Aaron Rodgers or Tom Brady
Who Should I Start? - Week 1
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Experts' Pick | |||
Tom Brady QB - TB  Tom Brady QB - TB at NO, Sun 4pm EDT |
Aaron Rodgers QB - GB  Aaron Rodgers QB - GB at MIN, Sun 1pm EDT |
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Expert |
89% Recommended by 165 of 186 experts |
11% Recommended by 21 of 186 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would startUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 13 | # 15 | - |
| Best Rank | # 3 | # 8 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 25 | # 25 | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | at NO | at MIN | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 3 star matchup. QBs perform close to their average vs NO | This is a 2 star matchup. QBs perform a little worse than their average vs MIN | - |
| Stats Allowed | |||
| Pass Comp | 20.8 | 22.4 | |
| Pass Yds | 217 | 258.8 | |
| Pass TD | 1.8 | 1.9 | |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 389.9 | 411.9 | - |
| Avg Game | 21.7 | 24.2 | - |
| 2019 Average | 21.7 | 24.2 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Weather | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Tom Brady | Aaron Rodgers | Add Player |
09/29 | #4 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #16 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #17 | - |
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09/10 | #11 | #18 | - |
09/10 | #16 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #13 | - |
09/10 | #13 | #18 | - |
09/10 | #13 | #15 | - |
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09/13 | #15 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #18 | #15 | - |
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09/13 | #14 | #20 | - |
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09/13 | #12 | #16 | - |
09/10 | #15 | #24 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #19 | - |
08/10 | #8 | #15 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #17 | - |
09/09 | #14 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #14 | - |
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09/13 | #10 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #15 | - |
09/10 | #13 | #16 | - |
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09/13 | #4 | #11 | - |
09/10 | #15 | #21 | - |
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09/10 | #15 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #9 | - |
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09/13 | #13 | #22 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #10 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #16 | - |
09/12 | #16 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #18 | - |
09/10 | #12 | #19 | - |
09/12 | #12 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #8 | - |
09/13 | #20 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #17 | - |
09/08 | #13 | #18 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #16 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #4 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #16 | - |
09/10 | #17 | #18 | - |
09/09 | #10 | #15 | - |
09/12 | #13 | #14 | - |
09/10 | #15 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #25 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #16 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #18 | - |
09/11 | #13 | #15 | - |
09/13 | #16 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #21 | - |
09/09 | #10 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #15 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #17 | - |
09/12 | #12 | #15 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #20 | - |
09/10 | #12 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #17 | #18 | - |
09/09 | #12 | #17 | - |
09/11 | #13 | #19 | - |
09/09 | #11 | #15 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #16 | - |
09/09 | #12 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #17 | - |
09/12 | #13 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #18 | - |
09/10 | #16 | #18 | - |
09/07 | #10 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #15 | #17 | - |
09/12 | #12 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #18 | - |
09/10 | #12 | #25 | - |
09/09 | #13 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #21 | - |
09/10 | #6 | #18 | - |
09/12 | #8 | #15 | - |
09/09 | #13 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #18 | #14 | - |
09/10 | #13 | #15 | - |
09/13 | #15 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #10 | - |
09/10 | #12 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #14 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #15 | - |
09/08 | #13 | #15 | - |
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09/13 | #19 | #24 | - |
09/13 | #15 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #14 | #19 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #14 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #17 | - |
09/10 | #12 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #22 | - |
09/12 | #12 | #15 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #16 | - |
09/09 | #13 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #14 | #15 | - |
09/07 | #13 | #19 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #22 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #25 | - |
09/13 | #15 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #19 | - |
09/09 | #13 | #11 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #20 | - |
09/11 | #14 | #18 | - |
09/12 | #14 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #16 | #13 | - |
09/12 | #14 | #22 | - |
09/10 | #17 | #23 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #19 | - |
09/10 | #15 | #14 | - |
09/12 | #15 | #13 | - |
09/12 | #11 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #16 | #24 | - |
09/09 | #13 | #15 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #15 | - |
09/04 | #13 | #15 | - |
09/13 | #16 | #19 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #10 | - |
09/13 | #15 | #17 | - |
09/10 | #10 | #14 | - |
09/09 | #10 | #21 | - |
09/01 | #9 | #8 | - |
09/09 | #10 | #17 | - |
09/10 | #9 | #15 | - |
09/13 | #14 | #15 | - |
09/10 | #12 | #14 | - |
09/12 | #9 | #15 | - |
09/08 | #15 | #16 | - |
09/12 | #15 | #17 | - |
09/11 | #13 | #17 | - |
09/11 | #8 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #25 | - |
09/10 | #12 | #18 | - |
09/10 | #12 | #16 | - |
09/10 | #12 | #14 | - |
09/10 | #11 | #16 | - |
09/10 | #9 | #12 | - |
09/10 | #9 | #18 | - |
09/10 | #9 | #17 | - |
09/09 | #12 | #13 | - |
09/09 | #12 | #16 | - |
09/08 | #11 | #14 | - |
09/08 | #3 | #9 | - |
09/07 | #12 | #15 | - |
09/10 | #6 | #15 | - |
Tom Brady QB - TB Tom Brady QB - TB | Aaron Rodgers QB - GB Aaron Rodgers QB - GB | |
| 2020 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | at NO | at MIN |
| Week 2 | vs. CAR | vs. DET |
| Week 3 | at DEN | at NO |
| Week 4 | vs. LAC | vs. ATL |
| Week 5 | at CHI | BYE WEEK |
| Week 6 | vs. GB | at TB |
| Week 7 | at LV | at HOU |
| Week 8 | at NYG | vs. MIN |
| Week 9 | vs. NO | at SF |
| Week 10 | at CAR | vs. JAC |
| Week 11 | vs. LAR | at IND |
| Week 12 | vs. KC | vs. CHI |
| Week 13 | BYE WEEK | vs. PHI |
| Week 14 | vs. MIN | at DET |
| Week 15 | at ATL | vs. CAR |
| Week 16 | at DET | vs. TEN |
| Week 17 | vs. ATL | at CHI |
Tom Brady QB - TB Tom Brady QB - TB | Aaron Rodgers QB - GB Aaron Rodgers QB - GB | |
| 2020 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 22.5 | 30.8 |
| Week 2 | 9.7 | 18.2 |
| Week 3 | 23.9 | 24.5 |
| Week 4 | 33.5 | 29.6 |
| Week 5 | 14.1 | ‐ |
| Week 6 | 14.6 | 5.8 |
| Week 7 | 36.9 | 27.3 |
| Week 8 | 19.1 | 22.5 |
| Week 9 | 5.4 | 28.9 |
| Week 10 | 31.8 | 26.4 |
| Week 11 | 14.6 | 22.7 |
| Week 12 | 23.7 | 25.6 |
| Week 13 | ‐ | 23.5 |
| Week 14 | 15.6 | 30.9 |
| Week 15 | 23.4 | 18.3 |
| Week 16 | 29.9 | 26.1 |
| Week 17 | 31.3 | 26.0 |
| Total | 389.9 | 411.9 |
| Average | 21.7 | 24.2 |
Tom Brady QB - TB Tom Brady QB - TB at NO, Sun 4pm EDT |
Aaron Rodgers QB - GB Aaron Rodgers QB - GB at MIN, Sun 1pm EDT |
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| Expert | ||
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | It'll be weird seeing Brady with the Bucs uniform on in a real game, but this is what 2020 has brought us. It's not an easy one, though. The Saints defense is one of the best in the league, and they've only gotten better this offseason. They've added safety Malcolm Jenkins, as well as third-round linebacker Zack Baun to their potent defense that allowed just a 61.5 percent completion-rate and 6.92 yards per pass attempt in 2019. Don't forget about the addition at the end of last season either, as Janoris Jenkins was added to the cornerback unit. They did allow 26 passing touchdowns, though a lot of that comes from volume, as they faced 602 pass attempts last year. It is worth noting that the Saints defense allowed 23.2 points per game while at home compared to just 19.8 points per game on the road. Playing in the dome does typically help quarterbacks, and the Saints do score more there, leading to some garbage time stats for opponents. The 49.5-point over/under doesn't suggest this will be a crazy high-scoring contest, though. As a divisional game, it'll probably be tight. Jameis Winston completed 45-of-78 passes for 517 yards and four touchdowns during the two meetings last year, so it's not a must-avoid matchup or anything with Bruce Arians' offensive scheme. Still, there's some downside risk to this being a tough matchup in Brady's first game as a Bucs player. I'd consider him a mid-to-high-end QB2 for this week. I don't really want to play him in tournaments and don't think he's safe enough for cash. | Going into Minnesota to play hasn't been a treat for quarterbacks over the last few years. Over the 16 games played there the last two years, they've allowed 331-of-515 passing (64.2 percent) for 3,335 yards (6.48 YPA), 12 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions. Rodgers himself has played there twice and combined for 414 yards, one touchdown, one interception, and 18.22 fantasy points. Again, that's over two full games. Here's the wrinkle, though: The Vikings aren't the same defense, as they lost five starters on that side of the ball, including defensive tackle Linval Joseph and edge rusher Everson Griffin. They also replaced all three of their starters at cornerback, as Xavier Rhodes, Trae Waynes, and Mackensie Alexander are gone. They did recently trade for Yannick Ngakoue, which will help, but this is where the public perception may be able to be used to your advantage in DFS. On top of that, the Vikings will be without top pass-rusher Danielle Hunter, who was placed on IR earlier this week. Not many follow all the additions/subtractions throughout the offseason, but with all the moves on the defensive side of the ball, Rodgers may be able to exploit some miscommunication. This game is taking place in a dome, so weather won't play any role in that, and Rodgers has a 70-15 touchdown to interception ratio indoors with a quarterback rating of more than 106.0. Given Rodgers' struggles against Mike Zimmer's scheme, there are some concerns for season-long leagues, so treat him as a middling QB2 in those formats. He's a sneaky tournament play in DFS, though I wouldn't touch him in cash. |
| Zachary Hanshew FantasyPros | Despite his perceived "fall off" last season, Brady actually finished as a QB1 in 2019 with one of the worst group of skill-position players in the league. Now, he has his old pal Gronk back in his sights along with the dynamic duo of Chris Godwin and Mike Evans and a strong run game. In a great matchup with NO in Week 1, Brady should be a quality play in his first game as a Buccaneer. | Rodgers' "down" year in 2019 included 4,000 yards, 26 TDs and just 4 INTs, and he's now thrown for 51 TDs and just 6 INTs across his last two seasons. The offensive gameplan may call for Rodgers to air the ball out a bit more in 2020 to take some more shots downfield, which could boost his fantasy value this season. He'll face a solid defense in Week 1, though Rodgers should still be in lineups for this one. |
| Jacob Wayne Lineups | Tom Brady will be opening up his tenure with the Buccaneers with a massive showdown against new division rival Saints. New Orleans allowed the 12th-most fantasy points to quarterbacks last year as they often found themselves playing prevent defense late in games. I think both of these teams could open up a little slower than we expect them to and I'm worried about Brady needing time to adjust to his new offense after no preseason and limited training camp. Brady is likely going to finish as a QB1 this year with all of the weapons at his disposal, but there are a handful of quarterbacks I like more than him this week. | Aaron Rodgers has struggled against Mike Zimmer's Vikings in recent years as he only has 4 total passing touchdowns in his last four games against the team. He also hasn't thrown multiple passing touchdowns at Minnesota since 2015. The Vikings are transitioning in a handful of new secondary starters, something that should benefit Rodgers, but the Packers' pass-catching weapons outside of Davante Adams are completely underwhelming. I don't trust the Packers to pass the ball enough in this game to make Rodgers a strong starter. |
| Kyle Yates FantasyPros | It's going to be insanely strange to see Brady trot out onto the field in a different uniform, but he's absolutely set up to succeed here in Tampa. This game should be a high-scoring affair, which means that fantasy points are going to be going up everywhere. The Saints are a very tough matchup, which knocks Brady down just outside QB1 territory in my rankings, but he's still someone worth looking at in 1QB leagues. | Rodgers is a fine back-end QB1 start this week against a Vikings defense that's going through a bit of a transition. While the Vikings still boast Harrison Smith and Anthony Harris at the safety positions, Mike Hughes and Holton Hill aren't going to be able to contain Davante Adams, who is in line for a huge game. Rodgers is going to come out on a mission to prove the doubters (some of who are in the GB front offices) wrong and that all starts this week. This won't be a particularly high scoring matchup, but Rodgers should give you a solid outing. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | The Saints were 21st against fantasy quarterbacks last year, it seems strange to say that Brady needs to prove anything at this point in his career. Given how poorly he played at 42-years old, I need to see that he still has enough left in the tank before I am going to rank him as a QB1. | Rodgers had only 12 passing TDs and no rushing TDs on the road last year and the last time he had two or more touchdown passes at Minnesota was 2015. Rodgers is still a great talent, but in fantasy this is a poor matchup against a D that was 9th against fantasy quarterbacks last year. |
