaged fewer fantasy points per game than in 2020 (25.2). Additionally, the loss of Tyreek Hill cannot be ignored heading into 2022. The duo ranks second in combined passing touchdowns (41) since 2016 - despite Mahomes not becoming the starter until the 2018. Mahomes can't totally be written off as a top-five fantasy option - .QB4 without Hill through the first five weeks of 2019 averaging 25 fantasy points per game - but there's real concern about his top-tier weekly ceiling without Hill. Especially coming off a season where he posted a career-low PFF passing grade (77.5) and career-high in interceptions (16). He's likely being overvalued as the QB2 in early best ball drafts on name recognition alone.Lamar Jackson had a season to forget in 2021, as he dealt with a plethora of injuries/illnesses and regressed immensely as a passer. Two key metrics at PFF that are important to analyze for QBs are performance in a clean pocket and throwing at the intermediate level. Jackson ranked 28th in passer rating from a clean pocket (90.4) and 22nd in PFF passing grade at the intermediate level (70.0). Despite all his shortcomings as a passer, Jackson still finished the season second in expected fantasy points per game (23.8) and seventh in fantasy points per game (21.3). His expected fantasy point per game output marked the highest of his career thanks to the Ravens' willingness to throw more in 2021. From 2019-2020, Jackson had 37 or more passing attempts in a game only four times. He did so five times in 2021, with Baltimore throwing at a 60% clip. However, I would not anticipate the pass-heavy approach to continue into 2022. Their philosophical change on offense was forced out of necessity based on the injuries. But a lack of passing doesn't impact Jackson they way it does most other QBs with his greatest fantasy asset being his legs. Jackson may never recapture his 2019 rare MVP form when he averaged north of 28 fantasy points per game, but a 22-point per game average seems like his norm based on his last two years of fantasy production. In 2020, he led all QBs in fantasy points per dropback. That cements him as a clear-cut top-5 fantasy QB.
Adam Stark
Everyday Fantasy Football
Lost Tyreek this year, gained Juju, Sky Moore, and MVS. Added Rojo, and let Williams and McKinnon walk. 
Wolf of Roto Street
Roto Street Journal
Big weapon downgrade with No Tyreek -- is Mahomes weapons-proof?Now they trade away Marquise Brown... Lamar's among the most overrated in fantasy IMO
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Patrick Mahomes II is one of the safest players in the NFL, in a "down" season he still had 4,569 yards passing and 35 passing TDs in the fantasy regular season. He is an elite fantasy quarterback on one of the best offenses in the NFL, although he will miss Tyreek Hill's ability to make monster plays in the passing game.Jackson did miss 4 games this year, but he also made strides as a passer averaging 240.2 passing yards per game. His fantasy value is still tied to his 767 yards rushing and 2 rushing TDs. As long as he runs as much as he does, he will always be in the QB1 discussion.
Pat Fitzmaurice
FantasyPros
Mahomes threw an inordinate number of interceptions early in the 2021 season and endured an uncharacteristic midseason TD drought, but late in the regular season and in the playoffs, he looked more like the transcendent QB we've come to know so well. Coming off what for him qualifies as a "down" season, Mahomes might be available at a slight discount in 2022 drafts.RB injuries that diminished the Ravens' running game and CB injuries that damaged the Baltimore defense translated to increased passing volume for Jackson in 2021, but it didn't boost his fantasy value because his TD production cratered. Jackson is arguably the best running QB of all time. His rushing yardage is bankable, and he won't have another season with only two TD runs. Expect an increase in TD rate, a decrease in passing volume and another season in which he averages 20+ fantasy points per game.