Who Should I Draft?

Mike Evans or A.J. Green

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Experts' Pick
 
  A.J. Green
WR - CIN
A.J. Green
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
 
 
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 8# 10-
Best Rank# 3# 3-
Worst Rank# 12# 23-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total151.8132.1-
Avg Game9.58.8-
Avg Projection159.9153.6-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank2618-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
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  A.J. Green
WR - CIN
A.J. Green
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
2018 Schedule 
Week 1 at IND at NO
Week 2 vs. BAL vs. PHI
Week 3 at CAR vs. PIT
Week 4 at ATL at CHI
Week 5 vs. MIABYE WEEK
Week 6 vs. PIT at ATL
Week 7 at KC vs. CLE
Week 8 vs. TB at CIN
Week 9BYE WEEK at CAR
Week 10 vs. NO vs. WAS
Week 11 at BAL at NYG
Week 12 vs. CLE vs. SF
Week 13 vs. DEN vs. CAR
Week 14 at LAC vs. NO
Week 15 vs. OAK at BAL
Week 16 at CLE at DAL
Week 17 at PIT vs. ATL
  A.J. Green
WR - CIN
A.J. Green
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
Receiving
   
Receptions85.481.4
Rec Yards1,180.41,128.6
Rec TDs7.46.9
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts0.00.0
Rush Yards0.00.0
Rush TDs0.00.0
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points159.9153.6
   
  A.J. Green
WR - CIN
A.J. Green
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
2017 Points 
Week 17.4
Week 26.715.3
Week 317.16.7
Week 412.312.7
Week 522.94.9
Week 615.5
Week 74.114.8
Week 88.76.0
Week 90.61.3
Week 1017.5
Week 1111.09.2
Week 126.67.8
Week 1319.73.3
Week 144.42.5
Week 153.013.9
Week 168.110.7
Week 171.77.5
  A.J. Green
WR - CIN
A.J. Green
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
2017 Targets 
Week 110
Week 289
Week 31312
Week 4711
Week 5138
Week 68
Week 7610
Week 8810
Week 926
Week 107
Week 11910
Week 12812
Week 13166
Week 14125
Week 1548
Week 16108
Week 171013
  A.J. Green
WR - CIN
A.J. Green
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
Expert 
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
Perhaps it's a testament to Green that 75-1,078-8 felt like an underwhelming 16-game return. It marked his fewest receptions per game since 2011's rookie campaign, but he still sealed off a healthy 28.4 % target rate with nine catches of at least 20 yards. Don't let a few duds against elite competition--particularly a six-yard blunder against Jalen Ramsey's Jaguars--drop Green from the second round.Jameis Winston's three-game suspension doesn't pose a major problem for Evans, who caught 14 of 30 targets for 265 yards and a TD in three full games with Ryan Fitzpatrick. Yet an inefficient WR20 season still sparks concern regardless of Tampa Bay's signal-caller. He barely exceeded 1,000 yards (1,001) for the fourth time in as many years, but posted an underwhelming 52.9 catch % and five TDs. While high volume--his nine looks inside the 10 yielded just one score--should trigger a bounce-back, 2016's 96 catches is now the clear outlier in a career catalog with no other 75-catch output.
Kevin Wheeler
NFL Mock
Consistent WR1 over the past five years. The only season he didn't have over 1000 yards (948) was when he only played 10 games. I think he comes back to WR1 form, but the Winston suspension will slow his start.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
By the time the season starts, Green will be 30 years old, and while he is still ultra-talented, his numbers have been trending down for a few years now. He is no longer going to sniff 100 receptions or even 90, but you can bank on him being a WR1 receiver if he remains healthy again.Evans has managed 1,000+ yards each of his first four seasons, but he was just the WR20 in 2017. With Winston out the first three weeks, Evans' stock drops a little, but he is still a WR1 who can be targeted at the start of third rounds in 12-team leagues.
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
Can be prone to inconsistency, but we know that a 16-game season is going to yield WR1 results (he's 4-for-4 in that department) - no reason to expect anything less in '18As far as power-forward WR types go, you'd be hard pressed to find a better specimen than Evans - look at last season (71-1001-5) as his floor and '16 (96-1321-12) as something close to his ceiling - I'm comfortable splitting that difference here
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Over Green's career, he's posted WR3 or better numbers in 76.2 percent of his games. The only wide receivers who have better numbers over their careers are Michael Thomas and Odell Beckham Jr. Despite the Bengals offense being extremely underwhelming in 2017, Green still somehow managed to finish top-10 for the fourth time in the last six years. He may never make it to the top-three, but he's consistent enough to warrant a second-round pick. The fact that John Ross is now across from him should open things up underneath. Anyone who drafted Evans last year has a bad taste in their mouth, though we've always said that touchdowns are the hardest thing to predict, even when you're 6-foot-5 and 231 pounds. Evans now has two 12 touchdown seasons under his belt, but the other two netted a combined eight touchdowns. Still, he's now produced 1,000 yards in each of his four seasons, which is something you need to value. If Jameis Winston takes a step forward in his career, Evans could be right back in the first-round conversation next year. The suspension to Winston for the first three weeks might turn out to be okay, because if you recall, Ryan Fitzpatrick produced two top-20 wide receivers with the Jets just a couple years ago in Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker.
Staff Rankings
QB List
Another year, another discussion of good ol' A.J. Green. The towering receiver profiles the same as in years past: elite player, mediocre QB, terrible team. He'll give you those 10-catch, 200-yard, two-touchdown games, then he'll come out and go "Hey, here's 50 yards and 4 catches, go fetch!". It is this inconsistency, tied to his sky-high ceiling that Green lands at number eight, and the top tier #3 WR.Sitting atop the 3rd tier of my rankings is the Bucaneers' undisputed #1 receiver, Mike Evans. Typically thought of as a top 10 wideout, I have Evans in my fourth tier for a plethora of red flags which point to his down 2017 as more indicative of his 2018 than some might think. Evans sports a 52.2 % catch rate, good for 87th among wideouts. While a great deal of this poor catch rate might be due to poor quarterback play, this year looks no better in that department as he'll be catching passes from Harvard's resident genius Ryan Fitzpatrick, and embattled (former?) franchise quarterback Jameis Winston. Even if we decide to ignore that, he remains in an offense anchored by a subpar O-line and featuring several accessory pieces with established target shares and a young tight end in O.J. Howard poised for an expanded role in his sophomore season. You'll enjoy the highlight catches Evans can and will make, but know his upside is crippled due to the subpar team surrounding him.
Chet Gresham
WalterFootball
Green had a down 2017 but still finished as a top-10 fantasy receiver. We know his upside is much higher than that, but it would be tough to draft for that upside this season.Evans has now gone through a great season, a poor season, a great season again and then a poor season again. If the pattern holds, then we get a great season in 2018! Of course, that's not how this works, but we know what he can do and we know he's stayed relatively healthy and will continue to see good target numbers. His floor isn't as high as I'd like, but his ceiling is.
Jody Smith
FantasyPros
Green is a solid bargain that has started to slip into the third round of some drafts. I think the Bengals are going to be much better and Green is a strong candidate to approach 90 grabs. Strong rebound target, Evans is being undervalued due to his disappointing 2017 that still resulted in 136 targets in 15 games and 1,000+ yards.
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Green averaged 9.7 fantasy points per game and if the Bengals can improve their offensive line play, his production could go even higher. Evans had only 71 receptions for 1,001 yards and 5 touchdowns, but he is an elite talent and he should rebound next year. The likely 3-game suspension of QB Jameis Winston hurts his value early in the year, but he should still be in the high WR2 to low WR1 mix.
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
 Jameis Winston is suspended for the first 3 games of the season. That's the first reason I have Mike Evans ranked as a WR 2 this season. The second is how difficult their schedule is. They face one of the hardest schedules of passing defenses in the league. When you add to that the amount of weapons that offense has (speaking in terms of total numbers) you get a guy who needs to win on efficiency in order to pay off. That's not something Evans has showed us he can do. I'm staying away this season and I suggest you do the same.
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Green seems to always be underrated due to his team but he's a target monster and remains a top 5 studHe's taking a massive hit in the first three weeks and his long-term outlook isn't overly appealing for 2018
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
Continues to thrive despite DaltonGigantic upside but showed that he has a lower floor than the receivers listed above him