Zach Ertz Week 14 Outlook - Commanders at 49ers

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Thu, Dec 10th 2020, 8:43am EST

Goedert caught all five of his receptions in Week 13 with Wentz under center, so there's certainly room for volatility in his role moving forward. Going through Hurts' 12 pass attempts last week, we saw Goedert get targeted just once, while Ertz saw two of them. We don't know if Hurts will target the tight ends as much as Wentz did, but you have to think the offense should still run through them. The next problem is the matchup, as the Saints have allowed the third-fewest yards per target (5.63) to tight ends this year, and they've seen 89 targets, so it's a good sample size. They have allowed a touchdown every 14.8 targets to them, which is certainly a good thing, as it can salvage a bad yardage day, but do we see the Eagles scoring a ton of points or getting into the red zone very often in this game? They're projected for just 19.5 points, which is one of the lower totals on the week. Outside of that Darren Waller performance against the Saints back in Week 2, the Saints haven't allowed a tight end more than five catches or 62 yards. All in all, tight ends average 20 percent fewer PPR points against the Saints than they do versus their season-long average. We can't say anything definitive with Hurts under center, but this matchup causes all sorts of doubt. Goedert is still the one who's the most valuable, as he played nearly twice the snaps that Ertz did, but he's a risky low-end TE1. As for Ertz, he's more of a mid-tier TE2 who's clearly being eased back into the offense.