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Patrick Mahomes II or Kyler Murray

Who Should I Draft?


Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
 
Kyler Murray
QB - ARI
Kyler Murray
Kyler Murray
QB - ARI
 
 
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Expert
Recommendation


97%
Recommended by
93 of 96 experts
3%
Recommended by
3 of 96 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 1# 3-
Best Rank# 1# 1-
Worst Rank# 5# 9-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total417.9390.7-
Avg Game24.624.4-
Avg Projection369.8354.8-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank1721-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Patrick Mahomes IIKyler MurrayAdd Player
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
2 h
#1#2-
    
Kevin TompkinsK. Tomp...
Fighting Chance Fantasy
3 h
#1#4-
    
Tyler OrginskiT. Orgi...
Fantasy Hot Read
4 h
#3#5-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
6 h
#1#4-
    
Joe PisapiaJ. Pisapia
FantasyPros
6 h
#1#4-
    
Lawrence JacksonL. Jackson
Fantasy Football Lord
9 h
#3#2-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
15 h
#2#5-
    
Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
16 h
#1#3-
    
Francisco (Chato) RomeroF. (Cha...
Estadio Fantasy
17 h
#1#3-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
18 h
#1#2-
    
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
20 h
#1#4-
    
Jacob W. DunneJ. W. D...
New Life Fantasy
23 h
#1#5-
    
Matthew McCarthyM. McCa...
Gridiron Ratings
23 h
#1#5-
    
Garret PriceG. Price
Dynasty Nerds
23 h
#1#4-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
1 d
#1#3-
    
Huseyin AksuH. Aksu
Fantasy Couch
1 d
#1#4-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
1 d
#1#4-
    
Mark RingoM. Ringo
Sleepers and Busts
1 d
#5#7-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
1 d
#1#4-
    
Steven PintadoS. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
1 d
#1#4-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
2 d
#1#3-
    
David ZachD. Zach
FantasyPros
2 d
#1#3-
    
Dylan LicciardoD. Licc...
FF Gamers
2 d
#1#4-
    
Brendan TumaB. Tuma
FantasyPros
2 d
#3#1-
    
Tim BrosnanT. Brosnan
Tim's Fantasy Tips
2 d
#1#3-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
2 d
#1#4-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#1#3-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#2#4-
    
Mark RossM. Ross
Athlon Sports
2 d
#1#3-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
2 d
#1#3-
    
Blair WilliamsB. Will...
Razzball
3 d
#2#3-
    
Joey WrightJ. Wright
Razzball
4 d
#1#3-
    
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
4 d
#2#3-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
5 d
#1#2-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
DK Nation
6 d
#1#3-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
6 d
#1#4-
    
Chris KennedyC. Kennedy
The Fantasy Headliners
6 d
#1#3-
    
John PaulsenJ. Paulsen
4for4.com
6 d
#1#5-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
7 d
#1#2-
    
Jose Ramon LlacaJ. Ramo...
Estadio Fantasy
7 d
#1#3-
    
Adrian AlpansequeA. Alpa...
Estadio Fantasy
7 d
#2#1-
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
1 w
#1#4-
    
Ellis JohnsonE. Johnson
True North Fantasy Football
1 w
#1#2-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
FantasyPros
1 w
#2#3-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
1 w
#1#3-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
1 w
#1#4-
    
Kyle RichardsonK. Rich...
The Fantasy Headliners
1 w
#1#4-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
1 w
#1#3-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
1 w
#1#3-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
1 w
#1#2-
    
Michael HauffM. Hauff
Gridiron Experts
1 w
#1#4-
    
Jaime EisnerJ. Eisner
The Draft Network
1 w
#2#4-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
1 w
#1#5-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
FTN
1 w
#2#4-
    
Mike MaherM. Maher
FantasyPros
1 w
#1#3-
    
Drew DeLucaD. DeLuca
NFL Spinzone
1 w
#1#2-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
1 w
#1#6-
    
John HestermanJ. Hest...
Dynasty League Football
1 w
#1#2-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
1 w
#2#5-
    
Richard KingR. King
King Fantasy Sports
1 w
#1#2-
    
Fantasy BRF. BR
Fantasy BR
1 w
#1#3-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
1 w
#1#4-
    
Richard CoolingR. Cooling
5 Yard Rush
2 w
#1#5-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
2 w
#1#2-
    
Seth MillerS. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
2 w
#1#4-
    
Dennis SosicD. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
2 w
#1#3-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
2 w
#1#3-
    
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
2 w
#1#3-
    
Adam PfeiferA. Pfeifer
FTN
2 w
#1#5-
    
Jeff RatcliffeJ. Ratc...
FTN
3 w
#1#3-
    
Matt HarmonM. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports
3 w
#1#3-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
SportsGrid
3 w
#1#5-
    
Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
3 w
#1#3-
    
Aaron LarsonA. Larson
FantasyPros
3 w
#1#2-
    
Nick RaducanuN. Radu...
ProjectRoto
3 w
#1#3-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
3 w
#1#3-
    
Dave KlugeD. Kluge
Footballguys
3 w
#3#5-
    
Justin DoddsJ. Dodds
SleeperWire
3 w
#1#3-
    
Clayton CadieuxC. Cadieux
Fantasy Football From Up North
3 w
#1#3-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
3 w
#1#3-
    
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
4 w
#1#3-
    
Elvin RyanE. Ryan
The Pregame HQ
4 w
#1#4-
    
Zachary HanshewZ. Hanshew
FantasyPros
4 w
#2#4-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
Sports Illustrated
4 w
#1#4-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
FTN
4 w
#1#3-
    
Mick CiallelaM. Cial...
Fantrax
05/17
#1#3-
    
Benjamin KlotzB. Klotz
Touchdown Squad
05/14
#2#3-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
05/10
#1#3-
    
Adam MurfetA. Murfet
5 Yard Rush
05/05
#2#3-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
04/21
#1#4-
    
Ben WasleyB. Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
04/16
#1#3-
    
Wolf of Roto StreetW. of R...
Roto Street Journal
1 w
#1#3-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
QB List
02/01
#1#4-
    
Jorge B. EdwardsJ. B. E...
Fantasy In Frames
01/11
#1#9-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
The Draft Zone
01/05
#1#5-
    
Tal MalachovskyT. Mala...
The Fantasy Scout
12/30
#1#4-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
 
Kyler Murray
QB - ARI
Kyler Murray
Kyler Murray
QB - ARI
2021 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. CLE at TEN
Week 2 at BAL vs. MIN
Week 3 vs. LAC at JAC
Week 4 at PHI at LAR
Week 5 vs. BUF vs. SF
Week 6 at WAS at CLE
Week 7 at TEN vs. HOU
Week 8 vs. NYG vs. GB
Week 9 vs. GB at SF
Week 10 at LV vs. CAR
Week 11 vs. DAL at SEA
Week 12BYE WEEKBYE WEEK
Week 13 vs. DEN at CHI
Week 14 vs. LV vs. LAR
Week 15 at LAC at DET
Week 16 vs. PIT vs. IND
Week 17 at CIN at DAL
Week 18 at DEN vs. SEA
Player Projections Comparison
 
Kyler Murray
QB - ARI
Kyler Murray
Kyler Murray
QB - ARI
Passing
   
Pass Att645.1583.5
Pass Cmp430.9385.8
Pass Yards5,070.94,103.4
Pass TDs37.426.8
Ints9.614.1
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts49.4126.2
Rush Yards239.3723.0
Rush TDs2.97.8
   
Misc
   
Fumbles2.53.7
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points369.8354.8
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
Kyler Murray
QB - ARI
Kyler Murray
Kyler Murray
QB - ARI
2020 Points 
Week 120.427.3
Week 227.533.1
Week 340.024.7
Week 420.223.1
Week 530.727.3
Week 620.628.9
Week 712.038.1
Week 836.6
Week 931.537.9
Week 1030.9
Week 1122.520.3
Week 1231.38.9
Week 1319.317.4
Week 1421.618.5
Week 1525.934.1
Week 1620.216.4
Week 173.8
Week 18
Total417.9390.7
Average24.624.4
Notes for Player Combination
 
Kyler Murray
QB - ARI
Kyler Murray
Kyler Murray
QB - ARI
Expert 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
We're now 46 games into Mahomes' career as a starter, and in those games he's totaled QB1-type numbers in 69.6 percent of them. There are just two other quarterbacks who've posted those over 59.5 percent of their career since 2000, and one was Justin Herbert who has just a 15-game sample size. When Mahomes is on the field, he's producing. The question is this: By drafting him in the early rounds, which running back or wide receiver are you passing on to get him, and is the dropoff more from the quarterback you'd get in the later rounds? If you wanted to draft Mahomes in the third round, you can, but know you're going to need to hit on a player or two later in your draft to make up the ground.Murray was extremely good to fantasy managers last year, delivering QB1-type performances 68.8 percent of the time, which was the third-best mark in the league. He wasn't just barely hitting those numbers, either, as he tallied 26-plus fantasy points on eight separate occasions, tied for the most in the league. The Cardinals added A.J. Green and Rondale Moore, while losing Kenyan Drake. This suggests there's going to be more dropbacks, which in turn means more fantasy points. Murray is an every-week starter and worthy of a top-five quarterback selection in the 4th/5th round.
Mark Ringo
Sleepers and Busts
Mahomes is one of the best QBs I've ever seen. The only concern is can the line protect him? It may take some time for the new guys up front to gel, but Mahomes is mobile enough to buy time even if there are growing pains. Drafting Chiefs players is a good thing these days.The Cardinals added help on the offensive line in free agency by signing all-pro center Rodney Hudson. They also drafted Rondale Moore and signed AJ Green to the WR core. Moore is undersized, but can fly. Does AJ have anything left in the tank? We'll see. My biggest concern is Kyler runs less. After he hurt his shoulder last year he said he wants to run only as a luxury. If that transpires, Kyler loses a bunch of value. For that reason, I'm moving Kyler down a few spots.
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
There may be some annual contenders for the overall QB point leader. However, Patrick Mahomes will annually be in the top tier, which keeps him the #1 overall QB. In 2020, Mahomes threw for 4.7K yards and 38 TD in 15 games. In a 12-team single QB league, you can make a case for as early as the turn in a snake draft rounds 2-3. The WR pool is bottomless, and you can make up ground there. You can fade Mahomes with a powerful QB1 class this year if you like, but there may not be a better one than Mahomes in terms of quality investment. In Superflex leagues, he's easily a top 5 overall selection.At the mid-point of last season, Kyler Murray was on pace to make history as the first QB to ever rush for 1K yards and pass for 4K. He closed the season at 3,971 passing yards and 819 rushing yards. This was due in part to being crushed Week 11 and tweaking his shoulder. The next few weeks, Murray did his best, but he was not 100% healthy. That's the risk/reward of Kyler Murray. At 5'10" and 207 lbs, he doesn't have the same size as Josh Allen, but he plays the same style. It's why I would recommend backing up any investment in him with a solid QB2 on your bench as an insurance policy, even in a single QB league. D'Andre Hopkins was a considerable addition last year, and the two developed fantastic chemistry right away. The inconsistency of the run game and the play-calling created some drastic swings in the offense's productivity. A 4K/1K yard season is certainly within his grasp in 2021, as are 10+ rushing TDs (Murray was 2nd among all QBs with 11 in '20). Last year was a preview of how special Murray can be. Let's hope that Kliff Kingsbury and poor health don't screw it all up again.
Tim Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
Patrick Mahomes is the best QB in football and if I were ranking best QB's, I would have him ranked no. 1, but we aren't. Mahomes isn't immobile by any stretch but with the combination of injuries last season and a brand new offensive line, the Chiefs would be smart keeping their $503 million investment in the pocket, a place where he is so prolific anyway. It would take another record-setting season for Mahomes to finish at QB1 overall in 2021.Kenyon Drake's 58 red zone opportunities and 35% red zone market share have left the building with no proven replacement in sight. Conventional wisdom says RB's Chase Edmonds or James Conner would be the beneficiaries of all of that vacated work, but the more likely result will be Kyler Murray getting more opportunities in the Red Zone than ever before, both with his arm and his legs.
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
 The Cardinals signed a Pro Bowl center in the offseason, added A.J. Green, and drafted Rondale Moore. Kyler has a legit shot to be THE QB1 this season. He's easily my #2 QB after Mahomes, and I'm not moving off that.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
It is hard to believe that Mahomes II is still only 25-years old and already has 114 TD passes in just 46 games. He is a slam-dunk elite QB1 that had 380.3 fantasy points in 15 games.Murray had 271.40 fantasy points in his first 9 games or 30.16 fantasy points per game. He slowed in the 2nd half of the year with 119.34 fantasy points in 7 games or 17.05 fantasy points per game. I think he is still a great QB1, I don't think he is quite an elite option after a slow finish to the season.