Aaron Rodgers Week 15 Outlook - Jets at Ravens

It was another underwhelming fantasy performance out of Rodgers, as the Packers offense is apparently content with barely beating bottom-of-the-barrel competition. However, if there were ever a week to get a lead and sit on it (like they did against the Redskins), it's this one. When throwing the ball against the Bears you open yourself to turnovers, which can swing a game. The Bears have still yet to allow a top-12 quarterback performance against them this year, though David Blough and Dak Prescott finished with two of the top three performances against them, which both came in the last two weeks. The ceiling against the Bears was Teddy Bridgewater's 281-yard, two-touchdown performance back in Week 7, which netted 19.9 fantasy points and a QB13 finish. They've now allowed four multi-touchdown games, but never more than two touchdowns. Oddly enough, the only quarterback to average more than 7.7 yards per attempt against the Bears was Jared Goff, who completed just 11 passes in their Week 11 game, though a 50-yard completion propped-up his YPA numbers. The Bears have faced a decent number of passes, too, as the 37.2 pass attempts per game suggests. Back in their Week 1 matchup, Rodgers threw for 203 yards and one touchdown. He was a bit Jekyll and Hyde against the Bears last year, totaling 286/3/0 in the first matchup, but was then held to 274/0/1 in the second one. Over the last eight times he's played the Bears, Rodgers has topped 300 yards once (2016). However, he's thrown 10 touchdown passes over the last three games he's played against them at home. Rodgers has been so hit-or-miss in fantasy, it's tough to see him overcoming the brutal matchup that's yet to allow a quarterback finish as a top-12 option, but at home, it's tough to bet against him. Consider him a low-end QB1 this week.