Skip to main content

Trevor Lawrence or Tua Tagovailoa

Who Should I Draft?


Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
   
 
Default player image

Expert
Percent


77%
Recommended by
89 of 115 experts
23%
Recommended by
26 of 115 experts
Add Player
Most Accurate Experts 
    
Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player ExpertsPadlock icon See who the Most Accurate Experts would draft
Upgrade Now
    
Rankings 
    
ECR# 17# 18-
Best Rank# 15# 14-
Worst Rank# 26# 25-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total190.9216.0-
Avg Game14.712.7-
Avg Projection281.9271.7-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank312-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Tua TagovailoaTrevor LawrenceAdd Player
    
Matthew Hill M. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football DataForce Fantasy ...
27 m
#17#22-
    
Kyle Senra K. Senra
Going For 2 Going For 2
41 m
#17#18-
    
Bart Wheeler B. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football Hail to Fantasy Fo...
3 h
#20#22-
    
Aaron Larson A. Larson
FantasyPros FantasyPros
3 h
#15#18-
    
Jamie Calandro J. Calandro
Football Diehards Football Diehards
5 h
#17#18-
    
Jeff Boggis J. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire Fantasy Football E...
6 h
#19#21-
    
Richard Savill R. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
6 h
#21#23-
    
Wyatt Bertolone W. Bertolone
JWB Fantasy Football JWB Fantasy Football
9 h
#17#18-
    
Tom Strachan T. Strachan
NFL Best Ball NFL Best Ball
10 h
#16#19-
    
Wilmar Chaves W. Chaves
Hablemos de Football Hablemos de Football
15 h
#18#16-
    
Dave Kluge D. Kluge
Footballguys Footballguys
17 h
#21#18-
    
Pat Fitzmaurice P. Fitzmaurice
FantasyPros FantasyPros
20 h
#15#17-
    
Justin Lampkin J. Lampkin
Clock Management Fantasy Football Clock Management F...
20 h
#15#14-
    
Nick Spencer N. Spencer
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
1 d
#16#18-
    
Matthew Freedman M. Freedman
FantasyPros FantasyPros
1 d
#17#16-
    
Jordan Rains J. Rains
The IDP Army The IDP Army
1 d
#19#22-
    
Craig Phillips C. Phillips
FF Prophet FF Prophet
1 d
#16#19-
    
David Zach D. Zach
FantasyPros FantasyPros
1 d
#16#20-
    
Andy Behrens A. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
1 d
#16#17-
    
Ben Rolfe B. Rolfe
Pro Football Network Pro Football Network
1 d
#19#15-
    
Morgan Colby M. Colby
The Fantasy Champions The Fantasy Champions
2 d
#19#20-
    
Jacob W. Dunne J. W. Dunne
Triple Play Fantasy Triple Play Fantasy
2 d
#16#20-
    
Jacob Gibbs J. Gibbs
SportsLine SportsLine
2 d
#17#18-
    
Mauricio Gutierrez M. Gutierrez
Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy
2 d
#16#18-
    
Austin Lee A. Lee
365 Fantasy Football 365 Fantasy Football
2 d
#17#20-
    
Michael Beller M. Beller
The Athletic The Athletic
2 d
#18#15-
    
Dennis Sosic D. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
2 d
#17#20-
    
Wolf of Roto Street W. of Roto ...
Roto Street Journal Roto Street Journal
2 d
#17#20-
    
Daniel Mader D. Mader
Belly Up Sports Belly Up Sports
3 d
#18#17-
    
Brandon Murchison B. Murchison
RotoBaller RotoBaller
3 d
#14#17-
    
Bo McBrayer B. McBrayer
Going For 2 Going For 2
3 d
#16#18-
    
Scott Engel S. Engel
The Game Day The Game Day
3 d
#17#25-
    
Dalton Del Don D. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
3 d
#19#24-
    
Luke Sawhook L. Sawhook
Dynasty Nerds Dynasty Nerds
3 d
#15#18-
    
Dave Richard D. Richard
CBS Sports CBS Sports
4 d
#18#19-
    
Kyle Richardson K. Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners The Fantasy Headli...
4 d
#18#21-
    
Tyler Orginski T. Orginski
JWB Fantasy Football JWB Fantasy Football
4 d
#19#24-
    
Jacob Hubman J. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners The Fantasy Headli...
4 d
#17#23-
    
Tim Metzler T. Metzler
FantasyPros FantasyPros
4 d
#17#14-
    
Huseyin Aksu H. Aksu
Fantasy Couch Fantasy Couch
4 d
#16#21-
    
Tommy Garrett T. Garrett
Pro Football Network Pro Football Network
4 d
#16#20-
    
Alex Caruso A. Caruso
Footballguys Footballguys
4 d
#15#20-
    
Joe Bond J. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
5 d
#16#15-
    
Joey Wright J. Wright
Front Yard Fantasy Front Yard Fantasy
5 d
#16#15-
    
Jon Jeune J. Jeune
Fantasy Football Diagnostics Fantasy Football D...
6 d
#15#20-
    
Scott Pianowski S. Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
6 d
#17#19-
    
Benjamin Klotz B. Klotz
Touchdown Squad Touchdown Squad
6 d
#19#20-
    
Robby Jeffries R. Jeffries
The Fantasy Authority The Fantasy Authority
6 d
#15#20-
    
Joe Pisapia J. Pisapia
FantasyPros FantasyPros
6 d
#22#17-
    
Michael Tomlin M. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
6 d
#19#20-
    
Clayton Cadieux C. Cadieux
Fantasy Football From Up North Fantasy Football F...
6 d
#17#20-
    
Jaime Eisner J. Eisner
The Draft Network The Draft Network
6 d
#20#24-
    
Site Rankings S. Rankings
Gridiron Experts Gridiron Experts
7 d
#15#20-
    
Blake Fincher B. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe Fantasy Football Cafe
7 d
#15#20-
    
Connor Rigg C. Rigg
Dynasty Nerds Dynasty Nerds
7 d
#17#16-
    
Guilherme Gianni G. Gianni
Fantasy Futebolista Fantasy Futebolista
7 d
#15#19-
    
Austin Amandolia A. Amandolia
Club Fantasy FFL Club Fantasy FFL
1 w
#18#19-
    
Jamey Eisenberg J. Eisenberg
CBS Sports CBS Sports
1 w
#18#17-
    
Derek Brown D. Brown
FantasyPros FantasyPros
1 w
#15#24-
    
Adam Stark A. Stark
Everyday Fantasy Football Everyday Fantasy F...
1 w
#17#26-
    
Liz Loza L. Loza
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
1 w
#15#19-
    
Nick Zylak N. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice Fantasy Football A...
1 w
#16#24-
    
Billy Mansell B. Mansell
IDP Army IDP Army
1 w
#18#19-
    
Des Bieler D. Bieler
The Washington Post The Washington Post
1 w
#17#18-
    
Drew DeLuca D. DeLuca
QB List QB List
1 w
#24#18-
    
Mark Ringo M. Ringo
Sleepers and Busts Sleepers and Busts
1 w
#15#24-
    
David Heilman D. Heilman
Gridiron Ratings Gridiron Ratings
1 w
#16#19-
    
Pierre Camus P. Camus
RotoBaller RotoBaller
1 w
#17#21-
    
Tommy Molioo T. Molioo
The Undroppables The Undroppables
1 w
#16#19-
    
Tim Jablonski T. Jablonski
The Hateful 8 The Hateful 8
1 w
#17#19-
    
Steven Pintado S. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches The Fantasy Coaches
2 w
#16#20-
    
Adam Murfet A. Murfet
5 Yard Rush 5 Yard Rush
2 w
#17#20-
    
Kyle Williams K. Williams
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
2 w
#20#18-
    
Brandon Funston B. Funston
The Athletic The Athletic
2 w
#19#17-
    
Smitty S.
SleeperU SleeperU
2 w
#25#17-
    
Michael Fabiano M. Fabiano
Sports Illustrated Sports Illustrated
2 w
#16#20-
    
Anthony Cervino A. Cervino
FF Faceoff FF Faceoff
2 w
#17#20-
    
Nate Marcum N. Marcum
Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames
2 w
#21#16-
    
Nathan Groot Nibbelink N. Groot Ni...
JWB Fantasy Football JWB Fantasy Football
2 w
#17#21-
    
Jeff Bell J. Bell
Footballguys Footballguys
2 w
#18#19-
    
John Paulsen J. Paulsen
4for4.com 4for4.com
2 w
#16#20-
    
Adrian Alpanseque A. Alpanseque
Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy
2 w
#17#18-
    
Site Rankings S. Rankings
FFToday FFToday
2 w
#17#19-
    
John Hesterman J. Hesterman
Dynasty League Football Dynasty League Foo...
2 w
#17#18-
    
Andrew Erickson A. Erickson
FantasyPros FantasyPros
2 w
#22#19-
    
Tim Brosnan T. Brosnan
Tim's Fantasy Tips Tim's Fantasy Tips
2 w
#16#22-
    
Michael Hauff M. Hauff
FF Faceoff FF Faceoff
2 w
#26#22-
    
Francisco (Chato) Romero F. (Chato) ...
Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy
2 w
#16#18-
    
Mike Maher M. Maher
FantasyPros FantasyPros
3 w
#21#17-
    
David Mendelson D. Mendelson
Triple Play Fantasy Triple Play Fantasy
3 w
#18#19-
    
Andrew Seifter A. Seifter
FantasyPros FantasyPros
3 w
#20#19-
    
Matt Donnelly M. Donnelly
Dynasty Vipers Dynasty Vipers
3 w
#16#20-
    
Seth Miller S. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football Crossroads Fantasy...
3 w
#21#22-
    
Ellis Johnson E. Johnson
True North Fantasy Football True North Fantasy...
4 w
#16#17-
    
Kyle Krajewski K. Krajewski
First Seed Sports First Seed Sports
4 w
#27#16-
    
Kevin Wheeler K. Wheeler
The Draft Zone The Draft Zone
4 w
#18#19-
    
Zach Greubel Z. Greubel
Gridiron Experts Gridiron Experts
4 w
#16#19-
    
Richard Cooling R. Cooling
5 Yard Rush 5 Yard Rush
05/31
#18#21-
    
Jody Smith J. Smith
FullTime Fantasy FullTime Fantasy
05/28
#19#20-
    
Raju Byfield R. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League Win My Fantasy League
05/27
#19#18-
    
Dominick Petrillo D. Petrillo
The Athletic The Athletic
05/25
#18#19-
    
Andersen Pickard A. Pickard
Prime Time Sports Talk Prime Time Sports ...
3 w
#18#20-
    
Brad Evans B. Evans
Bally Sports Bally Sports
05/24
#18#19-
    
Walter Cherepinsky W. Cherepinsky
WalterFootball WalterFootball
2 w
#15#20-
    
Ryan Weisse R. Weisse
Footballguys Footballguys
05/17
#17#21-
    
Fantasy BR F. BR
Fantasy BR Fantasy BR
05/16
#18#19-
    
Matt Olson M. Olson
The Pigskin Pow Wow The Pigskin Pow Wow
05/14
#17#19-
    
Derek Lofland D. Lofland
FantasyPros FantasyPros
05/24
#17#19-
    
Kevin Hanson K. Hanson
EDSFootball EDSFootball
05/11
#17#19-
    
Justin Sablich J. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy 5th Down Fantasy
05/10
#18#17-
    
Richard King R. King
King Fantasy Sports King Fantasy Sports
4 w
#22#25-
    
Mick Ciallela M. Ciallela
Fantrax Fantrax
05/06
#18#19-
    
Matt Harmon M. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
05/02
#17#22-
    
Rich Piazza R. Piazza
Fantasy Shed Fantasy Shed
05/01
#18#19-
    
Jorge B. Edwards J. B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames
2 w
#20#19-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
 
2022 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. NE at WAS
Week 2 at BAL vs. IND
Week 3 vs. BUF at LAC
Week 4 at CIN at PHI
Week 5 at NYJ vs. HOU
Week 6 vs. MIN at IND
Week 7 vs. PIT vs. NYG
Week 8 at DET vs. DEN
Week 9 at CHI vs. LV
Week 10 vs. CLE at KC
Week 11BYE WEEKBYE WEEK
Week 12 vs. HOU vs. BAL
Week 13 at SF at DET
Week 14 at LAC at TEN
Week 15 at BUF vs. DAL
Week 16 vs. GB at NYJ
Week 17 at NE at HOU
Week 18 vs. NYJ vs. TEN
Player Projections Comparison
 
Passing
   
Pass Att574.9579.2
Pass Cmp379.7366.3
Pass Yards4,036.53,968.6
Pass TDs25.522.4
Ints14.514.0
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts55.672.8
Rush Yards197.7326.9
Rush TDs3.12.1
   
Misc
   
Fumbles2.74.1
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points281.9271.7
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
2021 Points 
Week 117.222.1
Week 20.58.8
Week 39.5
Week 417.8
Week 522.7
Week 622.415.9
Week 728.5
Week 816.213.6
Week 95.1
Week 1012.39.8
Week 1118.58.6
Week 1213.218.0
Week 1317.96.8
Week 145.0
Week 1515.710.5
Week 1611.012.9
Week 175.310.3
Week 1812.218.6
Total190.9216.0
Average14.712.7
Notes for Player Combination
 
Expert 
Justin Lampkin
Clock Management Fantasy Football
This is a risk I'm avoiding. there are plenty of talented QB's out there that have shown more than Tua with less weapons. The addition of Tyreek makes this a great trap at the QB position that I will not be falling into. 
Kevin Wheeler
The Draft Zone
 Tremendous playoff schedule (wk15-17), great QB for tournament play.
Andrew Erickson
FantasyPros
Somebody on the Miami Dolphins is in for a rude awakening come September. Mike Gesicki, Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill are all being pushed up the rankings/draft boards with hopes that Tua Tagovailoa takes a massive step forward in Year 3 under first-year head coach Mike McDaniel. I am not as optimistic that Tagovailoa can be the vehicle to deliver fantasy goodness to all these pieces in South Beach because this offense is going to be run-heavy. McDaniel made his way up the coaching ranks under Kyle Shanahan as a standout run-game coordinator. And should he follow in the footsteps of Shanahan as the offensive mastermind in Miami, fantasy managers should expect a lot of rushing and YAC schemes. 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo ranked 29th in aDOT in 2021 (7.6) after ranking 39th and 35th in the category the two years prior. Tagovailoa's aDOT was 34th in the league (7.6) in 2021. Jimmy G's most productive seasons have seen him average just north of 16 fantasy points per game - good for QB17 in 2021. Tagovailoa has yet to eclipse 14 fantasy points per game two years into his career. He also ranked 31st in throwing at the intermediate level (62.5 PFF grade) among 37 qualifying passers last season. So although Tua is viewed as a popular late-round quarterback among fantasy circles, I have to admit I won't be pulling the trigger on him in 1QB redraft formats. Especially with his brutal early schedule. New England, Baltimore and Buffalo are hardly the stream-worthy spots you will be confident in starting the southpaw QB. In the Dolphins quarterback's four combined starts versus those teams in 2021, his fantasy finishes were QB23, QB24, QB18 and QB16.Joe Burrow's massive second-year jump is encouraging for this year's second-year QBs like Trevor Lawrence. The Jags quarterback finished with the same expected fantasy points per game average as Burrow in 2021 (17.3) but underwhelmed tremendously in a poor situation. His -72.3 fantasy points versus expectation were the most of any QB in 2021. Lawrence posted a season-high 85.1 PFF passing grade in the season-finale, offering some hope that he can turn things around in 2022 with a new coaching staff in place. There's a strong chance that Jacksonville dials up the passing attempts with Doug Pederson calling the shots on offense. During his five-year tenure in Philadelphia, only once did the offense not finish top-10 in pass attempts.
Pat Fitzmaurice
FantasyPros
Tua's 2021 season revealed him to be more of a game manager than a playmaker. The average depth of his throws was 7 yards, and he looked more comfortable throwing underneath than downfield. Tua topped 300 yards just once in 12 games and threw for fewer than 200 yards in 4 of his last 8 starts. The addition of WR Tyreek helps, but can Tua take full advantage of Hill's speed? Tua's rushing contributions are more window dressing than needle-moving.It would be silly to write him off after a bleak rookie season, particularly when it's so easy to pin all the blame on Urban Meyer. There were some eye-opening throws at times, but Lawrence completed less than 60% of his passes, threw 12 TDs and 17 INTs, and averaged only 6.0 yards per attempt. T-Law's pedigree suggests that good things are coming, but it's a big leap of faith after such a dismal rookie season.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Tagovailoa is under a lot of pressure entering his third year, expectations will be through the roof with Tyreek Hill on the team. He is a QB2 with upside given the upgrades on offense.Lawrence should benefit from having Doug Pederson as head coach, I think he is going to be one of the most improved quarterbacks in the league with a much better offensive scheme.
Wolf of Roto Street
Roto Street Journal
Among the biggest QB winners of the offseason w/ insane weapons cabinet now w/ Tyreek