Derek Carr or Drew Brees
Who Should I Start? - Week 1
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Experts' Pick | |||
Drew Brees QB - NO  Drew Brees QB - NO vs. TB, Sun 4pm EDT |
Derek Carr QB - LV  Derek Carr QB - LV at CAR, Sun 1pm EDT |
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Expert |
99% Recommended by 184 of 186 experts |
1% Recommended by 2 of 186 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would startUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 6 | # 20 | - |
| Best Rank | # 2 | # 12 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 24 | # 32 | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | vs. TB | at CAR | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 4 star matchup. QBs perform a litter better than their average vs TB | This is a 2 star matchup. QBs perform a little worse than their average vs CAR | - |
| Stats Allowed | |||
| Pass Comp | 26.6 | 24.9 | |
| Pass Yds | 246.6 | 239.1 | |
| Pass TD | 1.8 | 1.8 | |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 215.4 | 281.0 | - |
| Avg Game | 18.0 | 17.6 | - |
| 2019 Average | 18.0 | 17.6 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Weather | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Drew Brees | Derek Carr | Add Player |
09/29 | #5 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #3 | #23 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #20 | - |
09/13 | #4 | #31 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #19 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #23 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #24 | - |
09/10 | #9 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #23 | - |
09/10 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/10 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #19 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #22 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #27 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/09 | #9 | #27 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/10 | #11 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #20 | - |
08/10 | #6 | #24 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #15 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #13 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/09 | #5 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #22 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #15 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #19 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #20 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #30 | - |
09/10 | #6 | #19 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #17 | - |
09/09 | #5 | #25 | - |
09/10 | #6 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #2 | #22 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #14 | - |
09/12 | #7 | #22 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #17 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #23 | - |
09/12 | #5 | #20 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #22 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #24 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #23 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #20 | - |
09/08 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/10 | #9 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #12 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #26 | - |
09/10 | #15 | #20 | - |
09/09 | #7 | #24 | - |
09/12 | #6 | #21 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #22 | - |
09/13 | #24 | #19 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #23 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #21 | - |
09/11 | #14 | #19 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #15 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #19 | - |
09/09 | #5 | #26 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #19 | - |
09/12 | #6 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #23 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #25 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #22 | - |
09/09 | #6 | #15 | - |
09/11 | #6 | #16 | - |
09/09 | #9 | #20 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #19 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #20 | - |
09/09 | #4 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #21 | - |
09/12 | #6 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #4 | #14 | - |
09/10 | #6 | #21 | - |
09/07 | #8 | #24 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #21 | - |
09/12 | #6 | #19 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #21 | - |
09/10 | #3 | #15 | - |
09/09 | #6 | #24 | - |
09/13 | #4 | #18 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #19 | - |
09/12 | #2 | #23 | - |
09/09 | #8 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #21 | - |
09/10 | #5 | #20 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #25 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #24 | - |
09/10 | #6 | #26 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #19 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #19 | - |
09/08 | #6 | #24 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #20 | - |
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09/13 | #6 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #19 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #26 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #20 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #25 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #19 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #16 | - |
09/12 | #10 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #28 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #21 | - |
09/09 | #6 | #14 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/07 | #5 | #28 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #22 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #19 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #20 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #19 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #21 | - |
09/09 | #9 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #23 | - |
09/11 | #10 | #15 | - |
09/12 | #6 | #22 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #18 | - |
09/12 | #4 | #24 | - |
09/10 | #3 | #24 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #21 | - |
09/10 | #6 | #26 | - |
09/12 | #9 | #16 | - |
09/12 | #10 | #16 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #13 | - |
09/09 | #12 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #5 | #21 | - |
09/04 | #6 | #25 | - |
09/13 | #14 | #18 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #15 | - |
09/13 | #14 | #21 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #18 | - |
09/09 | #6 | #19 | - |
09/01 | #14 | #13 | - |
09/09 | #13 | #29 | - |
09/10 | #10 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #18 | - |
09/10 | #5 | #19 | - |
09/12 | #6 | #19 | - |
09/08 | #7 | #22 | - |
09/12 | #6 | #21 | - |
09/11 | #7 | #21 | - |
09/11 | #5 | #21 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #22 | - |
09/10 | #6 | #26 | - |
09/10 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/10 | #5 | #20 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #32 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #25 | - |
09/10 | #12 | #27 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #22 | - |
09/09 | #6 | #21 | - |
09/09 | #6 | #20 | - |
09/08 | #5 | #21 | - |
09/08 | #8 | #22 | - |
09/07 | #6 | #17 | - |
09/10 | #3 | #20 | - |
Drew Brees QB - NO Drew Brees QB - NO | Derek Carr QB - LV Derek Carr QB - LV | |
| 2020 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. TB | at CAR |
| Week 2 | at LV | vs. NO |
| Week 3 | vs. GB | at NE |
| Week 4 | at DET | vs. BUF |
| Week 5 | vs. LAC | at KC |
| Week 6 | BYE WEEK | BYE WEEK |
| Week 7 | vs. CAR | vs. TB |
| Week 8 | at CHI | at CLE |
| Week 9 | at TB | at LAC |
| Week 10 | vs. SF | vs. DEN |
| Week 11 | vs. ATL | vs. KC |
| Week 12 | at DEN | at ATL |
| Week 13 | at ATL | at NYJ |
| Week 14 | at PHI | vs. IND |
| Week 15 | vs. KC | vs. LAC |
| Week 16 | vs. MIN | vs. MIA |
| Week 17 | at CAR | at DEN |
Drew Brees QB - NO Drew Brees QB - NO | Derek Carr QB - LV Derek Carr QB - LV | |
| 2020 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 14.4 | 13.6 |
| Week 2 | 15.5 | 21.7 |
| Week 3 | 23.5 | 15.4 |
| Week 4 | 16.5 | 20.4 |
| Week 5 | 22.1 | 25.0 |
| Week 6 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 7 | 23.7 | 20.3 |
| Week 8 | 19.6 | 12.5 |
| Week 9 | 22.7 | 14.0 |
| Week 10 | 6.9 | 7.2 |
| Week 11 | ‐ | 22.6 |
| Week 12 | ‐ | 1.6 |
| Week 13 | ‐ | 32.7 |
| Week 14 | ‐ | 25.8 |
| Week 15 | 20.4 | 2.1 |
| Week 16 | 10.1 | 23.2 |
| Week 17 | 20.0 | 22.9 |
| Total | 215.4 | 281.0 |
| Average | 18.0 | 17.6 |
Drew Brees QB - NO Drew Brees QB - NO vs. TB, Sun 4pm EDT |
Derek Carr QB - LV Derek Carr QB - LV at CAR, Sun 1pm EDT |
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| Expert | ||
| Zachary Hanshew FantasyPros | It's no secret that 2020 could be Brees' swan song, and he figures to go out competing for a title. Brees isn't the volume passer he was in his heyday, but he's one of the most accurate passers to ever play the game and can still pick apart opposing defenses at will, even if his attempts are down. He may fall just shy of a QB1 finish in 2020, but he should be a no-brainer start against the Buccaneers defense which allowed the third-most passing yards to opposing quarterbacks in 2019. | Two poor defenses square off in a game with a 48 over/under that could easily be a shootout. Carr won't be a popular play this week, but he's got plenty of upside against a vaunted Panthers defense and is likely available on your waiver wire. |
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | Now entering what he dubbed as his final season, Brees will look to start the year off with a bang against a Bucs team that's now led by Tom Brady. The Bucs pass defense played better down the stretch, though the strength of this team's defense is clearly stopping the run. They allowed just 907 rushing yards last year, while no other team allowed fewer than 1,039 yards. The Bucs didn't have many changes on defense, either. They added Antoine Winfield at safety, which should help the back end, as that's one area they were severely lacking. We know Brees as a quarterback who typically throws for 300 yards, right? Well, he's hit the 300-yard mark just once in his last seven games against the Bucs. In the lone game against an Arians-led team, he completed 28-of-35 passes for 228 yards and three touchdowns, so it's not like you should be too worried. Brees also has an additional weapon at his disposal this season with Emmanuel Sanders being added. I don't think the Bucs have an answer for Michael Thomas, which is where we should see Brees go early and often. With how tough the Bucs are against the run, Brees should be expected to carry the Saints to victory here. With a team total of 26.8 points, he's not a bad bet for low-end QB1 production. | He's got a whole new surrounding cast, though it certainly would've helped if he'd had some time to work with them against real competition. It also would've helped us project them. The Panthers defense was straight-up middle of the pack last year from an efficiency standpoint and the performances against them backed that up. No one finished higher than the QB7, though just two quarterbacks finished worse than QB22. It's a new defense there under Phil Snow, a coordinator with minimal experience in the NFL. He was a linebackers coach with the Lions back in 2006-2008 but has been in college since then. The Panthers defense lost so many players this offseason, it's hard to imagine the starters that'll be out there. Here's the list of starters from 2019 that are gone: LB Luke Kuechly, CB James Bradberry, S Eric Reid, DL Gerald McCoy, DL Dontari Poe, DL Vernon Butler, EDGE Mario Addison, and EDGE Bruce Irvin. That led to the Panthers drafting five defensive players in the first five rounds of the draft. It's going to take some time for the rookies to acclimate to the NFL. I'm expecting the Raiders to ride Josh Jacobs this week, which limits Carr's ceiling, which never really is that high anyway, especially on the road where he's thrown more than two touchdowns just six times during his six-year career. He's a fine floor play for those looking for 15 points but there are likely streamers out there who are just as safe with a higher ceiling. |
| Jacob Wayne Lineups | Tampa Bay struggled to deal with the Saints' passing offense last season with either Drew Brees or Teddy Bridgewater at QB - in two games, one start for each guy, they averaged about 24 fantasy points. Brees will benefit from the addition of Emmanuel Sanders as the veteran receiver will help draw some defensive attention away from the All-Pro Michael Thomas. This game has one of the higher projected combined point totals on the week and should provide a friendly environment for fantasy production. | The Panthers were actually a pretty solid passing defense last season as they ranked top-12 for both passing touchdowns against and passer rating against and also finished with the 2nd-most sacks. After losing Luke Kuechly and James Bradberry over the offseason, though, the Panthers will be reliant on plenty of rookies and unproven players. Derek Carr had 19+ fantasy points on five separate occasions last season and will benefit from the added talent in the pass-catching corps, particularly rookies Bryan Edwards and Henry Ruggs. The Panthers are likely going to struggle defensively out of the gate and I expect Carr to take advantage. |
| Kyle Yates FantasyPros | Brees is back for another season and he's got a loaded receiving corps at his disposal. Brees is an enticing start this week in what should be a high-scoring affair against Tom Brady and the Bucs. Points should be going up on the board in this one and Brees should be in your starting lineup. | |
| Isaiah Sirois FantasyPros | Carr is a mid-tier QB2 this week. Yes, he has a bevy of new weapons in Las Vegas, as the team drafted both Bryan Edwards to Henry Ruggs, but I don't know if the offense will work things out by Week 1. What's worse for Carr's outlook is that the Panthers allowed opposing offenses to run all over them last year. That means the Raiders may not need to pass, reducing Carr's upside. | |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | The Bucs allowed the 9th most points to fantasy quarterbacks last year, but their defense was consistently put in bad positions with Jameis Winston throwing 30 interceptions. This is a new look Bucs team with Tom Brady, but I still think Brees is a QB1 at home. | |
