Aaron Rodgers or Deshaun Watson
Who Should I Start? - Week 1
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Experts' Pick | |||
Deshaun Watson QB - HOU  Deshaun Watson QB - HOU at KC, Thu 8pm EDT |
Aaron Rodgers QB - GB  Aaron Rodgers QB - GB at MIN, Sun 1pm EDT |
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Expert |
100% Recommended by 186 of 186 experts |
0% Recommended by 0 of 186 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would startUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 5 | # 15 | - |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 8 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 12 | # 25 | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | at KC | at MIN | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 2 star matchup. QBs perform a little worse than their average vs KC | This is a 2 star matchup. QBs perform a little worse than their average vs MIN | - |
| Stats Allowed | |||
| Pass Comp | 21.8 | 22.4 | |
| Pass Yds | 236.2 | 258.8 | |
| Pass TD | 1.8 | 1.9 | |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 376.4 | 411.9 | - |
| Avg Game | 23.5 | 24.2 | - |
| 2019 Average | 23.5 | 24.2 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Weather | Indoor | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Deshaun Watson | Aaron Rodgers | Add Player |
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Deshaun Watson QB - HOU Deshaun Watson QB - HOU | Aaron Rodgers QB - GB Aaron Rodgers QB - GB | |
| 2020 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | at KC | at MIN |
| Week 2 | vs. BAL | vs. DET |
| Week 3 | at PIT | at NO |
| Week 4 | vs. MIN | vs. ATL |
| Week 5 | vs. JAC | BYE WEEK |
| Week 6 | at TEN | at TB |
| Week 7 | vs. GB | at HOU |
| Week 8 | BYE WEEK | vs. MIN |
| Week 9 | at JAC | at SF |
| Week 10 | at CLE | vs. JAC |
| Week 11 | vs. NE | at IND |
| Week 12 | at DET | vs. CHI |
| Week 13 | vs. IND | vs. PHI |
| Week 14 | at CHI | at DET |
| Week 15 | at IND | vs. CAR |
| Week 16 | vs. CIN | vs. TEN |
| Week 17 | vs. TEN | at CHI |
Deshaun Watson QB - HOU Deshaun Watson QB - HOU | Aaron Rodgers QB - GB Aaron Rodgers QB - GB | |
| 2020 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 21.8 | 30.8 |
| Week 2 | 15.7 | 18.2 |
| Week 3 | 18.1 | 24.5 |
| Week 4 | 20.9 | 29.6 |
| Week 5 | 26.9 | ‐ |
| Week 6 | 32.0 | 5.8 |
| Week 7 | 24.2 | 27.3 |
| Week 8 | ‐ | 22.5 |
| Week 9 | 24.2 | 28.9 |
| Week 10 | 14.1 | 26.4 |
| Week 11 | 31.4 | 22.7 |
| Week 12 | 33.1 | 25.6 |
| Week 13 | 20.4 | 23.5 |
| Week 14 | 16.6 | 30.9 |
| Week 15 | 23.4 | 18.3 |
| Week 16 | 26.8 | 26.1 |
| Week 17 | 26.8 | 26.0 |
| Total | 376.4 | 411.9 |
| Average | 23.5 | 24.2 |
Deshaun Watson QB - HOU Deshaun Watson QB - HOU at KC, Thu 8pm EDT |
Aaron Rodgers QB - GB Aaron Rodgers QB - GB at MIN, Sun 1pm EDT |
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| Expert | ||
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | Life without DeAndre Hopkins begins for Watson. We don't know what that looks like, as it's never happened. Watson's QB Rating when targeting Hopkins last year? 107.8. When targeting Will Fuller? 96.7. Both are good, but let's not pretend Hopkins didn't draw some coverage away from Fuller and the rest of the receivers. The Chiefs were surprisingly one of the best pass defenses in the league last year, allowing the 12th-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks, which included just a 3.61 percent touchdown rate, 6.62 yards per attempt, and 60.4 percent completion rate. That's the bad news. What might seem like more bad news is Watson's 280-yard, one-touchdown, two-interception performance against them last year, but there's more to it than the stats. I'm not kidding when I say that Fuller dropped three touchdowns. Watson also played well against them in their playoff loss, totaling 388 yards and two touchdowns, though it did take him 52 attempts to get there. It's hard to gameplan against the Texans right now, as you're unsure what their primary choice of attack will be, though if there's one thing I'll bet on, it's that Watson will run more this year, which raises his weekly floor. In the two games against the Chiefs last year, he rushed for 68 yards and three touchdowns. Start him as your QB1 in what should be a high-scoring game. He's a good tournament option in DFS but play it safe in cash lineups until we see more on how losing Hopkins affects his game. | Going into Minnesota to play hasn't been a treat for quarterbacks over the last few years. Over the 16 games played there the last two years, they've allowed 331-of-515 passing (64.2 percent) for 3,335 yards (6.48 YPA), 12 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions. Rodgers himself has played there twice and combined for 414 yards, one touchdown, one interception, and 18.22 fantasy points. Again, that's over two full games. Here's the wrinkle, though: The Vikings aren't the same defense, as they lost five starters on that side of the ball, including defensive tackle Linval Joseph and edge rusher Everson Griffin. They also replaced all three of their starters at cornerback, as Xavier Rhodes, Trae Waynes, and Mackensie Alexander are gone. They did recently trade for Yannick Ngakoue, which will help, but this is where the public perception may be able to be used to your advantage in DFS. On top of that, the Vikings will be without top pass-rusher Danielle Hunter, who was placed on IR earlier this week. Not many follow all the additions/subtractions throughout the offseason, but with all the moves on the defensive side of the ball, Rodgers may be able to exploit some miscommunication. This game is taking place in a dome, so weather won't play any role in that, and Rodgers has a 70-15 touchdown to interception ratio indoors with a quarterback rating of more than 106.0. Given Rodgers' struggles against Mike Zimmer's scheme, there are some concerns for season-long leagues, so treat him as a middling QB2 in those formats. He's a sneaky tournament play in DFS, though I wouldn't touch him in cash. |
| Zachary Hanshew FantasyPros | Rodgers' "down" year in 2019 included 4,000 yards, 26 TDs and just 4 INTs, and he's now thrown for 51 TDs and just 6 INTs across his last two seasons. The offensive gameplan may call for Rodgers to air the ball out a bit more in 2020 to take some more shots downfield, which could boost his fantasy value this season. He'll face a solid defense in Week 1, though Rodgers should still be in lineups for this one. | |
| Jacob Wayne Lineups | I'm very worried about the Texans this season and it won't be an easy start for them as they play the reigning champion Chiefs in Week 1. Watson's pass-catching talent took a massive hit when DeAndre Hopkins was traded away and the former All-Pro's absence will be felt all over the roster. Will Fuller, Brandin Cooks, and Kenny Stills are an intriguing trio, but you can't really count on any of them to be your #1 guy. I'm fine starting Watson in Week 1 as there should be some garbage time production. As much as I love him as a talent, though, I'm not sure if he can overcome the porous offensive line and lack of pass-catching consistency. | Aaron Rodgers has struggled against Mike Zimmer's Vikings in recent years as he only has 4 total passing touchdowns in his last four games against the team. He also hasn't thrown multiple passing touchdowns at Minnesota since 2015. The Vikings are transitioning in a handful of new secondary starters, something that should benefit Rodgers, but the Packers' pass-catching weapons outside of Davante Adams are completely underwhelming. I don't trust the Packers to pass the ball enough in this game to make Rodgers a strong starter. |
| Kyle Yates FantasyPros | Rodgers is a fine back-end QB1 start this week against a Vikings defense that's going through a bit of a transition. While the Vikings still boast Harrison Smith and Anthony Harris at the safety positions, Mike Hughes and Holton Hill aren't going to be able to contain Davante Adams, who is in line for a huge game. Rodgers is going to come out on a mission to prove the doubters (some of who are in the GB front offices) wrong and that all starts this week. This won't be a particularly high scoring matchup, but Rodgers should give you a solid outing. | |
| Isaiah Sirois FantasyPros | I'm lower than some on Watson this week. Why? My ranking may seem questionable when you consider that the last time he took on the Chiefs, he threw for 388 yards and two scores -- and he even added another one on the ground. But remember, he also had DeAndre Hopkins then, who accounted for 30 percent of his passing yardage. Without a normal preseason to adjust, it might take some time for Watson to gel with new acquisitions Randall Cobb and Brandin Cooks. | |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Watson had 688 yards passing, 79 yards rushing, 3 passing TDs, and 3 rushing TDs in 2 games against the Chiefs last year. He should be a solid QB1 in a game that figures to be a shootout. | Rodgers had only 12 passing TDs and no rushing TDs on the road last year and the last time he had two or more touchdown passes at Minnesota was 2015. Rodgers is still a great talent, but in fantasy this is a poor matchup against a D that was 9th against fantasy quarterbacks last year. |
