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Aaron Jones or Nick Chubb

Who Should I Start? - Week 1


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Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
 
Aaron Jones
RB - GB
at MIN, Sun 1pm EDT
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
at BAL, Sun 1pm EDT
 
 
Default player image

Expert
Recommendation


Updated: Sep 29th, 2020
68%
Recommended by
120 of 177 experts
32%
Recommended by
57 of 177 experts
Add Player
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 9# 14-
Best Rank# 5# 6-
Worst Rank# 19# 27-
    
Matchup 
    
Opponent at MIN at BAL-
Matchup RatingThis is a 2 star matchup. RBs perform a little worse than their average vs MINThis is a 2 star matchup. RBs perform a little worse than their average vs BAL-
    
    
Stats Allowed   
Rush Att29.523.9
Rush Yds134.4108.8
Rush TD1.20.8
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total213.3191.7-
Avg Game14.216.0-
2019 Average14.216.0-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
Weather-
    
Expert Ranks 
Aaron JonesNick ChubbAdd Player
    
Scott AtkinsS. Atkins
FullTime Fantasy
09/29
#9#15-
    
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
09/13
#11#16-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
09/13
#10#15-
    
Steven SpaccarotelliS. Spac...
SleeperWire
09/13
#11#15-
    
Nathan JahnkeN. Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
09/13
#10#15-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
09/13
#8#15-
    
Marc CavigliaM. Cavi...
Bruno Boys
09/13
#9#15-
    
Patrick ThormanP. Thorman
Establish the Run
09/10
#12#14-
    
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
09/10
#16#15-
    
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
09/10
#8#14-
    
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
EDSFootball
09/10
#9#13-
    
Michael HauffM. Hauff
Gridiron Experts
09/13
#8#16-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
09/13
#11#9-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
09/13
#11#19-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
09/13
#9#15-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
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#8#15-
    
Jamie CalandroJ. Cala...
Fantasy Team Advice
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Andy HollowayA. Holl...
The Fantasy Footballers
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#10#15-
    
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
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Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
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#8#15-
    
Jacob W. DunneJ. W. D...
New Life Fantasy
09/09
#12#10-
    
Todd D ClarkT. D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
09/13
#10#8-
    
Elvin RyanE. Ryan
The Pregame HQ
09/10
#10#13-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
09/13
#10#20-
    
Matt BrandonM. Brandon
Matt Brandon
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Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
09/13
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Dennis SosicD. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
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Seth MillerS. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
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Kyle RichardsonK. Rich...
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SkullKing Sports
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#12#8-
    
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Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
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#11#17-
    
Seth KleinS. Klein
Fantrax
09/13
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Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
09/13
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Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
The Draft Zone
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Fantrax
09/10
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Dan YanotchkoD. Yano...
EDSFootball
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David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
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Steven PintadoS. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
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Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
09/09
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The Football Girl
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Muntradamus M.
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09/13
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09/12
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Jonathan StoneJ. Stone
The Hateful 8
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Zachary HanshewZ. Hanshew
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Matt De LimaM. De Lima
Sports Illustrated
09/13
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Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
09/10
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Jake CielyJ. Ciely
The Athletic
09/12
#10#15-
    
Jeff RatcliffeJ. Ratc...
FTN
09/13
#9#16-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
09/13
#11#9-
    
Tal MalachovskyT. Mala...
The Fantasy Scout
09/13
#15#8-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
Sports Illustrated
09/13
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Adam PfeiferA. Pfeifer
FTN
09/08
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Razzball
09/10
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Jason WillanJ. Willan
Gridiron Experts
09/13
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Site RankingsS. Rank...
FullTime Fantasy
09/13
#10#14-
    
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
09/13
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Matthew FreedmanM. Free...
The Action Network
09/10
#16#15-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
09/09
#10#12-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
09/12
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Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
09/10
#11#7-
    
Christopher DellC. Dell
Betting Predators
09/13
#11#27-
    
Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
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09/13
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Isaiah SiroisI. Sirois
FantasyPros
09/13
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Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
09/13
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Mundo Fantasy MXM. Fant...
Mundo Fantasy
09/11
#12#13-
    
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Hail to Fantasy Football
09/13
#10#17-
    
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
numberFire
09/13
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Justin DoddsJ. Dodds
SleeperWire
09/09
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Tyler OrginskiT. Orgi...
Fantasy Hot Read
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XN Sports
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Jon CollinsJ. Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
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RotoBaller
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Important Nonsense
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FantasyPros
09/13
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Tommy MoliooT. Molioo
The Undroppables
09/09
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Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
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Neema HodjatN. Hodjat
Real GM
09/09
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Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
09/13
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FTN
09/13
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Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
09/13
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Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
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09/09
#12#23-
    
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
09/13
#9#7-
    
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
09/13
#14#8-
    
Clayton CadieuxC. Cadieux
Fantasy Football From Up North
09/12
#9#15-
    
Chris KennedyC. Kennedy
The Fantasy Headliners
09/13
#9#7-
    
Dan McLellanD. McLe...
WBLZ Media
09/10
#11#14-
    
Jose Ramon LlacaJ. Ramo...
Estadio Fantasy
09/07
#12#9-
    
Justin SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
09/13
#11#14-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
QB List
09/12
#10#7-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
09/13
#9#15-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
09/10
#11#19-
    
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
09/09
#10#16-
    
Jared SmolaJ. Smola
Draft Sharks
09/13
#9#15-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
09/10
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Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
09/12
#12#15-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
09/09
#9#8-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
09/13
#11#12-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
09/10
#10#9-
    
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
09/13
#8#15-
    
Doug NorrieD. Norrie
Daily Fantasy Sports Rankings
09/13
#10#8-
    
Mike HarmonM. Harmon
Swollen Dome
09/13
#11#17-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
DK Nation
09/10
#7#15-
    
Matthew BetzM. Betz
BallBlast
09/13
#10#8-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
09/13
#8#14-
    
Jordan RainsJ. Rains
Expand The Boxscore
09/13
#10#8-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
09/08
#9#16-
    
Kelly SmelserK. Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
09/13
#12#7-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
09/13
#18#16-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
Fantasy Football Smackdown
09/13
#11#8-
    
Lawrence JacksonL. Jackson
Fantasy Football Lord
09/13
#9#15-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
09/13
#9#7-
    
Francisco (Chato) RomeroF. (Cha...
Estadio Fantasy
09/13
#8#15-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
09/13
#9#7-
    
Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
Roto Rankings
09/13
#11#16-
    
09/10
#11#8-
    
Mike MacGregorM. MacG...
Draft Buddy
09/12
#10#14-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
Pro Football Focus
09/13
#5#7-
    
Thor AkerleyT. Akerley
Fantasy Team Advice
09/13
#8#15-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
RotoExperts
09/13
#9#15-
    
Jacob WayneJ. Wayne
Lineups
09/09
#8#16-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
09/13
#12#8-
    
Gerson AguirreG. Aguirre
Going For 2
09/07
#7#12-
    
Alex BlickleA. Blickle
Fantasy Team Advice
09/13
#5#16-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
09/13
#7#8-
    
09/13
#11#15-
    
Justin WeigalJ. Weigal
FantasySharks
09/13
#10#15-
    
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
09/13
#9#15-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
FantasyPros
09/09
#11#13-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
09/13
#6#14-
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
09/11
#14#18-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
09/12
#6#16-
    
Drew DeLucaD. DeLuca
NFL Spinzone
09/13
#14#9-
    
Kate MagdziukK. Magd...
BallBlast
09/12
#19#16-
    
Michelle MagdziukM. Magd...
BallBlast
09/10
#10#17-
    
Ben WasleyB. Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
09/13
#12#9-
    
Kyle EnglishK. English
Reality Sports
09/10
#11#17-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
09/12
#7#14-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
09/12
#14#15-
    
DailyRotoD.
DailyRoto
09/13
#12#17-
    
Aaron LarsonA. Larson
FantasyPros
09/09
#8#9-
    
Jason SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
09/04
#11#17-
    
Site ProjectionsS. Proj...
numberFire
09/13
#11#16-
    
Elliot Berkovits E. Berk...
Packer Report
09/13
#8#15-
    
Ellis JohnsonE. Johnson
True North Fantasy Football
09/13
#8#18-
    
Huseyin AksuH. Aksu
Fantasy Couch
09/13
#9#8-
    
Richard KingR. King
King Fantasy Sports
09/10
#10#16-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
FTN
09/09
#11#12-
    
Mike KruegerM. Krueger
FFToday
09/09
#10#16-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
09/01
#7#16-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
09/10
#8#10-
    
Geoff LambertG. Lambert
Going For 2
09/13
#11#6-
    
John HestermanJ. Hest...
Dynasty League Football
09/10
#10#7-
    
Matt MacCoyM. MacCoy
Fantasy Team Advice
09/12
#14#8-
    
Matt HarmonM. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports
09/08
#12#14-
    
Tim PetropoulosT. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
09/12
#9#7-
    
Benjamin KlotzB. Klotz
Touchdown Squad
09/12
#11#8-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
09/11
#15#9-
    
Nicholas YouN. You
The Undroppables
09/11
#10#20-
    
Chris RaybonC. Raybon
The Action Network
09/13
#12#16-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
09/10
#11#13-
    
Dariyan MayburyD. Maybury
Fantasy Football Advice
09/10
#11#15-
    
The FFGhostT. FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
09/10
#10#15-
    
Jonathan HaysJ. Hays
Fantasy Foresight
09/10
#13#7-
    
Kevin ScottK. Scott
The Intersecting
09/10
#9#14-
    
Adam MurfetA. Murfet
5 Yard Rush
09/10
#9#7-
    
John FergusonJ. Ferg...
FantasyData
09/10
#10#13-
    
Blake FincherB. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe
09/09
#11#15-
    
Morgan ColbyM. Colby
The Fantasy Champions
09/08
#13#15-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
09/08
#12#8-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
FTN
09/07
#16#11-
    
Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
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09/10
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Player Game Logs Comparison
 
Aaron Jones
RB - GB
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 at MIN at BAL
Week 2 vs. DET vs. CIN
Week 3 at NO vs. WAS
Week 4 vs. ATL at DAL
Week 5BYE WEEK vs. IND
Week 6 at TB at PIT
Week 7 at HOU at CIN
Week 8 vs. MIN vs. LV
Week 9 at SFBYE WEEK
Week 10 vs. JAC vs. HOU
Week 11 at IND vs. PHI
Week 12 vs. CHI at JAC
Week 13 vs. PHI at TEN
Week 14 at DET vs. BAL
Week 15 vs. CAR at NYG
Week 16 vs. TEN at NYJ
Week 17 at CHI vs. PIT
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
Aaron Jones
RB - GB
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
2020 Points 
Week 113.64.6
Week 241.625.3
Week 314.623.0
Week 417.14.3
Week 5
Week 610.1
Week 7
Week 8
Week 97.9
Week 109.518.6
Week 1113.111.4
Week 129.023.6
Week 1320.816.6
Week 147.522.3
Week 1521.812.6
Week 1610.812.6
Week 1714.516.8
Total213.3191.7
Average14.216.0
Player Targets Comparison
 
Aaron Jones
RB - GB
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
2020 Targets 
Week 161
Week 281
Week 341
Week 450
Week 5
Week 65
Week 7
Week 8
Week 95
Week 1061
Week 1140
Week 1223
Week 1331
Week 1432
Week 1542
Week 1635
Week 1751
Notes for Player Combination
 
Aaron Jones
RB - GB
at MIN, Sun 1pm EDT
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb
Nick Chubb
RB - CLE
at BAL, Sun 1pm EDT
Expert 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
This is a backfield that no one can tell you how it'll shake out with 100 percent certainty. The Packers drafted Dillon with a second-round pick, so that means they'll use him, right? Looking back over the last seven years, there have been 17 running backs drafted in the second round. Only four of them saw fewer than 123 touches and finished outside the top 46 running backs. So yeah, he likely matters. The Vikings allowed just the 12th-fewest points to running backs last year, but not because they were dominant or anything. The 4.39 yards per carry they allowed was the 11th-most in football, and they lost their best presence up the middle of the field in Linval Joseph. He recorded 19 run stops last year, while the runner-up Shamar Stephen totaled 10 of them. They snagged Michael Pierce in free agency to help fill the void, but he opted out for the season, leaving them to start Jaleel Johnson alongside Stephen. You should know that even with Joseph, Jones tagged this unit for 270 yards and three touchdowns on the ground alone last year in the two games they played. He did total 46 carries between the two games, a number he's unlikely to get to with Dillon on the roster, but it's clear LaFleur's scheme works against a then-more-talented Vikings unit, so playing him as a borderline RB1 this week makes sense. I'd probably fade him in cash considering there still is risk attached, but in tournaments, he's a go.It was a tale of two tapes when Chubb saw the Ravens last year, turning in a ridiculous 183-yard, three-touchdown performance in Week 4, but then falling flat on his face in Week 16 when he finished with just 45 yards on 15 carries. What changed? Defensive tackle Brandon Williams was out for the Ravens in their Week 4 meeting, and he's been a difference-maker when on the field. The Ravens did lose Michael Pierce and Chris Wormley on the interior of their defensive line this offseason, though they tried to make up for that, trading for Calais Campbell, a player who's continually one of the best in the league. The big change for Chubb will be the Kevin Stefanski offense that should fit his skill set extremely well. The Browns added both Jack Conklin and first-round pick Jedrick Wills to the offensive line, which should be massive upgrades over Greg Robinson and Chris Hubbard. Still, it may take some time for them to finesse the scheme and develop chemistry together. The biggest issue for Chubb (and Hunt) this week is that the Ravens opponents averaged just 22.3 running back touches per game. No other team allowed their opponents less than 23.1 touches. That's because they control the clock and allowed their opponents just 57.6 plays per game. If the Browns defense can't slow down Lamar Jackson, we're unlikely to see Chubb and Hunt total more than 25 combined touches. Chubb averaged 6.0 fewer PPR points per game in games the Browns lost last year. He's more of a middling RB2 this week than the RB1 you thought you drafted.
Isaiah Sirois
FantasyPros
 The Kareem Hunt signing earlier this week isn't good news for Chubb long-term. Short-term, Chubb finds himself in a bit of a bind as well. He takes on the Baltimore defense this weekend, and while he did post impressive numbers against them early last season, that was before the Ravens reworked their front seven. He's got a much tougher task rushing against a linebacking corps anchored by Patrick Queen. If you drafted Chubb, you should start him, but be prepared for a below-average performance from the Georgia alum.
Jacob Wayne
Lineups
In two games against the Vikings last season, Aaron Jones averaged 23.5 points with a combined 3 touchdowns. The scoring may regress a bit this season for Jones, especially against the Vikings' defense that allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy points in the red zone to RBs last season. Jones is still a very talented player, though, and as long as he's on the fieldI love Nick Chubb this season and am hyped to see what he can do in Kevin Stefanski's offense, but this is a tough matchup for him to start off in. The Ravens allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to running backs last year and I don't expect this to be a game script where Chubb can get 20+ carries. If the Browns are down in this game early, Kareem Hunt could be featured as the better pass-catcher on the roster. Chubb is still a solid RB2 with RB1 upside and you're starting if you have him, just don't expect one of his best weeks.
Kyle Yates
FantasyPros
The Vikings DST might seem like a scary matchup at first glance, but this unit is going through a bit of a transition on the fly. Jones should be fine from a matchup standpoint, but there are the concerns about AJ Dillon behind him and how much work Jones is actually going to see. If Jones scores, you're going to be happy you started him. However, that's just simply not a guarantee. He's still a high-end RB2 start this week, but there are certainly a wide range of outcomes for the Packers' lead RB. 
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Jones had 46 rushing attempts for 270 yards and 3 rushing touchdowns against the Vikings last year. I know there are some concerns that his workload will be reduced this year in a deep RBBC, but he had too much success against the Vikings to be doubted in Week 1.Chubb had 20 carries for 165 yards and 3 rushing touchdowns in 1 game against the Ravens and 15 carries for 45 yards in other game against the Ravens. Chubb is a boom / bust RB1 in a tough road matchup.