Justin Jefferson or A.J. Brown
Who Should I Start? - Week 1
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Experts' Pick | |||
A.J. Brown WR - TEN  A.J. Brown WR - TEN at DEN, Mon 10pm EDT |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN  Justin Jefferson WR - MIN vs. GB, Sun 1pm EDT |
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Expert |
99% Recommended by 174 of 176 experts |
1% Recommended by 2 of 176 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop WR ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would startUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 7 | # 65 | - |
| Best Rank | # 5 | # 33 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 34 | # 106 | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | at DEN | vs. GB | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 2 star matchup. WRs perform a little worse than their average vs DEN | This is a 2 star matchup. WRs perform a little worse than their average vs GB | - |
| Stats Allowed | |||
| Rec | 23.4 | 21.6 | |
| Rec Yds | 255.6 | 237.1 | |
| Rec TD | 1.3 | 1.4 | |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 177.5 | 186.2 | - |
| Avg Game | 12.7 | 11.6 | - |
| 2019 Average | 12.7 | 11.6 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Weather | Indoor | Indoor | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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A.J. Brown | Justin Jefferson | Add Player |
09/29 | #6 | #69 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #69 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #60 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #43 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #74 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #79 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #65 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #77 | - |
09/10 | #11 | ‐ | - |
09/10 | #8 | ‐ | - |
09/10 | #7 | #79 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #67 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #39 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #69 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #67 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #88 | - |
09/13 | #12 | ‐ | - |
09/13 | #7 | #67 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #62 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #79 | - |
09/09 | #9 | #46 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #64 | - |
09/10 | #12 | #81 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #74 | - |
08/10 | #7 | #70 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #60 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #69 | - |
09/13 | #14 | #61 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #63 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #64 | - |
09/09 | #7 | #47 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #58 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #70 | - |
09/13 | #23 | #105 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #69 | - |
09/10 | #9 | #60 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #68 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #79 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #46 | - |
09/09 | #7 | #66 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #55 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #70 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #69 | - |
09/13 | #14 | #75 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #64 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #65 | - |
09/12 | #7 | #59 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #74 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #46 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #81 | - |
09/10 | #5 | #68 | - |
09/12 | #7 | #76 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #78 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #69 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #47 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #74 | - |
09/08 | #7 | #65 | - |
09/10 | #11 | #56 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #66 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #67 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #81 | - |
09/10 | #14 | #71 | - |
09/09 | #7 | #63 | - |
09/12 | #6 | #80 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #77 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #86 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #72 | - |
09/13 | #14 | #80 | - |
09/13 | #18 | #64 | - |
09/11 | #7 | #52 | - |
09/13 | #18 | #83 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #70 | - |
09/09 | #20 | #50 | - |
09/13 | #8 | ‐ | - |
09/13 | #13 | #65 | - |
09/12 | #7 | #61 | - |
09/13 | #19 | #69 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #80 | - |
09/10 | #9 | #57 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #85 | - |
09/09 | #8 | #62 | - |
09/11 | #8 | #92 | - |
09/09 | #17 | #64 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #73 | - |
09/13 | #13 | #67 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #73 | - |
09/09 | #11 | #63 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #65 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #69 | - |
09/12 | #7 | #73 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #71 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #67 | - |
09/07 | #20 | #53 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #78 | - |
09/12 | #7 | #57 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #69 | - |
09/10 | #8 | #67 | - |
09/09 | #7 | #65 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #88 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #57 | - |
09/12 | #7 | #46 | - |
09/09 | #7 | #63 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #55 | - |
09/10 | #9 | #46 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #66 | - |
09/13 | #21 | #65 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #72 | - |
09/10 | #23 | #88 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #60 | - |
09/13 | #6 | #76 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #44 | - |
09/08 | #6 | #71 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #67 | - |
09/13 | #14 | #71 | - |
09/13 | #7 | ‐ | - |
09/13 | #9 | #65 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #64 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #82 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #60 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #91 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #51 | - |
09/12 | #18 | ‐ | - |
09/13 | #13 | #76 | - |
09/13 | #19 | ‐ | - |
09/13 | #6 | #81 | - |
09/09 | #11 | ‐ | - |
09/13 | #9 | #61 | - |
09/07 | #7 | #79 | - |
09/13 | ‐ | #62 | - |
09/13 | #8 | ‐ | - |
09/13 | #9 | #68 | - |
09/13 | #23 | #64 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #83 | - |
09/09 | #8 | #68 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #62 | - |
09/11 | #9 | ‐ | - |
09/12 | #9 | #65 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #64 | - |
09/12 | #15 | ‐ | - |
09/10 | #17 | #69 | - |
09/13 | #15 | #50 | - |
09/10 | #9 | #64 | - |
09/12 | #13 | ‐ | - |
09/12 | #17 | ‐ | - |
09/13 | #13 | #106 | - |
09/09 | #17 | #61 | - |
09/04 | #16 | #71 | - |
09/13 | #22 | #55 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #60 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #81 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #58 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #46 | - |
09/09 | #8 | #57 | - |
09/01 | #9 | #66 | - |
09/09 | #13 | #95 | - |
09/10 | #20 | #57 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #47 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #45 | - |
09/12 | #7 | ‐ | - |
09/08 | #11 | #71 | - |
09/12 | #7 | #64 | - |
09/11 | #12 | ‐ | - |
09/11 | #7 | #77 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #68 | - |
09/10 | #12 | #83 | - |
09/10 | #10 | #66 | - |
09/10 | #11 | #64 | - |
09/10 | #34 | #33 | - |
09/10 | #7 | #60 | - |
09/10 | #9 | #79 | - |
09/10 | #11 | #66 | - |
09/09 | #9 | #65 | - |
09/08 | #11 | #60 | - |
09/08 | #5 | #61 | - |
09/07 | #9 | #60 | - |
09/10 | #14 | #46 | - |
A.J. Brown WR - TEN A.J. Brown WR - TEN | Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | |
| 2020 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | at DEN | vs. GB |
| Week 2 | vs. JAC | at IND |
| Week 3 | at MIN | vs. TEN |
| Week 4 | BYE WEEK | at HOU |
| Week 5 | vs. BUF | at SEA |
| Week 6 | vs. HOU | vs. ATL |
| Week 7 | vs. PIT | BYE WEEK |
| Week 8 | at CIN | at GB |
| Week 9 | vs. CHI | vs. DET |
| Week 10 | vs. IND | at CHI |
| Week 11 | at BAL | vs. DAL |
| Week 12 | at IND | vs. CAR |
| Week 13 | vs. CLE | vs. JAC |
| Week 14 | at JAC | at TB |
| Week 15 | vs. DET | vs. CHI |
| Week 16 | at GB | at NO |
| Week 17 | at HOU | at DET |
A.J. Brown WR - TEN A.J. Brown WR - TEN | Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | |
| 2020 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 3.9 | 2.6 |
| Week 2 | ‐ | 4.4 |
| Week 3 | ‐ | 23.5 |
| Week 4 | ‐ | 10.3 |
| Week 5 | 14.2 | 2.3 |
| Week 6 | 17.8 | 30.6 |
| Week 7 | 21.3 | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 8.4 | 2.6 |
| Week 9 | 16.1 | 6.4 |
| Week 10 | 2.1 | 13.5 |
| Week 11 | 12.2 | 14.6 |
| Week 12 | 21.8 | 19.0 |
| Week 13 | 6.7 | 18.3 |
| Week 14 | 17.2 | 5.9 |
| Week 15 | 10.4 | 10.4 |
| Week 16 | 4.3 | 8.5 |
| Week 17 | 21.1 | 13.3 |
| Total | 177.5 | 186.2 |
| Average | 12.7 | 11.6 |
A.J. Brown WR - TEN A.J. Brown WR - TEN | Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | |
| 2020 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 8 | 3 |
| Week 2 | ‐ | 3 |
| Week 3 | ‐ | 9 |
| Week 4 | ‐ | 5 |
| Week 5 | 9 | 5 |
| Week 6 | 7 | 11 |
| Week 7 | 8 | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 7 | 4 |
| Week 9 | 9 | 4 |
| Week 10 | 4 | 10 |
| Week 11 | 7 | 5 |
| Week 12 | 6 | 13 |
| Week 13 | 7 | 12 |
| Week 14 | 9 | 8 |
| Week 15 | 6 | 11 |
| Week 16 | 8 | 10 |
| Week 17 | 11 | 12 |
A.J. Brown WR - TEN A.J. Brown WR - TEN at DEN, Mon 10pm EDT |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN vs. GB, Sun 1pm EDT |
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| Expert | ||
| Isaiah Sirois FantasyPros | I have been an outspoken critic of A.J. Brown throughout the entire offseason. I think that he doesn't see nearly enough targets per game to be a consistent WR1 or a WR2, but he's a great pick for Week 1. The Denver Broncos replaced Chris Harris with A.J. Bouye, and if Brown draws the veteran cornerback in coverage, he already knows what to do. When Bouye covered him last year, Brown caught four of his five targets for 135 yards and a score. You're never guaranteed of anything with Brown, but this week seems likelier to be a "boom" than a "bust." | |
| Jacob Wayne Lineups | The Titans had an elite passing attack towards the end of last season, but much of their passing production was statistically unsustainable. Still, A.J. Brown is an elite talent at wideout and should be counted on as a WR2 this season. The Broncos were a top-10 defense in terms of fantasy points allowed to wide receivers last year and made a few improvements over the offseason, including bringing in A.J. Bouye who should play a lot of shadow coverage this week. I'm not convinced the passing volume will be there for Brown, but his weekly high touchdown percentage makes him a WR2 with WR1 upside. | |
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | He's no longer a rookie or a secret. Brown is clearly a top priority of defensive coordinators, so let's hope the Titans move him around the formation a bit more, as he was in the slot on just 10.4 percent of his snaps in 2019. The Broncos used Chris Harris Jr. to shadow opposing No. 1 receivers last year, but he's gone. They brought in A.J. Bouye, though it's unclear whether he'll shadow opposing No. 1 receivers or if he'll just play a side. Bouye is just 29 years old, so it's difficult to imagine he's dropped off, but his 2019 season was not good. He allowed 772 yards and three touchdowns on 80 targets in coverage, which amounts to 9.65 yards per target. Among the 127 cornerbacks who saw at least 25 targets in coverage last year, that ranks as the 20th-highest mark. The concern is the slow game pace and limited attempts to go around, as we saw Brown targeted just 20 times over his final five games of 2019 (playoffs included). It's why he shouldn't have been considered a WR1 this year, as it's got nothing to do with his talent as a player. This matchup might be a great one if the Broncos don't shadow him with Bouye, but the lack of guaranteed volume keeps him in low-end WR2 territory. | |
| Kyle Yates FantasyPros | Jefferson is going to be the slot receiver in this offense, which means that he isn't going to be on the field as much as we would like to see right away. Jefferson should still see 4-5 targets in this game, but that simply won't be enough to be relevant for fantasy football. | |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Brown does not have the greatest matchup as the deep threat against a good pass rush and a D that was 10th against fantasy wide receivers. Brown is more of a WR2 in the opener than a WR1. | |
