Tank Dell Week 13 Outlook - Broncos at Texans

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Nov 30th 2023, 1:05pm EST

Dell opened the week with a DNP (calf). We'll need to monitor his practice reports for the rest of the week. DeMeco Ryans didn't sound worried about Dell, so we'll proceed with the thought that he plays this week with his usual allotment of snaps. In the seven games this season, with Dell and Nico Collins both playing full-time roles, Dell has had a 21.4% target share, a 35.1% air-yard share, 2.60 YPRR, and a 23.2% first-read share. Since Week 7, Denver has utilized single-high on 56.8% of their defensive snaps. In those seven games against single-high, Dell has had a 25.2% target share, a 37.2% air-yard share, 2.93 YPRR, and a 28.1% first-read share. Houston has slid Dell inside to the slot on three occasions this season, with Dell seeing a 34.3-42.2% slot rate. They could easily do that again this week to keep Dell away from Surtain. I'm projecting Collins to get the Surtain shadow, which means Dell will see Fabian Moreau (59.3% catch rate and 57.9 passer rating) and Ja'Quan McMillian (60% catch rate and 83.1 passer rating) all day in coverage. Week 13 Positional Value: WR2