Who Should I Draft?

Russell Wilson or Tom Brady

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Experts' Pick
 
  Russell Wilson
QB - SEA
Russell Wilson
Tom Brady
QB - NE
Tom Brady
 
 
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Recommended by
69 of 153 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 2# 3-
Best Rank# 1# 1-
Worst Rank# 13# 17-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total347.8295.9-
Avg Game21.718.5-
Avg Projection294.8299.5-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank1626-
    
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Injury Alert-
    
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Russell WilsonTom BradyAdd Player
    
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  Russell Wilson
QB - SEA
Russell Wilson
Tom Brady
QB - NE
Tom Brady
2018 Schedule 
Week 1 at DEN vs. HOU
Week 2 at CHI at JAC
Week 3 vs. DAL at DET
Week 4 at ARI vs. MIA
Week 5 vs. LAR vs. IND
Week 6 at OAK vs. KC
Week 7BYE WEEK at CHI
Week 8 at DET at BUF
Week 9 vs. LAC vs. GB
Week 10 at LAR at TEN
Week 11 vs. GBBYE WEEK
Week 12 at CAR at NYJ
Week 13 vs. SF vs. MIN
Week 14 vs. MIN at MIA
Week 15 at SF at PIT
Week 16 vs. KC vs. BUF
Week 17 vs. ARI vs. NYJ
  Russell Wilson
QB - SEA
Russell Wilson
Tom Brady
QB - NE
Tom Brady
Passing
   
Pass Att532.3583.7
Pass Cmp325.1383.8
Pass Yards3,825.54,592.0
Pass TDs26.132.4
Ints12.58.7
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts90.427.7
Rush Yards503.141.0
Rush TDs3.20.9
   
Misc
   
Fumbles3.42.9
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points294.8299.5
   
  Russell Wilson
QB - SEA
Russell Wilson
Tom Brady
QB - NE
Tom Brady
2017 Points 
Week 18.310.7
Week 215.330.8
Week 333.535.7
Week 427.620.5
Week 511.512.6
Week 616.2
Week 726.418.5
Week 835.117.5
Week 923.6
Week 1019.422.6
Week 1130.925.6
Week 1223.620.7
Week 1324.28.3
Week 1421.89.3
Week 1511.615.7
Week 1614.615.6
Week 1720.415.6
  Russell Wilson
QB - SEA
Russell Wilson
Tom Brady
QB - NE
Tom Brady
Expert 
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
Nobody amassed more standard fantasy points than Wilson, who notched a full three points per game more than QB runner-up Cam Newton. Although it's his first QB1 finish, he has cracked the top five three times and has never finished lower than 11 during his six-year career. Wilson's streak of attempting more passes every year is in jeopardy with Seattle eager to rediscover its rushing roots, but the Legion of Boom's demise may force the Seahawks into more shootouts. Wilson's legs (545.8 rushing yards per season), precision (2.0 career INT %) and durability (he has never missed a game) make him an elite contributor worth grabbing if everyone else is ignoring quarterbacks early. Brady is 41. In addition to losing Brandin Cooks, Dion Lewis, and Danny Amendola, he'll play the first four games without the suspended Julian Edelman. He was QB18 over the final five weeks and finished outside the top 10 in three of the last four years during the standard fantasy postseason (Weeks 14-16). So why not rank him lower? He's still Tom Brady. His idea of bottoming out may be only compiling 4,000 passing yards and 28 touchdowns, so consider him an unnecessary luxury pick rather than a bust.
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
Wilson has finished top 3 at the QB position in three of the past four seasons - his combination of throwing and running skills is unmatched - fear not a run-heavy approach by SEA in '18, big-play shots and Wilson runs will still be a major part of the new offenseYou've heard of this guy, right? The one who has made mid-4k passing yards and mid-30 TD passes commonplace for the past decade. If you want to tell me he's your No. 1 QB, I won't waste time arguing it.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Once you get down to around the No. 50 overall pick, the sure things are gone, so why not take one of the elite players at his position? Wilson has now finished as a top-three quarterback in three of the last four seasons and has never fallen out of the top-12 quarterbacks in any of his six seasons. His defense is as bad as its ever been, which should force him to partake in some shootouts that never seemed to happen before. Despite the elite defense that was being played, Wilson has posted QB1 numbers in 47.9 percent of his games, including a career-high 68.8 percent of games in 2017. He offers safety and upside, which is rare at the position.It's really only a matter of time before Brady starts the inevitable downturn to his Hall of Fame career, and we may have already started to witness the beginning of the end. After throwing 26 touchdowns and just three interceptions in the first 11 games, Brady threw just six touchdowns with five interceptions over the final five games, and failed to top 15 fantasy points in any of them. He still gets the benefit of the doubt, but I wouldn't go out of my way to draft him. Did you know that Brady was a top-12 performer just 50 percent of the time last year? Another year onto his age and subtracting Brandin Cooks surely doesn't help.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Wilson has been a top-three fantasy QB in three of the past four seasons. Even without weapons or an offensive line, he is a safe bet to deliver once again. With that said, the difference between him and Rodgers is substantial enough that you ought to wait several rounds to even consider Wilson.While Tom Brady is among the greatest QBs of all time, that has to come to an end at some point. It may have started toward the end of last season when he was QB18 over the final five weeks of the season. Yes, it is a small sample size, but certainly enough to be concerning.
Chet Gresham
WalterFootball
Wilson has such great upside, even in games where he isn't at his best, that I find it hard to not rank him second at the moment. I would love to see the Seahawks add some receiving weapons and offensive linemen, but no matter what, Wilson gets the job done on many fronts.I guess we'll have to wait for Brady's arm to literally fall out of the socket before knocking him down the rankings despite his AARP card. He is a great quarterback, probably the greatest of all time, but at this point, there's no doubt that his consistency at 41 years old has a lot to do with the Patriots' system, which should be good to go for yet another season.
Rich Piazza
Fantasy Shed
The Seahawks didn't do much to improve that offensive line in free agency or the draft. Nick Vannett and Ed Dickson just don't get me excited, and the wide receiver group is more or less the same. However, his rushing ability gives him a significant boost in the rankings.  
Staff Rankings
QB List
Considering the fact that the Seahawks have one of the worst offensive lines in football, it's pretty amazing Russell Wilson had the season he had. That line isn't likely to be any different this season unfortunately, and while Duane Brown is a solid left tackle (the most important position on the line, in my opinion), he's also got to deal with having Ethan Pocic at the left guard position who is not good, as well as D.J. Fluker who's had some major problems in the pass blocking game. All that being said, Wilson is absurdly talented and is amazing at evading free rushers. Last year, his passer rating was actually better in a blitz than not (109.3 vs. 90.7). Considering his offensive line, that's just downright impressive. If he could put up the numbers he did last year with the line he had, I don't see any reason he can't do it again. I do have on concern though - last year no quarterback through the ball into contested red zone situations than Russell Wilson, and he was largely successful thanks to Jimmy Graham, finishing the year with 23 touchdown passes in the red zone (third-best in the league). Graham is gone now, and he's replaced by Ed Dickson, who's not even remotely as good as Graham, so I could see that detracting from Wilson's value.The ageless wonder had yet another solid fantasy season last year thanks to his incredible ability to make really difficult throws while simultaneously limiting turnovers. Whether it's magic or whatever it may be, Brady is still awesome, even at 41-years-old, and he should continue to be this year. He finished last season with an excellent 27.8% DVOA and 5,468 effective yards compared to his 4,366 passing yards. Yes, he doesn't have quite the offensive weapons he's had in the past, especially with Julian Edelman being suspended for part of the year next year, but it won't really matter. He's still got Rob Gronkowski and Chris Hogan has proven himself to be a more-than-capable wide receiver in the past, as has Jordan Matthews.
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Wilson was the top dog last year but he lost a red-zone beast and one of his top WRs. I still respect his upside and dual threat ability, but I'm not drafting him to be that same guy in 2018.Brady is ancient but his fantasy dominance knows no bounds. I don't want to draft him as if he's a top 5 guy, but that's probably where he'll be at the end of the year
Jody Smith
FantasyPros
Last year's top-ranked QB will be the first QB picked in plenty of leagues. Wilson may have to rely on his arm more this season, as Seattle's once-dominant defense looks to take a major step back. Brady keeps plugging away, with no signs of slowing down.
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Wilson averaged 25.7 fantasy points per game and he should still be the top player in this offense, even with a new offensive coordinator, Brian Schottenheimer. He did lose TE Jimmy Graham and WR Paul Richardson in free agency, but his ability to run the football still keeps him in the elite fantasy quarterback discussion. The Patriots are retooling an offense that lost LT Nate Solder, WR Danny Amendola and RB Dion Lewis in free agency and traded WR Brandin Cooks to the LA Rams. Brady is also turning 41-years old this year. He should still be a QB1, but there are a lot of changes happening in New England.