Brian Thomas Jr. Week 16 Outlook - Jaguars at Broncos

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Dec 18th 2025, 1:35pm EST

Since Week 13, Brian Thomas Jr. has had two top 24 wide receiver weekly finishes (WR23, WR15) while seeing a 17.8% target share with 60.3 receiving yards, 2.21 yards per route run, and a 26.2% first-read share. During this three-game stretch, he has had a 21.0 aDOT, and 50% of his targets have been downfield. This isn't the matchup to consider flexing Brian Thomas Jr. Since Week 9, Denver has allowed the eighth-lowest deep ball completion rate and the fourth-lowest passer rating to downfield passing. If that doesn't scare you, then I'll also add that since Week 10, Denver has allowed the 12th-fewest PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers.