Matthew Stafford or Patrick Mahomes II
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC  Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Matthew Stafford QB - LAR  Matthew Stafford QB - LAR |  | |
Expert |
100% Recommended by 119 of 119 experts |
0% Recommended by 0 of 119 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would draftUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 3 | # 11 | - |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 7 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 7 | # 15 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 475.2 | 443.5 | - |
| Avg Game | 23.8 | 21.1 | - |
| Avg Projection | 363.6 | 315.0 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 28 | 27 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Patrick Mahomes II | Matthew Stafford | Add Player |
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Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Matthew Stafford QB - LAR Matthew Stafford QB - LAR | |
| 2022 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | at ARI | vs. BUF |
| Week 2 | vs. LAC | vs. ATL |
| Week 3 | at IND | at ARI |
| Week 4 | at TB | at SF |
| Week 5 | vs. LV | vs. DAL |
| Week 6 | vs. BUF | vs. CAR |
| Week 7 | at SF | BYE WEEK |
| Week 8 | BYE WEEK | vs. SF |
| Week 9 | vs. TEN | at TB |
| Week 10 | vs. JAC | vs. ARI |
| Week 11 | at LAC | at NO |
| Week 12 | vs. LAR | at KC |
| Week 13 | at CIN | vs. SEA |
| Week 14 | at DEN | vs. LV |
| Week 15 | at HOU | at GB |
| Week 16 | vs. SEA | vs. DEN |
| Week 17 | vs. DEN | at LAC |
| Week 18 | at LV | at SEA |
Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Matthew Stafford QB - LAR Matthew Stafford QB - LAR | |
| Passing | ||
| Pass Att | 632.3 | 589.8 |
| Pass Cmp | 416.7 | 394.9 |
| Pass Yards | 4,684.9 | 4,600.2 |
| Pass TDs | 35.8 | 33.8 |
| Ints | 11.6 | 14.6 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 66.7 | 33.7 |
| Rush Yards | 350.7 | 85.8 |
| Rush TDs | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| Misc | ||
| Fumbles | 3.6 | 2.7 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 363.6 | 315.0 |
Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Matthew Stafford QB - LAR Matthew Stafford QB - LAR | |
| 2021 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 33.3 | 24.3 |
| Week 2 | 25.0 | 18.2 |
| Week 3 | 24.9 | 29.5 |
| Week 4 | 32.3 | 20.3 |
| Week 5 | 21.0 | 17.5 |
| Week 6 | 25.0 | 26.2 |
| Week 7 | 8.7 | 27.2 |
| Week 8 | 15.0 | 24.2 |
| Week 9 | 10.4 | 15.1 |
| Week 10 | 36.2 | 11.8 |
| Week 11 | 8.5 | ‐ |
| Week 12 | ‐ | 23.0 |
| Week 13 | 13.6 | 24.0 |
| Week 14 | 20.3 | 23.5 |
| Week 15 | 30.6 | 16.5 |
| Week 16 | 22.3 | 9.7 |
| Week 17 | 20.9 | 16.3 |
| Week 18 | 26.2 | 19.5 |
| Total | 475.2 | 443.5 |
| Average | 23.8 | 21.1 |
Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Matthew Stafford QB - LAR Matthew Stafford QB - LAR | |
| Expert | ||
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | Big weapon downgrade with No Tyreek -- is Mahomes weapons-proof? 7/4: Came out AWFUL in projections. EEK!!! | Now gets to chuck to ARob - if he's got anything left, Stafford could explode even further in 2022 |
| Justin Lampkin Clock Management Fantasy Football | I worry how well Mahomes will be able to preform without Hill and an aging Kelce. This will not be the same offense we have become accustomed to seeing on the field. I will be avoiding Mahomes in any casual leagues as he will be drafted based off of his name. | |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Despite the ups-and-downs of the KC Chiefs offense as a response to the Cover 2 defense, Patrick Mahomes was as a stellar as ever from a fantasy perspective. The former MVP ranked fourth in fantasy points per game (22.0) tying Justin Herbert with 12 weekly top-12 QB finishes. Still, Mahomes averaged fewer fantasy points per game than in 2020 (25.2). Additionally, the loss of Tyreek Hill cannot be ignored heading into 2022. The duo ranks second in combined passing touchdowns (41) since 2016 - despite Mahomes not becoming the starter until the 2018. Mahomes can't totally be written off as a top-five fantasy option - .QB4 without Hill through the first five weeks of 2019 averaging 25 fantasy points per game - but there's real concern about his top-tier weekly ceiling without Hill. Especially coming off a season where he posted a career-low PFF passing grade (77.5) and career-high in interceptions (16). He's likely being overvalued as the QB2 in early best ball drafts on name recognition alone. | Weapons are the name of the game with Stafford, who finished the season 11th in fantasy points per game (20.4) on the back of 41 passing touchdowns. Forty-plus TDs is no easy feat and should not be overlooked by fantasy drafters in 2022, especially because it was Stafford's first season in Sean McVay's offense. |
| Derek Brown FantasyPros | Matthew Stafford is thoroughly enjoying his new marriage with Sean McVay. His first year in a Rams jersey led to a career-high completion rate (67.2%) and tying his career-high in passing touchdowns (41) en route to a Super Bowl title. Stafford was the QB11 in fantasy points per game after ranking inside the top ten in deep ball attempts, deep ball completion percentage, and pressured completion rate. Stafford should be considered a rock-solid back-end QB1. | |
| Adam Stark Everyday Fantasy Football | Lost Tyreek this year, gained Juju, Sky Moore, and MVS. Added Rojo, and let Williams and McKinnon walk. | |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Patrick Mahomes II is one of the safest players in the NFL, in a "down" season he still had 4,569 yards passing and 35 passing TDs in the fantasy regular season. He is an elite fantasy quarterback on one of the best offenses in the NFL, although he will miss Tyreek Hill's ability to make monster plays in the passing game. | Stafford had an incredible first fantasy season in Los Angeles finishing the fantasy season with 4,648 yards and 38 passing touchdowns. He should be a great QB1 option in 2022 coming off a season where he won his first Super Bowl. |
| Pat Fitzmaurice FantasyPros | Mahomes threw an inordinate number of interceptions early in the 2021 season and endured an uncharacteristic midseason TD drought, but late in the regular season and in the playoffs, he looked more like the transcendent QB we've come to know so well. Coming off what for him qualifies as a "down" season, Mahomes might be available at a slight discount in 2022 drafts. | First year in Los Angeles resulted in a QB5 fantasy finish, his best since 2013. Stafford's ecosystem should remain strong: He has wunderkind Sean McVay calling plays for him, he has a superstar WR in Cooper Kupp, and he now gets Allen Robinson as a QB2. The upside is limited for a non-running QB, but Stafford's floor is sturdy. |
