Brian Thomas Jr. Week 15 Outlook - Jets at Jaguars

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Dec 11th 2025, 1:35pm EST

Since Week 13, Brian Thomas Jr. has become the field-stretching component of the passing attack with a 21.8 aDOT, 15.5% target share, 57.5 receiving yards per game, 2.13 yards per route run, and a 22.5% first-read share. In these two games, 55.5% of his target volume has come via deep targets, while he has seen zero end zone or red zone targets. This isn't a great matchup for downfield passing. Since Week 9, the Jets have allowed the 13th-lowest deep ball completion rate, the sixth-fewest deep passing yards per game, and ranked 16th in passer rating versus deep passing. Thomas Jr. is a volatile flex option. Since Week 10, New York has ranked 16th in PPR points per target against perimeter wide receivers.