Darren Waller Week 17 Outlook - Buccaneers at Dolphins

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Sat, Dec 27th 2025, 9:35am EST

Last week, Darren Waller saw his route share dip to 51.6% with a 16.7% target share, 40 receiving yards, 2.50 yards per route run, and a 17.4% first-read share. Waller is essentially the Dalton Kincaid of South Beach now. He's locked in a run-first offense with a part-time role in the offense. In his last four games, Waller has had three red zone targets and four deep targets. That's enough high cholesterol usage and efficiency to propel Waller to a TE1 finish this week, but there's risk here. There's no doubt about that. Since Week 10, Tampa Bay has allowed the sixth-most yards per target and the fifth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.