Drew Brees or Tom Brady
Who Should I Start? - Week 3
Can't Decide? Leave it up to the Fantasy Gods
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Experts' Pick | |||
QB - NO  vs. GB, Sun 8pm EDT |
QB - TB  at DEN, Sun 4pm EDT |
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Expert |
70% Recommended by 119 of 171 experts |
30% Recommended by 52 of 171 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would startUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 16 | # 17 | - |
| Best Rank | # 10 | # 10 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 22 | # 22 | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | vs. GB | at DEN | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 3 star matchup. QBs perform close to their average vs GB | This is a 2 star matchup. QBs perform worse than their average vs DEN | - |
| Stats Allowed | |||
| Pass Comp | 13 | 19.3 | |
| Pass Yds | 159 | 182.7 | |
| Pass TD | 1.3 | 1.3 | |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 29.9 | 32.2 | - |
| Avg Game | 15.0 | 16.1 | - |
| Avg Projection | 18.1 | 17.1 | - |
| Week 2 | 15.5 | 9.7 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Weather | Indoor | 64 F, Clear | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Drew Brees | Tom Brady | Add Player |
1 h | #19 | #20 | - |
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2 d | #17 | #21 | - |
2 d | #12 | #20 | - |
2 d | #18 | #20 | - |
2 d | #9 | #12 | - |
2 d | #14 | #17 | - |
2 d | #17 | #15 | - |
2 d | #14 | #12 | - |
2 d | #13 | #16 | - |
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2 d | #20 | #12 | - |
2 d | #22 | #21 | - |
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2 d | #15 | #16 | - |
3 d | #14 | #15 | - |
3 d | #11 | #16 | - |
3 d | #13 | #16 | - |
4 d | #13 | #9 | - |
4 d | #7 | #16 | - |
QB - NO | QB - TB | |
| 2020 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. TB 18/30, 160 pass yds, 2 td, 0 int 2 rush, 0 yds, 0 td | at NO 23/36, 239 pass yds, 2 td, 2 int 3 rush, 9 yds, 1 td |
| Week 2 | at LV 26/38, 312 pass yds, 1 td, 1 int | vs. CAR 23/35, 217 pass yds, 1 td, 1 int 1 rush, 0 yds, 0 td |
| Week 3 | vs. GB | at DEN |
| Week 4 | at DET | vs. LAC |
| Week 5 | vs. LAC | at CHI |
| Week 6 | BYE WEEK | vs. GB |
| Week 7 | vs. CAR | at LV |
| Week 8 | at CHI | at NYG |
| Week 9 | at TB | vs. NO |
| Week 10 | vs. SF | at CAR |
| Week 11 | vs. ATL | vs. LAR |
| Week 12 | at DEN | vs. KC |
| Week 13 | at ATL | BYE WEEK |
| Week 14 | at PHI | vs. MIN |
| Week 15 | vs. KC | at ATL |
| Week 16 | vs. MIN | at DET |
| Week 17 | at CAR | vs. ATL |
QB - NO vs. GB, Sun 8pm EDT |
QB - TB at DEN, Sun 4pm EDT |
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| Passing | ||
| Pass Att | 34.4 | 35.6 |
| Pass Cmp | 24.1 | 23.2 |
| Pass Yards | 276.5 | 269.9 |
| Pass TDs | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| Ints | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Rush Yards | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| Rush TDs | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Misc | ||
| Fumbles | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 18.1 | 17.1 |
QB - NO | QB - TB | |
| 2020 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 14.4 | 22.5 |
| Week 2 | 15.5 | 9.7 |
| Week 3 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 4 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 5 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 6 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 7 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 8 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 9 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 10 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 11 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 12 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 13 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 14 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 15 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 16 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 17 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Total | 29.9 | 32.2 |
| Average | 15.0 | 16.1 |
QB - NO vs. GB, Sun 8pm EDT |
QB - TB at DEN, Sun 4pm EDT |
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| Expert | ||
| Zachary Hanshew FantasyPros | Brees has been a shaky QB play this season and hasn't displayed the same level of upside we've seen from him in seasons past. He'll square off against a middle-of-the-pack Green Bay defense whose strength is in its secondary. The Saints should continue to lean on the run and short-passing game, and Brees is best utilized as a mid-tier QB2 for Week 3. | Brady obviously isn't the same guy in Tampa Bay as he was in New England, but it appeared he started to work out the kinks in his new offense in the Bucs' Week 2 victory over Carolina. His matchup with Denver isn't as scary as it appears at first glance, as the team will be without AJ Bouye and Von Miller. Brady's ceiling isn't sky high, though he makes a high-end QB2 in a matchup where he'll get Chris Godwin back. |
| Kyle Yates FantasyPros | To be frank, Brees hasn't looked like the QB that we've grown accustomed to seeing over previous seasons. He doesn't look like he has the necessary arm strength anymore to push the ball downfield, which makes it hard to trust him for fantasy purposes. Brees can be rolled out this week as a low-end QB2. | Brady hasn't exactly looked like a dominant fantasy QB over the first two weeks as he adjusts to his new surroundings. With Godwin back in the lineup this week though, Brady could bounce back and produce against a Broncos defense that is banged up. With that being said, he's nothing more than a mid-range QB2. |
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | Remember when Brees was seriously contemplating retirement? I'm not going to say he's experiencing a Peyton Manning-like decline, but he hasn't looked good through two weeks. He's averaging just 6.9 yards per attempt, which is a number he fell below in just three games last year. The loss of Michael Thomas was a topper on the cake, as he's the safety valve who always seems to be open and has magnets for hands. The Packers defense is generating pressure (9.4 percent sack rate, fifth in NFL), but they haven't been efficient overall against quarterbacks, allowing them 8.67 yards per attempt with a 6.9 percent touchdown rate. The 0.59 fantasy points per actual pass attempt rank as the seventh most in the league. The reason they haven't allowed a lot of points to them? Plays. Their opponents are averaging just 53.5 plays per game and it's led to just 58 pass attempts. Meanwhile, the Saints are averaging just 61.5 plays per game themselves because they haven't sustained drives with Brees playing mediocre. Brees has played better at home over the course of his career and this game has a rather high total, so we can't completely write him off, but Brees is more of a high-end QB2 than a must-play this week, especially given that we don't know Thomas' status right now. | After going 10 straight years with an interception rate of 2.0 percent or less, Brady has a 4.2 percent interception rate through two games with the Bucs. It's the same as his touchdown rate. His 6.4 yards per attempt is the worst he's had since 2002. His 228.0 yards per game is the lowest since 2006. It's safe to say Brady hasn't lived up to his reputation just yet, and one of the most worrisome parts is that one of his games was against the Panthers, a team he should've dismantled. Starting for a new team in this offseason was always going to be tough, but no one expected these struggles. The Broncos are a team that's dealt with a lot of injuries and it's changed how we view them as a matchup. Both their top edge rusher (Von Miller) and cornerback (A.J. Bouye) will not be on the field. They're generating just a 2.3 percent sack rate and have allowed back-to-back 18-plus point quarterback performances to Ryan Tannehill and Ben Roethlisberger, though neither of them averaged more than 7.59 yards per attempt. The last time Brady played against a Vic Fangio defense was in 2018 when he threw for 277 yards and three touchdowns, though that was obviously with the Patriots. There are clearly some kinks to be worked out with the Bucs offense, making Brady just a middling QB2 in a matchup that should've produced results. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | The Packers are 15th against fantasy quarterbacks and Brees was not very good on MNF without Michael Thomas. Brees is probably more of a QB2 at home rather than a QB1. | The Broncos are 16th against fantasy quarterbacks, they do not have the defense to stop the Bucs offense if Brady brings his A game. He is still becoming acclimated to the Bucs offense, I think he is an upside QB2 on the road. |
