Who Should I Draft?

Mike Evans or Julio Jones

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Julio Jones
WR - ATL
Julio Jones
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
 
 
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1 of 106 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 4# 9-
Best Rank# 2# 6-
Worst Rank# 8# 22-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total163.9132.1-
Avg Game10.28.8-
Avg Projection186.2155.4-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank718-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Julio JonesMike EvansAdd Player
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
4 h
#3#9-
    
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The Football Girl
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#2#10-
    
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#6#14-
    
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#4#9-
    
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Breaking Football
11 h
#4#12-
    
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13 h
#4#11-
    
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13 h
#3#10-
    
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RotoExperts
14 h
#4#13-
    
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The Athletic
14 h
#3#8-
    
Bobby SylvesterB. Sylv...
FantasyPros
15 h
#2#10-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
17 h
#4#12-
    
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White Wolf Sports
17 h
#2#19-
    
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The Athletic
18 h
#2#9-
    
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NFL Mock
18 h
#5#9-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
The Quant Edge
19 h
#2#10-
    
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The Fantasy Sports Brain
20 h
#4#10-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
Fantasy Fusion
21 h
#5#10-
    
Mitchell RenzM. Renz
Gridiron Experts
21 h
#3#9-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
21 h
#4#9-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Pro Football Focus
21 h
#4#9-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
21 h
#5#10-
    
John PaulsenJ. Paulsen
4for4.com
1 d
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#6#11-
    
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#6#10-
    
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Legion Report
2 d
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2 d
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2 d
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2 d
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Yahoo! Sports
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FFToday
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#4#10-
    
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3 d
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Fantasy Shed
3 d
#6#15-
    
Michael BellerM. Beller
Sports Illustrated
3 d
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Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
3 d
#6#9-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
3 d
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Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
3 d
#3#6-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
3 d
#4#9-
    
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#4#10-
    
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3 d
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3 d
#4#8-
    
Patrick ThormanP. Thorman
Pro Football Focus
3 d
#3#13-
    
Brent NamejkoB. Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
3 d
#4#8-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
Yahoo! Sports
4 d
#4#9-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
WalterFootball
4 d
#3#11-
    
Kyle RichardsonK. Rich...
RotoBaller
4 d
#6#7-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
4 d
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Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
4 d
#4#12-
    
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
4 d
#4#9-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
Fantasy Insiders
4 d
#2#8-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
4 d
#4#7-
    
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FantasyOMatic
4 d
#2#9-
    
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Win My Fantasy League
4 d
#4#6-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
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4 d
#2#14-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
5 d
#4#11-
    
Chris MeyersC. Meyers
Athlon Sports
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FNTSY Sports Network
5 d
#3#11-
    
Derek BrownD. Brown
Gridiron Experts
5 d
#8#9-
    
Dariyan MayburyD. Maybury
Fantasy Football Advice
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#4#10-
    
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5th Down Fantasy
5 d
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Derek LoflandD. Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
5 d
#7#12-
    
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#4#13-
    
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Bleacher Report
6 d
#4#10-
    
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#4#13-
    
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Just Fantasy Football
6 d
#5#9-
    
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Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
7 d
#7#8-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
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1 w
#4#8-
    
Jeff JohnsonJ. Johnson
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#4#11-
    
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1 w
#3#22-
    
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1 w
#6#8-
    
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1 w
#5#16-
    
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Going For 2
2 w
#4#15-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Colts.com
2 w
#4#9-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
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3 w
#3#9-
    
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
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3 w
#3#8-
    
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#3#12-
    
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#3#11-
    
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#3#11-
    
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#4#10-
    
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3 w
#4#9-
    
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4 w
#3#9-
    
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#4#12-
    
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Pyromaniac
4 w
#4#8-
    
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Pyromaniac
4 w
#4#8-
    
SmittyS.
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07/09
#6#5-
    
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
RotoViz
07/07
#8#17-
    
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ScoutFantasy
2 w
#4#9-
    
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Punch Drunk Wonderland
05/23
#3#6-
    
Nick VertucciN. Vert...
Sundays Are For Football
05/23
#4#9-
    
Scott BarrettS. Barrett
Pro Football Focus
04/05
#3#7-
    
  Julio Jones
WR - ATL
Julio Jones
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
2018 Schedule 
Week 1 at PHI at NO
Week 2 vs. CAR vs. PHI
Week 3 vs. NO vs. PIT
Week 4 vs. CIN at CHI
Week 5 at PITBYE WEEK
Week 6 vs. TB at ATL
Week 7 vs. NYG vs. CLE
Week 8BYE WEEK at CIN
Week 9 at WAS at CAR
Week 10 at CLE vs. WAS
Week 11 vs. DAL at NYG
Week 12 at NO vs. SF
Week 13 vs. BAL vs. CAR
Week 14 at GB vs. NO
Week 15 vs. ARI at BAL
Week 16 at CAR at DAL
Week 17 at TB vs. ATL
  Julio Jones
WR - ATL
Julio Jones
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
Receiving
   
Receptions93.880.5
Rec Yards1,452.61,131.4
Rec TDs6.77.1
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts0.90.0
Rush Yards6.40.0
Rush TDs0.00.0
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points186.2155.4
   
  Julio Jones
WR - ATL
Julio Jones
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
2017 Points 
Week 16.6
Week 210.815.3
Week 39.16.7
Week 43.012.7
Week 54.9
Week 67.215.5
Week 715.914.8
Week 87.46.0
Week 911.81.3
Week 105.7
Week 117.19.2
Week 1238.87.8
Week 132.43.3
Week 149.82.5
Week 155.413.9
Week 1614.910.7
Week 178.07.5
  Julio Jones
WR - ATL
Julio Jones
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
2017 Targets 
Week 15
Week 299
Week 31212
Week 4411
Week 58
Week 678
Week 71310
Week 8610
Week 9126
Week 108
Week 111010
Week 121512
Week 1366
Week 14115
Week 1588
Week 16118
Week 171113
  Julio Jones
WR - ATL
Julio Jones
Mike Evans
WR - TB
Mike Evans
Expert 
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
Red zone bad luck was ridiculous in '17 (1 TD on 11 targets inside 10-yard line) - NFL's perfect WR weapon should see a solid bounce-back in that category, to go along with his standard 90+ catches, 1,400+ rec. yardsAs far as power-forward WR types go, you'd be hard pressed to find a better specimen than Evans - look at last season (71-1001-5) as his floor and '16 (96-1321-12) as something close to his ceiling - I'm comfortable splitting that difference here
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
If you're fortunate to land Jones late in the first, consider yourself one lucky person. While some have said he's inconsistent, the numbers tell a different story. He's finished with WR1 numbers in 40.4 percent of his career games, which ranks second to only Odell Beckham Jr. since 2001. If you think he's too "boom or bust," the only players who have posted a higher WR3 percentage than his (73.4 percent) are Beckham Jr., Antonio Brown, A.J. Green, and Michael Thomas. He's a stud who is due for some positive touchdown regression. He might be the only one who can compete with Brown for the top wide receiver spot. While some will say Calvin Ridley could steal some targets, he will also put safeties away from Jones at times. Anyone who drafted Evans last year has a bad taste in their mouth, though we've always said that touchdowns are the hardest thing to predict, even when you're 6-foot-5 and 231 pounds. Evans now has two 12 touchdown seasons under his belt, but the other two netted a combined eight touchdowns. Still, he's now produced 1,000 yards in each of his four seasons, which is something you need to value. If Jameis Winston takes a step forward in his career, Evans could be right back in the first-round conversation next year. The suspension to Winston for the first three weeks might turn out to be okay, because if you recall, Ryan Fitzpatrick produced two top-20 wide receivers with the Jets just a couple years ago in Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker.
Staff Rankings
QB List
The perennial fantasy stud slots in at #5 this year for me for two reasons: years of dents and dings which have slowed him down in-season cannot be ignored, and of course the extremely talented offensive group he plays within. While Jones dominated his offense last year, his team will be returning a healthy Devontae Freeman to the backfield AND adding first-round rookie Calvin Ridley to the mix with a frankly underrated #2 in Mohamed Sanu. Jones is still elite in every way, just not with the same elevated floor we've seen previously.Sitting atop the 3rd tier of my rankings is the Bucaneers' undisputed #1 receiver, Mike Evans. Typically thought of as a top 10 wideout, I have Evans in my fourth tier for a plethora of red flags which point to his down 2017 as more indicative of his 2018 than some might think. Evans sports a 52.2 % catch rate, good for 87th among wideouts. While a great deal of this poor catch rate might be due to poor quarterback play, this year looks no better in that department as he'll be catching passes from Harvard's resident genius Ryan Fitzpatrick, and embattled (former?) franchise quarterback Jameis Winston. Even if we decide to ignore that, he remains in an offense anchored by a subpar O-line and featuring several accessory pieces with established target shares and a young tight end in O.J. Howard poised for an expanded role in his sophomore season. You'll enjoy the highlight catches Evans can and will make, but know his upside is crippled due to the subpar team surrounding him.
Chet Gresham
WalterFootball
What do you do with a talent like Jones, who can't seem to score touchdowns? You rank him high because he still put up great numbers without the touchdowns, plus he can sometimes, once in a blue moon, will get into the end zone. And, Jones' three touchdowns last season were an outlier even for him, so expect 6-8, which are around his average. If he would have gotten just six touchdowns this season, he would have finished as a top-four fantasy receiver.Evans has now gone through a great season, a poor season, a great season again and then a poor season again. If the pattern holds, then we get a great season in 2018! Of course, that's not how this works, but we know what he can do and we know he's stayed relatively healthy and will continue to see good target numbers. His floor isn't as high as I'd like, but his ceiling is.
Jody Smith
FantasyPros
We should see a positive TD regression out of Jones, who struggled mightily in the red zone in the first season with Steve Sarkisian as the play caller. Wothy of No. 2 WR slotting, Jones is a nice value at the top of Round 2. Strong rebound target, Evans is being undervalued due to his disappointing 2017 that still resulted in 136 targets in 15 games and 1,000+ yards.
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
Jones is a 6'3" pass-catching cyborg who received 11 targets inside the 10. He scored three times. He has yet to compile a double-digit touchdown campaign since 2012, so drafters can't ignore the issue when choosing their team's cornerstones. They also can't ignore his four straight 1,400-yard seasons, which elevated him to finish no lower than WR8 in standard or PPR. Simply pairing that production with six or seven TDs will pay off his No. 14 overall ADP.Jameis Winston's three-game suspension doesn't pose a major problem for Evans, who caught 14 of 30 targets for 265 yards and a TD in three full games with Ryan Fitzpatrick. Yet an inefficient WR20 season still sparks concern regardless of Tampa Bay's signal-caller. He barely exceeded 1,000 yards (1,001) for the fourth time in as many years, but posted an underwhelming 52.9 catch % and five TDs. While high volume-especially his nine looks inside the 10 that yielded one score-should yield a bounce-back, 2016's 96 catches is now the clear outlier in a career catalog with no other 75-catch output.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Don't buy into the narrative that Jones is either inconsistent or injury prone. He has been just a step behind Antonio Brown in both of those over the past several seasons and is a near-lock to return top-ten value at the position for the fifth consecutive season. Jones is holding out, but it is not expected to carry into the season.Evans has managed 1,000+ yards each of his first four seasons, but he was just the WR20 in 2017. With Winston out the first three weeks, Evans' stock drops a little, but he is still a WR1 who can be targeted at the end of second rounds.
Kevin Wheeler
NFL Mock
Julio had 1,400 yards and plenty of red zone opportunity. If he wasn't on the (historically) negative side of TD variance, people would've thought very differently about his 2017 season. @Michael_Dubner He'll be 30 during the season this year, but he's the leading WR in yards per game by a solid amount. He's lacked TD upside his whole career, but is bound to rebound after only catching 1 TD in 18 redzone targets last year. I'll wait for a couple of boom weeks and sell high or ride him out as he collects 150 targets for the next 3-4 years. The Athletic's Jeff Schultz reports the Falcons have informed Julio Jones he will not receive a new contract this year. Jones skipped OTAs and minicamp to show displeasure with his contract, which makes him the league's eighth-highest-paid receiver. theathletic.com I think he comes back to WR1 form, but the Winston suspension will slow his start.
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Jones had only 3 touchdowns in 2017, but he did average 10.2 fantasy points per game. He is still a WR1, although I do not think he is worth a first round pick if he is not going to score double-digit touchdowns. Evans had only 71 receptions for 1,001 yards and 5 touchdowns, but he is an elite talent and he should rebound next year. The likely 3-game suspension of QB Jameis Winston hurts his value early in the year, but he should still be in the high WR2 to low WR1 mix.
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
 Jameis Winston is suspended for the first 3 games of the season. That's the first reason I have Mike Evans ranked as a WR 2 this season. The second is how difficult their schedule is. They face one of the hardest schedules of passing defenses in the league. When you add to that the amount of weapons that offense has (speaking in terms of total numbers) you get a guy who needs to win on efficiency in order to pay off. That's not something Evans has showed us he can do. I'm staying away this season and I suggest you do the same.
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Contract woes are troubling but Jones should be a top 5 beast per usualHe's taking a massive hit in the first three weeks and his long-term outlook isn't overly appealing for 2018
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
Ryan will remain maddenning for going away for Julio for what seems like quarters at a time but he will have enough big games to make up for itGigantic upside but showed that he has a lower floor than the receivers listed above him