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Joe Mixon or Aaron Jones

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 - Half Point PPR

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron JonesA. Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
vs. CHI, Sun 1pm EST
Joe MixonJ. Mixon
RB - CIN
Joe Mixon
vs. NE, Sun 1pm EST
 
 
Expert
Recommendation

Updated: Dec 13th, 2019
99%
Recommended by
123 of 124 experts
1%
Recommended by
1 of 124 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 10# 17-
Best Rank# 6# 15-
Worst Rank# 18# 24-
    
Matchup 
    
Opponent vs. CHI vs. NE-
Matchup RatingThis is a 3 star matchup. RBs perform close to their average vs CHIThis is a 1 star matchup. RBs perform worse than their average vs NE-
    
    
Stats Allowed   
Rush Att20.918
Rush Yds78.375.6
Rush TD0.80.4
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total230.9152.5-
Avg Game17.811.7-
Avg Projection15.512.9-
Week 1428.226.1-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
Weather18 F, Clear throughout the day.39 F, Possible light rain overnight.-
    
Expert Ranks 
Aaron JonesJoe MixonAdd Player
    
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  Aaron JonesA. Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
Joe MixonJ. Mixon
RB - CIN
Joe Mixon
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 at CHI
13 rush, 39 yds, 0 td
1 tar, 1 rec, 0 yds, 0 td
at SEA
6 rush, 10 yds, 0 td
3 tar, 2 rec, 7 yds, 0 td
Week 2 vs. MIN
23 rush, 116 yds, 1 td
6 tar, 4 rec, 34 yds, 0 td
vs. SF
11 rush, 17 yds, 0 td
5 tar, 3 rec, 10 yds, 0 td
Week 3 vs. DEN
10 rush, 19 yds, 2 td
1 tar, 1 rec, 4 yds, 0 td
at BUF
15 rush, 61 yds, 0 td
2 tar, 2 rec, 34 yds, 1 td
Week 4 vs. PHI
13 rush, 21 yds, 1 td
7 tar, 6 rec, 37 yds, 0 td
at PIT
15 rush, 62 yds, 0 td
5 tar, 4 rec, 1 yds, 0 td
Week 5 at DAL
19 rush, 107 yds, 4 td
8 tar, 7 rec, 75 yds, 0 td
vs. ARI
19 rush, 93 yds, 0 td
1 tar, 1 rec, 16 yds, 0 td
Week 6 vs. DET
11 rush, 47 yds, 0 td
7 tar, 4 rec, 13 yds, 0 td
at BAL
8 rush, 10 yds, 0 td
3 tar, 2 rec, 29 yds, 0 td
Week 7 vs. OAK
12 rush, 50 yds, 0 td
4 tar, 4 rec, 33 yds, 1 td
vs. JAC
10 rush, 2 yds, 0 td
2 tar, 1 rec, 2 yds, 1 td
Week 8 at KC
13 rush, 67 yds, 0 td
8 tar, 7 rec, 159 yds, 2 td
at LAR
17 rush, 66 yds, 0 td
4 tar, 4 rec, 11 yds, 1 td
Week 9 at LAC
8 rush, 30 yds, 0 td
4 tar, 1 rec, -1 yds, 0 td
BYE WEEK
Week 10 vs. CAR
13 rush, 93 yds, 3 td
vs. BAL
30 rush, 114 yds, 0 td
3 tar, 2 rec, 37 yds, 0 td
Week 11BYE WEEK at OAK
15 rush, 86 yds, 1 td
3 tar, 1 rec, 17 yds, 0 td
Week 12 at SF
13 rush, 38 yds, 0 td
1 tar, 0 rec, 0 yds, 0 td
vs. PIT
18 rush, 79 yds, 0 td
Week 13 at NYG
11 rush, 18 yds, 0 td
6 tar, 4 rec, 13 yds, 0 td
vs. NYJ
19 rush, 44 yds, 1 td
4 tar, 4 rec, 26 yds, 0 td
Week 14 vs. WAS
16 rush, 134 yds, 1 td
7 tar, 6 rec, 58 yds, 0 td
at CLE
23 rush, 146 yds, 1 td
4 tar, 3 rec, 40 yds, 0 td
Week 15 vs. CHI vs. NE
Week 16 at MIN at MIA
Week 17 at DET vs. CLE
  Aaron JonesA. Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
vs. CHI, Sun 1pm EST
Joe MixonJ. Mixon
RB - CIN
Joe Mixon
vs. NE, Sun 1pm EST
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts14.116.8
Rush Yards66.068.9
Rush TDs0.70.4
   
Receiving
   
Receptions3.62.5
Rec Yards27.019.5
Rec TDs0.10.1
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points15.512.9
   
  Aaron JonesA. Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
Joe MixonJ. Mixon
RB - CIN
Joe Mixon
2019 Points 
Week 14.42.7
Week 223.04.2
Week 314.816.5
Week 414.88.3
Week 545.711.4
Week 66.04.9
Week 716.36.9
Week 838.115.7
Week 93.4
Week 1027.316.1
Week 1116.8
Week 123.87.9
Week 135.115.0
Week 1428.226.1
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
  Aaron JonesA. Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
Joe MixonJ. Mixon
RB - CIN
Joe Mixon
2019 Targets 
Week 113
Week 265
Week 312
Week 475
Week 581
Week 673
Week 742
Week 884
Week 94
Week 1003
Week 113
Week 1210
Week 1364
Week 1474
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
  Aaron JonesA. Jones
RB - GB
Aaron Jones
vs. CHI, Sun 1pm EST
Joe MixonJ. Mixon
RB - CIN
Joe Mixon
vs. NE, Sun 1pm EST
Expert 
Zach Brunner
FantasyPros
Aaron Jones got back to business last week, but the matchup against the Bears is certainly tougher than Washington, though it's not one we need to avoid. Given Jones' role and ability to find the end zone, he is a low end RB1 this week. 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
The Bears defense has gotten things together after struggling a bit once they lost Akiem Hicks on the defensive line and have now allowed just 3.68 yards per carry on the year. The fact remains that they've struggled on the goal-line, though. They've now allowed 12 rushing touchdowns over the last 10 games, one every 19.8 carries, which would be the second-most often in the league behind only the Panthers. They have allowed six different running backs to rush for at least 81 yards, but each of those running backs carried the ball a minimum of 19 times, a number the Packers running backs rarely reach. There have been seven running backs who've finished as the RB18 or better against the Bears, and each of them totaled at least 16 touches, with six of them finishing with 20-plus touches. Bottom line, it's taken volume to even get into the middling RB2 conversation. Knowing Jones totaled 22 touches to Williams' 7 touches, he's in must-start low-end RB1 territory, especially when you know that inside linebacker Roquan Smith was placed on injured reserve this week, and were already without Hicks and Danny Trevathan. The biggest question mark in this game is Williams, because losing any of the work he was getting is crushing to his appeal, as his volume was already a big question mark. Is Jones the new passing-down back after seeing seven targets to Williams' one target, because carries aren't worth nearly as much. The Bears opponents have averaged 28.8 touches per game, so we could see touch totals similar to the ones we saw last week.At some point, the Bengals just said, "No matter what the scoreboard says, we're giving Mixon 15-plus carries." He's hit that mark in each of the last six games, but even more importantly, he's now seen four targets in each of the last two games. He's run 37 routes in those games, which ranks 17th among running backs, so at least he's been involved there. We'll test the theory of 15-plus carries in every game this week, as the Bengals are double-digit underdogs against the Patriots. Mixon has been handling 88 percent of the team's carries over the last six weeks, which is important considering running backs have averaged just 18.4 carries per game against them, the third-lowest mark in the league. The Patriots have still allowed just one rushing touchdown on the year as well, so it's unlikely a touchdown can bail you out as a Mixon owner. There have been just three running backs who've finished as top-20 options against the Patriots this year, and two of them came in games the Patriots won. Ezekiel Elliott was the only running back on the losing team who finished top-20 against them, and it took him 25 touches in the rain to get there. This isn't a week to get excited about starting Mixon as anything more than a low-end RB2/high-end RB3.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Chicago is only 17th against fantasy running backs, the Packers are going to need to utilize the running game to move the ball this week. Jones is a low-end RB1 at home.Mixon has been playing better to close the season, but the Patriots are the best running back defense in the NFL. Mixon is a low-upside flex option this week.
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