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Patrick Mahomes or Lamar Jackson

Who Should I Draft?

Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lamar JacksonL. Jackson
QB - BAL
Lamar Jackson
Patrick MahomesP. Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Expert
Recommendation

57%
Recommended by
40 of 70 experts
43%
Recommended by
30 of 70 experts
Most Accurate Experts 
   
Top Experts 55% 45%
Top QB Experts33%67%
Top Player Experts100%0%
   
Rankings 
   
ECR# 1# 2
Best Rank# 1# 1
Worst Rank# 4# 3
   
Fantasy Points 
   
Season Total421.7291.9
Avg Game28.120.9
Avg Projection352.8339.9
   
Schedule 
   
SOS Rank1622
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert
   
Expert Ranks 
Lamar JacksonPatrick Mahomes
   
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
1 h
#2#1
   
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
8 h
#2#1
   
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Football
15 h
#1#2
   
Jordan RainsJ. Rains
Dynasty Nerds
15 h
#2#1
   
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
17 h
#1#2
   
Brad EvansB. Evans
Fantasy Analyst
22 h
#2#1
   
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
22 h
#1#2
   
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
1 d
#2#1
   
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#1#2
   
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
The Quant Edge
2 d
#2#1
   
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
2 d
#2#1
   
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#2#1
   
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
2 d
#1#2
   
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
3 d
#2#1
   
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
3 d
#1#2
   
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
3 d
#1#2
   
Kyle YatesK. Yates
FantasyPros
3 d
#1#2
   
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
3 d
#2#1
   
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
3 d
#2#1
   
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
4 d
#2#1
   
Seth MillerS. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
4 d
#3#1
   
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
5 d
#2#1
   
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
5 d
#1#2
   
Chris KennedyC. Kennedy
The Fantasy Headliners
6 d
#1#2
   
Bill EnrightB. Enright
FFChamps
6 d
#3#2
   
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
6 d
#2#1
   
Bobby SylvesterB. Sylv...
FantasyPros
7 d
#1#2
   
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
1 w
#1#2
   
Michael HauffM. Hauff
Gridiron Experts
1 w
#2#1
   
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
1 w
#2#1
   
Mark RossM. Ross
Athlon Sports
1 w
#1#2
   
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
1 w
#2#1
   
Kyle AugustK. August
FF Fellas
1 w
#2#1
   
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FFToday
2 w
#1#2
   
Frank BonincontriF. Boni...
Fantasy Wire HQ
2 w
#1#2
   
Anthony AmicoA. Amico
DraftKings
2 w
#1#2
   
Davis MattekD. Mattek
RotoExperts
2 w
#1#2
   
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
2 w
#1#2
   
Huseyin AksuH. Aksu
Fantasy Couch
2 w
#1#2
   
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
2 w
#2#1
   
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
2 w
#2#1
   
Justin SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
2 w
#1#2
   
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
2 w
#2#1
   
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
Draftwize
2 w
#1#2
   
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
2 w
#1#2
   
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
2 w
#1#2
   
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
2 w
#2#1
   
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
DK Nation
3 w
#2#1
   
John PaulsenJ. Paulsen
4for4.com
3 w
#1#2
   
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
3 w
#1#2
   
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
3 w
#2#3
   
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
3 w
#1#2
   
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
The Athletic
3 w
#1#2
   
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
3 w
#1#2
   
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
3 w
#4#1
   
Matt BrandonM. Brandon
Matt Brandon
4 w
#2#1
   
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
4 w
#2#1
   
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
4 w
#2#1
   
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
4 w
#1#2
   
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
04/29
#1#2
   
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
04/27
#1#2
   
Matt HarmonM. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports
04/26
#1#2
   
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
04/26
#2#1
   
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
3 w
#1#2
   
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
04/08
#1#2
   
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
4 w
#1#2
   
Steven SpaccarotelliS. Spac...
SleeperWire
01/14
#1#2
   
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
01/08
#1#2
   
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
numberFire
01/14
#1#2
   
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
01/14
#1#2
   
Player Game Logs Comparison
  Lamar JacksonL. Jackson
QB - BAL
Lamar Jackson
Patrick MahomesP. Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. CLE vs. HOU
Week 2 at HOU at LAC
Week 3 vs. KC at BAL
Week 4 at WAS vs. NE
Week 5 vs. CIN vs. LV
Week 6 at PHI at BUF
Week 7 vs. PIT at DEN
Week 8BYE WEEK vs. NYJ
Week 9 at IND vs. CAR
Week 10 at NEBYE WEEK
Week 11 vs. TEN at LV
Week 12 at PIT at TB
Week 13 vs. DAL vs. DEN
Week 14 at CLE at MIA
Week 15 vs. JAC at NO
Week 16 vs. NYG vs. ATL
Week 17 at CIN vs. LAC
Player Projections Comparison
  Lamar JacksonL. Jackson
QB - BAL
Lamar Jackson
Patrick MahomesP. Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Passing
   
Pass Att468.4569.0
Pass Cmp300.8371.1
Pass Yards3,440.54,558.0
Pass TDs29.434.8
Ints11.610.1
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts160.661.7
Rush Yards927.1281.6
Rush TDs6.12.9
   
Misc
   
Fumbles4.13.5
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points352.8339.9
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
  Lamar JacksonL. Jackson
QB - BAL
Lamar Jackson
Patrick MahomesP. Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
2019 Points 
Week 133.627.3
Week 230.931.6
Week 321.327.9
Week 426.518.0
Week 514.418.5
Week 630.619.8
Week 723.37.2
Week 8
Week 928.6
Week 1033.429.8
Week 1132.816.2
Week 1236.3
Week 1322.319.5
Week 1420.814.9
Week 1537.123.7
Week 1629.825.4
Week 1712.1
Notes for Player Combination
  Lamar JacksonL. Jackson
QB - BAL
Lamar Jackson
Patrick MahomesP. Mahomes
QB - KC
Patrick Mahomes
Expert 
Seth Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
Went back to look at QB TD rates of QBs that rush for 700+ yards a season to see if maybe he'd be somewhat exempt from TD regression. Nope. An AVG TD rate of 4.67%. Lamar was at 9% in 2019. Regression is coming. It seems impossible to imagine it right now but we don't need our feet held to the fire for 2020 because of 2019. 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
What Jackson did in 2019 was remarkable on many levels, though many are expecting regression in 2020. Rightfully so, as he threw a touchdown on 9.0 percent of his pass attempts, which ranks 15th all-time, and ahead of Patrick Mahomes' 8.6 percent in 2018. If we dial that back to a managable 5.0 percent, Jackson would've thrown 20 touchdown passes instead of the 36 he did, which would result in 64 less fantasy points. That still would've been the No. 1 quarterback. And then you still have to factor in that he may have some positive regression with rushing touchdowns, as he rushed for 1,206 yards but scored just seven rushing touchdowns, which are worth more than passing touchdowns. By comparison, Josh Allen scored nine rushing touchdowns in 2019 while rushing for just 510 yards. Jackson will regress in passing touchdowns, but he might make up for it with a few more rushing touchdowns. If he stays healthy for all 16 games, he's a lock for top-two quarterback production.We talked until we couldn't talk anymore about the regression Mahomes would face in 2019, though many didn't want to believe it. Here's the thing: He's still very good. His 5.4 percent touchdown rate is one that is easily sustainable and one he can even improve on as he continues to grow in his career. Over the last two years, he's produced QB1-type numbers in 21-of-29 games where he's played the entire game (had to leave early against the Broncos in Week 7 last year). That's a ridiculous 72.4 percent rate. To give an idea as to how crazy that is, the highest career rate outside of him since 2000 is 63.2 percent. If you want to take him as the No. 1 quarterback off the board, no one would fault you. He's worthy of a late third-round pick.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Jackson not only led the league in touchdown passes with 36, but he also ran for 1,206 yards. If he continues to see 176 rushing attempts per season, he will be one of the best fantasy options in the NFL.Mahomes is only entering his third season and the sky is the limit for the 24-year old signal caller. He is one of the most dominant fantasy quarterbacks in the NFL.
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