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Patrick Mahomes II or Lamar Jackson

Who Should I Draft?

Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Patrick Mahomes IIP. Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes II
Lamar JacksonL. Jackson
QB - BAL
Lamar Jackson
 
 
Expert
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63%
Recommended by
115 of 183 experts
37%
Recommended by
68 of 183 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 1# 2-
Best Rank# 1# 1-
Worst Rank# 3# 8-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total291.9421.7-
Avg Game20.928.1-
Avg Projection343.2355.5-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank2216-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Patrick Mahomes IILamar JacksonAdd Player
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
3 w
#1#2-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
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Hail to Fantasy Football
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Razzball
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Mike WrightM. Wright
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The Athletic
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RTSports
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Razzball
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Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
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Dave MajorD. Major
XN Sports
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Michael HauffM. Hauff
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David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
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Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
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Get Sports Info
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Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
Draftwize
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Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
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Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
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Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
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TwoQBs
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Pro Football Focus
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CBS Sports
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Joe BondJ. Bond
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Fantasy Football Lord
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BallBlast
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Razzball
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Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
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Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
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Win My Fantasy League
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Mundo Fantasy
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Draft Sharks
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The Fantasy Footballers
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Wolf Sports
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Important Nonsense
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The Fantasy Fix
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Jordan RainsJ. Rains
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Fantrax
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FTN
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Fantasy Team Advice
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Colts.com
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Draft Buddy
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Jonathan StoneJ. Stone
The Hateful 8
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FantasyPros
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Fantasy Six Pack
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SleeperWire
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NFL Spinzone
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Christopher DellC. Dell
Betting Predators
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APEX Fantasy Leagues
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Fantasy Victors
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The FFGhostT. FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
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Ben WasleyB. Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
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Going For 2
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Jacob WayneJ. Wayne
Lineups
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Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
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Mike HarmonM. Harmon
Swollen Dome
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David ZachD. Zach
FantasyPros
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Jonathan HaysJ. Hays
Fantasy Foresight
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Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
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Justin WeigalJ. Weigal
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Fantasy Football Cafe
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Wayne BretskyW. Bretsky
BretskyBall
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Jeff GreenwoodJ. Gree...
The Fantasy Footballers
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Steven PintadoS. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
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Ryan Hodge R. Hodge
FantasyLabs
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Michael FlorioM. Florio
RotoBaller
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Dennis SosicD. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
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Tyler OrginskiT. Orgi...
Fantasy Hot Read
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Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
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Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
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Zach BrunnerZ. Brunner
FlurrySports
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Dave McKayD. McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
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Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
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Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
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Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
FTN
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Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
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BRoto Fantasy
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Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
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Tal MalachovskyT. Mala...
The Fantasy Scout
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Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Sports
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SmittyS.
SleeperU
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Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
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Lukas KacerL. Kacer
Lukas Kacer
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John HestermanJ. Hest...
Dynasty League Football
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Armando CrespoA. Crespo
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
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Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
Roto Rankings
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Justin SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
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Jon CollinsJ. Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
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Site RankingsS. Rank...
FFToday
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Chris RaybonC. Raybon
The Action Network
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Chris KennedyC. Kennedy
The Fantasy Headliners
3 w
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Neema HodjatN. Hodjat
Real GM
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Kevin TompkinsK. Tomp...
Fighting Chance Fantasy
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Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
3 w
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Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
3 w
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Matt MacCoyM. MacCoy
Fantasy Team Advice
3 w
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Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
3 w
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Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
3 w
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Geoff LambertG. Lambert
Going For 2
3 w
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Matthew BetzM. Betz
BallBlast
3 w
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Anthony AmicoA. Amico
FTN
3 w
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Andy SpiteriA. Spiteri
Razzball
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Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
3 w
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Draft EngineD. Engine
Draft Engine
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Tim PetropoulosT. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
3 w
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Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
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Kyle AugustK. August
FF Fellas
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RotoBaller
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QB List
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Roto Ranks
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New Life Fantasy
4 w
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Mark RossM. Ross
Athlon Sports
4 w
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Richard KingR. King
King Fantasy Sports
4 w
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Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
4 w
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Kyle RichardsonK. Rich...
The Fantasy Headliners
4 w
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Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
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Matt HarmonM. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports
4 w
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Adam PfeiferA. Pfeifer
FTN
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Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
4 w
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Matt OkadaM. Okada
BallBlast
08/26
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John FergusonJ. Ferg...
FantasyData
08/25
#2#1-
    
Frank BonincontriF. Boni...
Fantasy Wire HQ
08/25
#1#2-
    
Elliot Berkovits E. Berk...
Packer Report
4 w
#2#1-
    
Wolf of Roto StreetW. of R...
Roto Street Journal
3 w
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Scott AtkinsS. Atkins
Sports Illustrated
08/18
#2#1-
    
Kevin ScottK. Scott
The Intersecting
08/17
#1#2-
    
Dave LoughranD. Loug...
Awesemo
08/13
#1#2-
    
Nolan KellyN. Kelly
Awesemo
08/12
#2#1-
    
Rob WilsonR. Wilson
The Fantasy Footballers
08/11
#1#2-
    
Michael BellerM. Beller
The Athletic
08/24
#1#3-
    
Doug MooreD. Moore
Inside the Pylon
08/03
#1#2-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
08/03
#1#2-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
FTN
08/24
#1#2-
    
Mike AlexanderM. Alex...
Friends With Fantasy Benefits
07/03
#2#1-
    
Ben RolfeB. Rolfe
The Touchdown
06/29
#2#1-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
  Patrick Mahomes IIP. Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes II
Lamar JacksonL. Jackson
QB - BAL
Lamar Jackson
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. HOU vs. CLE
Week 2 at LAC at HOU
Week 3 at BAL vs. KC
Week 4 vs. NE at WAS
Week 5 vs. LV vs. CIN
Week 6 at BUF at PHI
Week 7 at DEN vs. PIT
Week 8 vs. NYJBYE WEEK
Week 9 vs. CAR at IND
Week 10BYE WEEK at NE
Week 11 at LV vs. TEN
Week 12 at TB at PIT
Week 13 vs. DEN vs. DAL
Week 14 at MIA at CLE
Week 15 at NO vs. JAC
Week 16 vs. ATL vs. NYG
Week 17 vs. LAC at CIN
Player Projections Comparison
  Patrick Mahomes IIP. Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes II
Lamar JacksonL. Jackson
QB - BAL
Lamar Jackson
Passing
   
Pass Att568.3469.0
Pass Cmp371.3301.3
Pass Yards4,574.93,484.1
Pass TDs34.528.9
Ints10.711.6
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts57.5159.7
Rush Yards298.5955.4
Rush TDs3.05.9
   
Misc
   
Fumbles2.13.4
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points343.2355.5
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
  Patrick Mahomes IIP. Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes II
Lamar JacksonL. Jackson
QB - BAL
Lamar Jackson
2019 Points 
Week 127.333.6
Week 231.630.9
Week 327.921.3
Week 418.026.5
Week 518.514.4
Week 619.830.6
Week 77.223.3
Week 8
Week 928.6
Week 1029.833.4
Week 1116.232.8
Week 1236.3
Week 1319.522.3
Week 1414.920.8
Week 1523.737.1
Week 1625.429.8
Week 1712.1
Total291.9421.7
Average20.928.1
Notes for Player Combination
  Patrick Mahomes IIP. Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes II
Lamar JacksonL. Jackson
QB - BAL
Lamar Jackson
Expert 
Jacob Wayne
Lineups
 I rarely advocate for drafting a quarterback early in a fantasy football league, but Lamar Jackson is the exception to the rule. His 1,200 rushing yards and 36 passing touchdowns likely aren't sustainable, but even if he had 300 fewer rushing yards and 6 fewer passing touchdowns last year, he still would have been the QB1 by a solid margin. He's at the helm of an offense perfectly built to emphasize his strengths and the team will need to air it out a bit more as their schedule gets tougher and their defense gets a little worse. Draft Jackson in the third round if he falls there without hesitation.
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Mahomes is the best pure passer in football, and he has the top system and the most explosive weapons. Who else should really be here?Jackson is due for regression across the board, but his rushing prowess keeps him locked in right behind Mahomes.
Draft Engine
Draft Engine
Mahomes' numbers regressed last year from his 2018 MVP season, and only partly due to him missing nearly 11 quarters after suffering a patellar dislocation in his right knee in mid-October. Expect his 2020 production to fall in between 2018 and '19.Following last year's promotion of Greg Roman to offensive coordinator, Jackson thrived in the system that propelled Tyrod Taylor to the best season of his career in 2015. Jackson's MVP numbers will regress, but his rushing prowess gives him a very high floor.
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
If you want to take Lamar over Mahomes, that's fine. I just wouldn't take either until Round 3. 
Kevin Wheeler
Draftwize
Only 24 years old, Mahomes already has a Super Bowl and regular-season MVP under his belt.The groin issue that kept Jackson out of practice for two days wasn't serious, as expected. "I doubt if I'm going to be carrying the ball a lot going on in the future," Jackson claimed. "We've got dynamic running backs. We're going to have even more receivers." Jackson's 176 carries in 2019 broke his own single-season record for quarterbacks by 29. It stands to reason the Ravens would like to dial that number back a bit and try to limit L-Jax's exposure to big hits, but he'll probably still have around 140 carries.
Ben Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
Despite a horror 2019 for fantasy, where he battled injury, a brutal schedule of passing defenses, Tyreek Hill's injury, an awful running game and touchdown regression, Mahomes finished as a QB1 in all but two full-game fantasy weeks. He averaged 20 points a game and hit the top 5 on six occasions but no doubt he was slowed down by knee and hand injuries so his healthy floor is even higher than that. For me, he remains the locked in dynasty and redraft QB1. Take him as early as the 3rd round.After his historic 2019, Jackson has a lot of regression coming, but that's not to say he won't be amazing again in the future. He still has a massive amount of upside and no matter how often the Ravens insist Lamar will rush less moving forward, that's not going to entirely disappear from his game. I also don't believe his passing efficiency will remain at the same extraordinary level, he just doesn't have the arm talent or the weapons. Hence he's a lower floor option compared to Mahomes and I'm slotting him in as my QB2. Please don't reach for him in drafts as there's exceptional depth at QB this year.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
If you invested a first-round pick in Mahomes last year, you weren't happy with the results. In games he started, he posted QB1-type numbers in just 57.1 percent of them. However, there were some factors to take into consideration. One, he was going to regress. Two, he suffered an injury during the Week 7 game against the Broncos that seemed to affect him throughout the remainder of the regular season. In the seven games following that injury, he threw for three touchdowns just once, while throwing for more than 283 yards just twice. Was that a sign of things to come? Probably not considering he threw for 901 yards and 10 touchdowns in three playoff games. You must ask yourself, "What's the worst/best-case scenario with Mahomes?" prior to drafting him. Worst case was probably last year, where he was the No. 52 value-based player. That means if we'd drafted 2019 all over again, his value would've been correct as the 52nd player selected, so a fifth-round pick. Best case scenario is that he finishes as the No. 5 value-based player like he did in 2018. If you're somewhere in the middle, he's still worth a third-round pick with upside for more. Most of the time with Mahomes, it all just depends on your particular draft, as there are some who'll see him go in the first round of their 1QB league. You're baking in too much risk there. As a late-second, early-third round pick, you have some room for growth. Anything beyond that is just a steal. With the lack of offseason, it'll affect defenses more than it will offenses, so we could see a record-breaking year for Mahomes.If we were replaying the 2019 season, Jackson would be the No. 2 pick in fantasy leagues, and it wouldn't be a reach. He was behind only Christian McCaffrey in value based drafting score. We talk all the time about regression when it comes to quarterbacks with a high touchdown rate, and Jackson is no different after posting a ridiculous 9.0 percent touchdown rate in 2019. That's going to come down. Lowering that mark to 5.0 percent (which is still above average), he would've thrown 20 touchdowns instead of the 36 that he did. However, something to help offset that is his rushing touchdown output. Based on where his carries took place last year, Jackson should've scored closer to 12 rushing touchdowns rather than the seven that he did. The downside to Jackson is that he's a bit thinner than you'd like as a mobile quarterback. While it's tough to get a clean hit on him, we have a history of mobile quarterbacks not withstanding a lot of hits. When you invest a second- or third-round pick on a quarterback, you need him on the field. If Jackson were a lock to play all 16 games, he'd be my QB1 and well worth a second-round pick. When you add in some of that risk, he's more of a third-round selection. There were nine separate occasions last year where he delivered 28-plus fantasy points. Those are week-winning performances.
Rob Wilson
The Fantasy Footballers
Jackson set fantasy football on fire last season, but this is Mahomes' league. He's the bonafide QB1 in the same way CMC is the RB1. Don't overthink this, especially given the ADP difference.Jackson should regress since his 2019 campaign was historic, but even a small regression puts him in elite QB territory due to his rushing ability. He's a lock for a top 3 QB finish.
Frank Bonincontri
Fantasy Wire HQ
The King, The Arm, The Repeat?Lamar has walked the walk each season, has promised to take the next step and has delivered, now with an even scarier defense? A balanced passing attack wins the Super Bowl
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Mahomes is only entering his third season as a starter and the sky is the limit for the 24-year old signal caller. He signed the biggest contract in NFL history and he is poised to dominate the league for at least the next decade.Jackson not only led the league in touchdown passes with 36, but he also ran for 1,206 yards. If he does not run as much this year, it may put him behind Mahomes, but these two are in an elite class by themselves.
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
With sky-high confidence, perfect seasoning and explosive weapons galore, a healthy Mahomes is set for another epic season - I'll take the over on 40 TD passes, 5k pass yardsProduced greatest FAN PPG season by a QB in NFL history - could have thrown 10 less TD passes, rushed for 500 fewer yards yet still finished No. 1 QB in FAN PPG
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
He is the best player in football and started using his legs a bit more on his super bowl run. If you are going to take a QB early, this is your guy.The Ravens offense was hyper efficient last season, so regression is certainly expected, but that does not mean Lamar Jackson takes a big step back. I still think he ends as an overall top 3 QB, but am not currently drafting at ADP.
Kyle Yates
FantasyPros
Draft Mahomes as either the first or second QB off the board. It's that simple.Jackson's going to have an absurd price tag this draft season, but the crazy thing is...he actually might be worth it. Jackson's rushing ability is a cheat code at the QB position and he has the potential to single-handedly win you a week because of it. Jackson should be off the board as either the first or second QB drafted.
Ben Rolfe
The Touchdown
 In 4-point per passing touchdown format, Jackson is the clear number one thanks to his increased usage of his legs to make plays over both Mahomes and Watson
Elliot Berkovits
Packer Report
Coming off a historic 2018 season, expectations couldn't have been higher for Mahomes heading into 2019. Unfortunately, a mid-season knee injury ruined his chances of repeating as MVP but assuming he plays 16 games this year, he may end up as league MVP. His offense is arguably the best in the league and Mahomes is only going to get better.Looking at Jackson's ability to run the ball and now his growing passing arsenal with weapons like Marquise Brown, Mark Andrews, and rookie Devin Duvernay. Barring injury, Lamar should finish QB1 once again and it shouldn't be close.
Seth Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
 Went back to look at QB TD rates of QBs that rush for 700+ yards a season to see if maybe he'd be somewhat exempt from TD regression. Nope. An AVG TD rate of 4.67%. Lamar was at 9% in 2019. Regression is coming. It seems impossible to imagine it right now but we don't need our feet held to the fire for 2020 because of 2019.