Trevor Lawrence or Tua Tagovailoa
Who Should I Draft?
Experts' Pick | |||
Tua Tagovailoa QB - MIA  Tua Tagovailoa QB - MIA | Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC  Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC |  | |
Expert |
77% Recommended by 89 of 115 experts |
23% Recommended by 26 of 115 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would draftUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 17 | # 18 | - |
| Best Rank | # 15 | # 14 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 26 | # 25 | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 190.9 | 216.0 | - |
| Avg Game | 14.7 | 12.7 | - |
| Avg Projection | 281.9 | 271.7 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 31 | 2 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Tua Tagovailoa | Trevor Lawrence | Add Player |
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Tua Tagovailoa QB - MIA Tua Tagovailoa QB - MIA | Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC | |
| 2022 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. NE | at WAS |
| Week 2 | at BAL | vs. IND |
| Week 3 | vs. BUF | at LAC |
| Week 4 | at CIN | at PHI |
| Week 5 | at NYJ | vs. HOU |
| Week 6 | vs. MIN | at IND |
| Week 7 | vs. PIT | vs. NYG |
| Week 8 | at DET | vs. DEN |
| Week 9 | at CHI | vs. LV |
| Week 10 | vs. CLE | at KC |
| Week 11 | BYE WEEK | BYE WEEK |
| Week 12 | vs. HOU | vs. BAL |
| Week 13 | at SF | at DET |
| Week 14 | at LAC | at TEN |
| Week 15 | at BUF | vs. DAL |
| Week 16 | vs. GB | at NYJ |
| Week 17 | at NE | at HOU |
| Week 18 | vs. NYJ | vs. TEN |
Tua Tagovailoa QB - MIA Tua Tagovailoa QB - MIA | Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC | |
| Passing | ||
| Pass Att | 574.9 | 579.2 |
| Pass Cmp | 379.7 | 366.3 |
| Pass Yards | 4,036.5 | 3,968.6 |
| Pass TDs | 25.5 | 22.4 |
| Ints | 14.5 | 14.0 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 55.6 | 72.8 |
| Rush Yards | 197.7 | 326.9 |
| Rush TDs | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| Misc | ||
| Fumbles | 2.7 | 4.1 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 281.9 | 271.7 |
Tua Tagovailoa QB - MIA Tua Tagovailoa QB - MIA | Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC | |
| 2021 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 17.2 | 22.1 |
| Week 2 | 0.5 | 8.8 |
| Week 3 | ‐ | 9.5 |
| Week 4 | ‐ | 17.8 |
| Week 5 | ‐ | 22.7 |
| Week 6 | 22.4 | 15.9 |
| Week 7 | 28.5 | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 16.2 | 13.6 |
| Week 9 | ‐ | 5.1 |
| Week 10 | 12.3 | 9.8 |
| Week 11 | 18.5 | 8.6 |
| Week 12 | 13.2 | 18.0 |
| Week 13 | 17.9 | 6.8 |
| Week 14 | ‐ | 5.0 |
| Week 15 | 15.7 | 10.5 |
| Week 16 | 11.0 | 12.9 |
| Week 17 | 5.3 | 10.3 |
| Week 18 | 12.2 | 18.6 |
| Total | 190.9 | 216.0 |
| Average | 14.7 | 12.7 |
Tua Tagovailoa QB - MIA Tua Tagovailoa QB - MIA | Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC Trevor Lawrence QB - JAC | |
| Expert | ||
| Justin Lampkin Clock Management Fantasy Football | This is a risk I'm avoiding. there are plenty of talented QB's out there that have shown more than Tua with less weapons. The addition of Tyreek makes this a great trap at the QB position that I will not be falling into. | |
| Kevin Wheeler The Draft Zone | Tremendous playoff schedule (wk15-17), great QB for tournament play. | |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Somebody on the Miami Dolphins is in for a rude awakening come September. Mike Gesicki, Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill are all being pushed up the rankings/draft boards with hopes that Tua Tagovailoa takes a massive step forward in Year 3 under first-year head coach Mike McDaniel. I am not as optimistic that Tagovailoa can be the vehicle to deliver fantasy goodness to all these pieces in South Beach because this offense is going to be run-heavy. McDaniel made his way up the coaching ranks under Kyle Shanahan as a standout run-game coordinator. And should he follow in the footsteps of Shanahan as the offensive mastermind in Miami, fantasy managers should expect a lot of rushing and YAC schemes. 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo ranked 29th in aDOT in 2021 (7.6) after ranking 39th and 35th in the category the two years prior. Tagovailoa's aDOT was 34th in the league (7.6) in 2021. Jimmy G's most productive seasons have seen him average just north of 16 fantasy points per game - good for QB17 in 2021. Tagovailoa has yet to eclipse 14 fantasy points per game two years into his career. He also ranked 31st in throwing at the intermediate level (62.5 PFF grade) among 37 qualifying passers last season. So although Tua is viewed as a popular late-round quarterback among fantasy circles, I have to admit I won't be pulling the trigger on him in 1QB redraft formats. Especially with his brutal early schedule. New England, Baltimore and Buffalo are hardly the stream-worthy spots you will be confident in starting the southpaw QB. In the Dolphins quarterback's four combined starts versus those teams in 2021, his fantasy finishes were QB23, QB24, QB18 and QB16. | Joe Burrow's massive second-year jump is encouraging for this year's second-year QBs like Trevor Lawrence. The Jags quarterback finished with the same expected fantasy points per game average as Burrow in 2021 (17.3) but underwhelmed tremendously in a poor situation. His -72.3 fantasy points versus expectation were the most of any QB in 2021. Lawrence posted a season-high 85.1 PFF passing grade in the season-finale, offering some hope that he can turn things around in 2022 with a new coaching staff in place. There's a strong chance that Jacksonville dials up the passing attempts with Doug Pederson calling the shots on offense. During his five-year tenure in Philadelphia, only once did the offense not finish top-10 in pass attempts. |
| Pat Fitzmaurice FantasyPros | Tua's 2021 season revealed him to be more of a game manager than a playmaker. The average depth of his throws was 7 yards, and he looked more comfortable throwing underneath than downfield. Tua topped 300 yards just once in 12 games and threw for fewer than 200 yards in 4 of his last 8 starts. The addition of WR Tyreek helps, but can Tua take full advantage of Hill's speed? Tua's rushing contributions are more window dressing than needle-moving. | It would be silly to write him off after a bleak rookie season, particularly when it's so easy to pin all the blame on Urban Meyer. There were some eye-opening throws at times, but Lawrence completed less than 60% of his passes, threw 12 TDs and 17 INTs, and averaged only 6.0 yards per attempt. T-Law's pedigree suggests that good things are coming, but it's a big leap of faith after such a dismal rookie season. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Tagovailoa is under a lot of pressure entering his third year, expectations will be through the roof with Tyreek Hill on the team. He is a QB2 with upside given the upgrades on offense. | Lawrence should benefit from having Doug Pederson as head coach, I think he is going to be one of the most improved quarterbacks in the league with a much better offensive scheme. |
| Wolf of Roto Street Roto Street Journal | Among the biggest QB winners of the offseason w/ insane weapons cabinet now w/ Tyreek | |
