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Aaron Rodgers or Deshaun Watson

Who Should I Start? - Week 1


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Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
 
at KC, Thu 8pm EDT
at MIN, Sun 1pm EDT
 
 
Default player image

Expert
Recommendation


Updated: Sep 29th, 2020
100%
Recommended by
186 of 186 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 186 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 5# 15-
Best Rank# 1# 8-
Worst Rank# 12# 25-
    
Matchup 
    
Opponent at KC at MIN-
Matchup RatingThis is a 2 star matchup. QBs perform a little worse than their average vs KCThis is a 2 star matchup. QBs perform a little worse than their average vs MIN-
    
    
Stats Allowed   
Pass Comp21.822.4
Pass Yds236.2258.8
Pass TD1.81.9
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total376.4411.9-
Avg Game23.524.2-
2019 Average23.524.2-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
WeatherIndoor-
    
Expert Ranks 
Deshaun WatsonAaron RodgersAdd Player
    
Scott AtkinsS. Atkins
FullTime Fantasy
09/29
#6#14-
    
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
09/13
#6#18-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
09/13
#6#17-
    
Steven SpaccarotelliS. Spac...
SleeperWire
09/13
#7#12-
    
Nathan JahnkeN. Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
09/13
#5#17-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
09/13
#5#17-
    
Marc CavigliaM. Cavi...
Bruno Boys
09/13
#5#18-
    
Patrick ThormanP. Thorman
Establish the Run
09/10
#5#18-
    
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
09/10
#4#17-
    
Wolf of Roto StreetW. of R...
Roto Street Journal
09/13
#5#13-
    
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
09/10
#5#18-
    
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
EDSFootball
09/10
#5#15-
    
Michael HauffM. Hauff
Gridiron Experts
09/13
#5#17-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
09/13
#3#11-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
09/13
#8#15-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
09/13
#5#17-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
09/13
#4#20-
    
Jamie CalandroJ. Cala...
Fantasy Team Advice
09/13
#3#16-
    
Andy HollowayA. Holl...
The Fantasy Footballers
09/13
#5#16-
    
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
09/13
#5#17-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
09/13
#5#17-
    
Jacob W. DunneJ. W. D...
New Life Fantasy
09/09
#3#18-
    
Todd D ClarkT. D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
09/13
#3#16-
    
Elvin RyanE. Ryan
The Pregame HQ
09/10
#4#24-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
09/13
#4#19-
    
Matt BrandonM. Brandon
Matt Brandon
08/10
#5#15-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
09/13
#5#14-
    
Dennis SosicD. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
09/13
#4#17-
    
Seth MillerS. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
09/13
#3#16-
    
Kyle RichardsonK. Rich...
The Fantasy Headliners
09/13
#5#17-
    
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Sports
09/13
#5#17-
    
Adrian AlpansequeA. Alpa...
Estadio Fantasy
09/09
#7#17-
    
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
09/13
#5#14-
    
Seth KleinS. Klein
Fantrax
09/13
#6#16-
    
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
09/13
#7#18-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
The Draft Zone
09/13
#5#15-
    
Mick CiallelaM. Cial...
Fantrax
09/10
#5#16-
    
Dan YanotchkoD. Yano...
EDSFootball
09/13
#3#13-
    
Scott SprattS. Spratt
Football Outsiders
09/13
#5#11-
    
David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
09/10
#5#21-
    
Steven PintadoS. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
09/10
#8#15-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
09/09
#6#16-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
09/10
#5#13-
    
Muntradamus M.
Beast Dome
09/13
#7#9-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
Roto Ranks
09/13
#5#17-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
09/13
#4#22-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Colts.com
09/13
#5#10-
    
Dylan ChappineD. Chap...
Wolf Sports
09/13
#9#17-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
09/13
#3#16-
    
Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
09/12
#3#17-
    
Jonathan StoneJ. Stone
The Hateful 8
09/13
#5#17-
    
Zachary HanshewZ. Hanshew
FantasyPros
09/13
#7#13-
    
Matt De LimaM. De Lima
Sports Illustrated
09/13
#5#18-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
09/10
#5#19-
    
Jake CielyJ. Ciely
The Athletic
09/12
#6#16-
    
Jeff RatcliffeJ. Ratc...
FTN
09/13
#5#16-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
09/13
#3#8-
    
Tal MalachovskyT. Mala...
The Fantasy Scout
09/13
#3#12-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
Sports Illustrated
09/13
#5#17-
    
Kevin TompkinsK. Tomp...
Fighting Chance Fantasy
09/13
#5#17-
    
Adam PfeiferA. Pfeifer
FTN
09/08
#5#18-
    
Donkey TeethD. Teeth
Razzball
09/10
#4#18-
    
Jason WillanJ. Willan
Gridiron Experts
09/13
#5#14-
    
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FullTime Fantasy
09/13
#6#13-
    
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
09/13
#6#16-
    
Matthew FreedmanM. Free...
The Action Network
09/10
#6#18-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
09/09
#5#15-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
09/12
#5#14-
    
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
09/10
#4#16-
    
Christopher DellC. Dell
Betting Predators
09/13
#5#17-
    
Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
09/13
#4#21-
    
Isaiah SiroisI. Sirois
FantasyPros
09/13
#6#12-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
09/13
#5#18-
    
Mundo Fantasy MXM. Fant...
Mundo Fantasy
09/11
#4#15-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
09/13
#5#18-
    
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
numberFire
09/13
#4#21-
    
Justin DoddsJ. Dodds
SleeperWire
09/09
#7#14-
    
Tyler OrginskiT. Orgi...
Fantasy Hot Read
09/13
#3#15-
    
Dave MajorD. Major
XN Sports
09/13
#5#17-
    
Jon CollinsJ. Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
09/12
#5#15-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
09/13
#6#13-
    
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
09/13
#5#20-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
Important Nonsense
09/10
#4#17-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
09/13
#3#18-
    
Tommy MoliooT. Molioo
The Undroppables
09/09
#5#17-
    
Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
09/11
#4#19-
    
Neema HodjatN. Hodjat
Real GM
09/09
#4#15-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
09/13
#5#18-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
FTN
09/13
#3#16-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
09/13
#6#16-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
09/09
#6#11-
    
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
09/13
#5#17-
    
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
09/13
#5#17-
    
Clayton CadieuxC. Cadieux
Fantasy Football From Up North
09/12
#4#17-
    
Chris KennedyC. Kennedy
The Fantasy Headliners
09/13
#6#18-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
09/13
#3#18-
    
Dan McLellanD. McLe...
WBLZ Media
09/10
#3#18-
    
Jose Ramon LlacaJ. Ramo...
Estadio Fantasy
09/07
#5#13-
    
Justin SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
09/13
#4#17-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
QB List
09/12
#3#14-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
09/13
#4#18-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
09/10
#6#25-
    
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
09/09
#5#14-
    
Jared SmolaJ. Smola
Draft Sharks
09/13
#6#21-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
09/10
#5#18-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
09/12
#6#15-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
09/09
#5#14-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
09/13
#12#14-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
09/10
#6#15-
    
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
09/13
#5#18-
    
Doug NorrieD. Norrie
Daily Fantasy Sports Rankings
09/13
#5#13-
    
Mike HarmonM. Harmon
Swollen Dome
09/13
#4#10-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
DK Nation
09/10
#5#17-
    
Matthew BetzM. Betz
BallBlast
09/13
#5#17-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
09/13
#4#17-
    
Jordan RainsJ. Rains
Expand The Boxscore
09/13
#5#15-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
09/08
#5#15-
    
Kelly SmelserK. Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
09/13
#5#15-
    
Lukas KacerL. Kacer
The Fantasy Stock Exchange
09/13
#5#15-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
09/13
#5#24-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
Fantasy Football Smackdown
09/13
#5#17-
    
Lawrence JacksonL. Jackson
Fantasy Football Lord
09/13
#6#19-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
09/13
#5#16-
    
Francisco (Chato) RomeroF. (Cha...
Estadio Fantasy
09/13
#4#18-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
09/13
#5#13-
    
Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
Roto Rankings
09/13
#4#17-
    
09/10
#5#14-
    
Frank StampflF. Stampfl
CBS Sports
09/13
#3#22-
    
Mike MacGregorM. MacG...
Draft Buddy
09/12
#3#15-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
Pro Football Focus
09/13
#1#18-
    
Thor AkerleyT. Akerley
Fantasy Team Advice
09/13
#4#14-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
RotoExperts
09/13
#5#16-
    
Jacob WayneJ. Wayne
Lineups
09/09
#9#21-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
09/13
#5#15-
    
Gerson AguirreG. Aguirre
Going For 2
09/07
#4#19-
    
Alex BlickleA. Blickle
Fantasy Team Advice
09/13
#3#17-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
09/13
#6#16-
    
09/13
#5#22-
    
Justin WeigalJ. Weigal
FantasySharks
09/13
#6#25-
    
Zach BrunnerZ. Brunner
FlurrySports
09/13
#5#16-
    
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
09/13
#4#19-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
FantasyPros
09/09
#6#11-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
09/13
#6#20-
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
09/11
#3#18-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
09/12
#7#16-
    
Drew DeLucaD. DeLuca
NFL Spinzone
09/13
#4#13-
    
Kate MagdziukK. Magd...
BallBlast
09/12
#3#22-
    
Michelle MagdziukM. Magd...
BallBlast
09/10
#6#23-
    
Ben WasleyB. Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
09/13
#4#19-
    
Kyle EnglishK. English
Reality Sports
09/10
#5#14-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
09/12
#2#13-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
09/12
#5#18-
    
DailyRotoD.
DailyRoto
09/13
#5#24-
    
Aaron LarsonA. Larson
FantasyPros
09/09
#4#15-
    
John PaulsenJ. Paulsen
4for4.com
09/13
#6#15-
    
Jason SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
09/04
#4#15-
    
Site ProjectionsS. Proj...
numberFire
09/13
#6#19-
    
Elliot Berkovits E. Berk...
Packer Report
09/13
#5#14-
    
Ellis JohnsonE. Johnson
True North Fantasy Football
09/13
#3#10-
    
Huseyin AksuH. Aksu
Fantasy Couch
09/13
#5#17-
    
Richard KingR. King
King Fantasy Sports
09/10
#5#14-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
FTN
09/09
#5#21-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
09/01
#4#8-
    
Mike KruegerM. Krueger
FFToday
09/09
#4#17-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
09/10
#3#15-
    
Geoff LambertG. Lambert
Going For 2
09/13
#5#15-
    
John HestermanJ. Hest...
Dynasty League Football
09/10
#6#14-
    
Matt MacCoyM. MacCoy
Fantasy Team Advice
09/12
#4#15-
    
Matt HarmonM. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports
09/08
#5#16-
    
Tim PetropoulosT. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
09/12
#5#17-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
09/11
#5#17-
    
Nicholas YouN. You
The Undroppables
09/11
#3#14-
    
Chris RaybonC. Raybon
The Action Network
09/13
#5#25-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
09/10
#5#18-
    
Dariyan MayburyD. Maybury
Fantasy Football Advice
09/10
#5#16-
    
The FFGhostT. FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
09/10
#4#14-
    
Jonathan HaysJ. Hays
Fantasy Foresight
09/10
#5#16-
    
Kevin ScottK. Scott
The Intersecting
09/10
#3#12-
    
Adam MurfetA. Murfet
5 Yard Rush
09/10
#7#18-
    
John FergusonJ. Ferg...
FantasyData
09/10
#6#17-
    
Frank BonincontriF. Boni...
Fantasy Wire HQ
09/09
#5#13-
    
Blake FincherB. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe
09/09
#5#16-
    
Morgan ColbyM. Colby
The Fantasy Champions
09/08
#3#14-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
09/08
#7#9-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
FTN
09/07
#4#15-
    
Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
09/10
#5#15-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
 
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 at KC at MIN
Week 2 vs. BAL vs. DET
Week 3 at PIT at NO
Week 4 vs. MIN vs. ATL
Week 5 vs. JACBYE WEEK
Week 6 at TEN at TB
Week 7 vs. GB at HOU
Week 8BYE WEEK vs. MIN
Week 9 at JAC at SF
Week 10 at CLE vs. JAC
Week 11 vs. NE at IND
Week 12 at DET vs. CHI
Week 13 vs. IND vs. PHI
Week 14 at CHI at DET
Week 15 at IND vs. CAR
Week 16 vs. CIN vs. TEN
Week 17 vs. TEN at CHI
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
2020 Points 
Week 121.830.8
Week 215.718.2
Week 318.124.5
Week 420.929.6
Week 526.9
Week 632.05.8
Week 724.227.3
Week 822.5
Week 924.228.9
Week 1014.126.4
Week 1131.422.7
Week 1233.125.6
Week 1320.423.5
Week 1416.630.9
Week 1523.418.3
Week 1626.826.1
Week 1726.826.0
Total376.4411.9
Average23.524.2
Notes for Player Combination
 
at KC, Thu 8pm EDT
at MIN, Sun 1pm EDT
Expert 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Life without DeAndre Hopkins begins for Watson. We don't know what that looks like, as it's never happened. Watson's QB Rating when targeting Hopkins last year? 107.8. When targeting Will Fuller? 96.7. Both are good, but let's not pretend Hopkins didn't draw some coverage away from Fuller and the rest of the receivers. The Chiefs were surprisingly one of the best pass defenses in the league last year, allowing the 12th-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks, which included just a 3.61 percent touchdown rate, 6.62 yards per attempt, and 60.4 percent completion rate. That's the bad news. What might seem like more bad news is Watson's 280-yard, one-touchdown, two-interception performance against them last year, but there's more to it than the stats. I'm not kidding when I say that Fuller dropped three touchdowns. Watson also played well against them in their playoff loss, totaling 388 yards and two touchdowns, though it did take him 52 attempts to get there. It's hard to gameplan against the Texans right now, as you're unsure what their primary choice of attack will be, though if there's one thing I'll bet on, it's that Watson will run more this year, which raises his weekly floor. In the two games against the Chiefs last year, he rushed for 68 yards and three touchdowns. Start him as your QB1 in what should be a high-scoring game. He's a good tournament option in DFS but play it safe in cash lineups until we see more on how losing Hopkins affects his game.Going into Minnesota to play hasn't been a treat for quarterbacks over the last few years. Over the 16 games played there the last two years, they've allowed 331-of-515 passing (64.2 percent) for 3,335 yards (6.48 YPA), 12 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions. Rodgers himself has played there twice and combined for 414 yards, one touchdown, one interception, and 18.22 fantasy points. Again, that's over two full games. Here's the wrinkle, though: The Vikings aren't the same defense, as they lost five starters on that side of the ball, including defensive tackle Linval Joseph and edge rusher Everson Griffin. They also replaced all three of their starters at cornerback, as Xavier Rhodes, Trae Waynes, and Mackensie Alexander are gone. They did recently trade for Yannick Ngakoue, which will help, but this is where the public perception may be able to be used to your advantage in DFS. On top of that, the Vikings will be without top pass-rusher Danielle Hunter, who was placed on IR earlier this week. Not many follow all the additions/subtractions throughout the offseason, but with all the moves on the defensive side of the ball, Rodgers may be able to exploit some miscommunication. This game is taking place in a dome, so weather won't play any role in that, and Rodgers has a 70-15 touchdown to interception ratio indoors with a quarterback rating of more than 106.0. Given Rodgers' struggles against Mike Zimmer's scheme, there are some concerns for season-long leagues, so treat him as a middling QB2 in those formats. He's a sneaky tournament play in DFS, though I wouldn't touch him in cash.
Zachary Hanshew
FantasyPros
 Rodgers' "down" year in 2019 included 4,000 yards, 26 TDs and just 4 INTs, and he's now thrown for 51 TDs and just 6 INTs across his last two seasons. The offensive gameplan may call for Rodgers to air the ball out a bit more in 2020 to take some more shots downfield, which could boost his fantasy value this season. He'll face a solid defense in Week 1, though Rodgers should still be in lineups for this one.
Jacob Wayne
Lineups
I'm very worried about the Texans this season and it won't be an easy start for them as they play the reigning champion Chiefs in Week 1. Watson's pass-catching talent took a massive hit when DeAndre Hopkins was traded away and the former All-Pro's absence will be felt all over the roster. Will Fuller, Brandin Cooks, and Kenny Stills are an intriguing trio, but you can't really count on any of them to be your #1 guy. I'm fine starting Watson in Week 1 as there should be some garbage time production. As much as I love him as a talent, though, I'm not sure if he can overcome the porous offensive line and lack of pass-catching consistency.Aaron Rodgers has struggled against Mike Zimmer's Vikings in recent years as he only has 4 total passing touchdowns in his last four games against the team. He also hasn't thrown multiple passing touchdowns at Minnesota since 2015. The Vikings are transitioning in a handful of new secondary starters, something that should benefit Rodgers, but the Packers' pass-catching weapons outside of Davante Adams are completely underwhelming. I don't trust the Packers to pass the ball enough in this game to make Rodgers a strong starter.
Kyle Yates
FantasyPros
 Rodgers is a fine back-end QB1 start this week against a Vikings defense that's going through a bit of a transition. While the Vikings still boast Harrison Smith and Anthony Harris at the safety positions, Mike Hughes and Holton Hill aren't going to be able to contain Davante Adams, who is in line for a huge game. Rodgers is going to come out on a mission to prove the doubters (some of who are in the GB front offices) wrong and that all starts this week. This won't be a particularly high scoring matchup, but Rodgers should give you a solid outing.
Isaiah Sirois
FantasyPros
I'm lower than some on Watson this week. Why? My ranking may seem questionable when you consider that the last time he took on the Chiefs, he threw for 388 yards and two scores -- and he even added another one on the ground. But remember, he also had DeAndre Hopkins then, who accounted for 30 percent of his passing yardage. Without a normal preseason to adjust, it might take some time for Watson to gel with new acquisitions Randall Cobb and Brandin Cooks. 
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Watson had 688 yards passing, 79 yards rushing, 3 passing TDs, and 3 rushing TDs in 2 games against the Chiefs last year. He should be a solid QB1 in a game that figures to be a shootout.Rodgers had only 12 passing TDs and no rushing TDs on the road last year and the last time he had two or more touchdown passes at Minnesota was 2015. Rodgers is still a great talent, but in fantasy this is a poor matchup against a D that was 9th against fantasy quarterbacks last year.